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Atletico de Madrid v Borussia Dortmund : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

The Champions League is the focus for both Atletico de Madrid and Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday night, as bosses Diego Simeone and Edin Terzic go head to head at the Wanda Metropolitano. All the odds are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Champions League match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Alaves at 17:30 on Sunday 21st April
Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Leverkusen at 16:30 on Sunday 21st April
The last European Champions League meeting between A.Madrid and Dortmund was on Wednesday 10th April 2024
European Champions League
April 10th 2024
A.Madrid 2
1 Dortmund
 
R. de Paul 4'81' S. Haller
S. Dias Lino 32'
 
ATM
BVB
Shots On
9
4
Shots Off
1
4
Corners
8
8
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
A.MadridDortmund
 
J. Oblak
C. Azpilicueta Tanco
A. Witsel (S. Savić 90')
N. Molina Lucero (S. Ñíguez 90')
J. Giménez de Vargas
M. Llorente Moreno
J. Resurrección Merodio
R. de Paulfootball icon (Á. Correa 80')
S. Dias Linofootball icon (R. Riquelme Reche 90')
Á. Morata Martín (Pablo Barrios Rivas 64')
A. Griezmann
G. Kobel
M. Hummels
J. Ryerson
N. Schlotterbeck
I. Maatsen
(J. Brandt 46') F. Nmecha
(S. Özcan 84') M. Sabitzer
(M. Reus 84') E. Can
(J. Bynoe-Gittens 73') K. Adeyemi
(S. Haller 60') N. Füllkrug
J. Sancho
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both A.Madrid and Dortmund's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
A.Madrid
53%
4/5
3%
3/4
8%
4/5
5%
10/13
6%
Draw
23%
11/4
7%
13/5
3%
11/4
4%
27/10
6%
Dortmund
24%
10/3
3%
17/5
13%
10/3
8%
19/5
20%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
6/1
8%
13/2
7%
23/4
4%
A.Madrid 1-0
10%
7/1
7%
13/213/2
7%
23/4
4%
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/1
6%
7/115/2
A.Madrid 2-0
9%
8/18/1
5%
8/17/1
6%
Dortmund 1-0
6%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
11/1
14%
Dortmund 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
12/112/114/1
20%
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
14/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
20%
11/112/1
18%
19/2
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/112/1
13%
15/1
14%
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
14/114/1
12%
14/112/1
13%
Dortmund 2-0
3%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
22/1
10%
20/1
11%
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
22/1
12%
20/1
19%
25/1
4%
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
28/128/1
15%
28/1
15%
29/1
3%
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
33/1
17%
28/1
15%
25/1
16%
Dortmund 3-1
2%
33/140/1
21%
28/1
15%
34/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
8%
3/4
3%
8/11
9%
Evens
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
8%
20/21
2%
Evs
11%
4/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
2%
8/13
3%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/417/10
6%
8/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
20%
11/111/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4
3%
7/104/6
7%
9/10
4%
BTTS - No
44%
1/1
3%
21/2011/10
10%
17/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
10%
5/2
5%
12/5
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
4%
18/519/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
6%
13/2
15%
6/1-
Home/draw
76%
1/5
2%
2/11
3%
2/9
2%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
47%
19/20
2%
1/1
8%
Evs
5%
21/20
13%
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
2/7
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
4%
1/41/4
3%
3/10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
14%
27/10
3%
11/4
7%
12/5
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
12%
19/10
3%
7/4
15%
5/2
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5
5%
4/112/5
5%
2/7
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2
15%
9/2
4%
4/1
23%
13/2
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7
3%
2/15
1%
1/7
4%
1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
11/1
8%
9/115/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
1/251/100
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/221/25
1%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
9/1
Home DNB
69%
1/3
2%
1/3
5%
1/3
2%
3/10
5%
Away DNB
40%
9/4
8%
9/4
18%
9/4
8%
12/5
18%
A.Madrid win to nil
27%
9/411/5
6%
21/10-
Dortmund win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
7/1
7%
7/1
14%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
30%
15/8
4%
19/10
9%
7/4
5%
17/10
10%
A.Madrid / Dortmund
2%
33/145/1
12%
40/150/1
42%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
Draw / A.Madrid
18%
15/47/2
5%
18/519/5
2%
Draw / Dortmund
9%
8/1
6%
8/1
6%
9/1
5%
9/1
18%
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
5/1
9%
22/5
4%
Dortmund / A.Madrid
4%
20/1
9%
22/1
12%
20/1
9%
25/1
13%
Dortmund / Dortmund
12%
6/17/1
14%
6/1
8%
13/2
15%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
14/114/114/115/1
14%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Dortmund
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's defensive record is very strong, Diego Simeone's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Champions League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

A.Madrid Dortmund
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-12
A.Madrid have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Statistics Champions League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273939/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
ATM
BVB
24%
better
view stats
Games scored14
18
Failed to score6
2
Scored first10
14
Goals scored31
38
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.9
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
ATM
BVB
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
13
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first10
5
Goals conceded26
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
12
Conversion rate14%
9%
KickOff rating
+31%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Madrid v Dortmund will show here when available.

A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10633
J OblakA GriezmannS LinoS Lino
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK10
-
A Witsel DEF10
-
J Giménez DEF71
2
-
C Azpilicueta DEF6
2
-
N Molina MID102
1
-
M Llorente MID91
1
-
Koke MID91
2
-
R Paul MID81
1
-
S Lino MID733
3
-
Álvaro Morata FWD1051
2
-
A Griezmann FWD1061
1
-
Subs
A Gomis GLK
-
H Moldovan GLK
-
R Mandava DEF1
-
G Paulista DEF
-
S Savic  DEF6
2
-
P Barrios MID711
-
S Ñíguez MID101
1
-
R Riquelme MID8
-
A Vermeeren MID
-
S Jebari FWD
-
Ángel Correa FWD101
1
-
Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10254
M HummelsK Adeyemi M Sabitzer E Can
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK9
-
J Ryerson DEF7
2
-
M Hummels DEF101
2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF91
3
-
I Maatsen DEF41
2
-
M Sabitzer  MID915
-
E Can MID8
4
-
J Sancho MID41
-
F Nmecha MID61
1
-
K Adeyemi  MID921
-
N Füllkrug FWD1023
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK1
-
M Lotka GLK
-
N Süle DEF5
1
-
J Brandt MID921
-
M Wolf MID5
1
-
S Özcan MID9
-
M Reus MID1021
-
J Duranville FWD
-
Y Moukoko FWD3
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD61
-
S Haller  FWD31
-
European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds