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VfB Stuttgart v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart

Home advantage makes a difference in the Bundesliga, and Sebastian Hoeness’s VfB Stuttgart will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Thomas Tuchel’s Bayern Munich are their opponents at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. You'll find statistics supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Bundesliga performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last German Bundesliga meeting between Stuttgart and Bayern was on Saturday 4th May 2024
German Bundesliga
May 4th 2024
Stuttgart 3
1 Bayern
 
L. Stergiou 29'37' H. Kane
W. Jeong 83'
S. Wamangituka 90'
 
VFB
FCB
Shots On
10
3
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
3
1
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
9
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
StuttgartBayern
 
A. Nübel
W. Anton
A. Rouault (M. Dahoud 72')
H. Ito
L. Stergioufootball icon
A. Karazor
A. Stiller
S. Guirassy
D. Undav (L. Raimund 90')
C. Führich (W. Jeong 72')
J. Leweling (S. Wamangituka 79')
M. Neuer
M. Kim
(L. Goretzka 17') R. Guerreiro
A. Davies
(D. Upamecano 46') E. Dier
A. Pavlović
(N. Mazraoui 64') J. Kimmich
J. Choupo-Moting
football iconH. Kane
(B. Zaragoza Martínez 64') S. Gnabry
(L. Sané 72') M. Tel
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Bundesliga clash, with Stuttgart and Bayern going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the highly popular over market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Forwards at both clubs will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stuttgart are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stuttgart
49%
6/4
7%
31/20
11%
Draw
21%
14/5
6%
27/10
1%
Bayern
30%
6/4
5%
6/4
11%
Stuttgart 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
9/1
5%
Draw 1-1
8%
15/2
13%
7/1
Draw 2-2
7%
10/19/1
Bayern 2-1
7%
9/1
5%
17/2
5%
Stuttgart 3-1
6%
16/1
11%
16/1
13%
Stuttgart 2-0
5%
16/116/1
13%
Stuttgart 3-2
5%
18/1
17%
18/1
12%
Stuttgart 1-0
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
Bayern 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
18/1
Stuttgart 3-0
4%
25/1
10%
28/1
12%
Bayern 1-0
4%
14/1
25%
12/1
13%
Bayern 3-1
4%
16/116/1
11%
Stuttgart 4-1
3%
33/1
17%
40/1
21%
Bayern 2-0
3%
16/1
13%
16/1
11%
Draw 3-3
3%
28/1
15%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
4/9
8%
4/9
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
7/4
16%
6/4
4%
Home 1st Goal
52%
20/21
5%
19/20
5%
Away 1st Goal
47%
4/5
4%
20/21
5%
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1
24%
20/1
BTTS - Yes
71%
2/5
7%
2/5
3%
BTTS - No
29%
7/4
10%
9/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
11/4
17%
11/4
10%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
3/1
BTTS - Away Win
20%
11/4
6%
27/10
8%
Home/draw
70%
1/2
2%
1/2
4%
Away/draw
51%
1/2
4%
1/2
6%
Home/away
79%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/7
3%
1/8
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
9/2
10%
21/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
11/10
12%
21/20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
8/11
10%
8/13
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
5/2
19%
23/10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
3/10
7%
1/4
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
5/1
25%
5/1
4%
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1/8
4%
1/10
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/501/50
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
18/1
12%
16/1
11%
Home DNB
64%
5/6
9%
5/6
6%
Away DNB
44%
5/6
6%
5/6
9%
Stuttgart win to nil
17%
5/15/1
9%
Bayern win to nil
9%
5/1
20%
5/1
14%
Stuttgart / Stuttgart
20%
3/1
8%
10/3
14%
Stuttgart / Bayern
4%
20/122/1
12%
Stuttgart / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Stuttgart
13%
11/211/2
12%
Draw / Bayern
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
14%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
Bayern / Stuttgart
4%
20/1
9%
22/1
10%
Bayern / Bayern
21%
3/1
7%
16/5
12%
Bayern / Draw
6%
12/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Stuttgart have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Stuttgart are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 2 and won zero. Stuttgart have conceded 6 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stuttgart have played 15 games at home, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 43 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Bayern lay in 2nd place on 69 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored 87 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 15 away games, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 2.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Stuttgart
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Bayern
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
 Leverkusen3428606590 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
-
-
 Stuttgart Home3423473973 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Bayern Away3423384972 
-
-
w
 
