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Burnley v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley are in English Premier League action on Saturday afternoon, as Vincent Kompany aims to beat Roberto De Zerbi and his Brighton and Hove Albion side at the Turf Moor. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

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Burnley's next match is v Newcastle at 15:00 on Saturday 4th May
Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v A Villa at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May

The last English Premier League meeting between Burnley and Brighton was on Saturday 13th April 2024

English Premier League

April 13th 2024

Burnley 1	1 Brighton

J. Brownhill 74'	79' (OG)A. Murić

	BRN BHA
Shots On	3 8
Shots Off	6 6
Corners	4 5
Possession	44% 56%
Fouls	18 8
Yellow/red cards	1/0 2/0

Burnley	Brighton

A. Murić V. da Silva (C. Taylor 46') M. Esteve H. Ekdal (J. Brownhill 67') L. Assignon S. Berge J. Cullen W. Odobert J. Bruun Larsen (M. Ndayishimiye 86') L. Foster D. Fofana (J. Rodriguez 62')	B. Verbruggen L. Dunk J. Veltman J. van Hecke (I. dos Santos de Paulo 13') P. Estupiñán Tenorio P. Groß (A. Fati 77') J. Moder C. Noom Quomah (A. Lallana 77') S. Adingra (M. O’Mahony 89') J. Junqueira de Jesus (F. Buonanotte 77') D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Burnley or Brighton are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Brighton coming away with a win.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Burnley 35%	11/4	29/10 4%	5/2 3%	14/5 1%
Draw 24%	3/1 5%	29/10 4%	11/4 4%	29/10 1%
Brighton 41%	17/20 3%	5/6 4%	Evs 2%	22/25 1%
Draw 1-1 11%	15/2 6%	7/1 7%	13/2 7%	13/2
Brighton 2-1 9%	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Brighton 1-0 8%	11/1 9%	9/1	8/1 6%	9/1
Burnley 2-1 8%	12/1 13%	12/1 8%	11/1 9%	23/2
Burnley 1-0 7%	16/1	16/1 13%	12/1 8%	15/1 7%
Brighton 2-0 6%	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1 5%
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Draw 0-0 5%	16/1	16/1	14/1 15%	16/1 6%
Burnley 2-0 5%	22/1	25/1 13%	20/1 11%	20/1
Brighton 3-1 5%	14/1	12/1	14/1	13/1
Burnley 3-1 4%	28/1	28/1	22/1	24/1
Brighton 3-0 3%	18/1	16/1	16/1 11%	15/1
Brighton 3-2 3%	20/1	18/1	18/1 10%	18/1
Burnley 3-2 3%	28/1	25/1 10%	25/1	24/1
Burnley 3-0 2%	40/1	55/1 10%	40/1	35/1
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	8/15 3%	1/2 4%	8/13 3%	4/7 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	6/4 5%	7/5 4%	6/5 5%	7/5 2%
Home 1st Goal 47%	7/5	29/20 2%	13/10 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	8/15 3%	8/13 3%	4/6 2%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	16/1	16/1	12/1	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	8/15	1/2 2%	4/7 3%	11/20 1%
BTTS - No 41%	11/8	6/4 4%	5/4 2%	11/8 1%
BTTS - Home Win 19%	9/2 8%	19/4	9/2	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4 6%	10/3 2%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 22%	11/5 2%	2/1 6%	12/5 6%	-
Home/draw 59%	10/11 4%	19/20 4%	4/5	19/20 1%
Away/draw 65%	1/4	1/4	3/10	27/100 1%
Home/away 76%	2/9 2%	1/4	2/7	1/4 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/6	2/13 3%	1/5 2%	2/13 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	4/1	4/1 9%	10/3 8%	4/1 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	13/10 3%	5/4 6%	13/8 4%	29/20 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	8/13 3%	4/7 3%	4/9 3%	11/20 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	3/1 8%	29/10 7%	7/2 10%	17/5 2%
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/4 2%	2/9 2%	1/6 3%	1/5 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	7/1	13/2 6%	8/1 10%	15/2
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/12	1/11 2%	1/20 1%	1/16
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/40	1/33	-	1/100
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	16/1	16/1 13%	-	15/1 7%
Home DNB 52%	13/8 5%	7/4 5%	13/8 5%	37/20 2%
Away DNB 58%	4/9 3%	2/5 3%	4/9 4%	21/50 1%
Burnley win to nil 16%	7/1	8/1 13%	6/1 8%	-
Brighton win to nil 19%	11/4	29/10	11/4	-
Burnley / Burnley 14%	5/1	6/1 8%	9/2	5/1 2%
Burnley / Brighton 4%	20/1	20/1	20/1 9%	20/1
Burnley / Draw 6%	14/1	14/1	12/1	13/1
Draw / Burnley 10%	8/1	8/1 6%	8/1 6%	8/1
Draw / Brighton 16%	9/2	19/5 4%	9/2	22/5 2%
Draw / Draw 14%	6/1 8%	11/2 8%	5/1	11/2 2%
Brighton / Burnley 3%	28/1	33/1	28/1 15%	30/1
Brighton / Brighton 28%	2/1 3%	2/1 3%	21/10	37/20 2%
Brighton / Draw 6%	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 67 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 16 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 11 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 36 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Brighton lay in 10th place on 43 points in the Premier League league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 8 and losing 2 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brighton have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Brighton have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Burnley

