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Swindon Town v Morecambe : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

County Ground, Swindon

the County Ground is the stage on Saturday afternoon, as Gavin Gunning's Swindon Town are visited by Ged Brannan's Morecambe in the League Two. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.

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The last English League Two meeting between Swindon and Morecambe was on Saturday 27th April 2024
English League Two
April 27th 2024
Swindon 3
3 Morecambe
 
C. Austin 5'15' J. Adams
C. Austin 35'21' A. Fairclough
W. Kokolo 74'86' C. Smith
 
SWI
MOR
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
7
7
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
2
4
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
SwindonMorecambe
 
J. Bycroft (R. Evans 68')
F. Blake-Tracy
H. Hunt (U. Godwin-Malife 62')
W. Kokolofootball icon
C. McCarthy
J. McGregor (Z. Elbouzedi 62')
N. Ofoborh
J. Cain
C. Austinfootball iconfootball icon
S. McGurk (D. Devoy 63')
P. Glatzel (A. Drinan 71')
A. Smith
D. Love
(J. Davenport 80') O. Threlkeld
K. Harrack
(F. Rawson 81') D. Tutonda
(Y. Songo'o 67') N. Khumbeni
(J. Larsson 58') football iconA. Fairclough
(C. Rooney 80') football iconJ. Adams
C. Brown
football iconC. Smith
G. Edwards
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Saturday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Swindon and Morecambe to score 3 goals or more combined during the standard 90 mins. 2 goals or fewer would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting both teams have goals in them, we think it looks like a great bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swindon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Swindon
52%
1/2
32%
1/2
19%
--
Draw
21%
15/4
19%
19/5
20%
--
Morecambe
26%
17/4
91%
19/4
55%
--
Swindon 2-1
9%
15/2
11%
13/2--
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
18%
15/2
750%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
14/1
25%
11/1
1100%
--
Swindon 2-0
7%
9/1
33%
8/1
800%
--
Morecambe 2-1
6%
16/1
55%
14/1
1400%
--
Swindon 3-1
6%
10/1
27%
17/2
14%
--
Swindon 1-0
6%
11/1
8%
17/2
6%
--
Swindon 3-2
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
1200%
--
Swindon 3-0
4%
11/1
43%
10/1
15%
--
Morecambe 1-0
4%
20/1
40%
16/1
1600%
--
Swindon 4-1
3%
16/1
41%
12/1
1200%
--
Morecambe 3-2
3%
28/1
38%
25/1
2500%
--
Morecambe 2-0
3%
33/1
79%
25/1
53%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
31%
--
Morecambe 3-1
3%
33/1
79%
25/1
37%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
4/11
8%
---
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
21/10
19%
---
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/11
19%
---
Away 1st Goal
45%
2/1
43%
---
No 1st Goal
2%
22/1
10%
---
BTTS - Yes
66%
1/2
4%
8/15
53%
--
BTTS - No
34%
6/4
5%
11/8
138%
--
BTTS - Home Win
31%
6/4
29%
6/4
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/2
22%
17/4
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
13/2
73%
13/2
36%
--
Home/draw
74%
1/6
16%
1/7
9%
--
Away/draw
48%
6/4
50%
8/5
160%
--
Home/away
79%
2/11
3%
2/11
3%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/9
3%
---
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
11/2
18%
---
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
10/11
13%
---
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
4/5
11%
---
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
9/4
13%
---
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1/3
6%
---
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
9/2
21%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/7
4%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/80---
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
22/1
10%
---
Home DNB
67%
2/9
27%
2/11
18%
--
Away DNB
41%
3/1
90%
16/5
320%
--
Swindon win to nil
21%
9/4
35%
---
Morecambe win to nil
10%
12/1
100%
---
Swindon / Swindon
37%
6/5
37%
23/20
23%
--
Swindon / Morecambe
3%
33/1
48%
28/1
26%
--
Swindon / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
--
Draw / Swindon
18%
15/4
21%
17/5
12%
--
Draw / Morecambe
7%
11/1
71%
10/1
38%
--
Draw / Draw
11%
7/1
23%
6/1
17%
--
Morecambe / Swindon
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
--
Morecambe / Morecambe
9%
8/1
100%
7/1
45%
--
Morecambe / Draw
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
--
bet365
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Swindon have played 45 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 8 and won 10. Swindon have conceded 61 goals, scored 56, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Swindon have played 22 games at home, winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 42 goals, conceded 31 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Morecambe lay in 16th place on 57 points in the League Two league table having played 45 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Morecambe have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Morecambe have played 22 away games, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 11 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.2 goals per away game.

Swindon
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Morecambe
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
 Stockport46271184892 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
5-5F
 Wrexham462610103788 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
6-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
 Mansfield46241484386 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
 MK Dons46239141578 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
 Doncaster4621817571 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-5F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
 Crewe46191413471 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
6-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Crawley4621718670 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-2F
 Barrow46181513669 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Bradford46191215269 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-0A
 AFC Wim461714151365 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Walsall46181117-465 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
 Gillingham46181018-1164 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
 Harrogate46171217-963 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
 Notts C4618721361 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
5-0A
d
 
3-3F
d
 
2-2F
 Morecambe Away46171019-1458 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
 Tranmere4617623-357 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
3-4F
 Accrington4616921-857 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
 Newport4616723-1455 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-3A
-
-
 Swindon Home46141220-654 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
 Salford46131221-1651 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
 Grimsby46111619-1749 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1F
 Colchester46111223-2145 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
5-3F
l
 
