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Fiorentina v Sassuolo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Fiorentina and Sassuolo meet at the Artemio Franchi on Sunday evening, with both Vincenzo Italiano and Davide Ballardini aiming for victory in the Serie A. In this preview you'll find odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Fiorentina's next match is v Verona at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May
Sassuolo's next match is v Inter at 19:45 on Saturday 4th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Fiorentina and Sassuolo was on Sunday 28th April 2024
Italian Serie A
April 28th 2024
Fiorentina 5
1 Sassuolo
 
R. Sottil 17'57' K. Thorstvedt
L. Martínez Quarta 54'
N. González 58'
A. Barák 62'
N. González 66'
 
FIO
SAS
Shots On
10
2
Shots Off
9
4
Corners
10
2
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
FiorentinaSassuolo
 
O. Christensen
F. Parisi
M. Kayode
L. Ranieri
L. Martínez Quartafootball icon (P. Comuzzo 71')
A. Barákfootball icon
J. Duncan
Arthur (M. Lopez 80')
N. Ikoné (N. González 46')
R. Sottilfootball icon (G. Castrovilli 83')
C. Kouamé (A. Belotti 71')
A. Consigli
(F. Missori 64') R. Tressoldi Netto
J. Doig
(S. Mulattieri 46') M. Viti
G. Ferrari
M. Kumbulla
(M. de Souza 64') P. Mba Obiang Avomo
(N. Bajrami 46') C. Volpato
(E. Ceide 73') D. Boloca
football iconK. Thorstvedt
A. Pinamonti
Best Tip: Fiorentina to win

A Serie A victory in front of their own fans for Vincenzo Italiano's Fiorentina team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Fiorentina win is the way to go, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fiorentina are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Fiorentina
62%
11/20
9%
8/15
6%
8/13-
Draw
21%
3/1
14%
16/5
8%
3/1-
Sassuolo
16%
5/1
20%
5/1
21%
9/2-
Fiorentina 1-0
12%
13/2
6%
7/1
6%
15/2-
Fiorentina 2-0
11%
7/1
11%
7/1
11%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
7%
7/1
7%
7/1-
Fiorentina 2-1
10%
7/17/17/1-
Fiorentina 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
11/1
8%
12/1-
Fiorentina 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
11/111/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/114/112/1-
Sassuolo 1-0
5%
16/1
13%
16/116/1-
Sassuolo 2-1
4%
18/1
13%
16/1
13%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
12/1-
Fiorentina 4-0
4%
20/1
19%
20/1
12%
22/1-
Fiorentina 4-1
3%
20/1
12%
22/120/1-
Fiorentina 3-2
3%
22/122/1
10%
18/1-
Sassuolo 2-0
2%
33/1
12%
40/1
17%
28/1-
Fiorentina 4-2
1%
40/140/133/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
8/114/6
3%
8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
11/1023/20
5%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/11
7%
4/9
2%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
39%
9/4
11%
21/10
11%
9/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/114/112/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5
6%
8/11
7%
4/6-
BTTS - No
50%
19/20
5%
1/1
7%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
11/5
7%
2/12/1-
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/1
11%
4/1
9%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1
18%
17/2
27%
7/1-
Home/draw
84%
1/8
4%
1/8
3%
1/6-
Away/draw
38%
11/8
12%
29/20
14%
5/4-
Home/away
79%
2/9
5%
2/91/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/91/51/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/316/5
3%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
7/48/5
3%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/94/91/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/115/4
6%
10/3-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/61/6
1%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
11%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/181/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/25--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
8%
12/1
13%
--
Home DNB
77%
2/11
7%
1/5
5%
2/9-
Away DNB
31%
7/2
24%
10/3
14%
3/1-
Fiorentina win to nil
35%
13/8
19%
7/4
11%
15/8-
Sassuolo win to nil
8%
10/1
10%
11/1
10%
10/1-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
35%
11/8
8%
29/20
8%
7/5-
Fiorentina / Sassuolo
2%
40/1
21%
55/1
22%
40/1-
Fiorentina / Draw
5%
14/1
15%
16/1
13%
14/1-
Draw / Fiorentina
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
5%
7/2-
Draw / Sassuolo
7%
11/1
10%
11/1
20%
11/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
11/2
8%
11/2-
Sassuolo / Fiorentina
4%
20/122/1
10%
18/1-
Sassuolo / Sassuolo
9%
17/2
13%
10/1
29%
15/2-
Sassuolo / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
14/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Fiorentina have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Fiorentina have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Fiorentina have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Sassuolo are in 19th position in the Serie A on 26 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 6 and won 6. Sassuolo have conceded 61 goals, scored 35, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Fiorentina
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Sassuolo
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
 Inter3428516389 
May 4
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Milan3421762570 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Juventus34181152165 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
 Bologna34171252263 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
 Roma3417892059 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
-
 Atalanta33176102457 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Lazio3417413855 
l
 
