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Torino v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th May, 19:45 BST, Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino

Torino and Milan clash at the Olimpico Grande Torino on Saturday evening, with both Ivan Juric and Stefano Pioli aiming for victory in the Serie A. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Milan coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Torino
34%
2.62
13%
2.60
7%
Draw
28%
3.203.20
3%
Milan
38%
2.88
20%
2.88
25%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
4%
Milan 1-0
11%
8.50
13%
7.50
Torino 1-0
10%
8.00
6%
7.00
18%
Draw 0-0
9%
8.507.50
6%
Milan 2-1
8%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Torino 2-1
8%
10.00
9%
9.00
10%
Milan 2-0
7%
13.00
18%
12.00
9%
Torino 2-0
6%
12.00
20%
11.00
15%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
8%
Milan 3-1
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
12%
Torino 3-1
3%
21.00
19%
17.00
11%
Milan 3-0
3%
29.00
26%
23.00
21%
Torino 3-0
2%
26.00
10%
19.00
27%
Milan 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Torino 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
2.20
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1.67
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
1.91
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.20
22%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
8.50-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.80
6%
1.85
3%
BTTS - No
51%
1.95
2%
1.85
3%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5.50
15%
5.00
13%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
3%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.00
20%
5.50
15%
Home/draw
62%
1.40
9%
1.40
10%
Away/draw
66%
1.44
6%
1.50
7%
Home/away
72%
1.361.35
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.36-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.20-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
4.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.25-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.08-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.02-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.08
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8.00
6%
-
Home DNB
53%
1.80
14%
1.75
15%
Away DNB
58%
1.91
14%
1.95
17%
Torino win to nil
20%
4.33
13%
-
Milan win to nil
22%
4.50
13%
-
Torino / Torino
19%
4.33
9%
4.00
17%
Torino / Milan
3%
29.0023.00
Torino / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Draw / Torino
14%
6.00
8%
5.50
15%
Draw / Milan
13%
6.00
9%
6.00
9%
Draw / Draw
18%
4.754.33
4%
Milan / Torino
3%
29.0023.00
12%
Milan / Milan
18%
4.50
13%
4.50
15%
Milan / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Torino have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Torino have conceded 23 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Torino have played 18 games at home, winning 7, drawing 9 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 13 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 2nd place on 74 points in the Serie A league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 70 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 36 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Milan have played 18 away games, winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Torino
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Milan
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
 Inter3629526792 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
May 18
l
 
4-1A
 Milan Away3622862974 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
 Bologna36181352467 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
 Juventus36181352167 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
May 26
 Atalanta35196102663 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
 Roma36179101960 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Lazio36185131059 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
 Fiorentina36159121354 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Napoli37131311752 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
-
-
 Torino Home36121410150 
w
 
4-1F
May 18
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Genoa36111312-146 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Monza36111213-945 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Lecce3681315-2037 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
 Verona3681018-1434 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Udinese3651813-1733 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
 Cagliari3671217-2733 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
 Frosinone3671118-2532 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
 Empoli368820-2632 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Sassuolo367821-3029 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
 Salernitana3621024-4816 
May 26
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Torino have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
5
Torino have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
5
Milan have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
5
Torino have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive home league games
3
Torino have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games
Torino 10TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
Draw
10
L
3
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Torino since 2015
Torino
Milan
Goals: Scored
11
14
Games: Scored
7 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
2 / 9
TNO
3
D
5
ACM
1
All league games since 2015
Torino
Milan
Goals: Scored
14
30
Games: Scored
9 / 19
15 / 19
Clean sheets
4 / 19
10 / 19
TNO
3
D
7
ACM
9
Goal Statistics
Torino 10th Milan 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Torino will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-37
Torino have scored 37% fewer goals at home than predicted
+28
Milan have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264648/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Torino
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
TNO
ACM
45%
better
view stats
Games scored20
33
Failed to score16
3
Scored first12
25
Goals scored33
72
Avg. goals scored0.9
2
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate11%
18%
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
11%
better
TNO
ACM
view stats
Games conceded18
23
Clean sheets18
13
Conceded first15
10
Goals conceded32
43
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate11%
13%
KickOff rating
+11%

Torino v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Torino Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3511611
V Milinković-SavićR WallnerR BellanovaK Linetty
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Milinković-Savić GLK35
2
-
R Bellanova MID3516
5
-
R Rodríguez DEF341
4
-
V Lazaro MID334
3
-
N Vlasic MID3332
3
-
R Wallner FWD33114
2
-
A Sanabria FWD335
2
-
S Ricci MID3012
6
-
I Ilić MID2923
3
-
A Buongiorno DEF273
7
-
A Tamèze MID272
6
1
M Vojvoda MID263
3
-
K Linetty MID26
11
-
P Pellegri  FWD221
2
-
A Masina  DEF14
-
G Gineitis MID14
2
-
K Djidji DEF13
2
-
S Sazonov DEF12
2
-
M Lovato DEF11
2
-
P Schuurs DEF91
2
-
D Okereke FWD8
-
L Gemello GLK1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3114912
T ReijndersO GiroudR LeãoT Hernández
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Reijnders MID3433
8
-
C Pulisic FWD34127
2
-
O Giroud FWD33148
1
1
R Leão FWD3289
5
-
T Hernández DEF3154
11
1
M Maignan  GLK291
1
1
A Florenzi  DEF2913
5
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2961
5
-
Y Musah MID292
5
-
D Calabria DEF283
4
1
N Okafor FWD2762
1
-
F Tomori DEF244
6
-
S Chukwueze FWD2413
1
-
Y Adli MID2312
3
-
L Jović  FWD2161
2
1
M Thiaw DEF201
4
1
S Kjaer DEF191
1
-
M Gabbia DEF1721
5
-
I Bennacer MID1712
2
-
T Pobega MID10
-
P Kalulu DEF8
-
M Sportiello GLK6
-
F Terracciano DEF2
1
-
A Mirante GLK1
-