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Bolton Wanderers v Port Vale : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 15:00 BST, Macron Stadium, Horwich

Steven Schumacher's Bolton Wanderers side enjoy home advantage in the League One on Saturday afternoon, as Darren Moore's Port Vale arrive at the Macron Stadium. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Bolton and Port Vale have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bolton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bolton
53%
1.73
4%
1.91
Draw
26%
3.603.00
Port Vale
20%
4.50
10%
4.20
Bolton 1-0
15%
7.00
8%
5.00
Draw 1-1
12%
7.00
7%
6.00
Bolton 2-0
11%
8.00
7%
7.50
Draw 0-0
10%
10.00
11%
6.00
Bolton 2-1
9%
8.508.50
Port Vale 1-0
8%
13.008.00
Bolton 3-0
6%
13.00
8%
13.00
Port Vale 2-1
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
Bolton 3-1
4%
15.0015.00
Draw 2-2
4%
15.00
10%
17.00
Port Vale 2-0
3%
23.0017.00
Bolton 4-0
2%
29.00
12%
26.00
Bolton 3-2
2%
26.00
15%
29.00
Bolton 4-1
2%
29.00
15%
29.00
Port Vale 3-1
1%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
1.95
7%
2.60
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.85
8%
1.44
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.57
3%
1.67
Away 1st Goal
39%
2.60
9%
2.88
No 1st Goal
7%
10.00
11%
5.75
BTTS - Yes
43%
1.91
7%
2.30
BTTS - No
57%
1.91
8%
1.57
BTTS - Home Win
19%
3.75
8%
5.00
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.755.00
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9.00
14%
9.50
Home/draw
80%
1.18
1%
1.20
Away/draw
47%
2.05
5%
1.83
Home/away
74%
1.291.35
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1.29
2%
1.53
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
3.50
8%
2.38
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3.40
13%
4.80
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1.30
6%
1.15
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6.50
22%
10.00
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.11
3%
1.04
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
15.00
11%
21.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.03
1%
1.00
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.05
1%
1.11
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11.00
11%
6.00
Home DNB
72%
1.30
4%
1.30
Away DNB
39%
3.40
9%
3.20
Bolton win to nil
35%
3.00
10%
-
Port Vale win to nil
12%
8.00-
Bolton / Bolton
29%
2.75
6%
3.60
Bolton / Port Vale
3%
34.0034.00
Bolton / Draw
6%
15.0015.00
Draw / Bolton
18%
4.50
4%
3.60
Draw / Port Vale
9%
9.50
5%
7.00
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
10%
3.90
Port Vale / Bolton
4%
23.0023.00
Port Vale / Port Vale
11%
7.50
11%
8.50
Port Vale / Draw
6%
15.0015.00
Win / draw / win League One table

Bolton have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the League One league table. Bolton are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Bolton have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Bolton have played 7 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Port Vale are in 21st position in the League One on 13 points having played 14 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Port Vale have conceded 15 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bolton
Port Vale
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Stockport14842828 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 11
2
Bradford14761727 
Nov 22
Apr 25
Dec 9
Dec 29
3
Cardiff138231026 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 3
4
Stevenage13823726 
Mar 28
Nov 15
l
 
1-2F
Feb 17
5
Lincoln14743725 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
May 2
Nov 29
6
AFC Wim14815425 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 31
Jan 27
d
 
1-1A
7
Bolton14653423 
-
-
Mar 21
Nov 8
8
Mansfield15645522 
Dec 29
Dec 9
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
9
Northampton15627-220 
Jan 4
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 10
10
Wycombe15546519 
Mar 7
Dec 20
Nov 15
Mar 28
11
Huddersfield13616019 
Apr 18
w
 
1-2A
Mar 14
Dec 26
12
Luton13616019 
May 2
Nov 29
Feb 28
Dec 13
13
Barnsley12534118 
Feb 7
d
 
1-1A
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
14
Reading15465-318 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 17
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
15
Rotherham14536-318 
Dec 26
Mar 14
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
16
Doncaster14536-618 
Mar 17
Jan 1
l
 
0-1A
Feb 14
17
Wigan14455-117 
w
 
4-1F
Jan 17
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
18
L Orient15528-517 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3F
Jan 31
19
Exeter14518016 
Dec 13
Feb 28
Jan 24
w
 
0-2F
20
Burton14446-516 
Jan 27
l
 
3-0A
Feb 7
d
 
0-00-0
21
Port Vale14347-413 
Nov 8
Mar 21
-
-
22
Plymouth14419-813 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 3
Nov 22
Apr 25
23
Blackpool14338-912 
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
Jan 1
Mar 17
24
Peterborough13319-1210 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 10
Dec 20
Mar 7
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Bolton have won 4 consecutive home league games
8
Bolton have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Bolton 7TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Port Vale 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bolton have beaten Port Vale in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Bolton have not lost to Port Vale in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bolton since 1997
Bolton
Port Vale
Goals: Scored
19
12
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
BOL
6
PTV
1
League games at Port Vale since 1996
Port Vale
Bolton
Goals: Scored
1
8
Games: Scored
1 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
6 / 7
BOL
5
D
2
Goal Statistics
Bolton 7th Port Vale 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Bolton will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Port Vale scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Bolton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Port Vale’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season
Bolton
PG (predicted goals)
Port Vale
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
33%
better
BOL
PTV
view stats
Games scored11
7
Failed to score3
7
Scored first6
5
Goals scored19
11
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.8
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal9
13
Conversion rate for12
8
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
BOL
PTV
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded15
15
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded5
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against22%
15%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+16%

Bolton v Port Vale League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Bolton League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14744
T Sharman-LoweM BurstowA Cozier-DuberryJ Sheehan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Sharman-Lowe GLK14
1
-
C Christie DEF21
-
E Toal DEF81
-
G Johnston DEF13
2
-
M Conway DEF141
1
-
J Sheehan MID112
4
-
X Simons MID14
1
-
A Cozier-Duberry MID1444
1
-
J Randall MID101
-
I Cissoko MID10
1
-
M Burstow FWD1471
3
-
Subs
T Miller GLK
-
C Forino DEF8
3
-
J Osei-Tutu DEF6
1
-
A Morley MID12
1
-
K Dempsey MID
-
S Dalby FWD111
-
M Forss FWD82
1
-
Port Vale League One squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13423
C HallD ColeR PatonG Byers
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Gauci GLK8
-
J Debrah DEF12
-
C Humphreys DEF11
2
-
C Hall DEF131
1
-
K John MID8
-
R. Walters MID4
-
G Byers MID121
2
1
M Johnson MID2
-
B Garrity FWD9
-
J. Headley FWD7
1
1
D Cole FWD841
-
Subs
B Amos GLK1
-
B Heneghan DEF10
1
-
G Hall MID61
-
R Curtis MID131
1
-
R Croasdale MID132
2
-
J Stockley FWD5
-
R Paton FWD712
1
-