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Newcastle United v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Dec, 19:30 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Liverpool, led by manager Arne Slot, visit Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side at the St. James' Park on Wednesday evening in the English Premier League. All the odds are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Premier League match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Newcastle and Liverpool have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.57.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Liverpool coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
22%
4.20
11%
3.90
5%
Draw
25%
4.00
14%
4.00
8%
Liverpool
54%
1.75
10%
1.80
8%
Liverpool 1-0
12%
11.00
22%
8.50
13%
Draw 1-1
12%
8.50
13%
7.50
15%
Liverpool 2-0
10%
11.009.50
6%
Liverpool 2-1
10%
9.507.50
Draw 0-0
7%
17.00
42%
13.00
30%
Newcastle 1-0
7%
17.00
13%
12.00
20%
Newcastle 2-1
6%
15.0011.00
Liverpool 3-0
6%
17.00
11%
13.00
Liverpool 3-1
5%
15.00
12%
11.00
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0011.00
8%
Newcastle 2-0
3%
26.00
13%
17.00
13%
Liverpool 3-2
3%
21.00
19%
15.00
21%
Liverpool 4-0
2%
29.00
29%
21.00
9%
Liverpool 4-1
2%
26.00
24%
19.00
17%
Newcastle 3-1
2%
34.0021.00
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1.57
13%
1.55
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
2.38
19%
2.30
18%
Home 1st Goal
41%
2.60
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.50
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17.00
42%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.57
6%
1.55
9%
BTTS - No
50%
2.25
7%
2.30
12%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
6.50
7%
5.75
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.75
10%
4.50
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3.20
15%
3.10
14%
Home/draw
46%
2.00
11%
1.95
5%
Away/draw
78%
1.22
2%
1.25
3%
Home/away
75%
1.22
5%
1.25
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.17
6%
1.17
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
5.00
25%
4.60
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
2.50
17%
2.30
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.53
9%
1.55
14%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4.33
21%
4.00
24%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.22
7%
1.22
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
8.00
27%
7.00
30%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.08
3%
1.08
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.02
2%
1.02
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17.00
42%
13.00
30%
Home DNB
39%
3.25
18%
2.88
7%
Away DNB
71%
1.33
5%
1.36
3%
Newcastle win to nil
12%
9.00
29%
-
Liverpool win to nil
31%
3.50-
Newcastle / Newcastle
13%
7.00
8%
6.00
4%
Newcastle / Liverpool
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
11%
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Newcastle
9%
9.50
12%
8.00
7%
Draw / Liverpool
17%
5.00
9%
4.80
Draw / Draw
13%
7.00
17%
6.00
14%
Liverpool / Newcastle
3%
34.0023.00
12%
Liverpool / Liverpool
29%
2.88
11%
2.75
8%
Liverpool / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Newcastle have conceded 9 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Newcastle have played 6 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Liverpool lay in 1st place on 34 points in the Premier League league table having played 13 matches. Liverpool are unbeaten away after 6 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Liverpool have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Liverpool have played 6 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Liverpool
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool 1311111834 
Dec 4
Feb 26
-
-
2
Arsenal137421225 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
May 10
d
 
2-2A
3
Chelsea137421225 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 3
4
Brighton13652523 
l
 
0-1A
May 3
w
 
2-1A
May 18
5
Man City13724323 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
w
 
2-0F
Feb 22
6
Nottm Forest13643322 
Feb 22
w
 
1-3A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 14
7
Spurs136251420 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 4
Apr 26
Dec 22
8
Brentford13625320 
Apr 2
Dec 7
w
 
2-0F
Jan 18
9
Man Utd13544419 
Apr 12
Dec 30
Jan 5
w
 
0-3F
10
Fulham13544019 
Feb 1
l
 
3-1A
Dec 14
Apr 5
11
Newcastle 13544019 
-
-
Feb 26
Dec 4
12
A Villa13544-319 
Dec 26
Apr 19
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
13
Bournemouth13535118 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
14
West Ham13436-715 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
Apr 12
Dec 29
15
Everton13256-1111 
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 2
Dec 7
16
Leicester13247-1110 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Dec 26
Apr 19
17
C Palace13166-79 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
May 25
w
 
