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Aston Villa v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Villa Park, Birmingham

It's an away trip for Liam Rosenior's Chelsea side on Wednesday evening, as they make their way to the Villa Park for a English Premier League showdown with Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa. For each and every Premier League preview, KickOff explores the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then brought forward alongside the best odds.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Premier League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Aston Villa's next match is v Lille at 17:45 on Thursday 12th March
Chelsea's next match is v PSG at 20:00 on Wednesday 11th March
The last English Premier League meeting between A Villa and Chelsea was on Wednesday 4th March 2026
English Premier League
March 4th 2026
A Villa 1
4 Chelsea
 
D. Soares de Paulo 2'35' J. Junqueira de Jesus
45' J. Junqueira de Jesus
55' C. Palmer
64' J. Junqueira de Jesus
 
AVL
CHE
Shots On
4
8
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
3
8
Possession
43%
57%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
A VillaChelsea
 
D. Martínez
M. Cash (L. Bogarde 46')
E. Konsa Ngoyo
T. Mings
I. Maatsen
E. Buendía (J. Sancho 63')
D. Soares de Paulofootball icon (R. Barkley 63')
A. Mvom Onana
O. Watkins (K. Bakumo-Abraham 71')
M. Rogers
L. Bailey Butler (A. da Rocha dos Santos 63')
F. Jörgensen
J. Hato
T. Chalobah
R. James
(R. Lavia 75') M. Gusto
(M. Cucurella 79') E. Fernández
(A. Nascimento dos Santos 85') football iconC. Palmer
M. Caicedo Corozo
(O. Adarabioyo 79') W. Fofana
(L. Delap 85') football iconfootball iconfootball iconJ. Junqueira de Jesus
A. Garnacho

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. A Villa and Chelsea have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
41%
13/81/50
Draw
26%
12/5750/1
Chelsea
32%
31/201/1000
Draw 1-1
13%
6/14/1
A Villa 1-0
11%
11/111/2
Chelsea 1-0
9%
11/19/1
A Villa 2-1
9%
10/111/2
Draw 0-0
8%
12/110/1
Chelsea 2-1
7%
10/118/5
A Villa 2-0
7%
16/16/1
Chelsea 2-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/14/1
A Villa 3-1
4%
20/111/1
A Villa 3-0
3%
28/112/1
Chelsea 3-1
3%
20/19/4
A Villa 3-2
2%
28/110/1
Chelsea 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Chelsea 3-2
2%
28/14/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
8/112/13
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
11/1019/5
Home 1st Goal
49%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
46%
10/1119/20
No 1st Goal
5%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/74/11
BTTS - No
48%
5/415/8
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/41/50
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1125/1
BTTS - Away Win
15%
7/21/1000
Home/draw
68%
1/2125/1
Away/draw
59%
4/91/50
Home/away
74%
3/101/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/91/11
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
10/311/2
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
7/42/11
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/917/5
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4/13/10
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/611/5
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/118/5
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/161/6
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/19/1
Home DNB
60%
5/61/50
Away DNB
51%
5/61/50
A Villa win to nil
23%
4/1-
Chelsea win to nil
17%
4/1-
A Villa / A Villa
20%
10/314/1
A Villa / Chelsea
3%
25/140/1
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/128/1
Draw / A Villa
13%
11/227/10
Draw / Chelsea
13%
11/22/1
Draw / Draw
15%
5/115/8
Chelsea / A Villa
4%
25/145/1
Chelsea / Chelsea
20%
10/311/1
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/128/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 6 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 9 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 49 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 14 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 6th position in the Premier League on 45 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 26 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Chelsea have conceded 9 goals, scored 7, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3020733767 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City2918653260 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
3
Man Utd2914961151 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
4
A Villa291568551 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-4A
5
Chelsea2913971948 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
1-2A
-
-
6
Liverpool291469948 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 9
7
Brentford2913511444 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
8
Everton2912710143 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
9
Bournemouth299137-240 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
10
Fulham2912413-340 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
11
Sunderland2910109-440 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
May 24
12
Newcastle2911612-139 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
13
C Palace2910811-238 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
14
Brighton2991010237 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
l
 
1-3F
Apr 26
15
Leeds2971012-1131 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
16
Spurs297814-729 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Nottm Forest297715-1528 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
May 2
w
 
0-3F
18
West Ham297715-1928 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
19
Burnley294718-2619 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves303720-3016 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa1 - 1Leeds
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
A Villa0 - 1Brentford
A Villa0 - 1Everton
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1Leeds
HA Villa1 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
HA Villa0 - 1Brentford
AA Villa2 - 0Newcastle
HA Villa0 - 1Everton
AA Villa0 - 0C Palace
HA Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa1 - 4Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 1Man Utd
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal2 - 1Chelsea
Wolves1 - 3Chelsea
C Palace1 - 3Chelsea
Fulham2 - 1Chelsea
Man City1 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
Leeds3 - 1Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Spurs0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
West Ham1 - 5Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Fulham1 - 2Chelsea
Brentford0 - 0Chelsea
Arsenal1 - 0Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea1 - 2Arsenal
HChelsea1 - 1Burnley
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 0Brentford
AChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
30
42
Games: Scored
19 / 30
22 / 30
Clean sheets
8 / 30
11 / 30
AVL
9
D
8
CHE
13
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 3Chelsea
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
A Villa
Goals: Scored
58
31
Games: Scored
27 / 31
19 / 31
Clean sheets
12 / 31
4 / 31
AVL
8
D
6
CHE
17
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea8 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Draw3 - 3Draw
Chelsea7 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A Villa
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Aston Villa of late. It has been 5 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday evening against Chelsea.

A Villa 4th Chelsea 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
AVL
CHE
28%
better
view stats
Games scored19
26
Failed to score9
2
Scored first10
16
Goals scored38
49
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for1.4
2
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
AVL
CHE
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
19
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first15
10
Goals conceded30
33
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+3%

A Villa v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29857
M RogersM RogersM RogersM Cash
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK25
2
-
M Cash DEF2732
7
-
E Konsa DEF28
1
T Mings DEF12
-
I Maatsen DEF23
2
-
A Onana MID202
2
-
D Luiz MID61
-
L Bailey MID71
1
-
M Rogers MID2985
6
-
E Buendía MID2752
5
-
O Watkins FWD2881
2
-
Subs
M Bizot GLK5
2
-
V Lindelöf DEF121
-
L Digne DEF244
3
-
P Torres DEF16
-
L Bogarde MID23
5
-
R Barkley MID121
-
T Abraham FWD61
-
J Sancho FWD181
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD3
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281459
T ChalobahJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Jörgensen GLK3
-
M Gusto DEF2623
3
1
W Fofana DEF171
2
1
T Chalobah DEF283
3
1
J Hato DEF14
4
-
R James  MID2624
4
-
M Caicedo MID2431
8
1
C Palmer MID1891
4
-
E Fernández MID2883
8
-
A Garnacho MID1814
1
-
J Pedro  FWD29145
4
-
Subs
R Sánchez GLK271
3
1
M Cucurella  DEF2513
5
1
T Adarabioyo DEF14
2
-
B Badiashile  DEF8
2
-
M Sarr DEF2
-
A Santos MID22
4
-
R Lavia MID6
-
L Delap FWD201
2
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-