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Newcastle United v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Aug, 16:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Home advantage makes a difference in the English Premier League, and Matthias Jaissle’s Newcastle United will have the blessing of it on Sunday afternoon. Andoni Iraola Sagarna’s Liverpool are their visitors to the St. James' Park. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

All things considered, our prediction for Sunday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Newcastle and Liverpool to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean it's a losing tip but, with statistics below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Liverpool coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
28%
3.40
11%
2.90
1%
Draw
22%
3.903.80
Liverpool
49%
1.90
5%
2.20
2%
Draw 1-1
10%
9.00
6%
7.50
Liverpool 2-1
9%
9.509.00
Liverpool 1-0
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Newcastle 2-1
7%
13.00
8%
10.00
Liverpool 2-0
7%
13.00
12%
13.00
Draw 2-2
7%
13.009.50
Liverpool 3-1
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
Newcastle 1-0
5%
19.0013.00
Liverpool 3-0
4%
21.00
12%
17.00
11%
Liverpool 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
21.00
10%
17.00
11%
Newcastle 2-0
4%
23.0015.00
Newcastle 3-1
3%
26.00
10%
17.00
13%
Newcastle 3-2
3%
29.00
13%
19.00
12%
Liverpool 4-1
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.501.48
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2.632.60
1%
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.20
5%
2.05
3%
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.67
4%
1.80
No 1st Goal
2%
21.00
10%
17.00
BTTS - Yes
64%
1.441.44
3%
BTTS - No
36%
2.632.62
5%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5.50
10%
4.33
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.00
BTTS - Away Win
29%
3.103.40
Home/draw
51%
1.91
4%
1.65
2%
Away/draw
72%
1.30
3%
1.40
Home/away
78%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.141.13
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.505.25
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
2.202.15
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
1.671.65
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3.753.60
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1.291.25
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6.506.50
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.111.09
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.0017.00
Home DNB
44%
2.63
13%
2.10
Away DNB
65%
1.44
8%
1.65
1%
Newcastle win to nil
11%
8.00-
Liverpool win to nil
21%
4.33
10%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
16%
6.00
5%
4.33
3%
Newcastle / Liverpool
4%
21.0017.00
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.0011.00
Draw / Newcastle
10%
9.00
7%
7.00
Draw / Liverpool
14%
5.50
8%
6.00
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
Liverpool / Newcastle
3%
29.00
13%
19.00
Liverpool / Liverpool
26%
3.00
10%
3.30
Liverpool / Draw
6%
15.0011.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Liverpool
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sunderland000000 
Dec 5
May 1
Dec 2
Jan 6
2
Spurs000000 
Apr 17
Aug 29
Dec 19
Feb 27
3
Liverpool000000 
Aug 23
Apr 10
-
-
4
Man City000000 
Dec 26
Feb 20
Oct 10
May 8
5
Fulham000000 
Jan 16
Nov 7
Sep 12
Mar 20
6
Everton000000 
Oct 31
Feb 6
Jan 30
Nov 28
7
Man Utd000000 
Dec 2
Jan 6
Nov 21
Jan 23
8
A Villa000000 
Oct 17
May 15
Mar 3
Dec 30
9
Chelsea000000 
Feb 10
Jan 2
May 1
Dec 5
10
Arsenal000000 
Nov 21
Jan 23
Oct 31
Feb 6
11
Newcastle000000 
-
-
Apr 10
Aug 23
12
Hull000000 
Sep 19
May 30
Feb 20
Dec 26
13
C Palace000000 
May 23
Oct 24
Jan 16
Nov 7
14
Bournemouth000000 
Sep 5
Mar 13
May 30
Sep 20
15
Nottm Forest000000 
Dec 30
Mar 3
Aug 29
Apr 17
16
Leeds000000 
Mar 20
Sep 14
Dec 12
Apr 24
17
Brighton000000 
Jan 30
Nov 28
Oct 24
May 23
18
Ipswich000000 
Apr 24
Dec 12
Mar 13
Sep 4
19
Coventry000000 
May 8
Oct 10
Jan 2
Feb 10
20
Brentford000000 
Feb 27
Dec 19
May 15
Oct 17
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Liverpool 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Liverpool have beaten Newcastle in 3 consecutive league meetings
19
Liverpool have not lost to Newcastle in 19 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 1993
Newcastle
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
40
54
Games: Scored
25 / 31
24 / 31
Clean sheets
7 / 31
6 / 31
NEW
10
D
8
LIV
13
League games at Liverpool since 1994
Liverpool
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
77
27
Games: Scored
30 / 31
18 / 31
Clean sheets
13 / 31
1 / 31
NEW
1
D
5
LIV
25
Goal Statistics

Liverpool have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 17 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.9 against Newcastle United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Newcastle 11th Liverpool 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Newcastle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Liverpool’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
1.4
1.9
Attack rating
0%
better
NEW
LIV
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
NEW
LIV
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Newcastle v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK
-
A. Harris GLK
-
E Jaouen GLK
-
M Gillespie GLK
-
N Pope  GLK
-
F Schär DEF
-
L Hall DEF
-
T Livramento  DEF
-
D Burn DEF
-
S Botman DEF
-
M Thiaw DEF
-
L. Shahar DEF
-
A. Bamba MID
-
S. Steur MID
-
J Willock MID
-
Joelinton MID
-
J Ramsey MID
-
L Miley MID
-
B. Touré FWD
-
N Woltemade FWD
-
A Elanga FWD
-
J Murphy FWD
-
W Osula FWD
-
H Barnes FWD
-
Y Wissa FWD
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Jaroš GLK
-
Alisson GLK
-
F Woodman GLK
-
G Mamardashvili GLK
-
H Davies GLK
-
J Jacquet DEF
-
C Bradley DEF
-
V Dijk  DEF
-
J Gomez DEF
-
G. Leoni DEF
-
M Kerkez DEF
-
J Frimpong DEF
-
C Ramsey DEF
-
R Araújo DEF
-
K Tsimikas DEF
-
H Elliot MID
-
R Gravenberch MID
-
D Szoboszlai MID
-
C Jones MID
-
A Mac Allister MID
-
W Endo MID
-
S Bajčetić MID
-
F Wirtz MID
-
T. Nyoni MID
-
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD
-
C Gakpo FWD
-
F Chiesa FWD
-
R. Ngumoha FWD
-
H Ekitiké FWD
-
A Isak FWD
-