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Brighton

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-5A	l 3-1A	Arsenal	35	25	5	5	57	80	l 0-3A	l 2-0A
l 0-3A	l 3-1A	Man City	34	24	7	3	50	79	l 0-4A	l 2-1A
l 0-2A	l 3-1A	Liverpool	35	22	9	4	41	75	d 2-2F	l 2-1F
l 1-3A	l 3-2A	A Villa	35	20	7	8	21	67	May 5	l 6-1A
l 2-5F	May 11	Spurs	33	18	6	9	15	60	w 4-2F	l 2-1F
l 0-1A	d 1-1A	Man Utd	34	16	6	12	1	54	May 19	w 1-3F
May 4	l 2-0A	Newcastle	34	16	5	13	19	53	w 3-1F	May 11
l 1-2F	d 2-2F	West Ham	35	13	10	12	-9	49	l 1-3A	d 0-00-0
l 1-4F	d 2-2A	Chelsea	33	13	9	11	4	48	May 15	l 3-2A
l 0-2A	l 2-1F	Bournemouth	35	13	9	13	-8	48	w 3-1A	l 3-0A
d 1-1F	l 1-0A	Wolves	35	13	7	15	-7	46	d 0-00-0	w 1-4F
d 1-1F	d 1-1F	Brighton Away	34	11	11	12	-5	44	-	-
d 2-2A	w 0-2F	Fulham	35	12	7	16	-4	43	d 1-1F	l 3-0A
l 0-2A	l 3-0A	C Palace	35	10	10	15	-12	40	w 4-1F	d 1-1A
l 0-2A	l 1-0A	Everton	35	12	8	15	-11	36	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
w 2-1F	l 3-0A	Brentford	35	9	8	18	-8	35	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0
May 19	d 1-1F	Nottm Forest	35	7	9	19	-20	26	w 1-0F	w 2-3A
d 1-1F	w 1-2F	Luton	35	6	7	22	-29	25	w 4-1F	l 4-0A
-	-	Burnley Home	35	5	9	21	-32	24	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
w 5-0F	w 1-4F	Sheff Utd	35	3	7	25	-63	16	d 1-1F	w 0-5F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

