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Arsenal v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Emirates Stadium, London

the Emirates Stadium faithful welcome Aston Villa's fans on Sunday afternoon, as Mikel Arteta's Arsenal clash with Unai Emery's charges in the English Premier League. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping Arsenal to win, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Premier League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Arsenal's next match is v Bournemouth at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
Aston Villa's next match is v Brighton at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Arsenal and A Villa was on Sunday 14th April 2024
English Premier League
April 14th 2024
Arsenal 0
2 A Villa
 
84' L. Bailey Butler
87' O. Watkins
 
ARS
AVL
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
4
6
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
12
7
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
ArsenalA Villa
 
D. Raya Martin
B. White (T. Tomiyasu 67')
O. Zinchenko (E. Nketiah 87')
G. dos Santos Magalhães
W. Saliba
K. Havertz
D. Rice
M. Ødegaard (A. Moreno Lopera 79')
L. Trossard (G. Martinelli Silva 67')
G. de Jesus (J. Frello Filho 79')
B. Saka
D. Martínez
P. Francisco Torres
L. Digne
E. Konsa Ngoyo
D. Santos Silva
Y. Tielemans
J. McGinn
(E. Smith Rowe 79') N. Zaniolo
football iconO. Watkins
(L. Bailey Butler 61') M. Diaby
M. Rogers
Best Tip: Arsenal to win

A Premier League win on home turf for Mikel Arteta's Arsenal team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Arsenal win is our recommendation, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

Aston Villa know that a tricky match is in store and odds available for them to get the win are drifting, meaning the bookies believe a victory for Unai Emery's side is increasingly unlikely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Arsenal
63%
1/4
4%
1/42/7
1%
1/4
2%
Draw
19%
5/1
9%
5/1
4%
5/1
9%
11/2
4%
A Villa
18%
9/1
5%
10/1
8%
9/1
11%
19/2
11%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
9/1
5%
8/115/2
6%
15/2
Draw 1-1
8%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
11/1
9%
11/1
4%
Arsenal 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
13/2
7%
6/1
7%
6/1
7%
Arsenal 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
9/19/19/1
Arsenal 1-0
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
17/2
6%
Arsenal 3-0
6%
17/215/2
6%
15/2
6%
15/2
Draw 2-2
6%
20/118/1
10%
18/1
12%
19/1
11%
A Villa 2-1
5%
33/1
17%
28/125/1
13%
22/1
Arsenal 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
22/120/1
11%
20/1
5%
Arsenal 4-1
4%
16/1
11%
14/114/114/1
6%
Arsenal 4-0
4%
12/1
13%
11/112/1
13%
23/2
11%
A Villa 1-0
4%
33/1
17%
33/128/125/1
13%
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
24%
22/1
10%
20/120/1
Arsenal 4-2
3%
33/1
17%
33/133/1
17%
29/1
3%
A Villa 3-2
2%
50/166/1
6%
50/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
2/5
7%
2/5
3%
4/94/9
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
2/1
15%
9/5
10%
13/87/4
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/5
2%
2/72/7
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
10/33/1
5%
11/4
7%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1
24%
22/1
10%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
63%
4/54/5
4%
4/5
4%
5/6
2%
BTTS - No
37%
19/2019/20
5%
10/11
5%
10/11
3%
BTTS - Home Win
35%
6/4
9%
6/4
6%
8/5-
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/1
8%
6/16/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
16/1
13%
16/114/1
25%
-
Home/draw
82%
1/16
1%
1/28
2%
1/16
2%
1/18
1%
Away/draw
37%
11/4
10%
29/1013/5
11%
29/10
7%
Home/away
81%
1/8
2%
1/8
1%
1/8
1%
1/8
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/8
2%
1/9
3%
1/81/9
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5/1
9%
5/1
14%
9/25/1
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
1/1
9%
1/1
7%
11/1023/20
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
4/5
8%
3/4
8%
4/67/10
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
12/5
9%
11/5
11%
5/213/5
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1/3
3%
3/10
4%
2/77/25
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
9/2
21%
24/5
17%
11/26/1
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/7
4%
1/8
2%
1/101/10
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/501/40-1.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
12%
22/1
21%
-19/1
Home DNB
76%
1/14
1%
1/141/14
3%
1/14
1%
Away DNB
31%
8/1
13%
13/213/2
15%
7/1
7%
Arsenal win to nil
28%
5/45/4
5%
23/20
7%
-
A Villa win to nil
7%
20/1
24%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
-
Arsenal / Arsenal
48%
4/5
6%
5/6
1%
8/11
5%
3/4
3%
Arsenal / A Villa
1%
50/180/1
11%
66/1
31%
80/1
7%
Arsenal / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
22/118/1
12%
20/1
Draw / Arsenal
21%
3/1
8%
3/1
3%
16/5
3%
7/2
Draw / A Villa
4%
22/1
10%
22/120/1
11%
20/1
11%
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
11%
17/2
12%
17/2
6%
9/1
5%
A Villa / Arsenal
5%
16/1
11%
20/116/1
11%
20/1
A Villa / A Villa
5%
18/1
12%
22/114/1
15%
16/1
13%
A Villa / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
22/1
12%
20/1
11%
24/1
9%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 75 goals to 66 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 15 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 38 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