3-1A
 Sutton4691522-2542 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
 Forest Green4611926-3442 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
4
Morecambe have lost 4 consecutive league games
Swindon 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
see results
HOME FORM
Swindon3 - 2AFC Wim
Swindon2 - 1Notts C
Swindon1 - 2Doncaster
Swindon1 - 2Accrington
Swindon1 - 1Harrogate
Swindon3 - 1Tranmere
Swindon1 - 2MK Dons
Swindon1 - 1Salford
Swindon2 - 0Bradford
Swindon2 - 2Colchester
Swindon2 - 1Forest Green
Swindon0 - 1Wrexham
Swindon0 - 3Barrow
Swindon2 - 1Mansfield
Swindon2 - 4Stockport
Swindon0 - 1Gillingham
Swindon2 - 0Newport
Swindon2 - 1Grimsby
Swindon2 - 0Walsall
Swindon5 - 3Sutton
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
see results
OVERALL FORM
ASwindon0 - 2Grimsby
ASwindon1 - 2Walsall
HSwindon3 - 2AFC Wim
ASwindon2 - 0Barrow
ASwindon1 - 3Sutton
HSwindon2 - 1Notts C
HSwindon1 - 2Doncaster
HSwindon1 - 2Accrington
ASwindon2 - 3Mansfield
HSwindon1 - 1Harrogate
HSwindon3 - 1Tranmere
ASwindon0 - 0Stockport
HSwindon1 - 2MK Dons
ASwindon2 - 2Gillingham
HSwindon1 - 1Salford
ASwindon1 - 2Newport
HSwindon2 - 0Bradford
ASwindon1 - 2Crewe
HSwindon2 - 2Colchester
ASwindon1 - 3Crawley
Morecambe 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
see results
AWAY FORM
Stockport2 - 0Morecambe
Accrington1 - 2Morecambe
Salford3 - 1Morecambe
Newport5 - 3Morecambe
Crewe2 - 3Morecambe
Walsall3 - 0Morecambe
AFC Wim1 - 1Morecambe
Tranmere2 - 3Morecambe
Crawley1 - 2Morecambe
MK Dons1 - 2Morecambe
Notts C5 - 0Morecambe
Bradford2 - 2Morecambe
Doncaster0 - 5Morecambe
Wrexham6 - 0Morecambe
Grimsby3 - 2Morecambe
Barrow1 - 0Morecambe
Sutton2 - 3Morecambe
Colchester1 - 3Morecambe
Forest Green1 - 2Morecambe
Gillingham2 - 1Morecambe
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
see results
OVERALL FORM
HMorecambe1 - 2Forest Green
AMorecambe0 - 2Stockport
HMorecambe0 - 1Crewe
HMorecambe0 - 3Doncaster
HMorecambe2 - 1Barrow
AMorecambe2 - 1Accrington
HMorecambe2 - 3Gillingham
AMorecambe1 - 3Salford
AMorecambe3 - 5Newport
HMorecambe1 - 3Wrexham
HMorecambe1 - 0Crawley
AMorecambe3 - 2Crewe
HMorecambe1 - 1Grimsby
AMorecambe0 - 3Walsall
AMorecambe1 - 1AFC Wim
AMorecambe3 - 2Tranmere
HMorecambe1 - 0Sutton
AMorecambe2 - 1Crawley
HMorecambe0 - 1Colchester
AMorecambe2 - 1MK Dons
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Swindon have not lost to Morecambe in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Swindon since 2011
Swindon
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
11
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
SWI
3
D
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swindon
Swindon3 - 1
Swindon4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swindon3 - 0
All league games since 2011
Swindon
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
16
4
Games: Scored
8 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
0 / 8
SWI
6
D
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw2 - 2Draw
Swindon3 - 1
Swindon4 - 0
0 - 1Swindon
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Swindon
0 - 1Swindon
Swindon3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Swindon 19th Morecambe 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Swindon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Morecambe will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Swindon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+45
Morecambe have scored 45% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Statistics League Two - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261187/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Swindon
PG (predicted goals)
Morecambe
2.1
1.4
Attack rating
9%
better
SWI
MOR
view stats
Games scored38
35
Failed to score8
11
Scored first25
21
Goals scored77
67
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate17%
18%
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
3%
better
SWI
MOR
view stats
Games conceded39
39
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first19
24
Goals conceded83
81
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate17%
17%
KickOff rating
+3%

Swindon v Morecambe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Swindon League Two squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
401068
U Godwin-MalifeC AustinC AustinF Blake-Tracy
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bycroft GLK17
1
-
C McCarthy DEF162
2
-
H. Hunt DEF1
-
F Blake-Tracy DEF3723
8
-
N Ofoborh MID5
-
J. McGregor MID3
-
J Cain MID2322
-
S. McGurk MID82
-
W Kokolo MID2612
6
-
P Glatzel FWD1772
1
-
C Austin FWD44106
5
-
Subs
R. Evans GLK
-
U Godwin-Malife DEF4013
4
-
D Devoy MID143
5
-
R Aguiar MID8
1
-
J Brown MID1
-
Z Elbouzedi FWD152
-
A Drinan FWD154
1
-
Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
425413
J SeniorC BrownJ SeniorD Tutonda
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Smith GLK13
-
D Love DEF143
7
-
K Harrack DEF5
2
-
O Threlkeld DEF1
-
D Tutonda DEF3523
13
-
N Khumbeni MID171
6
-
A. Fairclough MID1
-
C Brown MID2352
6
-
J. Adams MID191
2
-
C Smith MID15
-
G Edwards FWD193
4
-
Subs
A Mair GLK20
-
F Rawson DEF2921
4
1
J Senior DEF4214
6
-
C Rooney MID
-
Y Songo'o MID384
7
-
J Davenport MID241
2
-
J. Larsson FWD111
-
English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds
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