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Manchester City v Luton Town : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Luton Town, led by manager Rob Edwards, visit Pep Guardiola and his Manchester City side at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the English Premier League. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and the best odds are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for Man City to win, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

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Manchester City's next match is v Wolves at 17:30 on Saturday 4th May
Luton Town's next match is v Everton at 20:00 on Friday 3rd May
The last English Premier League meeting between Man City and Luton was on Saturday 13th April 2024
English Premier League
April 13th 2024
Man City 5
1 Luton
 
D. Hashioka (OG) 2'81' R. Barkley
M. Kovačić 64'
E. Haaland 76'
J. Doku 87'
J. Gvardiol 90'
 
MCI
LUT
Shots On
13
2
Shots Off
14
2
Corners
12
1
Possession
74%
26%
Fouls
7
6
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
Man CityLuton
 
E. Santana de Moraes
M. Akanji
J. Gvardiolfootball icon
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
R. Lewis
K. De Bruyne (S. Gómez 81')
M. Kovačićfootball icon
M. Nunes
J. Dokufootball icon
E. Haalandfootball icon (O. Bobb 81')
J. Álvarez
T. Kaminski
football iconD. Hashioka
R. Burke
(C. Woodrow 59') A. Townsend
(Z. Nelson 88') F. Onyedinma
A. Doughty
football iconR. Barkley
(P. Ruddock Mpanzu 77') L. Berry
(J. Johnson 88') J. Clark
T. Chong
C. Morris
Best Tip: Man City to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding both sides ahead of this Premier League match, a bet on win / draw / win for Man City to win in front of their own fans is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they will be too strong for Luton, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Man City winning is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.11.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Man City
72%
1/12
1%
1/10
1%
1/12
1%
1/14
3%
Draw
16%
12/1
18%
9/1
9%
10/111/1
20%
Luton
12%
16/1
26%
22/1
44%
22/1
21%
29/1
27%
Man City 2-1
9%
14/111/1
8%
11/123/2
4%
Man City 2-0
9%
17/2
12%
15/2
13%
13/2
7%
6/1
7%
Man City 3-1
8%
11/1
8%
10/110/110/1
4%
Man City 3-0
8%
7/1
7%
13/2
15%
6/1
17%
11/2
Draw 1-1
7%
22/120/120/119/1
5%
Man City 1-0
7%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
23/2
4%
Man City 4-1
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
12/112/1
Man City 4-0
5%
17/2
12%
15/2
13%
7/1
7%
13/2
Draw 2-2
5%
40/133/1
17%
33/1
17%
30/1
9%
Man City 3-2
4%
33/125/1
24%
28/1
15%
29/1
Luton 2-1
4%
40/1
20%
66/1
17%
50/1
24%
50/1
Man City 5-1
3%
18/1
10%
16/1
11%
16/1
11%
18/1
6%
Man City 5-0
3%
12/111/1
9%
11/1
9%
21/2
10%
Man City 4-2
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
29%
33/1
17%
34/1
3%
Luton 1-0
3%
40/1
20%
90/166/150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
