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Bournemouth v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 14:00 BST, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Manchester United, led by manager Ruben Amorim, visit Andoni Iraola and his Bournemouth side at the Vitality Stadium on Sunday afternoon in the English Premier League. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Bournemouth and Man Utd have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bournemouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bournemouth
49%
13/20
14%
-
Draw
26%
31/10
14%
-
Man Utd
25%
15/4
27%
-
Bournemouth 1-0
12%
17/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
15/2
13%
-
Bournemouth 2-0
9%
17/2
14%
-
Bournemouth 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
14/1
15%
-
Man Utd 1-0
8%
16/1
13%
-
Man Utd 2-1
6%
16/1
13%
-
Bournemouth 3-0
5%
14/1
21%
-
Bournemouth 3-1
5%
12/1
24%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
-
Man Utd 2-0
4%
28/1
26%
-
Bournemouth 3-2
2%
22/1
12%
-
Man Utd 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Bournemouth 4-1
2%
25/1
24%
-
Bournemouth 4-0
2%
28/1
29%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
4/6
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
6/5
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/9
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8
15%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/6-
BTTS - No
51%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
11/5
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
23%
-
Home/draw
75%
2/11
6%
-
Away/draw
51%
6/5
20%
-
Home/away
74%
2/9
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/1
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/16
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
67%
2/7
10%
-
Away DNB
43%
5/2
34%
-
Bournemouth win to nil
29%
9/4
7%
-
Man Utd win to nil
14%
9/1
43%
-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
33%
13/8
18%
-
Bournemouth / Man Utd
3%
33/1-
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bournemouth
18%
15/4
14%
-
Draw / Man Utd
8%
10/1
29%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
-
Man Utd / Bournemouth
4%
20/1
9%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
10%
15/2
31%
-
Man Utd / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Bournemouth have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 6 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Bournemouth have outscored their opponents by 52 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Bournemouth have played 16 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Man Utd are in 14th position in the Premier League on 38 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Man Utd have conceded 33 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bournemouth
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3324724479 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
2
Arsenal33181233466 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
3
Newcastle33185101859 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
4
Man City3317792258 
w
 
2-1F
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
5
Chelsea3316981857 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 16
6
Nottm Forest3217691357 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
7
A Villa331698657 
May 10
d
 
1-1A
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
8
Bournemouth H331310101249 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Apr 27
9
Fulham3313911348 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Brighton3312129048 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
11
Brentford3313713646 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-1A
May 4
12
C Palace33111111-444 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Everton3381411-638 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
14
Man Utd Away3310815-838 
Apr 27
w
 
0-3F
-
-
15
Wolves3311517-1338 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
16
Spurs32114171137 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
17
West Ham339915-1836 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
May 11
l
 
2-1A
18
Ipswich334920-3821 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
19
Leicester334623-4618 
May 25
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
20
Southampton332526-5411 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Bournemouth 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Man Utd 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bournemouth since 2015
Bournemouth
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
BOU
2
D
1
MNU
4
League games at Man Utd since 2016
Man Utd
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
BOU
2
D
1
MNU
5
Goal Statistics

Bournemouth have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Manchester United on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Bournemouth 8th Man Utd 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Man Utd scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Bournemouth have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-12
Man Utd have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278127/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bournemouth
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.5
1
Attack rating
25%
better
BOU
MNU
view stats
Games scored26
20
Failed to score6
12
Scored first16
10
Goals scored52
38
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
6%
better
BOU
MNU
view stats
Games conceded25
23
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first15
19
Goals conceded40
45
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%

Bournemouth v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3212611
M KerkezJ KluivertJ KluivertR Christie
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kerkez DEF3225
4
-
L Cook MID3113
9
-
A Semenyo FWD3184
9
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF30
3
1
R Christie MID2923
11
-
D Ouattara FWD2984
1
-
J Kluivert MID28126
8
-
D. Huijsen DEF2621
7
-
K Arrizabalaga GLK25
3
-
Evanilson  FWD259
-
D Brooks  FWD242
3
-
M Tavernier MID2335
6
-
T Adams MID223
6
-
A Smith DEF20
6
-
E Ünal  FWD1721
3
-
A Scott MID15
1
-
M Senesi DEF14
5
-
L Sinisterra  FWD1211
-
D Jebbison FWD11
1
-
J Hill DEF101
1
-
J Araujo DEF8
1
-
J Soler DEF1
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31898
A OnanaB FernandesB FernandesM Ugarte
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Onana GLK31
-
N Mazraoui  DEF311
2
-
J Zirkzee FWD3131
2
-
D Dalot DEF302
6
-
B Fernandes MID3089
3
2
A Garnacho FWD3041
2
-
M Ligt DEF282
3
-
R Höjlund FWD263
2
-
M Ugarte MID231
8
-
H Maguire DEF221
8
-
A Diallo FWD2266
3
-
Casemiro MID211
3
-
L Martínez  DEF2021
7
-
K Mainoo MID181
5
-
C Eriksen MID171
4
-
L Yoro DEF16
4
-
M Mount  MID10
3
-
V Lindelöf DEF9
1
-
J Evans  DEF6
2
-
T. Collyer MID6
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF5
1
1
A. Heaven DEF2
-
L Shaw DEF2
-