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Brighton and Hove Albion v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amex Stadium, Falmer

the Broadfield Stadium masses welcome Aston Villa's supporters on Wednesday evening, as Fabian Hürzeler's Brighton and Hove Albion go head to head with Unai Emery's side in the English Premier League. Premier League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

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Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Brentford at 15:00 on Saturday 19th April
Aston Villa's next match is v Newcastle at 17:30 on Saturday 19th April
The last English Premier League meeting between Brighton and A Villa was on Wednesday 2nd April 2025
English Premier League
April 2nd 2025
Brighton 0
3 A Villa
 
51' M. Rashford
78' M. Asensio Willemsen
90' D. Malen
 
BHA
AVL
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
4
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
16
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
BrightonA Villa
 
B. Verbruggen
L. Dunk (E. Cashin 72')
P. Estupiñán Tenorio
J. van Hecke
D. Gómez Amarilla (C. Noom Quomah 72')
Y. Ayari
J. Hinshelwood (M. Wieffer 72')
S. Adingra
J. Junqueira de Jesus (D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck 72')
B. Gruda (M. O'Riley 84')
K. Mitoma
D. Martínez
(A. Disasi 81') M. Cash
L. Digne
P. Francisco Torres
E. Konsa Ngoyo
(A. Mvom Onana 65') Y. Tielemans
J. McGinn
(D. Malen 88') M. Rogers
(M. Asensio Willemsen 65') J. Ramsey
B. Kamara
(O. Watkins 65') football iconM. Rashford

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Brighton or A Villa are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
53%
13/10
5%
1/1
5%
Draw
24%
12/5
11%
14/5
1%
A Villa
23%
2/1
4%
12/5
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
13%
6/1
Brighton 1-0
11%
9/1
17%
8/1
Brighton 2-1
10%
9/17/1
Brighton 2-0
9%
12/1
13%
9/1
A Villa 1-0
7%
11/1
20%
11/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
29%
11/1
A Villa 2-1
6%
11/19/1
Brighton 3-1
6%
20/1
24%
11/1
Brighton 3-0
5%
25/1
13%
14/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
9/1
9%
A Villa 2-0
3%
16/1
11%
16/1
13%
Brighton 3-2
3%
28/1
26%
14/1
12%
Brighton 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
20/1
Brighton 4-0
2%
50/1
24%
22/1
12%
A Villa 3-1
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5
15%
11/20
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1
16%
13/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/5
5%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
29%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/6
9%
8/15
1%
BTTS - No
47%
11/10
12%
7/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
10/3
15%
9/4
7%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
10/3
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9/2
16%
17/4
5%
Home/draw
77%
4/11
3%
3/10
2%
Away/draw
47%
4/7
6%
4/5
4%
Home/away
76%
3/10
4%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4
7%
2/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3/1
20%
7/2
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11/5
28%
13/10
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
4/11
11%
11/20
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9/2
27%
3/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/7
7%
2/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
38%
6/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
3%
1/12
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
3%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
35%
11/1
Home DNB
70%
4/610/21
3%
Away DNB
40%
11/106/4
9%
Brighton win to nil
29%
10/3
4%
-
A Villa win to nil
12%
9/2
8%
-
Brighton / Brighton
24%
3/1
7%
2/1
6%
Brighton / A Villa
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Brighton
15%
5/14/1
5%
Draw / A Villa
11%
6/1
7%
13/2
7%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
15%
19/4
5%
A Villa / Brighton
4%
25/1
13%
16/1
A Villa / A Villa
16%
4/1
5%
17/4
5%
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 7 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Brighton have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 41 goals.

Home League Performance

Brighton have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

A Villa are in 9th position in the Premier League on 45 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 3. A Villa have conceded 21 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3223724376 
May 18
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal32171233063 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
Newcastle3218592159 
May 4
w
 
0-1F
Apr 19
l
 
3-0A
4
Nottm Forest3217691357 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
7-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
5
Man City3216792055 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 22
6
Chelsea3215981754 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
A Villa Away321598354 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
-
-
8
Bournemouth32139101248 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
May 10
9
Fulham3213910448 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
May 3
w
 
1-3A
10
Brighton Home3212128248 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
11
Brentford3212713443 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
12
C Palace32111011-443 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
13
Everton3281410-438 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
14
Man Utd3210814-738 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
15
Spurs32114171137 
w
 
3-2A
May 25
May 18
l
 
4-1F
16
Wolves3210517-1435 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
17
West Ham329815-1835 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
18
Ipswich324919-3421 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Leicester324622-4518 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
20
Southampton322426-5410 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
A Villa 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brighton since 2016
Brighton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
BHA
1
D
3
AVL
2
League games at A Villa since 2017
A Villa
Brighton
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
BHA
1
D
2
AVL
4
Goal Statistics

Brighton and Hove Albion have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Aston Villa on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Brighton 10th A Villa 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Brighton have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
A Villa have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278085/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.7
1
Attack rating
14%
better
BHA
AVL
view stats
Games scored25
23
Failed to score4
6
Scored first16
12
Goals scored48
41
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
10%
better
BHA
AVL
view stats
Games conceded22
25
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first12
16
Goals conceded42
45
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Brighton v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29868
B VerbruggenJ Pedro J Pedro C Quomah
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK291
6
-
J Hinshelwood DEF192
5
-
J Hecke DEF2911
6
1
L Dunk DEF21
4
-
P Estupiñán DEF2411
3
-
D Amarilla MID9
-
Y Ayari MID271
4
-
S Adingra MID2221
-
B Gruda MID151
-
K Mitoma MID3173
1
-
J Pedro  FWD2586
4
-
Subs
C Rushworth GLK
-
E Cashin DEF1
-
C. Tasker DEF
-
S March MID5
2
-
C Quomah MID2721
7
1
M Wieffer MID1912
4
-
M O'Riley MID1411
1
-
Y Minteh FWD2554
8
-
D Welbeck FWD2484
3
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311369
Y TielemansO WatkinsM RogersM Rogers
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK30
4
-
M Cash DEF2011
7
-
E Konsa DEF271
-
P Torres DEF191
1
-
L Digne DEF294
3
-
B Kamara MID19
2
-
Y Tielemans MID3125
4
-
M Rogers MID3086
9
-
J McGinn MID273
6
-
J Ramsey MID2313
1
-
M Rashford FWD712
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK3
-
A Disasi DEF6
2
-
T Mings DEF11
2
-
A García DEF6
-
I Maatsen DEF232
2
-
A Onana MID192
4
-
O Watkins FWD31136
1
-
D Malen FWD82
-
M Asensio FWD631
1
-