1/4
3%
27/100
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
10/3
8%
3/1
7%
11/4
7%
11/4
6%
Home 1st Goal
59%
1/6
3%
1/6
3%
1/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
4/1
9%
9/2
15%
4/1
17%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
33/1
17%
45/1
12%
28/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
19/20
7%
10/11
13%
11/10
12%
5/4
6%
BTTS - No
41%
4/5
8%
4/5
11%
4/6
9%
8/13
5%
BTTS - Home Win
39%
11/8
5%
13/10
12%
6/4
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
12/1
8%
10/1
15%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
22/1
21%
40/1
20%
33/1
17%
-
Home/draw
88%
1/40
1%
1/10001/200
1%
1/100
1%
Away/draw
28%
7/16/1
18%
11/2
7%
7/1
20%
Home/away
84%
1/25
1%
1/20
1%
1/28
1%
1/20
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/16
1%
1/16
1%
1/16
1%
1/18
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
9/1
11%
9/1
11%
7/1
7%
8/1
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
8/13
3%
4/7
3%
4/6
3%
8/11
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
13/10
5%
13/10
7%
11/10
5%
11/10
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
13/10
8%
5/4
6%
6/4
9%
33/20
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
8/13
6%
4/7
5%
1/2
7%
4/9
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
11/4
13%
13/5
10%
10/3
4%
18/5
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
2/7
6%
1/4
2%
1/5
3%
2/11
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/200
1%
1/100--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
33/1
17%
40/1
21%
--
Home DNB
83%
1/33
1%
1/66
2%
1/1001/100
1%
Away DNB
23%
14/1
21%
12/1
62%
16/1
19%
24/1
26%
Man City win to nil
34%
5/6
6%
10/11
12%
8/11
10%
-
Luton win to nil
5%
28/1
15%
70/150/1-
Man City / Man City
63%
4/9
3%
2/5
3%
4/11
5%
4/11
4%
Man City / Luton
1%
50/1
24%
150/1
25%
90/1
10%
180/1
40%
Man City / Draw
3%
28/140/1
11%
28/1
15%
40/1
11%
Draw / Man City
19%
10/310/3
2%
7/2
10%
4/1
5%
Draw / Luton
2%
40/150/1
16%
40/1
20%
50/1
24%
Draw / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
16/114/117/1
14%
Luton / Man City
4%
16/1
11%
22/1
21%
18/1
17%
25/1
16%
Luton / Luton
2%
40/160/1
25%
33/150/1
28%
Luton / Draw
2%
33/1
17%
45/1
10%
33/145/1
18%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table. Man City are unbeaten at home after 16 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man City have outscored their opponents by 71 goals to 45 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 38 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Luton are in 18th position in the Premier League on 25 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 38 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Luton have conceded 57 goals, scored 39, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Man City
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Luton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
 Arsenal3525555780 
l
 
