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Metz v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 6th Feb, 19:45 BST, Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

Bruno Génésio guides his Lille troops to the Stade Saint-Symphorien in the Ligue 1 on Friday evening, with Stéphane Le Mignan's Metz their challengers. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our extensive database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Lille and Metz fans should have some reason to cheer as their clubs go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a far more convincing pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two teams are more than capable of finding the net, as is borne out by the statistics and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, with equal threat among their respective squads. Both teams to score is the tip of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Lille leading the game at half time, and going on to win the match at full time is the most probable outcome according to KickOff’s predictive algorithm. We place ‘Lille/Lille’ at 33% probability, and the bookies’ best price on it is 2.60.

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Metz
28%
4.33
18%
8.00
39%
Draw
23%
4.20
3%
1.80
3%
Lille
48%
1.67
9%
2.45
11%
Draw 1-1
11%
8.00
6%
11.00
Lille 2-1
9%
8.50
6%
26.00
Lille 1-0
8%
9.00
13%
3.30
13%
Lille 2-0
7%
9.00
13%
9.50
24%
Metz 2-1
7%
13.00
24%
51.00
25%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
12%
81.00
25%
Metz 1-0
6%
15.009.00
8%
Lille 3-1
6%
13.00
8%
67.00
Draw 0-0
5%
15.001.95
21%
Lille 3-0
4%
13.00
8%
29.00
25%
Metz 2-0
4%
23.00
21%
34.00
35%
Lille 3-2
4%
21.00
9%
151.00
24%
Metz 3-1
3%
34.00
17%
126.00
31%
Metz 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
251.00
58%
Lille 4-1
2%
23.00
10%
151.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.62
3%
13.00
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.30
5%
1.02
9%
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.50
9%
6.00
26%
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.53
2%
2.25
7%
No 1st Goal
3%
15.001.95
14%
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.67
5%
8.00
17%
BTTS - No
39%
2.10
5%
1.06
17%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7.00
22%
41.00
43%
BTTS - Draw
19%
5.00
9%
11.00
14%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
3.20
3%
21.00
6%
Home/draw
52%
2.15
10%
1.50
20%
Away/draw
72%
1.20
3%
1.06
7%
Home/away
77%
1.22
2%
1.95
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.20
2%
4.50
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.50
4%
1.18
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.63
4%
34.00
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.50
4%
1.00
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.50
10%
71.00
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.20
3%
1.00
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9.00
10%
101.00
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.07
1%
1.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.031.75
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.002.00
21%
Home DNB
45%
3.40
15%
4.00
38%
Away DNB
65%
1.30
7%
1.20
9%
Metz win to nil
12%
9.00
10%
-
Lille win to nil
22%
3.25
18%
-
Metz / Metz
10%
7.50
17%
21.00
38%
Metz / Lille
4%
21.0034.00
12%
Metz / Draw
5%
15.00
12%
29.00
15%
Draw / Metz
8%
10.00
9%
7.50
16%
Draw / Lille
18%
4.75
6%
2.20
10%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.502.88
4%
Lille / Metz
3%
34.00
17%
56.00
31%
Lille / Lille
33%
2.60
9%
7.00
10%
Lille / Draw
6%
15.0026.00
8%
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Half time / full time Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Metz
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2015322748 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens2015141846 
d
 
2-0F
Mar 8
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
3
Marseille2012352439 
d
 
0-3A
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
4
Lyon2012351339 
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Lille201028432 
Feb 6
l
 
6-1A
-
-
6
Rennes20875-131 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
d
 
0-2A
Mar 15
7
Strasbourg20938830 
d
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
8
Toulouse20866830 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-1A
Apr 12
9
Lorient20776-428 
May 9
w
 
1-1F
Mar 8
d
 
1-7F
10
Monaco20839-127 
May 3
d
 
5-2F
d
 
1-0F
May 9
11
Angers20758-426 
w
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
12
Brest20659-723 
Mar 1
d
 
3-2A
Feb 14
w
 
3-3F
13
Nice206410-1122 
l
 
2-1A
May 16
Apr 19
l
 
2-0A
14
Paris FC20569-821 
Apr 19
d
 
3-2F
d
 
4-2A
Apr 26
15
Le Havre20488-920 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
May 3
d
 
0-1F
16
Nantes203512-1714 
Apr 5
d
 
0-2F
Mar 1
w
 
0-2F
17
Auxerre203413-1513 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
May 16
w
 
3-4F
18
Metz203314-2512 
-
-
w
 
6-1F
Feb 6
Half time / full time form
3
Metz has been behind at halftime in 3 consecutive league games, losing 3 at fulltime,
3
Lille has been behind at halftime in 3 consecutive league games, losing 3 at fulltime
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Half time
Full time
won
5
9
Drawn
11
5
lost
4
6
 
Half time
Full time
won
2
3
Drawn
8
3
lost
10
14
 
Lille 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Half time
Full time
won
6
7
Drawn
6
3
lost
8
10
 
Half time
Full time
won
6
10
Drawn
7
2
lost
7
8
 
Half time / full time head to head (H2H)
3
Lille have led Metz at half-time in 3 consecutive league meetings, and won all 3 at full-time
League games at Metz since 2015
Half time
Full time
MET won
1
1
Drawn
1
1
LIL won
4
4
 
League games at Lille since 2014
Half time
Full time
MET won
1
1
Drawn
4
3
LIL won
3
4
 
Goal Statistics

Lille's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday evening, not least because Metz have conceded in each of their last 9 Ligue 1 games. A PG of 1.8 for B. Génésio's side suggests that run should continue.

Metz 18th Lille 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Metz will score 1 or more goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Metz have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-4
Lille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Metz
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
MET
LIL
15%
better
view stats
Games scored13
13
Failed to score7
7
Scored first6
9
Goals scored21
34
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
MET
LIL
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
15
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded46
30
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against20%
19%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%

Metz v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19645
J. FischerG HeinG HeinK Kouao
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK20
-
K Kouao DEF1711
5
-
S. Sané DEF92
2
2
U. Mboula DEF5
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF8
2
-
J Deminguet MID191
4
-
B Stambouli MID13
-
A. Touré MID20
2
-
L. Michal FWD
-
H Diallo FWD1341
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD2021
1
-
Subs
O Ba GLK
-
M Colin DEF14
-
T Yegbe DEF161
2
-
B Sarr DEF
-
G Hein MID1864
2
1
B. Munongo MID2
-
G Abuashvili FWD131
1
-
G Kvilitaia FWD
-
N. Mbala FWD
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18546
B ÖzerH HaraldssonF CorreiaA. Bouaddi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Özer GLK181
1
-
T Santos DEF7
-
A Mandi DEF171
5
-
Alexsandro DEF5
1
R Perraud DEF1723
4
1
A. Bouaddi MID181
5
1
B André MID1521
6
-
N. Edjouma MID
-
H Haraldsson MID1851
4
-
M Fernandez MID1433
3
-
O Giroud FWD1841
1
-
Subs
A Bodart GLK2
-
C Mbemba DEF9
1
-
C Verdonk DEF8
2
1
N Ngoy  DEF181
3
1
N Mukau MID161
2
-
A Gomes MID2
-
F Correia FWD2034
1
-
G Perrin FWD
-
S. Diaoune FWD611
-