0-1F
18
Wolves13238-109 
Jan 15
w
 
1-2A
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
19
Ipswich13166-119 
Apr 26
Dec 21
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
20
Southampton131210-155 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
4
Liverpool have won 4 consecutive league games
9
Liverpool have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
Newcastle 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle0 - 2West Ham
Newcastle1 - 0Arsenal
Newcastle0 - 1Brighton
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Spurs
Newcastle1 - 0Southampton
Newcastle1 - 1Brighton
Newcastle5 - 1Sheff Utd
Newcastle4 - 0Spurs
Newcastle1 - 1Everton
Newcastle4 - 3West Ham
Newcastle3 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 2Bournemouth
Newcastle4 - 4Luton
Newcastle2 - 3Man City
Newcastle1 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle3 - 0Fulham
Newcastle1 - 0Man Utd
Newcastle4 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle1 - 0Arsenal
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle1 - 1C Palace
HNewcastle0 - 2West Ham
ANewcastle3 - 1Nottm Forest
HNewcastle1 - 0Arsenal
ANewcastle1 - 2Chelsea
HNewcastle0 - 1Brighton
ANewcastle0 - 0Everton
HNewcastle1 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Fulham
ANewcastle2 - 1Wolves
HNewcastle2 - 1Spurs
ANewcastle1 - 1Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Southampton
ANewcastle4 - 2Brentford
ANewcastle2 - 3Man Utd
HNewcastle1 - 1Brighton
ANewcastle4 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle5 - 1Sheff Utd
ANewcastle0 - 2C Palace
HNewcastle4 - 0Spurs
Liverpool 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Arsenal2 - 2Liverpool
C Palace0 - 1Liverpool
Wolves1 - 2Liverpool
Man Utd0 - 3Liverpool
Ipswich0 - 2Liverpool
A Villa3 - 3Liverpool
West Ham2 - 2Liverpool
Everton2 - 0Liverpool
Fulham1 - 3Liverpool
Man Utd2 - 2Liverpool
Nottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
Brentford1 - 4Liverpool
Arsenal3 - 1Liverpool
Bournemouth0 - 4Liverpool
Burnley0 - 2Liverpool
C Palace1 - 2Liverpool
Sheff Utd0 - 2Liverpool
Man City1 - 1Liverpool
Luton1 - 1Liverpool
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLiverpool2 - 0Man City
ALiverpool3 - 2Southampton
HLiverpool2 - 0A Villa
HLiverpool2 - 1Brighton
ALiverpool2 - 2Arsenal
HLiverpool2 - 1Chelsea
ALiverpool1 - 0C Palace
ALiverpool2 - 1Wolves
HLiverpool3 - 0Bournemouth
HLiverpool0 - 1Nottm Forest
ALiverpool3 - 0Man Utd
HLiverpool2 - 0Brentford
ALiverpool2 - 0Ipswich
HLiverpool2 - 0Wolves
ALiverpool3 - 3A Villa
HLiverpool4 - 2Spurs
ALiverpool2 - 2West Ham
ALiverpool0 - 2Everton
ALiverpool3 - 1Fulham
HLiverpool0 - 1C Palace
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Liverpool have beaten Newcastle in 6 consecutive league meetings
15
Liverpool have not lost to Newcastle in 15 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 1993
Newcastle
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
35
48
Games: Scored
23 / 29
22 / 29
Clean sheets
7 / 29
6 / 29
NEW
10
D
7
LIV
12
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
1 - 2Liverpool
0 - 2Liverpool
0 - 1Liverpool
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Liverpool
2 - 3Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 6Liverpool
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
1 - 5Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle2 - 1
1 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 2Liverpool
Newcastle2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Liverpool
1 - 2Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle3 - 0
League games at Liverpool since 1994
Liverpool
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
71
26
Games: Scored
28 / 29
17 / 29
Clean sheets
12 / 29
1 / 29
NEW
1
D
5
LIV
23
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool4 - 2
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool4 - 0
Liverpool2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool3 - 0
Liverpool3 - 0
Liverpool3 - 0
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Liverpool3 - 0
Liverpool3 - 0
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool4 - 2
Liverpool1 - 0
Liverpool4 - 3
Liverpool4 - 3
Liverpool2 - 0
0 - 2Newcastle
Goal Statistics

Liverpool's defensive record is to be admired, Arne Slot's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Newcastle United makes sense in this context.

Liverpool have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Newcastle United on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Newcastle 11th Liverpool 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Newcastle scoring 1 goal or less
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Newcastle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Liverpool’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277933/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
1
1.6
Attack rating
NEW
LIV
39%
better
view stats
Games scored10
12
Failed to score3
1
Scored first4
10
Goals scored14
26
Avg. goals scored1.1
2
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
18
Avg. XG for1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
NEW
LIV
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
6
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded14
8
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
12
Conversion rate against10%
8%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+39%

Newcastle v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13425
N Pope H BarnesA IsakD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK13
1
-
L Hall DEF131
3
-
T Livramento  DEF13
-
B Guimarães MID131
2
-
Joelinton MID132
4
-
H Barnes FWD1341
-
D Burn DEF12
5
-
S Longstaff MID12
2
-
A Gordon FWD1221
1
-
F Schär DEF111
4
1
S Tonali MID111
3
-
J Willock MID111
2
-
A Isak FWD1142
-
J Murphy FWD102
1
-
L Kelly DEF81
2
-
K Trippier DEF6
-
M Almirón FWD5
-
W Osula FWD4
-
E Krafth DEF3
-
C Wilson FWD2
1
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131174
V Dijk M SalahM SalahA Allister
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF1311
1
-
A Allister MID13
4
-
D Szoboszlai MID1311
3
-
R Gravenberch MID131
3
-
C Gakpo FWD1321
3
-
L Díaz  FWD1352
-
M Salah FWD13117
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF121
2
-
I Konaté DEF1211
4
-
A Robertson DEF12
1
-
C Jones MID1011
-
D Núñez FWD1021
2
-
C Kelleher GLK7
-
C Bradley DEF7
1
-
D Jota  FWD722
1
-
Alisson GLK6
-
K Tsimikas DEF6
-
W Endo MID5
-
J Gomez DEF4
-
J Quansah DEF2
-
H Elliot MID2
-
V Jaroš GLK1
-
F Chiesa FWD1
-