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Atletico de Madrid v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Diego Simeone welcomes Ernesto Valverde Tejedor to the Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday night, as their Atletico de Madrid and Athletic Bilbao charges do battle in the La Liga. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Mallorca at 20:00 on Saturday 4th May
Athletic Bilbao's next match is v Getafe at 20:00 on Friday 3rd May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Madrid and A.Bilbao was on Saturday 27th April 2024
Spanish La Liga
April 27th 2024
A.Madrid 3
1 A.Bilbao
 
R. de Paul 15'45' N. Williams Arthuer
Á. Correa 52'
U. Simón Mendibil (OG) 80'
 
ATM
ATH
Shots On
3
1
Shots Off
3
5
Corners
3
5
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
A.MadridA.Bilbao
 
J. Oblak
J. Giménez de Vargas
M. Hermoso Canseco
A. Witsel
N. Molina Lucero (R. Riquelme Reche 66')
M. Llorente Moreno (S. Ñíguez 82')
J. Resurrección Merodio
R. de Paulfootball icon (C. Azpilicueta Tanco 82')
S. Dias Lino
Á. Correafootball icon (Pablo Barrios Rivas 77')
A. Griezmann
football iconU. Simón Mendibil
A. Paredes Casamichana
D. Vivian Moreno
B. Prados Díaz
Í. Lekue Martínez
(A. Herrera Agüera 66') Y. Álvarez López
(A. Berenguer Remiro 66') O. Sancet Tirapu
(M. Vesga Arruti 69') I. Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
football iconN. Williams Arthuer
(I. Muniain Goñi 66') G. Guruzeta Rodríguez
(R. García Escudero 81') I. Williams Arthuer
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
A.Madrid
50%
19/20
7%
20/21
5%
10/11-
Draw
25%
12/5
3%
23/10
6%
5/2-
A.Bilbao
25%
16/53/1
5%
3/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
7%
6/1-
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
6/111/2
13%
6/1-
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
15/215/215/2-
A.Madrid 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
8/18/1-
A.Bilbao 1-0
8%
10/110/1
8%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
17/28/1
18%
9/1-
A.Bilbao 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
12/112/1-
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
14/1-
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/114/114/1-
A.Bilbao 2-0
4%
20/120/1
9%
20/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
28/128/1
12%
25/1-
A.Bilbao 3-1
2%
33/140/128/1-
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
33/140/1
21%
33/1-
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
33/140/1
21%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
11/10
5%
21/20
11%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/11
4%
7/10
9%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
3%
7/10
2%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/8
5%
13/8
1%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/28/1
18%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/1120/23
7%
4/5-
BTTS - No
50%
10/1117/20
8%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3
8%
16/5
14%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/27/2-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
6%
7/1
7%
6/1-
Home/draw
75%
2/92/9
2%
1/4-
Away/draw
50%
4/5
6%
4/5
6%
5/6-
Home/away
75%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/34/11
5%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/52/1
14%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/4
7%
27/10
19%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7
1%
1/4
6%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/113/2
25%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/12
3%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/118/1
46%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/40
2%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
5%
15/2
23%
8/1-
Home DNB
68%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
2/5-
Away DNB
42%
7/4
8%
7/4
8%
7/4-
A.Madrid win to nil
29%
9/4
8%
21/10
3%
21/10-
A.Bilbao win to nil
13%
11/2
7%
6/1
7%
6/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
27%
21/10
3%
9/4
8%
2/1-
A.Madrid / A.Bilbao
2%
33/145/140/1-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/114/112/1-
Draw / A.Madrid
17%
15/418/54/1-
Draw / A.Bilbao
10%
7/1
6%
15/2
6%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/119/5
9%
4/1-
A.Bilbao / A.Madrid
3%
22/128/1
12%
22/1-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
13%
11/2
7%
13/211/2-
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/114/114/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 3 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 52 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 16 games at home winning 14, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 37 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

A.Bilbao are in 5th position in the La Liga on 58 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 2. A.Bilbao have conceded 8 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

A.Madrid
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
A.Bilbao
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Real Madrid3326614984 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
 Barcelona3322742973 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-3A
 Girona3322562971 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
 A.Madrid Home3320492364 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
 A.Bilbao Away33161072058 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
May 26
 R.Sociedad33131281151 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Real Betis3312138249 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
 Valencia3313812-147 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Villarreal3312912-145 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
3-3F
May 15
 Getafe33101310-443 
d
 
2-2F
May 3
May 19
w
 
0-2F
 Osasuna3311616-1239 
May 11
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
 Alaves3310815-738 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Sevilla3391113-438 
May 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
5-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Las Palmas3310716-1137 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-7F
 R.Vallecano3371313-1534 
w
 
4-0F
May 26
w
 
1-0F
May 4
 Mallorca3361413-1232 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 12
w
 
