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Luton Town v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Kenilworth Road, Luton

Thomas Frank leads his Brentford charges to the Kenilworth Road in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, with Rob Edwards's Luton Town their challengers. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.

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Luton Town's next match is v Fulham at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
Brentford's next match is v Newcastle at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Luton and Brentford was on Saturday 20th April 2024
English Premier League
April 20th 2024
Luton 1
5 Brentford
 
L. Berry 90'24' Y. Wissa
45' Y. Wissa
62' E. Pinnock
64' K. Lewis-Potter
86' K. Schade
 
LUT
BRE
Shots On
3
9
Shots Off
1
10
Corners
4
9
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
13
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
LutonBrentford
 
T. Kaminski
I. Kabore (F. Onyedinma 35')
T. Mengi
R. Burke (L. Berry 46')
G. Osho
A. Sambi Lokonga (D. Hashioka 71')
J. Clark (P. Ruddock Mpanzu 81')
T. Chong (A. Townsend 71')
R. Barkley
A. Doughty
C. Morris
M. Flekken
football iconE. Pinnock
N. Collins
(M. Roerslev Rasmussen 76') K. Vassbakk Ajer
S. Reguilón Rodríguez
V. Janelt
(Y. Yarmoliuk 82') M. Jensen
B. Mbeumo
(N. Maupay 82') football iconfootball iconY. Wissa
(K. Schade 71') football iconK. Lewis-Potter
(C. Nørgaard 71') M. Damsgaard
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both happiness and sadness to both home and away supporters. We predict both Luton and Brentford to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

The odds for on a BTTS – no outcome for this fixture have been drifting, meaning that there's little belief in that outcome as kick-off approaches. It's not a stat that guarantees success for our prediction, but it's a good sign.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Luton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luton
43%
9/5
7%
9/5
3%
Draw
23%
13/5
3%
5/2
3%
Brentford
35%
11/8
6%
7/5
4%
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
7%
6/1
7%
Luton 2-1
9%
10/1
8%
9/1
Brentford 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Draw 2-2
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Luton 1-0
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
15%
Brentford 1-0
5%
10/19/1
17%
Luton 2-0
5%
16/1
11%
16/1
11%
Luton 3-1
5%
22/120/1
Brentford 2-0
4%
14/1
15%
12/1
13%
Brentford 3-1
4%
18/116/1
Luton 3-2
4%
28/122/1
10%
Brentford 3-2
4%
25/122/1
21%
Draw 0-0
3%
12/114/1
12%
Luton 3-0
3%
33/133/1
Brentford 3-0
2%
25/1
13%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
8/11
5%
4/6
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
11/10
5%
11/10
12%
Home 1st Goal
50%
11/10
5%
11/10
Away 1st Goal
48%
8/1110/11
2%
No 1st Goal
2%
12/114/1
12%
BTTS - Yes
66%
8/13
3%
8/15
6%
BTTS - No
34%
6/5
2%
11/8
8%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
15/4
5%
7/2
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
3/1
BTTS - Away Win
21%
10/3
8%
3/1
11%
Home/draw
65%
8/15
6%
4/7
2%
Away/draw
57%
2/5
3%
4/9
3%
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
2/91/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
10/316/5
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
7/4
5%
8/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
4/9
4%
4/9
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
4/115/4
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/61/6
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
9/117/2
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/161/16
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/251/28
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
12/112/1
24%
Home DNB
58%
1/1
9%
1/1
2%
Away DNB
51%
8/11
7%
8/11
2%
Luton win to nil
17%
9/2
8%
19/4
12%
Brentford win to nil
13%
7/2
4%
19/5
4%
Luton / Luton
18%
15/4
5%
19/5
Luton / Brentford
4%
25/1
13%
25/1
13%
Luton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Luton
12%
6/111/2
7%
Draw / Brentford
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
13%
5/19/2
8%
Brentford / Luton
3%
28/128/1
12%
Brentford / Brentford
23%
3/1
7%
3/1
3%
Brentford / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Luton have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Luton have conceded 62 goals, scored 40, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Luton have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Brentford lay in 15th place on 32 points in the Premier League league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brentford have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Brentford have played 16 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 11 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Luton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Brentford
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-1A
 Man City3727736088 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
3-4A
l
 
2-0A
 Arsenal3727556186 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
 Liverpool37231044379 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1A
 A Villa3720892068 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
 Spurs37196121063 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
 Chelsea37179111360 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
4-4A
 Newcastle37176142157 
May 19
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Man Utd3717614-357 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
 West Ham37141013-1252 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Brighton37121213-548 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-3F
 Bournemouth3713915-1248 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
 C Palace37121015-646 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
 Wolves3713717-1346 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
0-2F
May 19
l
 
1-0A
 Fulham3712817-844 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Everton3713915-1040 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-5A
l
 
3-1A
 Brentford Away3710918-739 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Nottm Forest378920-1929 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
 Luton Home376823-3126 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-5F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
 Burnley375923-3624 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
w
 
2-3F
 Sheff Utd373727-6616 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
Luton 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Brentford 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Brentford have beaten Luton in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Luton since 2005
Luton
Brentford
Goals: Scored
6
7
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
LUT
2
BRE
2
All league games since 2004
Luton
Brentford
Goals: Scored
7
22
Games: Scored
3 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
6 / 9
LUT
2
BRE
7
Goal Statistics

Brentford's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Luton Town have conceded in each of their last 12 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.6 for Thomas Frank's side suggests that run should continue.

Luton 18th Brentford 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Luton will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Brentford will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Luton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Brentford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258886/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Luton
PG (predicted goals)
Brentford
1.8
1.6
Attack rating
0%
better
LUT
BRE
view stats
Games scored32
29
Failed to score5
8
Scored first11
18
Goals scored50
54
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate18%
16%
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
LUT
BRE
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded35
30
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first26
17
Goals conceded81
61
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded13
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate17%
16%
KickOff rating
+24%

Luton v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
371087
T KaminskiC MorrisA DoughtyI Kaboré
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK37
3
-
R Burke DEF224
5
-
T Mengi DEF291
3
-
G Osho DEF202
3
-
I Kaboré MID
-
A Lokonga MID1613
3
-
R Barkley MID3254
6
-
A Doughty MID3618
4
-
J Clark MID2211
3
-
T Chong MID324
4
-
C Morris FWD37104
3
-
Subs
T Krul GLK
-
J Shea  GLK
-
D Hashioka DEF9
-
J Johnson DEF1
-
A Townsend  MID2613
1
-
P Mpanzu MID26
1
-
F Onyedinma MID8
1
-
L Berry MID1721
1
-
C Woodrow FWD2311
2
-
Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361168
M FlekkenY WissaB MbeumoV Janelt
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Flekken GLK361
3
-
K Ajer DEF2821
5
-
N Collins DEF3211
3
-
E Pinnock DEF282
1
-
S Reguilón DEF154
4
1
M Damsgaard MID222
2
-
V Janelt MID373
8
-
M Jensen MID3134
5
-
K Lewis-Potter MID3031
-
B Mbeumo FWD2496
2
-
Y Wissa FWD33112
6
-
Subs
T Strakosha GLK2
-
M Roerslev DEF3312
1
-
Zanka DEF131
4
-
Y Yarmoliuk MID25
2
-
C Nörgaard MID3021
8
-
K Schade MID1021
-
F Onyeka MID2612
8
-
N Maupay FWD2863
7
-
S Ghoddos FWD181
5
-