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Atletico de Madrid v Borussia Dortmund : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

The Champions League is the focus for both Atletico de Madrid and Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday night, as bosses Diego Simeone and Edin Terzic go head to head at the Wanda Metropolitano. All the odds are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Champions League match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v A.Bilbao at 20:00 on Saturday 27th April
Borussia Dortmund's next match is v RB Leipzig at 14:30 on Saturday 27th April
The last European Champions League meeting between A.Madrid and Dortmund was on Wednesday 10th April 2024
European Champions League
April 10th 2024
A.Madrid 2
1 Dortmund
 
R. de Paul 4'81' S. Haller
S. Dias Lino 32'
 
ATM
BVB
Shots On
9
4
Shots Off
1
4
Corners
8
8
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
A.MadridDortmund
 
J. Oblak
C. Azpilicueta Tanco
A. Witsel (S. Savić 90')
N. Molina Lucero (S. Ñíguez 90')
J. Giménez de Vargas
M. Llorente Moreno
J. Resurrección Merodio
R. de Paulfootball icon (Á. Correa 80')
S. Dias Linofootball icon (R. Riquelme Reche 90')
Á. Morata Martín (Pablo Barrios Rivas 64')
A. Griezmann
G. Kobel
M. Hummels
J. Ryerson
N. Schlotterbeck
I. Maatsen
(J. Brandt 46') F. Nmecha
(S. Özcan 84') M. Sabitzer
(M. Reus 84') E. Can
(J. Bynoe-Gittens 73') K. Adeyemi
(S. Haller 60') N. Füllkrug
J. Sancho
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both A.Madrid and Dortmund's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
A.Madrid
53%
4/5
3%
3/4
8%
4/5
5%
10/13
6%
Draw
23%
11/4
7%
13/5
3%
11/4
4%
27/10
6%
Dortmund
24%
10/3
3%
17/5
13%
10/3
8%
19/5
20%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
6/1
8%
13/2
7%
23/4
4%
A.Madrid 1-0
10%
7/1
7%
13/213/2
7%
23/4
4%
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/1
6%
7/115/2
A.Madrid 2-0
9%
8/18/1
5%
8/17/1
6%
Dortmund 1-0
6%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
11/1
14%
Dortmund 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
12/112/114/1
20%
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
14/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
20%
11/112/1
18%
19/2
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/112/1
13%
15/1
14%
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
14/114/1
12%
14/112/1
13%
Dortmund 2-0
3%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
22/1
10%
20/1
11%
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
22/1
12%
20/1
19%
25/1
4%
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
28/128/1
15%
28/1
15%
29/1
3%
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
33/1
17%
28/1
15%
25/1
16%
Dortmund 3-1
2%
33/140/1
21%
28/1
15%
34/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
8%
3/4
3%
8/11
9%
Evens
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
8%
20/21
2%
Evs
11%
4/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
2%
8/13
3%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/417/10
6%
8/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
20%
11/111/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4
3%
7/104/6
7%
9/10
4%
BTTS - No
44%
1/1
3%
21/2011/10
10%
17/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
10%
5/2
5%
12/5
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
4%
18/519/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
6%
13/2
15%
6/1-
Home/draw
76%
1/5
2%
2/11
3%
2/9
2%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
47%
19/20
2%
1/1
8%
Evs
5%
21/20
13%
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
2/7
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
4%
1/41/4
3%
3/10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
14%
27/10
3%
11/4
7%
12/5
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
12%
19/10
3%
7/4
15%
5/2
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5
5%
4/112/5
5%
2/7
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2
15%
9/2
4%
4/1
23%
13/2
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7
3%
2/15
1%
1/7
4%
1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
11/1
8%
9/115/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
1/251/100
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/221/25
1%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
9/1
Home DNB
69%
1/3
2%
1/3
5%
1/3
2%
3/10
5%
Away DNB
40%
9/4
8%
9/4
18%
9/4
8%
12/5
18%
A.Madrid win to nil
27%
9/411/5
6%
21/10-
Dortmund win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
7/1
7%
7/1
14%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
30%
15/8
4%
19/10
9%
7/4
5%
17/10
10%
A.Madrid / Dortmund
2%
33/145/1
12%
40/150/1
42%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
Draw / A.Madrid
18%
15/47/2
5%
18/519/5
2%
Draw / Dortmund
9%
8/1
6%
8/1
6%
9/1
5%
9/1
18%
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
5/1
9%
22/5
4%
Dortmund / A.Madrid
4%
20/1
9%
22/1
12%
20/1
9%
25/1
13%
Dortmund / Dortmund
12%
6/17/1
14%
6/1
8%
13/2
15%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
14/114/114/115/1
14%
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
see results
HOME FORM
A.Madrid2 - 1Inter
A.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
A.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
A.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
A.Madrid2 - 2Leverkusen
A.Madrid0 - 0Brugge
A.Madrid2 - 1Porto
A.Madrid0 - 0Man City
A.Madrid1 - 1Man Utd
A.Madrid0 - 1Milan
A.Madrid2 - 3Liverpool
A.Madrid0 - 0Porto
A.Madrid0 - 1Chelsea
A.Madrid1 - 1Bayern
A.Madrid0 - 0Lok. Moscow
A.Madrid3 - 2Salzburg
A.Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
A.Madrid2 - 0Lok. Moscow
A.Madrid1 - 0Leverkusen
A.Madrid2 - 2Juventus
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
AA.Madrid0 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
AA.Madrid3 - 1Feyenoord
HA.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
AA.Madrid2 - 2Celtic
HA.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
AA.Madrid1 - 1Lazio
AA.Madrid1 - 2Porto
HA.Madrid2 - 2Leverkusen
HA.Madrid0 - 0Brugge
AA.Madrid0 - 2Brugge
AA.Madrid0 - 2Leverkusen
HA.Madrid2 - 1Porto
HA.Madrid0 - 0Man City
AA.Madrid0 - 1Man City
AA.Madrid1 - 0Man Utd
HA.Madrid1 - 1Man Utd
AA.Madrid3 - 1Porto
HA.Madrid0 - 1Milan
Dortmund
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
see results
AWAY FORM
PSV1 - 1Dortmund
Milan1 - 3Dortmund
Newcastle0 - 1Dortmund
PSG2 - 0Dortmund
Chelsea2 - 0Dortmund
Kobenhavn1 - 1Dortmund
Sevilla1 - 4Dortmund
Man City2 - 1Dortmund
Rangers2 - 2Dortmund
S. Lisbon3 - 1Dortmund
Ajax4 - 0Dortmund
Besiktas1 - 2Dortmund
Man City2 - 1Dortmund
Sevilla2 - 3Dortmund
Zenit1 - 2Dortmund
Brugge0 - 3Dortmund
Lazio3 - 1Dortmund
PSG2 - 0Dortmund
Barcelona3 - 1Dortmund
Inter2 - 0Dortmund
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
HDortmund2 - 0PSV
ADortmund1 - 1PSV
HDortmund1 - 1PSG
ADortmund3 - 1Milan
HDortmund2 - 0Newcastle
ADortmund1 - 0Newcastle
HDortmund0 - 0Milan
ADortmund0 - 2PSG
ADortmund0 - 2Chelsea
HDortmund1 - 0Chelsea
ADortmund1 - 1Kobenhavn
HDortmund0 - 0Man City
HDortmund1 - 1Sevilla
ADortmund4 - 1Sevilla
ADortmund1 - 2Man City
HDortmund3 - 0Kobenhavn
ADortmund2 - 2Rangers
HDortmund2 - 4Rangers
HDortmund5 - 0Besiktas
ADortmund1 - 3S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's defensive record is very strong, Diego Simeone's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Champions League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