0-2A
May 26
-
-
 Fiorentina Home33148111350 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
May 19
w
 
1-3F
 Napoli34131110950 
l
 
1-6F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Torino34111310046 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 13
w
 
0-1F
 Monza34111112-844 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-4F
 Genoa34101212-242 
l
 
1-2F
May 12
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
 Lecce3481214-1836 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
May 26
 Cagliari3471116-2332 
May 19
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 5
 Verona3471017-1431 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Frosinone3471017-2031 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
 Empoli348719-2431 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
3-4A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
 Udinese3441713-1929 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Sassuolo Away346820-3026 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Salernitana342923-4715 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Fiorentina 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Sassuolo 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fiorentina since 2014
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
FIO
4
D
3
SAS
2
All league games since 2014
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
30
26
Games: Scored
15 / 19
17 / 19
Clean sheets
2 / 19
4 / 19
FIO
7
D
6
SAS
6
Goal Statistics

Fiorentina have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Sassuolo on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Fiorentina 8th Sassuolo 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Fiorentina will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Sassuolo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Fiorentina have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-12
Sassuolo have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264621/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
Sassuolo
1.9
0.9
Attack rating
10%
better
FIO
SAS
view stats
Games scored23
23
Failed to score10
11
Scored first16
15
Goals scored50
40
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate15%
13%
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
31%
better
FIO
SAS
view stats
Games conceded25
32
Clean sheets8
2
Conceded first16
19
Goals conceded37
70
Avg. goals conceded1.1
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate15%
18%
KickOff rating
+31%

Fiorentina v Sassuolo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
307512
P TerraccianoG BonaventuraA DuncanL Ranieri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Christensen GLK2
-
M Kayode DEF2311
2
-
L Quarta DEF234
6
-
L Ranieri DEF222
12
-
F Parisi DEF161
3
-
Arthur MID291
2
-
A Duncan MID2525
2
-
J Ikoné MID2221
5
-
A Barak MID161
2
-
R Sottil  MID2011
-
C Kouamé FWD1711
-
Subs
P Terracciano GLK30
3
-
T Martinelli GLK
-
N Milenković DEF30
4
1
C Biraghi DEF2613
7
-
D Faraoni  DEF41
-
P. Comuzzo DEF3
-
Dodô DEF7
-
M López  MID14
-
G Bonaventura MID2873
5
-
G Castrovilli MID
-
G Infantino MID5
1
-
L Beltrán FWD2862
6
-
N González FWD2572
1
-
A Belotti FWD1111
-
Sassuolo Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321056
A PinamontiA PinamontiJ ToljanD Boloca
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Consigli GLK30
1
-
R Tressoldi DEF24
5
-
G Ferrari DEF251
4
-
M Kumbulla DEF3
1
-
M Viti DEF12
-
C Volpato MID181
-
P Obiang MID3
-
D Boloca MID271
5
1
J Doig MID10
4
-
K Thorstvedt MID2851
5
-
A Pinamonti FWD32101
3
-
Subs
G Pegolo GLK
-
A Cragno GLK2
-
J Toljan DEF215
1
-
M Erlic DEF271
5
-
F Missori DEF4
-
M Pedersen DEF262
4
-
M Henrique MID2622
6
-
N Bajrami MID2522
-
L Lipani MID4
-
U Račić MID1811
1
-
S Mulattieri FWD23
1
-
E Ceide FWD9
-