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Burnley v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley and Brighton and Hove Albion go head to head at the Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon, with both Scott Parker and Fabian Hürzeler hoping for success in the English Premier League. Premier League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

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Burnley's next match is v Man City at 20:00 on Wednesday 22nd April
Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Newcastle at 15:00 on Saturday 2nd May
The last English Premier League meeting between Burnley and Brighton was on Saturday 11th April 2026
English Premier League
April 11th 2026
Burnley 0
2 Brighton
 
43' M. Wieffer
89' M. Wieffer
 
BRN
BHA
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
8
2
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
7
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
BurnleyBrighton
 
M. Dúbravka
Q. Hartman (L. Pires Silva 82')
M. Esteve
C. Ugochukwu (J. Bruun Larsen 67')
M. Edwards (M. Ndayishimiye 75')
J. Anthony
B. Humphreys (K. Walker 82')
H. Ekdal
F. Morris Luís (A. Broja 82')
J. Ward-Prowse
Z. Flemming
B. Verbruggen
J. van Hecke
(C. Noom Quomah 75') J. Hinshelwood
(K. Mitoma 80') Y. Minteh
(G. Rutter 75') D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
O. Boscagli
F. Kadıoğlu
football iconfootball iconM. Wieffer
(J. Veltman 88') D. Gómez Amarilla
Y. Ayari
P. Groß

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Burnley and Brighton's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Brighton coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
24%
17/4
10%
1/50
5%
Draw
25%
16/5
3%
250/1
Brighton
51%
4/7
5%
1/1000
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
15/213/2
Brighton 1-0
12%
8/1
6%
10/21
Brighton 2-1
10%
8/19/1
Brighton 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
1/4
Burnley 1-0
7%
18/1
13%
17/2
9%
Draw 0-0
7%
12/1
8%
19/4
9%
Burnley 2-1
6%
18/145/1
8%
Brighton 3-1
5%
12/133/1
Brighton 3-0
5%
12/111/2
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
12%
60/1
Burnley 2-0
4%
33/120/1
12%
Brighton 3-2
3%
25/1150/1
Brighton 4-1
2%
25/1100/1
Brighton 4-0
2%
22/140/1
Burnley 3-1
2%
40/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
4/6
4%
17/2
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
6/5
5%
1/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
42%
7/4
4%
9/4
4%
Away 1st Goal
53%
1/2
3%
3/5
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1
8%
9/2
BTTS - Yes
51%
3/4
3%
18/1
BTTS - No
49%
1/1
3%
1/300
3%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
17/2
6%
150/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
50/1
BTTS - Away Win
22%
11/5
3%
7/1
3%
Home/draw
49%
13/10
7%
150/1
3%
Away/draw
76%
1/6
1%
1/50
Home/away
75%
2/9
3%
1/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/9
2%
6/4
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
10/3
8%
10/21
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
7/4
8%
66/1
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/9
3%
1/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
4/1
9%
70/1
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/6
3%
1/1000
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/11/50
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/161/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/8
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/1
8%
9/2
Home DNB
41%
3/1
3%
150/1
7%
Away DNB
69%
2/9
1%
1/200
1%
Burnley win to nil
13%
9/1-
Brighton win to nil
29%
7/4
8%
-
Burnley / Burnley
11%
17/2
12%
125/1
8%
Burnley / Brighton
4%
20/1
9%
125/1
Burnley / Draw
5%
16/1125/1
Draw / Burnley
8%
11/1
9%
40/1
6%
Draw / Brighton
18%
15/4
5%
22/1
Draw / Draw
13%
6/128/1
Brighton / Burnley
3%
40/1
17%
16/1
Brighton / Brighton
33%
7/5
5%
2/11
3%
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/111/2
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 8 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 59 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 15 games at home, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Brighton lay in 11th place on 43 points in the Premier League league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brighton have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Brighton have played 15 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City3321753770 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
2
Arsenal3321753770 
l
 
0-2A
May 17
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
3
Man Utd33161071358 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
May 24
l
 
