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Cagliari v Lecce : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 16th Feb, 19:45 BST, Sardegna Arena, Cagliari

Eusebio Di Francesco leads his Lecce troops to the Sardegna Arena in the Serie A on Monday evening, with Fabio Pisacane's Cagliari their challengers. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a smart selection is shown below. Flip between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Cagliari and Lecce combined during 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cagliari are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cagliari
48%
23/20
5%
23/20
5%
Draw
27%
2/1
3%
21/10
Lecce
25%
27/10
5%
11/4
6%
Cagliari 1-0
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Draw 0-0
10%
11/25/1
Cagliari 2-0
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Lecce 1-0
9%
7/1
6%
13/2
Cagliari 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Lecce 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Cagliari 3-0
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
Lecce 2-0
4%
16/114/1
Cagliari 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Cagliari 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Lecce 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
28/1
Cagliari 4-0
2%
40/133/1
17%
Cagliari 4-1
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
13/86/4
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
1/210/21
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/5
4%
4/5
3%
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/46/4
5%
No 1st Goal
6%
11/25/1
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10
5%
23/20
2%
BTTS - No
55%
4/6
3%
8/13
1%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/1
5%
15/2
6%
Home/draw
75%
2/7
3%
1/4
Away/draw
52%
4/6
3%
7/10
3%
Home/away
73%
4/117/20
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
8/151/2
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
6/429/20
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/14/1
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/62/13
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/120/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/1001/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/91/10
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11/211/2
8%
Home DNB
67%
1/2
4%
4/9
3%
Away DNB
44%
6/4
5%
6/4
7%
Cagliari win to nil
30%
9/4
8%
-
Lecce win to nil
15%
9/2-
Cagliari / Cagliari
23%
13/5
6%
23/10
3%
Cagliari / Lecce
2%
40/128/1
Cagliari / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Cagliari
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
Draw / Lecce
11%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
Draw / Draw
19%
10/33/1
Lecce / Cagliari
3%
28/122/1
Lecce / Lecce
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Lecce / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Cagliari have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 5 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Cagliari have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Cagliari have played 11 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Lecce are in 17th position in the Serie A on 21 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Lecce have conceded 31 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cagliari
Lecce
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2419143858 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
2
Milan2314812150 
l
 
0-1A
May 24
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Napoli2415451349 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
4
Juventus2413742146 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
1-1F
5
Roma2415181546 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
6
Como 19072311842141 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
7
Atalanta2410951139 
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
4-1A
8
Lazio24897333 
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
9
Udinese249510-932 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
10
Bologna248610130 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
11
Sassuolo248511-729 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
12
Cagliari247710-528 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Feb 16
13
Torino247611-1827 
May 17
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
14
Parma246810-1426 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
15
Cremonese245811-1223 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
16
Genoa245811-823 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-0A
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
17
Lecce245613-1621 
Feb 16
w
 
