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Sporting Braga v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Gonçalo José Gonçalves dos Santos takes his Casa Pia team to the Estádio Municipal de Braga in the Liga NOS on Sunday evening, with Rui Pedro Viegas Silva Gomes Duarte's Sporting Braga waiting for them. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Braga and Casa Pia was on Sunday 5th May 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 5th 2024
Braga 4
3 Casa Pia
 
Á. Dias Fernandes 12'35' Y. Soma
A. Ruiz Ortega 60'51' L. Cruz Lelo
R. Zalazar Martínez 64'72' (OG)P. Rodrigues de Oliveira
A. Ruiz Ortega 88'
 
BRG
Shots On
7
6
Shots Off
7
8
Corners
7
7
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
7
9
Yellow/red cards
4/1
3/0
 
BragaCasa Pia
 
M. Lima Magalhães
S. Niakate
C. Borja González
J. Wooding Mendes (L. Fernandes 59')
P. Rodrigues de Oliveirafootball icon
R. Zalazar Martínezfootball icon (V. Carvalho Vieira 83')
J. Iria Santos Moutinho (M. Mesquita Lopes 83')
Á. Dias Fernandesfootball icon
R. Horta
S. Banza (A. Ruiz Ortega 46')
A. Tué Na Bangna (J. da Rocha Fonte 90')
R. Cecilia Batista
(K. Krygård 84') D. Tchamba Bangou
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
J. Aniceto Grandela Nunes
N. Zolotić
football iconL. Cruz Lelo
(S. Loureiro Carvalho Justo 71') B. Mambuene Mukendi
(T. Rodrigues Dias 84') T. Segovia Pérez
P. dos Santos
(W. Cardoso dos Santos 56') football iconY. Soma
(R. Lameiras 71') N. Rocha Moreira
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Sunday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Braga and Casa Pia to score 3 goals or more between them during the regulation 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean the time doesn't win but, with statistics below suggesting both teams have goals in them, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Braga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
58%
3/10
2%
3/10
Draw
21%
9/2
10%
19/4
Casa Pia
21%
8/18/1
Braga 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw 1-1
9%
10/1
16%
9/1
5%
Braga 2-0
8%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Braga 1-0
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
14%
Braga 3-1
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
18/114/1
12%
Braga 3-0
6%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
25/1
13%
18/1
Casa Pia 1-0
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Braga 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
Braga 4-1
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Braga 4-0
3%
12/1
13%
10/1
Casa Pia 2-0
3%
50/1
24%
33/1
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
50/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
4/9
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
17/10
13%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/9
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
3/1-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/5
6%
4/5
8%
BTTS - No
39%
19/20
2%
10/11
6%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
8/5
10%
8/5
7%
BTTS - Draw
17%
11/211/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
14/111/1
8%
Home/draw
79%
1/141/16
Away/draw
42%
12/5
5%
5/2
Home/away
79%
1/7
3%
2/15
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/8
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5/1
20%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
11/10
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
4/6
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
5/2
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/7
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
-
Home DNB
73%
1/12
2%
1/12
Away DNB
35%
7/1
14%
6/1
Braga win to nil
27%
11/8
6%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
9%
16/1
13%
-
Braga / Braga
42%
5/6
4%
4/5
Braga / Casa Pia
2%
50/1
24%
40/1
Braga / Draw
5%
16/116/1
Draw / Braga
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Casa Pia
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Casa Pia / Braga
5%
16/1
11%
16/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
6%
14/111/1
Casa Pia / Draw
5%
18/116/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Braga have outscored their opponents by 64 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Braga have played 15 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 29 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 35 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 23 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 3 and won 5. Casa Pia have conceded 28 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Braga
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Casa Pia
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
l
 
5-0A
 S. Lisbon3429326790 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
8-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
 Benfica3425544980 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Porto3422663672 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
-
-
 Braga Home3421582168 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
4-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3A
 V. Guimaraes3419691463 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
 Moreirense3416711155 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-4A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
 Arouca3413714446 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2A
 Famalicao34101212-442 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-3F
 Casa Pia Away3410816-1238 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
 Sporting Farense3410717-537 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Rio Ave346199-537 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
 Gil Vicente349916-1036 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Estoril349619-933 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-4F
 Estrela Amadora3471215-2033 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-4F
 Boavista3471116-2332 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
6-1A
w
 
3-5F
 Portimonense348818-3332 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Vizela3451118-3026 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-4F
 Chaves345821-4123 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Casa Pia 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Sporting Braga in their clash with Casa Pia, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 71 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Braga 4th Casa Pia 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Braga will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Braga have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+23
Casa Pia have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264918/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
34%
better
BRG
view stats
Games scored28
21
Failed to score6
13
Scored first19
10
Goals scored71
38
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate17%
14%
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
BRG
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
24
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first14
20
Goals conceded50
50
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate16%
13%
KickOff rating
+7%

Braga v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
342168
MatheusS BanzaR Zalazar J Moutinho
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Matheus GLK34
3
-
J. Wooding Mendes DEF152
1
-
P Oliveira DEF202
6
-
S Niakaté DEF19
4
1
C Borja DEF3015
4
-
R Zalazar  MID3266
4
-
J Moutinho MID3011
8
-
Álvaro Djaló MID3085
6
-
R Horta MID2894
3
-
Bruma  MID2662
3
-
S Banza FWD28214
2
-
Subs
L Hornicek GLK
-
S Saatci DEF173
5
-
J Fonte DEF19
8
-
A Marín DEF8
-
C Ndour MID91
1
-
V Carvalho MID2711
8
-
Pizzi MID2913
1
-
A Ruiz FWD3063
6
-
R Lopes FWD2321
1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33668
L LeloF CardosoPabloBeni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Batista GLK31
2
1
J Nunes DEF191
1
-
N Zolotic DEF311
3
-
D Tchamba  DEF1611
5
-
G Larrazabal MID3121
4
-
Beni MID253
8
-
T Segovia MID161
3
-
L Lelo MID3312
-
Pablo MID2936
6
1
N Moreira FWD1522
2
-
Y Soma FWD3253
3
-
Subs
L Paes GLK4
-
F Varela DEF241
2
-
A Geraldes DEF18
2
-
T Dias DEF1911
1
-
K Krygard MID3
-
S. Loureiro Carvalho Justo MID2111
1
-
R Lameiras MID151
4
-
F Andrade FWD2021
1
-
F Cardoso FWD296
6
-
Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds