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Metz v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

Sunday lunch time at the Stade Saint-Symphorien, and it’s a Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lille. László Bölöni and Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca going all-out to guide their side to the win. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for it all.

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Metz's next match is v Rennes at 18:00 on Saturday 4th May
Lille's next match is v Lyon at 20:00 on Monday 6th May

The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Metz and Lille was on Sunday 28th April 2024

French Ligue 1

April 28th 2024

Metz 1	2 Lille

G. Mikautadze 23'	31' I. Gonçalves dos Santos
	44' Y. Yazıcı

	MET LIL
Shots On	2 4
Shots Off	2 6
Corners	2 4
Possession	29% 71%
Fouls	15 12
Yellow/red cards	1/0 2/0

Metz	Lille

A. Oukidja M. Colin S. Sané K. Van Den Kerkhof (A. Jallow 46') I. Traoré M. Udol K. N'Doram (S. Sané 85') A. Atta (L. Camara 46') D. Jean Jacques (C. Sabaly 70') G. Mikautadze P. Diallo (D. Lamkel Ze 70')	L. Chevalier T. Santos Carvalho A. Souza Ribeiro I. Gonçalves dos Santos B. Diakité N. Bentaleb A. Gomes (T. Fontoura Fonseca Morais 88') R. Cabella (H. Haraldsson 77') Y. Yazıcı (G. Gudmundsson 87') E. Zhegrova J. David

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect László Bölöni and Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Metz and Lille go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.91 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Lille coming away with a win.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Metz 28%	19/4 28%	9/2 10%	4/1	-
Draw 28%	3/1 5%	14/5	3/1	-
Lille 44%	3/5 8%	8/13 3%	4/6	-
Lille 1-0 13%	11/2 13%	11/2 7%	6/1	-
Draw 1-1 13%	13/2	13/2 7%	13/2	-
Draw 0-0 10%	10/1 8%	10/1 8%	11/1	-
Metz 1-0 10%	12/1	14/1	14/1	-
Lille 2-0 9%	13/2 12%	13/2 6%	7/1	-
Lille 2-1 9%	15/2	7/1	7/1	-
Metz 2-1 6%	16/1 13%	16/1 13%	14/1	-
Metz 2-0 5%	25/1 13%	33/1 17%	25/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 13%	16/1 13%	14/1	-
Lille 3-0 4%	11/1 8%	11/1 8%	12/1	-
Lille 3-1 4%	12/1	12/1	12/1	-
Metz 3-1 2%	40/1 21%	55/1 22%	40/1	-
Lille 3-2 2%	25/1 13%	25/1	22/1	-
Metz 3-0 2%	50/1	90/1 12%	66/1	-
Metz 3-2 1%	40/1	55/1 22%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	10/11 6%	17/20 3%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	10/11 5%	20/23 2%	10/11	-
Home 1st Goal 43%	11/5 16%	21/10 7%	9/5	-
Away 1st Goal 50%	2/5 7%	1/2 2%	1/2	-
No 1st Goal 7%	10/1 8%	10/1 8%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	19/20 11%	20/23 4%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 55%	4/5 10%	17/20 5%	10/11	-
BTTS - Home Win 11%	9/1 25%	9/1 18%	15/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	9/2 10%	4/1 5%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	13/5	5/2 3%	12/5	-
Home/draw 56%	13/10 12%	5/4 5%	23/20	-
Away/draw 72%	1/7 3%	2/15 2%	2/11	-
Home/away 72%	2/9 2%	1/4	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	2/7 3%	2/7 3%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	11/4 6%	5/2 3%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	12/5 13%	21/10 3%	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/3 5%	1/3 2%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	5/1 9%	5/1 4%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/8 2%	1/9 1%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	12/1 18%	12/1 8%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/25 1%	1/25 1%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/20 1%	1/18 1%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	10/1 8%	10/1	9/1	-
Home DNB 47%	3/1 18%	11/4 7%	11/4	-
Away DNB 64%	2/9 6%	1/4 3%	1/4	-
Metz win to nil 17%	8/1 13%	17/2 6%	8/1	-
Lille win to nil 28%	13/8 13%	33/20 8%	7/4	-
Metz / Metz 9%	8/1 20%	9/1 11%	7/1	-
Metz / Lille 4%	20/1	25/1 13%	22/1	-
Metz / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	16/1	14/1	-
Draw / Metz 7%	10/1 16%	10/1 10%	11/1	-
Draw / Lille 19%	10/3 9%	16/5 3%	7/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 8%	9/2 4%	5/1	-
Lille / Metz 2%	40/1 21%	55/1 10%	40/1	-
Lille / Lille 33%	6/4 9%	8/5 4%	6/4	-
Lille / Draw 5%	14/1	16/1	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Metz have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Metz have conceded 45 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Metz have played 14 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Lille lay in 4th place on 52 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 37 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lille have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lille have played 15 away games, winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Metz

