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Aston Villa v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Villa Park, Birmingham

Unai Emery's Aston Villa side are on home soil in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Andoni Iraola's Bournemouth arrive at the Villa Park. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

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Aston Villa's next match is v Brighton at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May
Bournemouth's next match is v Arsenal at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
The last English Premier League meeting between A Villa and Bournemouth was on Sunday 21st April 2024
English Premier League
April 21st 2024
A Villa 3
1 Bournemouth
 
M. Rogers 45'31' D. Solanke
M. Diaby 57'
L. Bailey Butler 78'
 
AVL
BOU
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
6
5
Corners
8
4
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
8
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
A VillaBournemouth
 
D. Martínez
P. Francisco Torres
M. Cash (K. Kessler 90')
L. Digne
E. Konsa Ngoyo
Y. Tielemans
J. McGinn
L. Bailey Butlerfootball icon (D. Santos Silva 87')
O. Watkins
M. Diabyfootball icon (J. Durán Palacio 90')
M. Rogersfootball icon
N. Murara Neto
K. Milos
I. Zabarnyi
(A. Semenyo 63') M. Senesi
(M. Aarons 46') A. Smith
L. Kelly
(A. Scott 76') R. Christie
L. Cook
(P. Billing 76') J. Kluivert
(E. Ünal 82') Dango Ouattara
football iconD. Solanke
Best Tip: Both teams to score

A Villa may feel positive ahead of this game and, funnily enough, so might Bournemouth. The bookies see them as well matched and so do we – there's no obvious victor in this fixture. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
A Villa
39%
5/6
6%
5/64/541/50
Draw
23%
3/1
7%
29/103/116/5
Bournemouth
38%
14/5
16%
29/103/1
5%
29/10
Draw 1-1
10%
8/1
13%
7/115/2
6%
15/2
A Villa 2-1
8%
17/215/215/2
6%
15/2
Bournemouth 2-1
8%
14/1
12%
12/112/112/1
Draw 2-2
7%
12/110/110/1
15%
21/2
A Villa 1-0
6%
12/1
18%
10/110/1
22%
11/1
Bournemouth 1-0
6%
18/116/1
11%
18/1
12%
17/1
A Villa 2-0
5%
12/1
18%
10/1
8%
11/1
20%
21/2
Bournemouth 2-0
5%
25/1
10%
25/1
10%
25/122/1
A Villa 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
11/1
8%
23/2
Bournemouth 3-1
5%
28/1
15%
28/125/1
10%
22/1
A Villa 3-2
4%
20/116/114/1
21%
16/1
Bournemouth 3-2
4%
28/1
15%
25/122/1
21%
22/1
Draw 0-0
4%
20/1
40%
18/1
10%
18/1
27%
20/1
A Villa 3-0
3%
18/1
12%
16/116/1
13%
16/1
Bournemouth 3-0
3%
40/1
20%
55/140/1
20%
40/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
4/9
8%
4/9
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
13/8
11%
6/4
4%
13/8
17%
7/4
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/15
2%
8/133/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
7/5
8%
29/2011/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
40%
18/1
10%
16/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
66%
4/9
8%
4/94/9
8%
4/9
BTTS - No
34%
13/8
16%
31/20
4%
13/8
17%
13/8
BTTS - Home Win
24%
2/1
3%
2/1
4%
15/8
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/310/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
9/2
21%
9/29/2
15%
-
Home/draw
62%
1/4
6%
1/41/4
2%
27/100
Away/draw
61%
10/11
7%
19/2019/20
5%
Evens
Home/away
77%
2/9
2%
1/41/46/25
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/7
3%
1/7
1%
1/8
3%
1/9
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
9/2
22%
21/4
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6/5
8%
6/5
5%
11/10
16%
11/10
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
4/6
6%
8/13
3%
4/6
11%
8/11
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
11/4
13%
27/10
6%
5/2
19%
13/5
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
2/7
6%
1/4
3%
2/7
8%
7/25
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
11/2
19%
6/1
8%
5/1
25%
11/2
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/9
3%
1/10
1%
1/9
5%
1/10
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
1/40-1.00
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
13%
18/1-19/1
Home DNB
55%
2/5
8%
2/54/11
2%
2/5
Away DNB
54%
7/4
19%
7/42/1
8%
19/10
A Villa win to nil
15%
3/1
14%
3/111/4
10%
-
Bournemouth win to nil
15%
8/1
10%
8/1
5%
17/2
6%
-
A Villa / A Villa
30%
2/1
9%
2/1
3%
7/417/10
A Villa / Bournemouth
3%
28/1
15%
33/128/1
15%
33/1
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/114/112/112/1
Draw / A Villa
16%
9/2
10%
4/19/2
10%
23/5
Draw / Bournemouth
9%
8/1
10%
8/19/117/2
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/26/1
8%
6/1
Bournemouth / A Villa
4%
18/1
10%
20/1
11%
18/118/1
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
14%
5/1
20%
6/15/1
8%
5/1
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/114/112/1
13%
13/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 6 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. A Villa have outscored their opponents by 68 goals to 47 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 40 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