A Villa are in 4th position in the Premier League on 60 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 26 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 2. A Villa have conceded 7 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Arsenal
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
A Villa
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 Arsenal Home3525555780 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Man City3424735079 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Liverpool3522944175 
May 13
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
 A Villa Away3520782167 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-3F
 Spurs3318691560 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1A
May 12
 Man Utd3416612154 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Newcastle34165131953 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-6F
 West Ham35131012-949 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
2-2A
 Chelsea3313911448 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
May 4
w
 
0-4F
 Bournemouth3513913-848 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Wolves3513715-746 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Brighton34111112-544 
w
 
6-1F
May 5
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
 Fulham3512716-443 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
 C Palace35101015-1240 
w
 
3-1A
May 19
May 19
w
 
0-1F
 Everton3512815-1136 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Brentford359818-835 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Nottm Forest357919-2026 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
3-4F
 Luton356722-2925 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
 Burnley355921-3224 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-6F
 Sheff Utd353725-6316 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
see results
HOME FORM
Arsenal2 - 0Luton
Arsenal2 - 1Brentford
Arsenal4 - 1Newcastle
Arsenal3 - 1Liverpool
Arsenal5 - 0C Palace
Arsenal0 - 2West Ham
Arsenal2 - 0Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Wolves
Arsenal3 - 1Burnley
Arsenal5 - 0Sheff Utd
Arsenal1 - 0Man City
Arsenal2 - 2Spurs
Arsenal3 - 1Man Utd
Arsenal2 - 2Fulham
Arsenal2 - 1Nottm Forest
Arsenal5 - 0Wolves
Arsenal0 - 3Brighton
Arsenal3 - 1Chelsea
Arsenal3 - 3Southampton
Arsenal4 - 1Leeds
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
see results
OVERALL FORM
AArsenal3 - 0Brighton
HArsenal2 - 0Luton
AArsenal0 - 0Man City
HArsenal2 - 1Brentford
AArsenal6 - 0Sheff Utd
HArsenal4 - 1Newcastle
AArsenal5 - 0Burnley
AArsenal6 - 0West Ham
HArsenal3 - 1Liverpool
AArsenal2 - 1Nottm Forest
HArsenal5 - 0C Palace
AArsenal1 - 2Fulham
HArsenal0 - 2West Ham
AArsenal1 - 1Liverpool
HArsenal2 - 0Brighton
AArsenal0 - 1A Villa
AArsenal4 - 3Luton
HArsenal2 - 1Wolves
AArsenal1 - 0Brentford
HArsenal3 - 1Burnley
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
see results
AWAY FORM
Man City4 - 1A Villa
West Ham1 - 1A Villa
Luton2 - 3A Villa
Fulham1 - 2A Villa
Sheff Utd0 - 5A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Man Utd3 - 2A Villa
Brentford1 - 2A Villa
Bournemouth2 - 2A Villa
Spurs1 - 2A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 0A Villa
Wolves1 - 1A Villa
Chelsea0 - 1A Villa
Liverpool3 - 0A Villa
Burnley1 - 3A Villa
Newcastle5 - 1A Villa
Liverpool1 - 1A Villa
Wolves1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd1 - 0A Villa
Brentford1 - 1A Villa
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA Villa3 - 3Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4Man City
HA Villa2 - 0Wolves
AA Villa1 - 1West Ham
HA Villa0 - 4Spurs
AA Villa3 - 2Luton
HA Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
AA Villa2 - 1Fulham
HA Villa1 - 2Man Utd
AA Villa5 - 0Sheff Utd
HA Villa1 - 3Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa3 - 2Burnley
AA Villa2 - 3Man Utd
HA Villa1 - 1Sheff Utd
AA Villa2 - 1Brentford
HA Villa1 - 0Arsenal
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 2Bournemouth
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arsenal since 1993
Arsenal
A Villa
Goals: Scored
55
27
Games: Scored
23 / 28
17 / 28
Clean sheets
11 / 28
5 / 28
ARS
17
D
5
AVL
6
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 1
0 - 3A Villa
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal4 - 0
Arsenal5 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
1 - 2A Villa
Arsenal3 - 0
0 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal5 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal1 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
All league games since 1992
Arsenal
A Villa
Goals: Scored
96
52
Games: Scored
42 / 56
36 / 56
Clean sheets
20 / 56
14 / 56
ARS
30
D
14
AVL
12
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
A Villa1 - 0
2 - 4Arsenal
Arsenal2 - 1
0 - 1Arsenal
Arsenal3 - 1
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 3A Villa
A Villa1 - 0
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal4 - 0
Arsenal5 - 0
0 - 3Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
1 - 3A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal3 - 0
1 - 2Arsenal
1 - 2A Villa
2 - 4Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal5 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Arsenal
Arsenal3 - 1
0 - 2Arsenal
Arsenal2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal3 - 1
1 - 2Arsenal
Arsenal3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Arsenal1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal1 - 0
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
0 - 4Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Arsenal
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
A Villa1 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Arsenal in their meeting with Aston Villa, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 17 consecutive English Premier League matches.

