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Aston Villa v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Villa Park, Birmingham

the Villa Park crowd welcome Chelsea's supporters on Saturday night, as Unai Emery's Aston Villa go head to head with Mauricio Pochettino's charges in the English Premier League. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Go between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for each one.

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Aston Villa's next match is v Brighton at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May
Chelsea's next match is v West Ham at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May
The last English Premier League meeting between A Villa and Chelsea was on Saturday 27th April 2024
English Premier League
April 27th 2024
A Villa 2
2 Chelsea
 
M. Cucurella (OG) 4'62' C. Madueke
M. Rogers 42'81' C. Gallagher
 
AVL
CHE
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
5
11
Corners
2
4
Possession
28%
72%
Fouls
13
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
5/0
 
A VillaChelsea
 
D. Martínez (R. Olsen 46')
L. Digne
M. Cash
P. Francisco Torres
E. Konsa Ngoyo
Y. Tielemans (M. Diaby 27')
J. McGinn
D. Soares de Paulo (T. Iroegbunam 75')
L. Bailey Butler (D. Santos Silva 75')
O. Watkins
M. Rogersfootball icon
Đ. Petrović
B. Badiashile Mukinayi
(A. Disasi 90') T. da Silva
T. Chalobah
football iconM. Cucurella
football iconC. Gallagher
M. Caicedo Corozo
C. Palmer
N. Jackson
football iconC. Madueke
(C. Casadei 90') M. Mudryk
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Premier League clash will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
A Villa
48%
21/20
18%
21/20
15%
--
Draw
21%
14/5
15%
14/5
3%
--
Chelsea
31%
12/5
24%
9/4
23%
--
A Villa 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
--
Draw 1-1
8%
15/2
21%
7/1--
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
9%
10/1
10%
--
Chelsea 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
--
A Villa 3-1
6%
14/1
29%
12/1
24%
--
A Villa 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
24%
--
A Villa 1-0
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
8%
--
A Villa 3-2
5%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
--
Chelsea 1-0
4%
18/1
27%
16/1
13%
--
Chelsea 3-2
4%
25/120/1
11%
--
A Villa 3-0
4%
20/1
28%
20/1
28%
--
Chelsea 3-1
4%
25/1
24%
22/1
21%
--
Chelsea 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
22/1
21%
--
A Villa 4-1
3%
28/1
29%
28/1
15%
--
Draw 3-3
3%
33/128/1--
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
4/9
8%
4/9--
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
7/4
16%
13/8--
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13
10%
3/4
8%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/4
10%
5/4
13%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1
40%
20/1--
BTTS - Yes
70%
2/5
7%
2/5--
BTTS - No
30%
7/4
10%
7/4
2%
--
BTTS - Home Win
31%
11/5
20%
21/10
14%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
16/5
5%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4/1
11%
18/5
21%
--
Home/draw
69%
3/10
7%
1/3
8%
--
Away/draw
52%
8/11
15%
3/4
14%
--
Home/away
79%
1/4
6%
1/4--
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/7
3%
2/15--
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
9/2
10%
9/2--
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
11/10
12%
11/10--
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
8/11
10%
4/6--
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
5/2
19%
12/5
3%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
3/10
7%
2/7--
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
5/1
25%
11/2--
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1/8
4%
1/9--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66
2%
1/40--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1
40%
18/1--
Home DNB
63%
1/2
17%
8/15
15%
--
Away DNB
45%
6/4
31%
11/8
22%
--
A Villa win to nil
17%
7/2
18%
15/4
17%
--
Chelsea win to nil
10%
7/1
33%
7/1
23%
--
A Villa / A Villa
25%
9/4
19%
23/10
18%
--
A Villa / Chelsea
3%
25/128/1
26%
--
A Villa / Draw
7%
12/112/1--
Draw / A Villa
15%
5/1
8%
17/4
13%
--
Draw / Chelsea
11%
15/2
21%
13/2
15%
--
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
17%
11/2--
Chelsea / A Villa
4%
20/1
9%
20/1
9%
--
Chelsea / Chelsea
17%
9/2
27%
9/2
22%
--
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/112/1--
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 6 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. A Villa have outscored their opponents by 71 goals to 61 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 17 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 43 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 9th position in the Premier League on 47 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 26 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Chelsea have conceded 33 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

A Villa
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Chelsea
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Arsenal3525555780 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Man City3424735079 
d
 
4-4A
d
 
1-1F
May 13
l
 
3-0A
 Liverpool3522944175 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1A
-
-
 A Villa Home3520782167 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-4A
w
 
1-2A
 Spurs34186101360 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2F
 Man Utd3416612154 
w
 
4-3F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-1A
 Newcastle34165131953 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
 Chelsea Away3414911651 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
 West Ham35131012-949 
May 5
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Bournemouth3513913-848 
May 19
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Wolves3513715-746 
l
 
2-4F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
6-1F
May 5
 Brighton34111112-544 
w
 
3-2F
May 15
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Fulham3512716-443 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1A
May 19
 C Palace35101015-1240 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Everton3512815-1136 
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2A
 Brentford359818-835 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-0A
 Nottm Forest357919-2026 
l
 