HOME FORM
Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham
Burnley	1 - 1	Luton
Burnley	0 - 2	Liverpool
Burnley	0 - 2	Everton
Burnley	5 - 0	Sheff Utd
Burnley	1 - 2	West Ham
Burnley	0 - 2	C Palace
Burnley	1 - 4	Chelsea
Burnley	0 - 1	Man Utd
Burnley	2 - 5	Spurs
Burnley	1 - 3	A Villa
Burnley	0 - 3	Man City
Burnley	3 - 0	Cardiff
Burnley	1 - 2	QPR
Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Utd
Burnley	0 - 0	Sunderland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Everton
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
A	Burnley	2 - 2	Chelsea
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Burnley	2 - 2	West Ham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Burnley	0 - 3	C Palace
H	Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Liverpool
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Man City
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Luton
A	Burnley	2 - 3	A Villa
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Liverpool
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Fulham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Everton
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Wolves
H	Burnley	5 - 0	Sheff Utd
H	Burnley	1 - 2	West Ham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM
Brentford	0 - 0	Brighton
Liverpool	2 - 1	Brighton
Fulham	3 - 0	Brighton
Sheff Utd	0 - 5	Brighton
Spurs	2 - 1	Brighton
Luton	4 - 0	Brighton
West Ham	0 - 0	Brighton
C Palace	1 - 1	Brighton
Arsenal	2 - 0	Brighton
Chelsea	3 - 2	Brighton
Nottm Forest	2 - 3	Brighton
Everton	1 - 1	Brighton
Man City	2 - 1	Brighton
A Villa	6 - 1	Brighton
Man Utd	1 - 3	Brighton
Wolves	1 - 4	Brighton
A Villa	2 - 1	Brighton
Newcastle	4 - 1	Brighton
Arsenal	0 - 3	Brighton
Nottm Forest	3 - 1	Brighton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Brighton	0 - 3	Arsenal
A	Brighton	0 - 0	Brentford
A	Brighton	1 - 2	Liverpool
H	Brighton	1 - 0	Nottm Forest
A	Brighton	0 - 3	Fulham
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Everton
A	Brighton	5 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Brighton	1 - 2	Spurs
H	Brighton	4 - 1	C Palace
A	Brighton	0 - 4	Luton
H	Brighton	0 - 0	Wolves
A	Brighton	0 - 0	West Ham
H	Brighton	4 - 2	Spurs
A	Brighton	1 - 1	C Palace
A	Brighton	0 - 2	Arsenal
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Burnley
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Brighton	2 - 3	Chelsea
A	Brighton	3 - 2	Nottm Forest
H	Brighton	1 - 1	Sheff Utd

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley

Brighton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

2 / 12

BRN

BHA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
	1 - 2	Brighton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Brighton

Burnley

Brighton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

18 / 25

15 / 25

Clean sheets

10 / 25

7 / 25

BRN

BHA

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	Burnley
	1 - 2	Brighton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Brighton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Burnley
Burnley	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Brighton	2 - 0
Brighton	1 - 0
	1 - 3	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Burnley
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Burnley
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Brighton

Goal Statistics

Brighton and Hove Albion's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 14 English Premier League outings. A PG of 1.5 for Roberto De Zerbi's side suggests that run should continue.

	Burnley 19th	Brighton 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 58% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-26 Burnley have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted	-3 Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	2.0 conceded

Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season

BRN

BHA

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	23		25
Failed to score	12		9
Scored first	15		13
Goals scored	38		52
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate	13%		14%
KickOff rating		+13%

BRN

BHA

14%

better

view stats

Games conceded	33		29
Clean sheets	2		5
Conceded first	20		18
Goals conceded	70		57
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate	17%		19%
KickOff rating		+14%

Burnley v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	4	3	8
S Berge	L Foster	L Foster	S Berge

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Muric GLK	5			-
L Assignon DEF	10		1	3 -
H Ekdal DEF	7			2 -
M Estève DEF	11			3 -
Vitinho DEF	27			1 -
L Foster MID	19	4	3	1
J Cullen MID	20	1	2	7 -
S Berge MID	32	1	1	8 -
J Larsen MID	27	4		-
W Odobert FWD	24	3	3	2 -
D Fofana FWD	11	4	1	1 -
Subs
J Trafford GLK	28			2 -
C Taylor DEF	25	1	1	7 -
J Gudmundsson MID	22		2	2 -
J Brownhill MID	30	4	2	3 1
H Massengo MID	3			-
J Rodríguez FWD	20	2	1	-
B Hedilazio FWD	7			-
Z Amdouni FWD	28	4	1	2 -
M Trésor FWD	15			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	21	3	6
L Foster	Z Amdouni	L Foster	W Odobert

