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Orense v El Nacional : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga Pro, and Nicolás Alejandro Chietino’s Orense will have the luxury of it on Saturday morning. Ever Hugo Almeida Almada’s El Nacional are their opponents at the Estadio 9 de Mayo. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Liga Pro matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga Pro Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Orense's next match is v Tecnico at 01:00 on Tuesday 21st May
El Nacional's next match is v Libertad at 19:00 on Saturday 18th May

The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between Orense and El Nacional was on Saturday 4th May 2024

Ecuadorian Liga Pro

May 4th 2024

Orense 0	1

	53' F. Martínez Tenorio


Shots On	3 8
Shots Off	1 4
Corners	6 3
Possession	60% 40%
Fouls	9 10
Yellow/red cards	4/0 3/0

Orense

R. Silva G. Achilier Zurita M. Quiñones Mendoza Y. Erique Villigua P. Velasco Arboleda (D. Coronel Ocampo 77') J. Monaga Quiñónez (J. Andrade de la Torre 58') S. Kubiszyn E. Pluas Vera (R. Calderón Llori 77') M. Eggel (C. Barros Mirabal 58') W. Herrera R. Burbano Cobeña	D. Cabezas Medina Á. Gracia Toral J. Flor Blanco D. Patiño Mencias R. Cabezas (F. Balda Rodríguez 85') J. Borja Colorado C. Vélez Plaza (B. Rivera Andrango 73') F. Martínez Tenorio (A. Cela Recalde 85') M. Olmedo Garrido (E. Mejía Montero 67') J. Ordoñez Galarce (A. Chére Ayoví 74') B. Palacios Vélez

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during a standard 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Orense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Orense 49%	19/20 2%	-
Draw 26%	2/1 6%	-
El Nacional 25%	16/5 5%	-
Orense 1-0 12%	11/2 13%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1 8%	-
Orense 2-0 9%	15/2 6%	-
Orense 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 8%	13/2 21%	-
El Nacional 1-0 8%	10/1 8%	-
El Nacional 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Orense 3-0 5%	16/1	-
Orense 3-1 5%	16/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	-
El Nacional 2-0 4%	20/1	-
Orense 3-2 2%	33/1 31%	-
El Nacional 3-1 2%	40/1 21%	-
Orense 4-0 2%	33/1	-
Orense 4-1 2%	40/1 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	6/5 13%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	13/20 11%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	8/13 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	7/4 5%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	13/2 21%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	10/11 10%	-
BTTS - No 51%	4/5 10%	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	15/4 19%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	8/1 20%	-
Home/draw 75%	2/9	-
Away/draw 51%	4/5 2%	-
Home/away 74%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	4/11 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	2/1 14%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	3/1 23%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	2/9 8%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	8/1 38%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/14 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	18/1 27%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/12 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	13/2 21%	-
Home DNB 68%	4/11	-
Away DNB 43%	2/1	-
Orense win to nil 29%	9/4 7%	-
El Nacional win to nil 14%	6/1	-
Orense / Orense 26%	9/4 5%	-
Orense / El Nacional 2%	40/1 21%	-
Orense / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	-
Draw / Orense 18%	15/4	-
Draw / El Nacional 10%	15/2	-
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4 5%	-
El Nacional / Orense 3%	25/1 13%	-
El Nacional / El Nacional 13%	11/2 7%	-
El Nacional / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Orense	1 - 0	LDU Quito
Orense	2 - 2	Mushuc
Orense	1 - 1	Emelec
Orense	1 - 2	Imbabura
Orense	1 - 1	Cuenca
Orense	1 - 2	Aucas
Orense	1 - 0	Mushuc
Orense	2 - 3	Guayaquil
Orense	1 - 1	El Nacional
Orense	3 - 0	Libertad
Orense	1 - 2	Catolica
Orense	2 - 0	Gualaceo
Orense	0 - 0	Delfin
Orense	0 - 2	I. Valle
Orense	1 - 0	Cumbaya
Orense	2 - 1	Tecnico
Orense	2 - 1	LDU Quito
Orense	2 - 0	Cuenca
Orense	3 - 2	G. City
Orense	2 - 1	Emelec