Bournemouth are in 13th position in the Premier League on 42 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 24 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Bournemouth have conceded 39 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

A Villa
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Bournemouth
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Arsenal3525555780 
l
 
0-4A
May 4
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Man City3424735079 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
6-1A
May 13
l
 
3-0A
 Liverpool3522944175 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1F
-
-
 A Villa Home3520782167 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2A
 Spurs3318691560 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2F
 Man Utd3416612154 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-1A
 Newcastle34165131953 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
 West Ham35131012-949 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
 Chelsea3313911448 
d
 
0-00-0
May 19
w
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Bournemouth A3513913-848 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Wolves3513715-746 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
6-1F
May 5
 Brighton34111112-544 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Fulham3512716-443 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1A
May 19
 C Palace35101015-1240 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Everton3512815-1136 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2A
 Brentford359818-835 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-0A
 Nottm Forest357919-2026 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Luton356722-2925 
w
 
4-3A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
 Burnley355921-3224 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
 Sheff Utd353725-6316 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Bournemouth 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 2016
A Villa
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
AVL
1
BOU
2
All league games since 2015
A Villa
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
AVL
2
D
1
BOU
4
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Bournemouth on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A Villa 4th Bournemouth 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+28
A Villa have scored 28% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Bournemouth have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258881/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Bournemouth
1.7
1.7
Attack rating
17%
better
AVL
BOU
view stats
Games scored31
29
Failed to score4
6
Scored first19
20
Goals scored73
52
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate21%
15%
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
1%
better
AVL
BOU
view stats
Games conceded27
26
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first15
14
Goals conceded52
60
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate16%
17%
KickOff rating
+1%

A Villa v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3219108
O WatkinsO WatkinsO WatkinsJ McGinn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK31
4
-
M Cash DEF2621
6
-
E Konsa DEF301
5
-
P Torres DEF252
1
-
L Digne DEF2813
6
-
J McGinn MID3064
7
1
Y Tielemans MID2916
3
-
L Bailey MID3199
4
-
M Diaby MID3357
1
-
M Rogers MID811
2
-
O Watkins FWD321910
4
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK2
-
D Carlos DEF22
4
-
C Chambers DEF2
1
-
C Lenglet DEF131
2
-
K Kesler-Hayden DEF1
-
F. Munroe DEF
-
O Kellyman MID1
-
T Iroegbunam MID7
-
J Durán FWD183
5
-
Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321749
I Zabarnyi D SolankeM SenesiM Senesi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Neto  GLK30
5
-
A Smith DEF232
4
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF321
4
-
M Senesi DEF2534
9
-
L Kelly DEF181
2
-
L Cook MID273
5
1
R Christie MID314
5
-
D Ouattara MID2411
2
-
J Kluivert MID2661
4
-
M Kerkez MID251
3
-
D Solanke FWD32173
3
-
Subs
M Travers GLK
-
C McKenna GLK
-
J Hill DEF3
-
M Aarons DEF161
1
-
A Scott MID1711
2
-
P Billing MID2622
3
1
A Semenyo FWD2772
5
-
E Ünal  FWD1011
-
M Dacosta FWD
-