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Lille

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
May 19	l 3-1A	PSG	31	20	10	1	47	70	d 1-1A	l 3-1F
l 2-5A	l 2-1F	Monaco	31	17	7	7	17	58	w 2-0F	l 1-0A
l 0-1A	l 4-3F	Brest	31	16	8	7	16	56	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
l 1-2F	l 2-0A	Lille Away	31	15	10	6	18	55	-	-
l 0-1A	l 1-0A	Nice	31	14	9	8	11	51	May 19	d 1-1A
w 2-1A	w 0-1F	Lens	31	13	7	11	6	46	w 2-1F	d 1-1F
d 2-2A	d 1-1A	Marseille	31	11	11	9	9	44	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
l 1-2F	d 1-1F	Lyon	31	13	5	13	-9	44	May 6	w 0-2F
May 4	l 5-1A	Rennes	31	11	9	11	7	42	d 2-2A	d 2-2F
l 0-1A	l 3-0A	Toulouse	31	10	10	11	-2	40	d 1-1F	l 3-1F
d 2-2F	l 2-1A	Reims	31	11	7	13	-7	40	l 1-2A	w 0-1F
l 0-1A	l 3-0A	Montpellier	31	9	11	11	-4	37	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
l 0-1A	May 12	Strasbourg	31	9	9	13	-10	36	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
w 3-1F	w 0-2F	Nantes	31	9	5	17	-20	32	w 2-0F	May 12
d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	Le Havre	31	6	11	14	-11	29	w 3-0F	w 0-2F
-	-	Metz Home	31	8	5	18	-19	29	w 2-0F	w 1-2A
l 1-2A	w 2-3F	Lorient	31	6	8	17	-24	26	w 3-0F	l 4-1A
w 1-0F	w 0-1F	Clermont	31	5	10	16	-25	25	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Metz	2 - 1	Lens
Metz	2 - 5	Monaco
Metz	1 - 0	Clermont
Metz	1 - 2	Lyon
Metz	1 - 2	Lorient
Metz	0 - 1	Toulouse
Metz	0 - 1	Montpellier
Metz	0 - 1	Brest
Metz	3 - 1	Nantes
Metz	0 - 0	Le Havre
Metz	0 - 1	Nice
Metz	0 - 1	Strasbourg
Metz	2 - 2	Reims
Metz	2 - 2	Marseille
Metz	3 - 2	Bastia
Metz	1 - 0	Grenoble
Metz	1 - 1	Paris FC
Metz	3 - 0	Bordeaux
Metz	1 - 0	Lavallois
Metz	1 - 1	Le Havre