3-4A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
 Man City Home3424735079 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Liverpool3522944175 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
1-0A
 A Villa3520782167 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3A
May 14
 Spurs3318691560 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-3F
 Man Utd3416612154 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
 Newcastle34165131953 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
4-4A
May 19
w
 
1-3A
 West Ham35131012-949 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
d
 
1-1A
d
 
4-4F
 Chelsea3313911448 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Bournemouth3513913-848 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-3F
May 4
l
 
2-1A
 Wolves3513715-746 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
 Brighton34111112-544 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
5-1F
May 11
 Fulham3512716-443 
May 19
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-4A
 C Palace35101015-1240 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
 Everton3512815-1136 
May 3
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
 Brentford359818-835 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Nottm Forest357919-2026 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2A
 Luton Away356722-2925 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
 Burnley355921-3224 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Sheff Utd353725-6316 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
see results
HOME FORM
Man City4 - 1A Villa
Man City0 - 0Arsenal
Man City3 - 1Man Utd
Man City1 - 0Brentford
Man City1 - 1Chelsea
Man City2 - 0Everton
Man City3 - 1Burnley
Man City2 - 0Sheff Utd
Man City2 - 2C Palace
Man City3 - 3Spurs
Man City1 - 1Liverpool
Man City6 - 1Bournemouth
Man City2 - 1Brighton
Man City2 - 0Nottm Forest
Man City5 - 1Fulham
Man City1 - 0Newcastle
Man City1 - 0Chelsea
Man City2 - 1Leeds
Man City3 - 0West Ham
Man City4 - 1Arsenal
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
see results
OVERALL FORM
AMan City4 - 2C Palace
HMan City4 - 1A Villa
HMan City0 - 0Arsenal
AMan City1 - 1Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Man Utd
AMan City1 - 0Bournemouth
HMan City1 - 0Brentford
HMan City1 - 1Chelsea
HMan City2 - 0Everton
AMan City3 - 1Brentford
HMan City3 - 1Burnley
AMan City3 - 2Newcastle
HMan City2 - 0Sheff Utd
AMan City3 - 1Everton
HMan City2 - 2C Palace
AMan City2 - 1Luton
AMan City0 - 1A Villa
HMan City3 - 3Spurs
HMan City1 - 1Liverpool
AMan City4 - 4Chelsea
Luton 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
see results
AWAY FORM
Arsenal2 - 0Luton
Spurs2 - 1Luton
Bournemouth4 - 3Luton
C Palace1 - 1Luton
Liverpool4 - 1Luton
Newcastle4 - 4Luton
Burnley1 - 1Luton
Sheff Utd2 - 3Luton
Brentford3 - 1Luton
Man Utd1 - 0Luton
A Villa3 - 1Luton
Nottm Forest2 - 2Luton
Everton1 - 2Luton
Fulham1 - 0Luton
Chelsea3 - 0Luton
Brighton4 - 1Luton
Sunderland2 - 1Luton
Blackburn1 - 1Luton
Reading1 - 1Luton
Rotherham0 - 2Luton
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
see results
OVERALL FORM
HLuton2 - 1Bournemouth
ALuton0 - 2Arsenal
ALuton1 - 2Spurs
HLuton1 - 1Nottm Forest
ALuton3 - 4Bournemouth
ALuton1 - 1C Palace
HLuton2 - 3A Villa
ALuton1 - 4Liverpool
HLuton1 - 2Man Utd
HLuton1 - 3Sheff Utd
ALuton4 - 4Newcastle
HLuton4 - 0Brighton
ALuton1 - 1Burnley
HLuton2 - 3Chelsea
ALuton3 - 2Sheff Utd
HLuton1 - 0Newcastle
HLuton1 - 2Man City
HLuton3 - 4Arsenal
ALuton1 - 3Brentford
HLuton2 - 1C Palace
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 9 consecutive English Premier League outings. A PG of 2.7 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Man City 2nd Luton 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Luton have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258877/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
2.7
1
Attack rating
28%
better
MCI
LUT
view stats
Games scored31
30
Failed to score3
5
Scored first22
10
Goals scored82
48
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate19%
18%
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
41%
better
MCI
LUT
view stats
Games conceded23
33
Clean sheets11
2
Conceded first11
25
Goals conceded32
77
Avg. goals conceded0.9
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate16%
17%
KickOff rating
+41%

Man City v Luton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2920109
J ÁlvarezE HaalandJ ÁlvarezRodri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ederson GLK28
5
-
R Lewis DEF142
1
-
R Dias DEF27
-
M Akanji DEF242
3
-
J Gvardiol DEF2211
3
-
M Nunes MID132
-
M Kovacic MID241
3
-
J Álvarez MID31810
2
-
K Bruyne MID1236
2
-
J Doku MID2337
3
-
E Haaland FWD26205
1
-
Subs
S Ortega GLK6
-
K Walker DEF262
2
-
N Aké  DEF2422
-
O Bobb MID1211
-
J Grealish MID1731
7
-
Rodri MID2877
8
1
B Silva MID2764
7
-
S Gómez MID51
-
P Foden MID30147
1
-
Luton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33975
T KaminskiC MorrisA DoughtyR Barkley
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK33
3
-
F Onyedinma DEF4
1
-
D Hashioka DEF7
-
R Burke DEF183
4
-
A Doughty DEF3217
3
-
L Berry MID1311
1
-
R Barkley MID2854
5
-
J Clark MID1911
3
-
A Townsend  FWD2413
1
-
C Morris FWD3394
2
-
T Chong FWD284
3
-
Subs
J Shea  GLK
-
T Krul GLK
-
J Johnson DEF1
-
C. Chigozie DEF
-
A Piesold DEF
-
Z Nelson MID2
-
P Mpanzu MID25
1
-
T. Harris FWD
-
C Woodrow FWD2011
2
-