0-1A
May 11
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Luton356722-2925 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
 Burnley355921-3224 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
 Sheff Utd353725-6316 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
see results
HOME FORM
A Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa3 - 3Brentford
A Villa2 - 0Wolves
A Villa0 - 4Spurs
A Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 3Newcastle
A Villa3 - 2Burnley
A Villa1 - 1Sheff Utd
A Villa1 - 0Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa3 - 1Luton
A Villa4 - 1West Ham
A Villa6 - 1Brighton
A Villa3 - 1C Palace
A Villa4 - 0Everton
A Villa2 - 1Brighton
A Villa2 - 1Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa2 - 0Arsenal
HA Villa3 - 3Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4Man City
HA Villa2 - 0Wolves
AA Villa1 - 1West Ham
HA Villa0 - 4Spurs
AA Villa3 - 2Luton
HA Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
AA Villa2 - 1Fulham
HA Villa1 - 2Man Utd
AA Villa5 - 0Sheff Utd
HA Villa1 - 3Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa3 - 2Burnley
AA Villa2 - 3Man Utd
HA Villa1 - 1Sheff Utd
AA Villa2 - 1Brentford
HA Villa1 - 0Arsenal
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
Chelsea 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
see results
AWAY FORM
Arsenal5 - 0Chelsea
Sheff Utd2 - 2Chelsea
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
Man City1 - 1Chelsea
C Palace1 - 3Chelsea
Liverpool4 - 1Chelsea
Luton2 - 3Chelsea
Wolves2 - 1Chelsea
Everton2 - 0Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle4 - 1Chelsea
Spurs1 - 4Chelsea
Burnley1 - 4Chelsea
Fulham0 - 2Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
West Ham3 - 1Chelsea
Man Utd4 - 1Chelsea
Man City1 - 0Chelsea
Bournemouth1 - 3Chelsea
Arsenal3 - 1Chelsea
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
AChelsea0 - 5Arsenal
HChelsea6 - 0Everton
AChelsea2 - 2Sheff Utd
HChelsea4 - 3Man Utd
HChelsea2 - 2Burnley
HChelsea3 - 2Newcastle
AChelsea2 - 2Brentford
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 4Wolves
AChelsea1 - 4Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 0Fulham
AChelsea3 - 2Luton
HChelsea2 - 1C Palace
AChelsea1 - 2Wolves
HChelsea2 - 0Sheff Utd
AChelsea0 - 2Everton
AChelsea1 - 2Man Utd
HChelsea3 - 2Brighton
AChelsea1 - 4Newcastle
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
26
39
Games: Scored
17 / 28
20 / 28
Clean sheets
8 / 28
11 / 28
AVL
8
D
7
CHE
13
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 3Chelsea
All league games since 1992
A Villa
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
55
93
Games: Scored
35 / 57
45 / 57
Clean sheets
12 / 57
22 / 57
AVL
15
D
13
CHE
29
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
Chelsea3 - 0
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Chelsea
Chelsea2 - 1
0 - 4Chelsea
Chelsea2 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
Chelsea3 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
Chelsea8 - 0
2 - 4Chelsea
1 - 3A Villa
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea7 - 1
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 1Chelsea
Chelsea2 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
Chelsea1 - 0
A Villa2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
0 - 3Chelsea
Chelsea2 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1Chelsea
Chelsea1 - 0
A Villa3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
1 - 3Chelsea
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

A Villa 4th Chelsea 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that A Villa will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
A Villa have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Chelsea have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258892/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
2.1
1.6
Attack rating
12%
better
AVL
CHE
view stats
Games scored31
28
Failed to score4
6
Scored first19
17
Goals scored73
65
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate21%
18%
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
7%
better
AVL
CHE
view stats
Games conceded27
27
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first15
16
Goals conceded52
59
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate16%
18%
KickOff rating
+7%

A Villa v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32191010
O WatkinsO WatkinsO WatkinsD Luiz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK31
4
-
M Cash DEF2621
6
-
E Konsa DEF301
5
-
P Torres DEF252
1
-
L Digne DEF2813
6
-
L Bailey MID3199
4
-
Y Tielemans MID2916
3
-
D Luiz MID3195
10
-
M Rogers MID811
2
-
J McGinn MID3064
7
1
O Watkins FWD321910
4
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK2
-
K Kesler-Hayden DEF1
-
D Carlos DEF22
4
-
C Chambers DEF2
1
-
C Lenglet DEF131
2
-
T Iroegbunam MID7
-
O Kellyman MID1
-
M Diaby FWD3357
1
-
J Durán FWD183
5
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
302099
C GallagherC PalmerC PalmerM Caicedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK16
2
-
T Chalobah DEF6
1
-
T Silva DEF253
3
-
B Badiashile  DEF111
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF141
7
-
M Caicedo MID281
9
-
C Gallagher MID3036
7
-
N Madueke MID163
1
-
C Palmer MID27209
7
-
M Mudryk MID2542
4
-
N Jackson FWD28104
9
-
Subs
M Bettinelli GLK
1
-
T. Curd GLK
-
A Gilchrist DEF81
-
A Disasi DEF282
6
-
J. Acheampong DEF
-
C Casadei MID5
-
K. Dyer MID
-
D Eugênio FWD2
-
T. George FWD
-