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Orense	1 - 1	Libertad
H	Orense	1 - 0	LDU Quito
A	Orense	0 - 0	Macara
H	Orense	2 - 2	Mushuc
A	Orense	1 - 5	Catolica
H	Orense	1 - 1	Emelec
H	Orense	1 - 2	Imbabura
A	Orense	0 - 0	Guayaquil
H	Orense	1 - 1	Cuenca
A	Orense	0 - 2	Aucas
H	Orense	1 - 2	Aucas
A	Orense	2 - 2	I. Valle
H	Orense	1 - 0	Mushuc
A	Orense	1 - 0	Cumbaya
H	Orense	2 - 3	Guayaquil
H	Orense	1 - 1	El Nacional
A	Orense	1 - 2	Tecnico
H	Orense	3 - 0	Libertad
A	Orense	0 - 1	LDU Quito
H	Orense	1 - 2	Catolica

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
Guayaquil	1 - 0	El Nacional
Cumbaya	1 - 0	El Nacional
Aucas	3 - 4	El Nacional
Macara	1 - 0	El Nacional
Catolica	3 - 0	El Nacional
Cuenca	1 - 0	El Nacional
Guayaquil	3 - 2	El Nacional
Orense	1 - 1	El Nacional
Libertad	0 - 1	El Nacional
Catolica	1 - 1	El Nacional
LDU Quito	0 - 0	El Nacional
Tecnico	3 - 3	El Nacional
I. Valle	3 - 4	El Nacional
Gualaceo	3 - 4	El Nacional
G. City	3 - 1	El Nacional
Mushuc	0 - 1	El Nacional
Delfin	2 - 0	El Nacional
Emelec	1 - 2	El Nacional
Cumbaya	2 - 0	El Nacional
Aucas	0 - 2	El Nacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	El Nacional	1 - 0	Delfin
A	El Nacional	0 - 1	Guayaquil
H	El Nacional	2 - 0	Imbabura
H	El Nacional	1 - 2	LDU Quito
A	El Nacional	0 - 1	Cumbaya
H	El Nacional	2 - 1	Cuenca
A	El Nacional	4 - 3	Aucas
H	El Nacional	0 - 1	Emelec
A	El Nacional	0 - 1	Macara
A	El Nacional	0 - 3	Catolica
H	El Nacional	2 - 1	I. Valle
A	El Nacional	0 - 1	Cuenca
H	El Nacional	4 - 2	Gualaceo
A	El Nacional	2 - 3	Guayaquil
H	El Nacional	2 - 0	G. City
A	El Nacional	1 - 1	Orense
H	El Nacional	2 - 0	Mushuc
H	El Nacional	2 - 2	Delfin
A	El Nacional	1 - 0	Libertad
H	El Nacional	1 - 1	Emelec

Goal Statistics

	Orense 10th	El Nacional 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Orense will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of El Nacional scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Orense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+20 El Nacional have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.6 conceded

Statistics Liga Pro - 2024/2024 Season

better

view stats

Games scored	8		7
Failed to score	4		5
Scored first	3		4
Goals scored	9		12
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate	0%		0%
KickOff rating		+4%

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	8		9
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	7		8
Goals conceded	15		15
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate	0%		0%
KickOff rating		+12%

Orense v El Nacional Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Orense Liga Pro squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	4	1	5
R Silva	W. Herrera	P Velasco	M. Eggel