5-2F
l
 
5-1F
 RB Leipzig3419873865 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Dortmund3418972563 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
 E.Frankfurt3411149147 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
5-1A
l
 
2-3A
w
 
0-3F
 Hoffenheim3413714046 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
 Heidenheim34101212-542 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 W.Bremen3411914-642 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Freiburg3411914-1342 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Augsburg3410915-1039 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-3F
 Wolfsburg3410717-1537 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
 Mainz3471413-1235 
w
 
8-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-1A
 B. M'gladbach3471314-1134 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Union Berlin349619-2533 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-5F
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
 VfL Bochum3471215-3233 
w
 
7-0F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Köln3451217-3227 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Darmstadt343823-5617 
w
 
8-0F
w
 
2-5A
Win / draw / win form
Stuttgart 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Bayern 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Bayern have beaten Stuttgart in 8 consecutive away league meetings
9
Bayern have not lost to Stuttgart in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Stuttgart since 2013
Stuttgart
Bayern
Goals: Scored
3
21
Games: Scored
3 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
5 / 8
FCB
8
All league games since 2012
Stuttgart
Bayern
Goals: Scored
13
48
Games: Scored
8 / 17
17 / 17
Clean sheets
0 / 17
9 / 17
VFB
1
D
2
FCB
14
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for VfB Stuttgart in their meeting with Bayern Munich, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 61 consecutive Bundesliga matches.

Stuttgart 3rd Bayern 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Stuttgart will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Bayern will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+30
Stuttgart have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted
+11
Bayern have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Statistics Bundesliga - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263637/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stuttgart
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
2.1
1.6
Attack rating
VFB
FCB
5%
better
view stats
Games scored31
31
Failed to score3
3
Scored first25
24
Goals scored78
94
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.8
Avg. shots per game12
14
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate19%
20%
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
9%
better
VFB
FCB
view stats
Games conceded22
23
Clean sheets12
11
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded39
45
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate14%
16%
KickOff rating
+9%

Stuttgart v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3328109
C FührichS Guirassy D UndavA Karazor
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Nübel GLK30
1
-
L Stergiou DEF151
-
W Anton DEF333
7
-
A Rouault DEF222
3
-
H Ito DEF262
1
-
A Karazor MID334
9
-
A Stiller MID3115
5
-
J Leweling MID3444
3
-
C Führich MID3487
2
-
D Undav FWD301810
5
-
S Guirassy  FWD28283
-
Subs
F Bredlow GLK4
-
A. Chase DEF
-
P Stenzel  DEF235
2
-
L. Raimund MID3
1
-
R. Paula MID
-
M Dahoud MID131
-
W Jeong MID2623
1
-
G Haraguchi MID2
-
Silas FWD2752
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3236116
H KaneH KaneL SanéA Pavlović
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK23
1
-
J Kimmich DEF2816
1
1
M Kim DEF2512
3
-
E Dier DEF15
1
-
A Davies DEF2925
-
A Pavlović MID1922
6
-
R Guerreiro MID203
2
-
S Gnabry MID1031
-
E Choupo-Moting MID2723
1
-
M Tel MID2975
2
-
H Kane FWD32368
2
-
Subs
S Ulreich GLK11
1
-
D Upamecano DEF251
2
-
N Mazraoui  DEF193
3
-
L Goretzka MID3067
3
-
K Laimer MID293
3
-
L. Zvonarek MID51
-
T Müller FWD3159
-
L Sané FWD26811
4
-
B Zaragoza FWD6
-
German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds