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Roma v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Saturday evening sees Gian Piero Gasperini’s Roma and Raffaele Palladino’s Atalanta go up against one another in a Serie A clash at the Stadio Olimpico. All the odds are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Serie A match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Roma's next match is v Bologna at 17:00 on Saturday 25th April
Atalanta's next match is v Cagliari at 17:30 on Monday 27th April
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Roma and Atalanta was on Saturday 18th April 2026
Italian Serie A
April 18th 2026
Roma 1
1 Atalanta
 
M. Hermoso Canseco 45'12' N. Krstović
 
RMA
ATA
Shots On
9
2
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
7
6
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
4
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
RomaAtalanta
 
M. Svilar
D. Rensch (K. Tsimikas 78')
O. N'Dicka
M. Çelik
N. El Aynaoui (N. Pisilli 60')
D. Malen
M. Malvano (R. Vaz 71')
M. Hermoso Cansecofootball icon
G. Mancini (D. Ghilardi 60')
B. Cristante
S. El Shaarawy (L. Venturino 60')
M. Carnesecchi
B. Djimsiti
(H. Ahanor 46') S. Kolašinac
(M. Pašalić 80') É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
(L. Bernasconi 54') R. Bellanova
(K. Odilon 46') G. Scalvini
M. de Roon
(N. Zalewski 46') C. De Ketelaere
D. Zappacosta
G. Raspadori
football iconN. Krstović

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Roma and Atalanta combined during 90 minutes. Recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 78% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Roma are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
46%
6/4
19%
12/1
11%
Draw
26%
23/101/16
Atalanta
28%
9/5
18%
16/1
9%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
2/7
Roma 1-0
12%
8/1
20%
6/1
7%
Roma 2-1
9%
9/1
11%
5/1
Atalanta 1-0
9%
9/118/5
6%
Roma 2-0
8%
12/1
30%
9/1
22%
Draw 0-0
8%
10/1
16%
13/2
6%
Atalanta 2-1
7%
10/1
8%
7/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
25/1
8%
Atalanta 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
5/1
Roma 3-1
4%
20/1
24%
33/1
Roma 3-0
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
13%
Atalanta 3-1
2%
20/1
28%
45/1
Roma 3-2
2%
28/1100/1
Atalanta 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
100/1
Atalanta 3-0
2%
28/1
29%
12/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
10/11
5%
15/2
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
10/11
6%
1/18
3%
Home 1st Goal
51%
10/11
6%
19/20
6%
Away 1st Goal
44%
1/1
11%
23/20
9%
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
16%
13/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
50%
7/10
6%
1/2
3%
BTTS - No
50%
21/20
5%
29/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
6%
9/2
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
1/4
3%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/2
21%
13/2
13%
Home/draw
72%
2/5
8%
1/150
5%
Away/draw
54%
1/2
12%
1/50
6%
Home/away
74%
1/315/2
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/7
3%
1/6
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/4
10%
18/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
12/5
15%
60/1
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/3
5%
1/1000
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5/1
14%
55/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/8
3%
1/1000
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
13%
1/50
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
1/50
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
16%
13/2
Home DNB
64%
4/5
18%
3/5
9%
Away DNB
46%
10/11
20%
6/5
9%
Roma win to nil
26%
7/2
29%
-
Atalanta win to nil
15%
4/1
17%
-
Roma / Roma
21%
3/1
14%
40/1
12%
Roma / Atalanta
3%
25/1
24%
100/1
Roma / Draw
6%
12/170/1
Draw / Roma
14%
5/1
9%
12/1
5%
Draw / Atalanta
12%
11/2
13%
18/1
7%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
12/1
Atalanta / Roma
4%
25/16/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
17%
7/2
18%
7/10
14%
Atalanta / Draw
7%
12/1
13%
29/10
8%
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Roma have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 0 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Roma have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Roma have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Atalanta are in 7th position in the Serie A on 53 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Atalanta have conceded 10 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Roma
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3325354978 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
2
Milan3319952166 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 10
3
Napoli3320671566 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
4
Juventus3318962863 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
5
Como 190733161072958 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Roma33184111758 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
7
Atalanta33141271654 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
Bologna3314613348 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
May 17
w
 
0-2F
9
Lazio33121110447 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
10
Sassuolo3313614-345 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
11
Udinese3312714-543 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Torino3311715-1740 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
13
Genoa3310914-639 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 2
w
 
0-1F
14
Parma3391212-1639 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Fiorentina3381213-736 
May 4
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 24
16
Cagliari338916-1433 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 27
17
Cremonese3361017-2128 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
18
Lecce337719-2428 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-3F
19
Verona333921-3318 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
20
Pisa3321219-3618 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Roma 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Atalanta 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Atalanta have beaten Roma in 4 consecutive league meetings
7
Atalanta have not lost to Roma in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Roma since 2015
Roma
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
9
16
Games: Scored
7 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
4 / 11
RMA
1
D
5
ATA
5
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Roma
Goals: Scored
24
19
Games: Scored
11 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
1 / 12
RMA
3
D
2
ATA
7
Goal Statistics

Roma have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Atalanta on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Roma's defensive record is to be admired, G. Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Atalanta makes sense in this context.

Roma 6th Atalanta 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Roma’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Atalanta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
1%
better
RMA
ATA
view stats
Games scored25
26
Failed to score7
6
Scored first20
17
Goals scored45
44
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
3%
better
RMA
ATA
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets14
12
Conceded first12
13
Goals conceded28
28
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
10%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%

Roma v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Roma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331059
M SvilarD MalenM MalvanoG Mancini
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK33
-
G Mancini DEF3112
9
-
E Ndicka DEF273
5
-
M Hermoso DEF2221
5
-
Z Celik MID2912
2
1
B Cristante MID3221
6
-
N Aynaoui MID211
4
-
D Rensch MID204
-
M Malvano FWD2865
1
-
S Shaarawy FWD172
2
-
D Malen FWD1310
1
-
Subs
G. De Marzi GLK
-
P Gollini GLK
-
A Angeliño DEF7
2
-
K Tsimikas DEF18
1
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF14
2
-
D Ghilardi DEF19
1
-
N Pisilli MID2012
3
-
L. Venturino FWD9
-
R. Vaz FWD91
-
B Zaragoza FWD41
1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331058
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicC KetelaereM Roon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK33
-
G Scalvini DEF193
2
-
B Djimsiti DEF30
4
-
S Kolasinac DEF16
3
-
R Bellanova MID211
1
-
M Roon MID2912
7
1
Éderson MID261
2
-
D Zappacosta MID3023
2
-
C Ketelaere FWD2635
4
-
G Raspadori FWD821
-
N Krstovic FWD29104
2
-
Subs
M Sportiello GLK
-
P. Pardel GLK
-
O Kossounou  DEF171
1
-
M Bakker DEF
-
H. Ahanor DEF18
1
1
R. Obrić DEF
-
M Pasalic MID2835
2
-
L Samardžić MID2322
1
-
N Zalewski MID2924
3
-
Y Musah MID161
1
-
K Sulemana FWD2322
3
-
G Scamacca FWD2181
2
-