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Brighton and Hove Albion v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amex Stadium, Falmer

Sunday afternoon sees Roberto De Zerbi’s Brighton and Hove Albion and Unai Emery’s Aston Villa go up against one another in a English Premier League clash at the Amex Stadium. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

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Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Man Utd at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
Aston Villa's next match is v C Palace at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Brighton and A Villa was on Sunday 5th May 2024
English Premier League
May 5th 2024
Brighton 1
0 A Villa
 
J. Junqueira de Jesus 87'
 
BHA
AVL
Shots On
8
1
Shots Off
3
1
Corners
7
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
13
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
BrightonA Villa
 
B. Verbruggen
I. dos Santos de Paulo
J. Veltman
L. Dunk
A. Webster
B. Gilmour (C. Noom Quomah 88')
P. Groß
F. Buonanotte (J. Enciso 61')
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck (J. Moder 88')
J. Junqueira de Jesusfootball icon
S. Adingra (A. Moreno Lopera 90')
R. Olsen
D. Santos Silva
P. Francisco Torres
(C. Chambers 90') L. Digne
(V. Barco 90') E. Konsa Ngoyo
J. McGinn
D. Soares de Paulo
L. Bailey Butler
O. Watkins
(J. Durán Palacio 73') M. Diaby
(M. Cash 26') M. Rogers
Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both happiness and sadness to each set of fans. We expect both Brighton and A Villa to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the game seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of A Villa coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
35%
13/10
12%
27/20
8%
Draw
23%
13/5
3%
27/10
A Villa
42%
9/5
8%
7/4
8%
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
A Villa 2-1
9%
11/19/1
5%
Brighton 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
17/2
A Villa 1-0
7%
16/114/1
15%
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
9%
Brighton 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
A Villa 2-0
6%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
A Villa 3-1
5%
20/1
11%
18/1
12%
Brighton 2-0
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Brighton 3-1
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
Draw 0-0
4%
20/1
11%
20/1
11%
A Villa 3-2
4%
22/118/1
Brighton 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
18/1
A Villa 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
33/1
17%
Brighton 3-0
2%
25/1
10%
25/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
4/9
4%
4/9
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
7/4
5%
8/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/11
14%
20/23
4%
Away 1st Goal
50%
21/20
14%
21/20
5%
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
11%
20/1
11%
BTTS - Yes
64%
2/52/5
BTTS - No
36%
7/49/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
13/5
10%
5/2
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
7%
3/1
BTTS - Away Win
24%
10/3
8%
3/1
7%
Home/draw
58%
2/5
7%
4/9
4%
Away/draw
65%
4/7
9%
4/7
5%
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/72/15
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/29/2
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
11/1011/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
8/114/6
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
11/45/2
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/72/7
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
5/111/2
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/81/9
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
18/1
Home DNB
51%
8/11
5%
8/11
5%
Away DNB
58%
1/1
9%
1/1
9%
Brighton win to nil
14%
9/2
8%
9/2
8%
A Villa win to nil
18%
11/2
8%
11/2
8%
Brighton / Brighton
22%
11/4
6%
29/10
8%
Brighton / A Villa
4%
22/125/1
13%
Brighton / Draw
7%
12/112/1
Draw / Brighton
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Draw / A Villa
13%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
A Villa / Brighton
4%
20/1
9%
22/1
A Villa / A Villa
20%
10/3
8%
18/5
8%
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Brighton have conceded 42 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 16 games at home, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

A Villa lay in 4th place on 67 points in the Premier League league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored 68 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 45 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 17 away games, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Brighton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
A Villa
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
 Man City3727736088 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
 Arsenal3727556186 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
 Liverpool37231044379 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
6-1A
 A Villa Away3720892068 
-
-
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-1F
 Spurs37196121063 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
 Chelsea37179111360 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Newcastle37176142157 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-1A
May 19
w
 
1-3F
 Man Utd3717614-357 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
 West Ham37141013-1252 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
 Brighton Home37121213-548 
w
 
6-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
 Bournemouth3713915-1248 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
 C Palace37121015-646 
w
 
3-1A
May 19
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4F
 Wolves3713717-1346 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Fulham3712817-844 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Everton3713915-1040 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Brentford3710918-739 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
 Nottm Forest378920-1929 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
l
 
