FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
-	-	-
£20	-	-

Shonan Bellmare v Sagan Tosu : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka), Hiratsuka

the Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka) is the setting on Monday morning, as Satoshi Yamaguchi's Shonan Bellmare welcome Kenta Kawai's Sagan Tosu in the J-League. Analysing both clubs' last 20 J-League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all J-League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Shonan Bellmare's next match is v Albirex at 08:00 on Sunday 19th May
Sagan Tosu's next match is v Nagoya at 11:00 on Saturday 18th May

The last Japanese J-League meeting between Shonan and Sagan Tosu was on Monday 6th May 2024

Japanese J-League

May 6th 2024

Shonan 2	1 Sagan Tosu

S. Fukuda 25'	13' C. Togashi
H. Abe 46'

	SHO SAG
Shots On	5 5
Shots Off	7 5
Corners	4 7
Possession	53% 47%
Fouls	5 12
Yellow/red cards	3/0 2/0

Shonan	Sagan Tosu

B. Song T. Hata M. Kim Y. Suzuki K. Ohno K. Oiwa S. Fukuda (H. Ishii 89') M. Ikeda (N. Yamada 71') A. Barada (S. Tanaka 46') T. Hiraoka (K. Okuno 82') H. Abe (K. Watanabe 82')	I. Park W. Harada (A. Yokoyama 58') T. Kikuchi (K. Ueebisu 79') K. Yamazaki T. Kim S. Kimura (N. Fujita 68') K. Tezuka S. Kawahara (Y. Horigome 68') Y. Naganuma (V. Vasconcelos Araújo 79') C. Togashi M. Silvestre

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This J-League clash, with Shonan and Sagan Tosu going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the popular over market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to take advantage of an open match and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the best option.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Shonan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Shonan 51%	19/20	10/11
Draw 22%	12/5 3%	23/10
Sagan Tosu 27%	14/5 1%	5/2 3%
Draw 1-1 10%	11/2	11/2
Shonan 2-1 9%	15/2	7/1
Shonan 1-0 7%	13/2 6%	6/1
Shonan 2-0 7%	17/2	15/2 6%
Sagan Tosu 2-1 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1 15%	11/1
Shonan 3-1 6%	14/1	11/1
Sagan Tosu 1-0 5%	11/1	9/1 5%
Shonan 3-0 4%	16/1	12/1
Shonan 3-2 4%	25/1 13%	18/1 12%
Draw 0-0 4%	9/1 9%	8/1
Sagan Tosu 2-0 3%	20/1	14/1
Sagan Tosu 3-1 3%	33/1 17%	20/1
Shonan 4-1 3%	33/1	20/1
Sagan Tosu 3-2 3%	40/1 21%	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	9/10 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	9/10 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	8/5 4%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	9/1 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 63%	3/4 3%	8/11
BTTS - No 37%	1/1 2%	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 29%	3/1 7%	11/4
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	7/2 2%
BTTS - Away Win 16%	13/2 7%	11/2 8%
Home/draw 73%	1/4	1/4 3%
Away/draw 49%	4/5	4/5
Home/away 78%	3/10 1%	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	2/7 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	5/2 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	9/4 8%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	1/3 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	11/2 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	1/9 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	10/1	-
Home DNB 66%	2/5	2/5 3%
Away DNB 43%	7/4	13/8 1%
Shonan win to nil 22%	12/5 3%	-
Sagan Tosu win to nil 11%	6/1	-
Shonan / Shonan 25%	21/10	21/10 3%
Shonan / Sagan Tosu 3%	33/1 17%	25/1
Shonan / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Shonan 16%	4/1	18/5 4%
Draw / Sagan Tosu 10%	7/1	13/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Sagan Tosu / Shonan 4%	22/1	18/1
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu 14%	11/2 8%	19/4
Sagan Tosu / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1 8%

Win / draw / win J-League table

Shonan have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league. Shonan are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Shonan have conceded 23 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Shonan have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Sagan Tosu lay in 18th place on 8 points in the J-League league table having played 11 matches. Sagan Tosu have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games. Sagan Tosu are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Sagan Tosu have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Sagan Tosu have played 5 away games, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.6 goals per away game.