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive English Premier League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Aston Villa makes sense in this context.

Arsenal 1st A Villa 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Arsenal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Arsenal have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+6
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258872/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
4%
better
ARS
AVL
view stats
Games scored30
31
Failed to score5
4
Scored first27
19
Goals scored85
73
Avg. goals scored2.4
2.1
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate21%
21%
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
34%
better
ARS
AVL
view stats
Games conceded19
27
Clean sheets16
8
Conceded first7
15
Goals conceded28
52
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate14%
16%
KickOff rating
+34%

Arsenal v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321479
W SalibaB SakaB SakaK Havertz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK26
1
-
B White DEF3124
7
-
W Saliba DEF3221
4
-
G Magalhães DEF303
4
-
O Zinchenko DEF2512
2
-
M Ødegaard MID2976
2
-
D Rice MID3265
3
-
K Havertz MID3196
9
-
B Saka FWD30147
3
-
G Jesus  FWD2243
6
-
L Trossard FWD2881
-
Subs
A Ramsdale GLK6
-
J Kiwior DEF1713
1
-
T Tomiyasu DEF1711
1
1
Jorginho MID222
1
-
T Partey MID8
-
E Rowe MID121
-
F Vieira MID1012
1
G Martinelli FWD2965
1
-
E Nketiah FWD2752
3
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3219108
O WatkinsO WatkinsO WatkinsJ McGinn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK31
4
-
E Konsa DEF301
5
-
D Carlos DEF22
4
-
P Torres DEF252
1
-
L Digne DEF2813
6
-
J McGinn MID3064
7
1
Y Tielemans MID2916
3
-
M Diaby MID3357
1
-
M Rogers MID811
2
-
N Zaniolo MID242
7
-
O Watkins FWD321910
4
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK2
-
M Cash DEF2621
6
-
Álex Moreno DEF202
2
-
C Chambers DEF2
1
-
C Lenglet DEF131
2
-
K Kesler-Hayden DEF1
-
L Bailey MID3199
4
-
T Iroegbunam MID7
-
J Durán FWD183
5
-