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Silva GLK	12			-
P Velasco DEF	12	1	1	1 -
S Quiñónez DEF	6			2 -
G Achilier DEF	12	1		3 -
Y Villigua DEF	10		1	3 -
S. Kubiszyn MID	7			-
E Plúas MID	12			3 -
R Burbano MID	11	1		2 -
M. Eggel MID	12		1	5 -
J Monaga MID	4			1 -
W. Herrera FWD	11	4		2 -
Subs
J Cárdenas GLK				-
N Grecco DEF	3			-
R Calderón MID	11			2 -
D Coronel MID	11	1		1 -
J Andrade MID	8			1 -
S Cabrera MID				-
B Quinonez MID	4			1 1
W. Chuchuca Arreaga MID				-
E. Mélendres MID				-
E Viera MID	6			1 -
C Barros FWD	9	1		-
A. Suarez Calderon FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	9	1	3
W. Herrera	M. Eggel	P Velasco	M. Eggel

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W. Herrera FWD	4	9		1
P Velasco DEF	1	3	1	2
G Achilier DEF	1	2
R Burbano MID	1	4		1
S Quiñónez DEF		2
Y Villigua DEF			1	1
E Plúas MID		1
M. Eggel MID		9	1	3
Subs
C Barros FWD	1	2
D Coronel MID	1	6
R Calderón MID		6		1
J Andrade MID		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
525	29	64
E Plúas	E Plúas	W. Herrera

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
E Plúas MID	525	29	58
G Achilier DEF	476	14	63
P Velasco DEF	350	7	29
R Silva GLK	349	1	7
Y Villigua DEF	318	17	42
R Burbano MID	284	13	32
M. Eggel MID	269	10	38
W. Herrera FWD	193	11	64
S Quiñónez DEF	174	3	21
S. Kubiszyn MID	167	18	26
J Monaga MID	50	1	4
Subs
R Calderón MID	210	8	26
B Quinonez MID	188	3	20
E Viera MID	177	4	14
N Grecco DEF	97	1	13
C Barros FWD	88	6	17
D Coronel MID	66	4	21
J Andrade MID	51	6	12
A. Suarez Calderon FWD	17		4

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	4	2	5
D Patino	A. Chére Ayoví	J Colorado	M Olmedo

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Cabezas GLK	9			1 1
R Briones DEF	6			-
J Blanco DEF	3			-
D Patino DEF	12			4 -
Ángel Gracia DEF	3			2 -
F Martínez MID	7	2	1	2 -
M Olmedo MID	8		1	5 -
C Vélez MID	6	1		3 -
J Colorado MID	8		2	3 -
J Ordóñez FWD	4			1 -
B Palacios FWD	9	3	1	2 -
Subs
L Chalá GLK	3			-
B Rivera DEF	2			-
A Bedoya DEF	6			1 -
M Balda MID	4			-
B Tana MID	8			1 -
E Mejía MID	9	1	2	-
K Peralta MID	8			5 -
A Recalde MID	2			-
G Asprilla FWD	7			-
A. Chére Ayoví FWD	9	4	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	2	4
A. Chére Ayoví	B Palacios	J Colorado	F Martínez

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Palacios FWD	3	12	1	3
F Martínez MID	2	4	1	4
C Vélez MID	1	2
J Blanco DEF				1
D Patino DEF		1
M Olmedo MID			1
J Colorado MID		5	2	1
J Ordóñez FWD		3
Subs
A. Chére Ayoví FWD	4	3	1	1
E Mejía MID	1	3	2	2
A Bedoya DEF		1
M Balda MID		1
B Tana MID		2
G Asprilla FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
232	24	47
D Cabezas	M Olmedo	M Olmedo

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Cabezas GLK	232		5
D Patino DEF	219	12	23
M Olmedo MID	217	24	47
C Vélez MID	162	5	12
J Colorado MID	151	2	11
B Palacios FWD	140	4	45
Ángel Gracia DEF	108	3	8
R Briones DEF	95	8	25
F Martínez MID	83	4	15
J Blanco DEF	69	4	7
J Ordóñez FWD	32	1	12
Subs
K Peralta MID	168	8	26
B Tana MID	150	5	16
A Bedoya DEF	126	4	24
E Mejía MID	100	4	21
A. Chére Ayoví FWD	98	4	32
L Chalá GLK	61
G Asprilla FWD	50	1	19
M Balda MID	44	2	6
A Recalde MID	17	2	3
B Rivera DEF	13	2	2