Shonan

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Sagan Tosu

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-1A	Dec 8	Vissel Kobe	14	9	2	3	14	29	d 0-00-0	Aug 25
d 0-00-0	Aug 11	Machida	14	9	2	3	9	29	Nov 3	l 3-1A
Sep 28	l 3-1A	Kashima	14	8	2	4	6	26	w 4-2A	Aug 7
Aug 24	Jun 16	Nagoya	15	8	1	6	2	25	l 0-2A	Nov 30
d 4-4A	Jul 6	Urawa Reds	14	7	2	5	5	23	Aug 11	l 3-0A
Sep 21	l 2-0A	Cerezo	15	6	5	4	4	23	l 0-2A	Jun 26
Jun 22	Nov 3	Tokyo	14	6	4	4	2	22	May 31	Oct 5
Jun 1	Jul 20	Gamba Osaka	14	6	4	4	1	22	Jul 14	l 2-1F
Oct 19	l 2-0A	Hiroshima	13	4	7	2	6	19	Jul 21	l 4-0A
Aug 7	d 1-1A	Avispa	15	4	7	4	-3	19	Sep 28	Jun 16
l 1-2F	Oct 5	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	9	2	2	18	l 0-2A	Sep 21
Aug 17	l 2-1F	Kashiwa	13	4	6	3	-1	18	Jun 30	d 1-1F
l 1-2F	Jun 26	Kawasaki	14	4	4	6	1	16	w 5-2A	Sep 14
Nov 30	d 2-2A	Yokohama FM	12	4	4	4	0	16	Nov 9	Jul 3
May 19	Sep 14	Albirex	14	4	4	6	-4	16	l 1-2F	Jul 6
Jul 14	May 25	Jubilo Iwata	14	4	2	8	-3	14	Dec 8	w 0-3F
w 2-1A	Aug 31	Sagan Tosu Away	15	4	2	9	-6	14	-	-
-	-	Shonan Home	14	2	5	7	-8	11	Aug 31	l 2-1F
Nov 9	d 3-3A	Sapporo	14	2	5	7	-14	11	w 4-0F	Aug 16
Jun 30	w 1-2F	Kyoto Sanga	14	2	3	9	-13	9	Jun 22	Oct 19

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Shonan	0 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Shonan	1 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
Shonan	4 - 4	Urawa Reds
Shonan	1 - 2	Kawasaki
Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo
Shonan	2 - 1	Nagoya
Shonan	1 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Shonan	0 - 2	Kawasaki
Shonan	2 - 2	Kashima
Shonan	0 - 1	Urawa Reds
Shonan	1 - 0	Hiroshima
Shonan	0 - 1	Avispa
Shonan	0 - 6	Sagan Tosu
Shonan	2 - 2	Albirex
Shonan	0 - 2	Cerezo
Shonan	2 - 4	Sapporo
Shonan	1 - 2	Kashiwa
Shonan	1 - 1	Yokohama FM
Shonan	4 - 1	Gamba Osaka
Shonan	0 - 2	Kyoto Sanga

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Shonan	1 - 3	Kashima
A	Shonan	3 - 3	Sapporo
H	Shonan	0 - 1	Vissel Kobe
A	Shonan	2 - 2	Yokohama FM
A	Shonan	0 - 2	Hiroshima
H	Shonan	1 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
A	Shonan	0 - 2	Cerezo
H	Shonan	4 - 4	Urawa Reds
A	Shonan	1 - 1	Avispa
A	Shonan	2 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
H	Shonan	1 - 2	Kawasaki
H	Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo
A	Shonan	1 - 0	Yokohama
H	Shonan	2 - 1	Nagoya
H	Shonan	1 - 1	Vissel Kobe
A	Shonan	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
A	Shonan	2 - 0	Cerezo
H	Shonan	0 - 2	Kawasaki
A	Shonan	1 - 0	Sapporo
H	Shonan	2 - 2	Kashima

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Gamba Osaka	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Urawa Reds	3 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Machida	3 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Hiroshima	4 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa	2 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Nagoya	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Albirex	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Tokyo	3 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Yokohama FM	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Kashima	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Sapporo	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Shonan	0 - 6	Sagan Tosu
Yokohama	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Avispa	0 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Urawa Reds	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Kawasaki	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Sagan Tosu	4 - 2	Kashima
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 2	Gamba Osaka
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 3	Urawa Reds
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Vissel Kobe
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 3	Machida
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 2	Cerezo
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 4	Hiroshima
H	Sagan Tosu	4 - 0	Sapporo
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 2	Albirex
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Kashiwa
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 3	Yokohama
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Nagoya
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Albirex
H	Sagan Tosu	3 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 3	Tokyo
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Yokohama FM
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 2	Hiroshima

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Shonan

Sagan Tosu

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

3 / 6

SHO

SAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Shonan
	0 - 6	Sagan Tosu
Shonan	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Shonan

Sagan Tosu

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

3 / 12

SHO

SAG

FIXTURE HISTORY
	0 - 6	Sagan Tosu
	1 - 5	Shonan
Shonan	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Sagan Tosu
	0 - 2	Shonan
	0 - 1	Shonan
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Shonan Bellmare's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday morning, not least because Sagan Tosu have conceded in each of their last 5 J-League games. A PG of 1.9 for Satoshi Yamaguchi's side suggests that run should continue.

