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Manchester City v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 16:30 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

We’ve English Premier League action to enjoy on Sunday afternoon, as Josep Guardiola i Sala and his Manchester City side host Mikel Arteta Amatriain’s Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our extensive database and found the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of Man City and Arsenal scoring at least two goals in this Premier League match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
48%
4/5
29%
17/20
8%
Draw
24%
13/5
9%
13/5
Arsenal
28%
31/10
56%
3/1
14%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
7%
6/1
Man City 1-0
10%
15/2
15%
13/2
6%
Man City 2-1
9%
17/2
14%
7/1
Man City 2-0
8%
9/1
33%
8/1
5%
Arsenal 1-0
7%
14/1
50%
10/1
Arsenal 2-1
7%
14/1
36%
11/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
Man City 3-1
5%
14/1
35%
12/1
Man City 3-0
4%
16/1
41%
12/1
13%
Arsenal 2-0
4%
22/1
53%
16/1
13%
Man City 3-2
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
11%
Arsenal 3-1
3%
33/1
48%
22/1
10%
Arsenal 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Man City 4-1
2%
33/1
33%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5
6%
4/5
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1
5%
19/20
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13
17%
8/13
5%
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
23%
6/4
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
9%
17/2
5%
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4
3%
3/4
3%
BTTS - No
44%
1/1
2%
1/1
2%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
13/5
28%
13/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
10%
7/2
4%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
13/2
50%
6/1
17%
Home/draw
72%
2/9
15%
2/9
5%
Away/draw
52%
19/20
30%
10/11
9%
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
3%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
7%
13/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/5
6%
19/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
2%
4/11
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2
8%
9/2
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7
1%
1/8
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/19/1
Home DNB
65%
4/11
26%
4/11
8%
Away DNB
45%
2/1
64%
15/8
15%
Man City win to nil
24%
9/4
28%
-
Arsenal win to nil
14%
7/1
78%
-
Man City / Man City
29%
15/8
33%
9/5
7%
Man City / Arsenal
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Man City / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Man City
17%
4/1
23%
19/5
9%
Draw / Arsenal
9%
17/2
46%
15/2
13%
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1
9%
17/4
Arsenal / Man City
4%
22/1
21%
16/1
Arsenal / Arsenal
13%
6/1
56%
5/1
14%
Arsenal / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Man City are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 1 games. Man City are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 1 and won zero. Man City have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Man City have played 15 games at home, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 36 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 70 points in the Premier League league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3221743870 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
-
-
2
Man City3119753564 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
3
Man Utd31151061355 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
4
A Villa321679555 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Liverpool32157101052 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
6
Chelsea32139101248 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
7
Brentford3213811447 
May 9
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
8
Everton3213811247 
w
 
2-0F
May 4
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
Brighton32121010646 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
10
Sunderland32121010-346 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Bournemouth3210157-145 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
12
Fulham3213514-344 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
4-5F
May 2
w
 
0-1F
13
C Palace3111911-142 
-
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
May 24
14
Newcastle3212614-242 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 25
w
 
1-2A
15
Leeds3171212-1133 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-4F
16
Nottm Forest328915-1233 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
West Ham328816-1732 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
18
Spurs327916-1130 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
19
Burnley324820-3020 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 22
May 17
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves323821-3417 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
14
Man City have not lost in 14 consecutive home league games
8
Arsenal have not lost in 8 consecutive away league games
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
14
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Man City have not lost to Arsenal in 10 consecutive home league meetings
5
Arsenal have not lost to Man City in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
46
41
Games: Scored
20 / 28
20 / 28
Clean sheets
8 / 28
8 / 28
MCI
12
D
5
ARS
11
League games at Arsenal since 1992
Arsenal
Man City
Goals: Scored
39
27
Games: Scored
20 / 28
17 / 28
Clean sheets
11 / 28
8 / 28
MCI
7
D
7
ARS
14
Goal Statistics

Manchester City have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Arsenal on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Man City 2nd Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Man City have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+12
Arsenal have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
MCI
ARS
4%
better
view stats
Games scored26
29
Failed to score4
3
Scored first24
22
Goals scored60
62
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
MCI
ARS
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
17
Clean sheets12
15
Conceded first5
8
Goals conceded28
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+2%

Man City v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2922109
E HaalandE HaalandR CherkiB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Silva MID3124
9
-
E Haaland FWD30227
1
-
N. O'Reilly DEF2953
4
-
G Donnarumma GLK28
6
-
M Nunes MID2814
4
-
P Foden MID2773
4
-
R Cherki MID26310
1
-
T Reijnders MID2652
2
-
R Dias DEF252
3
-
J Doku FWD2324
-
N González  MID211
6
-
Rodri MID191
2
-
S Sávio FWD181
2
-
O Marmoush FWD1713
2
-
A. Khusanov DEF16
2
-
J Gvardiol DEF1622
2
-
R Nouri DEF142
2
-
N Aké  DEF14
1
-
R Lewis DEF101
1
-
A Semenyo FWD1051
1
-
M Guéhi DEF91
1
-
J Stones DEF7
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
M. Alleyne DEF2
-
M Kovacic MID2
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321255
D RayaV GyökeresD RiceJ Timber
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK32
1
-
M Zubimendi MID3251
4
-
D Rice MID3145
2
-
J Timber DEF3035
5
-
V Gyökeres FWD3012
5
-
B Saka FWD2764
1
-
L Trossard FWD2755
1
-
W Saliba DEF261
1
-
G Magalhães DEF2634
3
-
E Eze MID2662
1
-
G Martinelli FWD2613
2
-
R Calafiori DEF2212
5
-
P Hincapié DEF2112
2
-
M Merino MID2143
1
-
N Madueke FWD2121
-
M Ødegaard MID2015
-
C Mosquera DEF15
2
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF15
3
-
G Jesus  FWD122
2
-
B White DEF81
-
K Havertz FWD71
-
C Nörgaard MID6
-
M. Dowman FWD41
-