0-3F
 Celta3371016-1331 
w
 
4-3A
May 15
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Cadiz3341415-2326 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Granada334920-2521 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
 Almeria3311121-3514 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
see results
HOME FORM
A.Madrid3 - 1Girona
A.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
A.Madrid2 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid5 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid2 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
A.Madrid3 - 3Getafe
A.Madrid2 - 1Almeria
A.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 2Cadiz
A.Madrid3 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 1Granada
A.Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Madrid3 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid5 - 1Cadiz
A.Madrid3 - 1Mallorca
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
AA.Madrid0 - 2Alaves
HA.Madrid3 - 1Girona
AA.Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HA.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
AA.Madrid0 - 2Cadiz
HA.Madrid2 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid2 - 2Almeria
HA.Madrid5 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Madrid0 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid2 - 0Valencia
AA.Madrid1 - 0Granada
AA.Madrid3 - 4Girona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
HA.Madrid3 - 3Getafe
AA.Madrid0 - 2A.Bilbao
HA.Madrid2 - 1Almeria
AA.Madrid0 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
A.Bilbao 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
see results
AWAY FORM
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Las Palmas0 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Betis3 - 1A.Bilbao
Almeria0 - 0A.Bilbao
Cadiz0 - 0A.Bilbao
Valencia1 - 0A.Bilbao
Sevilla0 - 2A.Bilbao
Granada1 - 1A.Bilbao
Girona1 - 1A.Bilbao
Villarreal2 - 3A.Bilbao
Barcelona1 - 0A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad3 - 0A.Bilbao
Alaves0 - 2A.Bilbao
Mallorca0 - 0A.Bilbao
Osasuna0 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Bilbao
Osasuna2 - 0A.Bilbao
Villarreal5 - 1A.Bilbao
Mallorca1 - 1A.Bilbao
Almeria1 - 2A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Granada
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Villarreal
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Real Madrid
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Alaves
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Las Palmas
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Barcelona
AA.Bilbao1 - 3Real Betis
HA.Bilbao3 - 2Girona
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Almeria
HA.Bilbao4 - 0Mallorca
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Cadiz
AA.Bilbao0 - 1Valencia
HA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Sevilla
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
HA.Bilbao2 - 0A.Madrid
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Granada
HA.Bilbao4 - 0R.Vallecano
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Girona
HA.Bilbao4 - 3Celta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
A.Madrid have not lost to A.Bilbao in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
7 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
2 / 9
ATM
7
D
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
All league games since 2014
A.Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
27
18
Games: Scored
14 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
5 / 19
ATM
11
D
4
ATH
4
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
A.Bilbao2 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Bilbao2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Bilbao2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid2 - 0
1 - 2A.Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4A.Madrid
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's defensive record is very strong, Diego Simeone's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive La Liga matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Athletic Bilbao makes sense in this context.

A.Madrid 4th A.Bilbao 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
A.Madrid have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
-21
A.Bilbao have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261554/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.6
1
Attack rating
9%
better
ATM
ATH
view stats
Games scored25
24
Failed to score8
9
Scored first19
18
Goals scored62
53
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate19%
17%
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
ATM
ATH
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
18
Clean sheets9
15
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded39
33
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate13%
13%
KickOff rating
+15%

A.Madrid v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311468
J OblakÁlvaro MorataA GriezmannS Ñíguez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK31
1
-
A Witsel DEF302
3
-
J Giménez DEF17
4
-
M Hermoso DEF241
7
-
N Molina MID2723
4
1
M Llorente MID3163
5
-
Koke MID283
4
-
R Paul MID2714
5
-
S Lino MID2732
1
-
Ángel Correa FWD2582
2
-
A Griezmann FWD27136
4
-
Subs
H Moldovan GLK
-
A Gomis GLK
-
C Azpilicueta DEF182
3
-
R Mandava DEF1011
1
-
P Barrios MID191
5
-
S Ñíguez MID3015
8
-
R Riquelme MID2725
1
-
A Vermeeren MID3
1
-
Álvaro Morata FWD28142
3
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301386
U SimónG GuruzetaN WilliamsD Vivian
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK30
2
-
Y Álvarez DEF131
1
-
D Vivian DEF28
6
-
A Paredes DEF291
5
-
I Lekue DEF213
4
-
I Galarreta MID2411
5
-
B Prados MID21
1
-
I Williams MID2893
4
-
O Sancet MID2845
2
1
N Williams MID2538
5
-
G Guruzeta FWD30134
2
-
Subs
J Agirrezabala GLK1
-
I Albéniz DEF6
2
-
H. Rincón Lumbreras DEF
-
D García MID141
4
-
A Herrera MID182
2
-
R García MID13
4
-
U Gómez MID202
1
-
M Vesga MID2331
2
-
I Muniain FWD171
1
-
A Villalibre FWD1411
-
M Adu FWD10
2
-
Álex Berenguer FWD2862
4
-