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Metz	1 - 0	Le Havre
H	Metz	2 - 1	Lens
A	Metz	3 - 4	Brest
H	Metz	2 - 5	Monaco
A	Metz	1 - 2	Reims
H	Metz	1 - 0	Clermont
A	Metz	2 - 0	Nantes
H	Metz	1 - 2	Lyon
A	Metz	0 - 3	Montpellier
A	Metz	1 - 1	Marseille
H	Metz	1 - 2	Lorient
A	Metz	0 - 1	Nice
H	Metz	0 - 1	Toulouse
A	Metz	1 - 3	PSG
H	Metz	0 - 1	Montpellier
H	Metz	0 - 1	Brest
A	Metz	0 - 2	Lille
A	Metz	3 - 2	Lorient
H	Metz	3 - 1	Nantes
A	Metz	1 - 1	Lyon

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Monaco	1 - 0	Lille
Brest	1 - 1	Lille
Reims	0 - 1	Lille
Toulouse	3 - 1	Lille
PSG	3 - 1	Lille
Montpellier	0 - 0	Lille
Strasbourg	2 - 1	Lille
Clermont	0 - 0	Lille
Lyon	0 - 2	Lille
Marseille	0 - 0	Lille
Lens	1 - 1	Lille
Le Havre	0 - 2	Lille
Rennes	2 - 2	Lille
Lorient	4 - 1	Lille
Nice	1 - 1	Lille
Troyes	1 - 1	Lille
Monaco	0 - 0	Lille
Reims	1 - 0	Lille
Auxerre	1 - 1	Lille
Angers	1 - 0	Lille

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM
A	Lille	0 - 1	Monaco
H	Lille	1 - 0	Strasbourg
H	Lille	3 - 1	Marseille
H	Lille	2 - 1	Lens
A	Lille	1 - 1	Brest
H	Lille	2 - 2	Rennes
A	Lille	1 - 0	Reims
A	Lille	1 - 3	Toulouse
H	Lille	3 - 0	Le Havre
A	Lille	1 - 3	PSG
H	Lille	4 - 0	Clermont
A	Lille	0 - 0	Montpellier
H	Lille	3 - 0	Lorient
A	Lille	1 - 2	Strasbourg
H	Lille	1 - 1	PSG
A	Lille	0 - 0	Clermont
H	Lille	2 - 0	Metz
A	Lille	2 - 0	Lyon
H	Lille	1 - 1	Toulouse
A	Lille	0 - 0	Marseille

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Lille have not lost to Metz in 8 consecutive league meetings

Metz

Lille

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

2 / 5

MET

LIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 2	Lille
	0 - 3	Lille
Metz	3 - 2
	1 - 4	Lille

Metz

Lille

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

7 / 12

MET

LIL

FIXTURE HISTORY
Lille	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 2	Lille
Lille	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Lille	3 - 1
	0 - 3	Lille
	0 - 2	Metz
Metz	3 - 2
	1 - 4	Lille
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Lille's defensive record is to be admired, P. Rodrigues Fonseca's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Metz makes sense in this context.

	Metz 16th	Lille 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Metz’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-40 Lille have scored 40% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.1 conceded

Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season

MET

LIL

25%

better

view stats

Games scored	21		27
Failed to score	10		4
Scored first	13		21
Goals scored	32		45
Avg. goals scored	1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate	14%		15%
KickOff rating		+25%

MET

LIL

39%

better

view stats

Games conceded	25		16
Clean sheets	6		15
Conceded first	17		7
Goals conceded	51		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate	15%		12%
KickOff rating		+39%

Metz v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	9	4	4
A Oukidja	G Mikautadze	L Camara	M Udol

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Oukidja GLK	29			2 -
M Colin DEF	17			3 -
I Traoré DEF	22	2		1 -
S. Sané DEF	10			-
M Udol DEF	27	3	3	4 -
K Kerkhof MID	24	1	2	2 -
D Jacques MID	28			3 -
K N'Doram MID	18		2	4 -
A Atta MID	17	1	2	-
P Diallo MID	11	1		1 -
G Mikautadze FWD	15	9	3	-
Subs
G Dietsch GLK	1			-
F Candé DEF	23		1	3 -
A Lô DEF	4			1
K Kouao DEF	12		2	2 -
C Sabaly MID	24	3	1	4 -
L Camara MID	27	1	4	3 -
A Jallow MID	15	3	1	1 -
D Zé FWD	7	1		-
I. Sane FWD	7	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	22	4	4
G Mikautadze	G Mikautadze	L Camara	M Udol