1-2A
-
-
18
Fiorentina243912-1118 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
19
Pisa2411211-2115 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
May 3
20
Verona242913-2315 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
3
Lecce have lost 3 consecutive away league games
6
Lecce have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
3
Lecce have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Cagliari 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cagliari4 - 0Verona
Cagliari1 - 0Juventus
Cagliari0 - 1Milan
Cagliari2 - 2Pisa
Cagliari1 - 0Roma
Cagliari3 - 3Genoa
Cagliari1 - 2Sassuolo
Cagliari0 - 2Bologna
Cagliari0 - 2Inter
Cagliari2 - 0Parma
Cagliari1 - 1Fiorentina
Cagliari3 - 0Venezia
Cagliari1 - 2Udinese
Cagliari1 - 2Fiorentina
Cagliari3 - 0Monza
Cagliari1 - 1Genoa
Cagliari0 - 1Juventus
Cagliari2 - 1Parma
Cagliari1 - 2Lazio
Cagliari4 - 1Lecce
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACagliari0 - 2Roma
HCagliari4 - 0Verona
ACagliari2 - 1Fiorentina
HCagliari1 - 0Juventus
ACagliari0 - 3Genoa
ACagliari2 - 2Cremonese
HCagliari0 - 1Milan
ACagliari2 - 1Torino
HCagliari2 - 2Pisa
ACagliari1 - 2Atalanta
HCagliari1 - 0Roma
ACagliari1 - 2Juventus
HCagliari3 - 3Genoa
ACagliari0 - 0Como 1907
ACagliari0 - 2Lazio
HCagliari1 - 2Sassuolo
ACagliari2 - 2Verona
HCagliari0 - 2Bologna
ACagliari1 - 1Udinese
HCagliari0 - 2Inter
Lecce 17TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Torino1 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 0Lecce
Inter1 - 0Lecce
Juventus1 - 1Lecce
Cremonese2 - 0Lecce
Lazio2 - 0Lecce
Fiorentina0 - 1Lecce
Udinese3 - 2Lecce
Parma0 - 1Lecce
Atalanta4 - 1Lecce
Genoa0 - 0Lecce
Lazio0 - 1Lecce
Verona1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Juventus2 - 1Lecce
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Fiorentina1 - 0Lecce
Monza0 - 0Lecce
Parma1 - 3Lecce
Cagliari4 - 1Lecce
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLecce2 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 1Torino
HLecce0 - 0Lazio
ALecce0 - 1Milan
ALecce0 - 1Inter
HLecce1 - 2Parma
HLecce0 - 2Roma
ALecce1 - 1Juventus
HLecce0 - 3Como 1907
HLecce1 - 0Pisa
ALecce0 - 2Cremonese
HLecce2 - 1Torino
ALecce0 - 2Lazio
HLecce0 - 0Verona
ALecce1 - 0Fiorentina
HLecce0 - 1Napoli
ALecce2 - 3Udinese
HLecce0 - 0Sassuolo
ALecce1 - 0Parma
HLecce2 - 2Bologna
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cagliari since 2020
Cagliari
Lecce
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
CAG
1
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cagliari
Cagliari4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Lecce since 2019
Lecce
Cagliari
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
CAG
1
D
2
LEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
1 - 2Cagliari
Lecce1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks like a tall order for Lecce, with E. Di Francesco's men failing to score in 4 consecutive Serie A games.

Cagliari 12th Lecce 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Cagliari will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
Cagliari have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
-24
Lecce have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Cagliari
PG (predicted goals)
Lecce
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
27%
better
CAG
LEC
view stats
Games scored16
11
Failed to score7
13
Scored first7
9
Goals scored28
15
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.6
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for16
9
Avg. XG for1
0.8
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
CAG
LEC
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
17
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first15
11
Goals conceded31
31
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%

Cagliari v Lecce Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cagliari Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24447
E CaprileS KilicsoyM PalestraA Obert
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Caprile GLK24
2
-
M Adopo MID2411
2
-
G Gaetano MID2323
4
-
M Palestra MID2314
2
-
S Esposito FWD2334
4
-
A Obert DEF222
7
-
G Borrelli FWD2231
3
-
G Zappa DEF213
2
-
R. Idrissi DEF192
3
-
M Folorunsho MID161
3
-
Y Mina DEF151
3
-
S Kilicsoy FWD154
1
-
L Mazzitelli MID1422
3
-
A Deiola MID122
3
-
M Felici FWD1121
3
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF10
1
-
L Pavoletti FWD91
1
-
J. Rodríguez Camejo DEF7
2
-
I Sulemana MID31
-
A Belotti FWD32
-
J. Liteta MID2
-
Y. Trepy FWD21
-
A Dossena DEF1
1
-
Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24337
W FalconeL BandaM BerishaY Ramadani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK24
2
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF241
3
-
A Gallo DEF241
2
-
Y Ramadani MID23
7
-
S Pierotti FWD23
1
-
D Veiga DEF221
7
-
N Stulic FWD222
1
-
K Gaspar DEF20
6
1
L Coulibaly  MID202
2
-
L Banda FWD1932
5
1
R Sottil  FWD1811
1
-
F. Camarda FWD171
1
-
K N’Dri FWD172
2
-
M Berisha MID1323
-
C Ndaba DEF8
-
J Siebert DEF7
-
Álex Sala MID71
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID6
-
O Gendelman MID61
-
W Cheddira FWD3
-
M. Pérez Sepúlveda DEF1
-
O Ngom MID1
-