4-0A
 Luton376823-3126 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Burnley375923-3624 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
 Sheff Utd373727-6616 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
see results
HOME FORM
Brighton0 - 4Man City
Brighton0 - 3Arsenal
Brighton1 - 0Nottm Forest
Brighton1 - 1Everton
Brighton4 - 1C Palace
Brighton0 - 0Wolves
Brighton4 - 2Spurs
Brighton1 - 1Burnley
Brighton2 - 1Brentford
Brighton1 - 1Sheff Utd
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 2Liverpool
Brighton3 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 1Newcastle
Brighton1 - 3West Ham
Brighton4 - 1Luton
Brighton1 - 1Man City
Brighton3 - 1Southampton
Brighton1 - 5Everton
Brighton1 - 0Man Utd
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
see results
OVERALL FORM
ABrighton0 - 3Bournemouth
HBrighton0 - 4Man City
ABrighton1 - 1Burnley
HBrighton0 - 3Arsenal
ABrighton0 - 0Brentford
ABrighton1 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 0Nottm Forest
ABrighton0 - 3Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton5 - 0Sheff Utd
ABrighton1 - 2Spurs
HBrighton4 - 1C Palace
ABrighton0 - 4Luton
HBrighton0 - 0Wolves
ABrighton0 - 0West Ham
HBrighton4 - 2Spurs
ABrighton1 - 1C Palace
ABrighton0 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton1 - 1Burnley
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
see results
AWAY FORM
Arsenal0 - 2A Villa
Man City4 - 1A Villa
West Ham1 - 1A Villa
Luton2 - 3A Villa
Fulham1 - 2A Villa
Sheff Utd0 - 5A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Man Utd3 - 2A Villa
Brentford1 - 2A Villa
Bournemouth2 - 2A Villa
Spurs1 - 2A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 0A Villa
Wolves1 - 1A Villa
Chelsea0 - 1A Villa
Liverpool3 - 0A Villa
Burnley1 - 3A Villa
Newcastle5 - 1A Villa
Liverpool1 - 1A Villa
Wolves1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd1 - 0A Villa
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA Villa2 - 2Chelsea
HA Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa2 - 0Arsenal
HA Villa3 - 3Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4Man City
HA Villa2 - 0Wolves
AA Villa1 - 1West Ham
HA Villa0 - 4Spurs
AA Villa3 - 2Luton
HA Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
AA Villa2 - 1Fulham
HA Villa1 - 2Man Utd
AA Villa5 - 0Sheff Utd
HA Villa1 - 3Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa3 - 2Burnley
AA Villa2 - 3Man Utd
HA Villa1 - 1Sheff Utd
AA Villa2 - 1Brentford
HA Villa1 - 0Arsenal
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A Villa have beaten Brighton in 5 consecutive league meetings
6
A Villa have not lost to Brighton in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2016
Brighton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
D
3
AVL
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
All league games since 2016
Brighton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
9
20
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
BHA
1
D
4
AVL
6
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
A Villa6 - 1
A Villa2 - 1
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.7 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Brighton 10th A Villa 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258903/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.5
1.7
Attack rating
BHA
AVL
23%
better
view stats
Games scored28
32
Failed to score9
5
Scored first15
19
Goals scored55
76
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.1
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate14%
21%
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
BHA
AVL
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded31
29
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first19
17
Goals conceded60
56
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate18%
17%
KickOff rating
+10%

Brighton v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
339108
L DunkJ Pedro P GroßL Dunk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK21
3
-
J Veltman DEF2711
4
-
Igor DEF23
4
-
L Dunk DEF3331
7
1
A Webster MID14
2
-
F Buonanotte MID2731
7
-
B Gilmour MID291
7
1
P Groß MID35410
6
-
J Pedro  FWD3093
2
-
D Welbeck FWD2851
4
-
S Adingra FWD3061
3
-
Subs
J Steele GLK16
-
V Barco DEF4
1
-
O Offiah DEF4
-
J Moder MID16
2
-
C Quomah MID26
7
-
C Peupion MID
-
J Enciso FWD112
2
-
A Fati FWD182
2
-
M O’Mahony FWD3
1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36191311
O WatkinsO WatkinsO WatkinsD Luiz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Olsen GLK4
-
D Carlos DEF26
4
-
E Konsa DEF341
5
-
P Torres DEF292
1
-
L Digne DEF3213
6
-
L Bailey MID351010
5
-
D Luiz MID3495
11
-
J McGinn MID3464
8
1
M Rogers MID1131
3
-
M Diaby MID3768
1
-
O Watkins FWD361913
4
-
Subs
J Gauci GLK
-
M Cash DEF2922
9
-
Álex Moreno DEF192
2
-
C Chambers DEF41
1
-
C Lenglet DEF131
2
-
K Kesler-Hayden DEF2
-
O Kellyman MID1
-
T Iroegbunam MID8
-
J Durán FWD225
5
-