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Mikautadze FWD	9	22	3	1
M Udol DEF	3	8	3	4
I Traoré DEF	2	4
K Kerkhof MID	1	6	2	4
A Atta MID	1	3	2	3
P Diallo MID	1	3
M Colin DEF				1
S. Sané DEF		1
D Jacques MID		5
K N'Doram MID		1	2	1
Subs
A Jallow MID	3	7	1	1
C Sabaly MID	3	9	1	3
L Camara MID	1	9	4	4
D Zé FWD	1	3		1
I. Sane FWD	1	1
F Candé DEF		6	1
A Lô DEF				1
K Kouao DEF		1	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
917	59	129
M Udol	L Camara	L Camara

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Udol DEF	917	51	108
A Oukidja GLK	730	2	22
I Traoré DEF	671	17	41
D Jacques MID	654	48	102
M Colin DEF	532	35	70
K N'Doram MID	469	19	58
K Kerkhof MID	346	26	74
A Atta MID	309	16	43
G Mikautadze FWD	285	1	62
S. Sané DEF	162	11	23
P Diallo MID	141	8	42
Subs
L Camara MID	770	59	129
F Candé DEF	705	30	78
C Sabaly MID	341	41	100
K Kouao DEF	303	20	46
A Jallow MID	250	5	34
D Zé FWD	169	8	34
A Lô DEF	68	2	7
I. Sane FWD	37	6	11
G Dietsch GLK	23

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	16	6	5
L Chevalier	J David	A Gomes	T Santos

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Chevalier GLK	28			1 -
T Santos DEF	24	1	2	5 -
B Diakité DEF	15	3	1	3 -
Alexsandro DEF	24			4 1
Ismaily DEF	24		1	1 -
A Gomes MID	25		6	4 -
N Bentaleb MID	21		3	5 -
Y Yazici MID	23	4	1	5 -
R Cabella MID	24	2	1	-
E Zhegrova MID	27	5	5	2 -
J David FWD	28	16	2	2 -
Subs
V Mannone GLK				-
A Jakubech GLK				-
G Gudmundsson DEF	19	1		2 -
L Yoro DEF	27	2		4 -
H Haraldsson MID	20	1		3 -
A. Bouaddi MID	6			1 -
T. Dago FWD	4		1	1 -
I Cavaleiro FWD	15	1	1	1 -
T Morais FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	43	6	10
J David	J David	A Gomes	A Gomes

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J David FWD	16	43	2	7
E Zhegrova MID	5	26	5	8
Y Yazici MID	4	12	1	3
B Diakité DEF	3	5	1	2
R Cabella MID	2	14	1	6
T Santos DEF	1	6	2	2
Alexsandro DEF		2		1
Ismaily DEF		2	1	2
A Gomes MID		6	6	10
N Bentaleb MID		1	3
Subs
L Yoro DEF	2	7
G Gudmundsson DEF	1	4		1
H Haraldsson MID	1	4		2
I Cavaleiro FWD	1	3	1	1
T. Dago FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1630	56	172
L Yoro	Ismaily	T Santos

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
Alexsandro DEF	1569	29	92
A Gomes MID	1335	21	77
N Bentaleb MID	1056	40	83
Ismaily DEF	974	56	130
L Chevalier GLK	889	1	8
T Santos DEF	889	48	172
B Diakité DEF	800	24	53
E Zhegrova MID	706	20	128
R Cabella MID	693	44	96
J David FWD	512	21	103
Y Yazici MID	397	18	46
Subs
L Yoro DEF	1630	29	91
G Gudmundsson DEF	408	21	51
H Haraldsson MID	397	9	41
I Cavaleiro FWD	241	10	41
A. Bouaddi MID	85	6	7
T Morais FWD	14	1	1
T. Dago FWD	3		3