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Larsen MID	4	11
L Foster MID	4	11	3	1
D Fofana FWD	4	9	1	2
W Odobert FWD	3	12	3	6
J Cullen MID	1	3	2	2
S Berge MID	1	3	1	2
L Assignon DEF			1	2
H Ekdal DEF		1
Vitinho DEF		2		1
Subs
J Brownhill MID	4	11	2
Z Amdouni FWD	4	21	1	2
J Rodríguez FWD	2	8	1
C Taylor DEF	1	1	1	4
J Gudmundsson MID		3	2	4
B Hedilazio FWD		2
M Trésor FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1361	65	160
J Trafford	S Berge	S Berge

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Berge MID	1211	65	160
J Cullen MID	1046	28	86
Vitinho DEF	659	56	117
M Estève DEF	545	18	50
W Odobert FWD	390	14	79
J Larsen MID	349	6	35
L Foster MID	340	20	87
A Muric GLK	258	1	6
L Assignon DEF	219	26	53
H Ekdal DEF	188	4	10
D Fofana FWD	150	9	45
Subs
J Trafford GLK	1361	2	22
J Brownhill MID	942	54	114
C Taylor DEF	935	33	97
Z Amdouni FWD	445	26	99
J Gudmundsson MID	401	13	48
J Rodríguez FWD	206	15	47
M Trésor FWD	144	10	24
B Hedilazio FWD	41	3	10
H Massengo MID	8	1	1

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	8	10	7
L Dunk	J Pedro	P Groß	L Dunk

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Verbruggen GLK	17			2 -
J Veltman DEF	23		1	3 -
J Hecke DEF	27			4 -
L Dunk DEF	28	3	1	6 1
P Estupiñán DEF	19	2	3	4 -
P Groß MID	30	4	10	5 -
C Quomah MID	21			6 -
S Adingra MID	25	6	1	2 -
J Moder MID	13			2 -
J Pedro MID	26	8	2	2 -
D Welbeck FWD	23	4	1	3 -
Subs
J Steele GLK	15			-
Igor DEF	18			4 -
V Barco DEF	1			-
O Offiah DEF				-
F Buonanotte MID	23	3	1	7 -
A Lallana MID	23		1	2 -
C Peupion MID				-
A Fati FWD	17	2		2 -
M O’Mahony FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	22	10	10
J Pedro	J Pedro	P Groß	P Groß

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pedro MID	8	22	2	5
S Adingra MID	6	18	1	3
P Groß MID	4	18	10	10
D Welbeck FWD	4	13	1	3
L Dunk DEF	3	11	1	1
P Estupiñán DEF	2	6	3	4
J Veltman DEF		2	1	1
J Hecke DEF		6
C Quomah MID		5
J Moder MID		2		1
Subs
F Buonanotte MID	3	8	1	4
A Fati FWD	2	11		1
A Lallana MID		2	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2838	59	148
L Dunk	P Groß	J Pedro

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Dunk DEF	2838	24	92
P Groß MID	2442	59	110
J Hecke DEF	2317	42	128
P Estupiñán DEF	814	27	64
J Veltman DEF	751	45	113
C Quomah MID	683	34	91
J Pedro MID	620	27	148
B Verbruggen GLK	618	1	7
S Adingra MID	611	32	97
D Welbeck FWD	399	21	55
J Moder MID	190	13	24
Subs
Igor DEF	1072	19	58
J Steele GLK	542		2
A Lallana MID	470	7	24
F Buonanotte MID	384	32	84
A Fati FWD	196	4	21
V Barco DEF	3
M O’Mahony FWD	2