4-2A
4
A Villa331779658 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
5
Liverpool33167101155 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
6
Brighton34131110950 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
7
Bournemouth3411167049 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
8
Chelsea3413912848 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
9
Brentford3313911448 
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
10
Everton3313812147 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
11
Sunderland33121011-446 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
12
Fulham3313614-345 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
13
C Palace32111011-143 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Newcastle3312615-342 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 2
15
Leeds3491312-740 
w
 
2-0F
May 1
w
 
3-0F
May 17
16
Nottm Forest339915-936 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
17
West Ham338916-1733 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
18
Spurs3371016-1131 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
19
Burnley344822-3420 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves333822-3717 
May 24
w
 
2-3F
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley0 - 0Bournemouth
Burnley3 - 4Brentford
Burnley0 - 2West Ham
Burnley2 - 2Spurs
Burnley2 - 2Man Utd
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Burnley0 - 0Everton
Burnley2 - 3Fulham
Burnley0 - 1C Palace
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Arsenal
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Burnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Burnley1 - 0Bristol C
Burnley1 - 1West Brom
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley1 - 3Fulham
HBurnley0 - 0Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 2Everton
HBurnley3 - 4Brentford
ABurnley1 - 1Chelsea
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
ABurnley1 - 1Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Man Utd
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
Brighton 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland0 - 1Brighton
Brentford0 - 2Brighton
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
Fulham2 - 1Brighton
Man City1 - 1Brighton
West Ham2 - 2Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
C Palace0 - 0Brighton
Man Utd4 - 2Brighton
Wolves1 - 1Brighton
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Everton2 - 0Brighton
Spurs1 - 4Brighton
Wolves0 - 2Brighton
Brentford4 - 2Brighton
C Palace2 - 1Brighton
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton2 - 1Liverpool
ABrighton1 - 0Sunderland
HBrighton0 - 1Arsenal
HBrighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
ABrighton2 - 0Brentford
ABrighton0 - 1A Villa
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton0 - 0Sunderland
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton3 - 4A Villa
ABrighton2 - 0Nottm Forest
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2002
Burnley
Brighton
Goals: Scored
11
15
Games: Scored
11 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
2 / 13
BRN
2
D
7
BHA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Brighton
Burnley1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Brighton
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Brighton
League games at Brighton since 2002
Brighton
Burnley
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
8 / 14
8 / 14
Clean sheets
6 / 14
6 / 14
BRN
4
D
7
BHA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton1 - 0
0 - 1Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Burnley
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Brighton and Hove Albion's defensive record is very strong, F. Hürzeler's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Burnley makes sense in this context.

Burnley 19th Brighton 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1
1.6
Attack rating
BRN
BHA
18%
better
view stats
Games scored20
24
Failed to score11
7
Scored first6
13
Goals scored33
41
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
BRN
BHA
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
24
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first23
16
Goals conceded61
37
Avg. goals conceded2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against2.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+27%

Burnley v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33959
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK33
1
-
B Humphreys DEF16
4
-
H Ekdal DEF17
-
M Estève DEF30
1
-
Q Hartman DEF195
1
-
J Ward-Prowse MID81
1
-
Florentino MID262
6
-
M Edwards MID2113
-
L Ugochukwu MID3231
2
1
J Anthony MID3271
4
-
Z Flemming FWD2491
3
-
Subs
M Weiß GLK
-
K Walker DEF312
9
-
J Worrall DEF111
-
L Pires DEF16
1
J Larsen  FWD251
-
L Foster FWD2432
4
-
L Tchaouna FWD241
1
-
A Broja  FWD2211
-
M Trésor FWD5
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341349
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehD Amarilla
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK34
3
-
M Wieffer DEF2423
8
-
J Hecke DEF3233
8
-
O Boscagli DEF111
2
-
F Kadioglu DEF331
6
-
Y Ayari MID2733
1
-
P Groß MID1513
2
-
D Amarilla MID3051
9
-
J Hinshelwood MID2323
-
Y Minteh MID3024
3
-
D Welbeck FWD3313
5
-
Subs
J Steele GLK
-
Igor DEF4
-
M Cuyper DEF2621
2
-
J Veltman DEF211
4
-
S March MID1
-
C Quomah MID27
5
-
K Mitoma MID2331
3
-
G Rutter FWD2834
2
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1721
2
-