	Shonan 18th	Sagan Tosu 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Shonan will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Shonan have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+13 Sagan Tosu have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Statistics J-League - 2024/2024 Season

SHO

SAG

better

view stats

Games scored	10		9
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	4		6
Goals scored	18		21
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate	13%		16%
KickOff rating		+5%

SHO

SAG

15%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		12
Clean sheets	1		3
Conceded first	9		8
Goals conceded	26		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		14
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate	18%		13%
KickOff rating		+15%

Shonan v Sagan Tosu J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Shonan J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	5	2	4
M Kim	S. Fukuda	K Oiwa	S Tanaka

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Song GLK	7			1
K Oiwa DEF	12		2	1 1
M Kim DEF	14			2 -
K Ono DEF	7			2 -
A Barada MID	10		1	2 -
Y Suzuki MID	14	1		2 -
M Ikeda MID	14	2	2	2 -
T Hiraoka MID	14	1	1	1 -
T Hata MID	13	1		-
H Abe FWD	12	1	1	-
S. Fukuda FWD	12	5		1 1
Subs
H Mawatari GLK	4			-
D Sugioka DEF	11		1	-
S Tanaka MID	9	1	1	4 -
N Yamada MID	5			-
K Okuno MID	11			3 -
K. Watanabe FWD	1			-
H Ishii FWD	7		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	9	2	5
S. Fukuda	T Hiraoka	K Oiwa	Y Suzuki

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S. Fukuda FWD	5	8		2
M Ikeda MID	2	4	2	1
Y Suzuki MID	1	5		5
T Hiraoka MID	1	9	1	3
T Hata MID	1	3		1
H Abe FWD	1	3	1	5
K Oiwa DEF		4	2	2
M Kim DEF		2		2
K Ono DEF				1
A Barada MID			1
Subs
S Tanaka MID	1	1	1	1
D Sugioka DEF		2	1	5
N Yamada MID				1
K Okuno MID		1
H Ishii FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
625	32	88
M Kim	Y Suzuki	Y Suzuki

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Kim DEF	625	20	53
Y Suzuki MID	542	32	88
K Oiwa DEF	529	17	59
T Hiraoka MID	312	17	53
M Ikeda MID	307	10	27
T Hata MID	280	11	34
K Ono DEF	257	10	31
A Barada MID	224	8	17
H Abe FWD	213	9	10
B Song GLK	188		2
S. Fukuda FWD	143	10	40
Subs
S Tanaka MID	371	26	57
D Sugioka DEF	305	21	49
K Okuno MID	149	14	25
H Mawatari GLK	115		3
N Yamada MID	67	3	6
H Ishii FWD	47	3	14
K. Watanabe FWD	2		1

Sagan Tosu J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	7	4	4
I Park	M Ryan	S Kawahara	W Harada

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Park GLK	14			-
W Harada DEF	10	2		4 -
K Yamazaki DEF	14			3 -
S Kimura DEF	5			-
K Tae-Hyeon DEF	14			1 -
S Kawahara MID	14	1	4	-
K Tezuka MID	10		4	1 -
C Togashi MID	14	1		3 -
T Kikuchi MID	13		3	-
Y Naganuma MID	14	2		2 -
M Ryan FWD	14	7	1	1 -
Subs
A. Riera Rodríguez GLK				-
Y Maruhashi DEF	11			-
K Ueebisu DEF	8			1 -
N Fujita MID	5			-
Y Horigome MID	11			1 -
V Araújo FWD	11	1		-
A Yokoyama FWD	13	2	2	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	20	4	7
M Ryan	M Ryan	S Kawahara	T Kikuchi

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Ryan FWD	7	20	1	4
W Harada DEF	2	4		4
Y Naganuma MID	2	6
S Kawahara MID	1	1	4	5
C Togashi MID	1	3		3
K Yamazaki DEF		1
S Kimura DEF		1		2
K Tae-Hyeon DEF		3
K Tezuka MID		2	4	6
T Kikuchi MID		3	3	7
Subs
A Yokoyama FWD	2	7	2
V Araújo FWD	1	2
Y Maruhashi DEF		2		4
K Ueebisu DEF		2
Y Horigome MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
936	21	79
K Tae-Hyeon	S Kawahara	K Tae-Hyeon

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
K Tae-Hyeon DEF	936	10	79
K Yamazaki DEF	774	13	47
S Kawahara MID	754	21	47
I Park GLK	582		5
Y Naganuma MID	391	20	69
K Tezuka MID	388	12	24
W Harada DEF	379	14	47
S Kimura DEF	271	4	15
T Kikuchi MID	262	10	35
C Togashi MID	190	15	57
M Ryan FWD	129	7	45
Subs
Y Maruhashi DEF	260	6	15
Y Horigome MID	219	2	10
K Ueebisu DEF	171	3	12
A Yokoyama FWD	143	9	25
V Araújo FWD	73	4	20
N Fujita MID	25	1	2