A.Madrid Dortmund
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-12
A.Madrid have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Statistics Champions League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273939/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
ATM
BVB
30%
better
view stats
Games scored13
18
Failed to score7
2
Scored first9
14
Goals scored27
38
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.9
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate13%
17%
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
ATM
BVB
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
13
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded26
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
12
Conversion rate15%
9%
KickOff rating
+32%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Madrid v Dortmund will show here when available.

A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10633
J OblakA GriezmannS LinoS Lino
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK10
-
A Witsel DEF10
-
J Giménez DEF71
2
-
C Azpilicueta DEF6
2
-
N Molina MID102
1
-
M Llorente MID91
1
-
Koke MID91
2
-
R Paul MID81
1
-
S Lino MID733
3
-
Álvaro Morata FWD1051
2
-
A Griezmann FWD1061
1
-
Subs
A Gomis GLK
-
H Moldovan GLK
-
R Mandava DEF1
-
G Paulista DEF
-
S Savic  DEF6
2
-
P Barrios MID711
-
S Ñíguez MID101
1
-
R Riquelme MID8
-
A Vermeeren MID
-
S Jebari FWD
-
Ángel Correa FWD101
1
-
Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10254
M HummelsK Adeyemi M Sabitzer E Can
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK9
-
J Ryerson DEF7
2
-
M Hummels DEF101
2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF91
3
-
I Maatsen DEF41
2
-
M Sabitzer  MID915
-
E Can MID8
4
-
J Sancho MID41
-
F Nmecha MID61
1
-
K Adeyemi  MID921
-
N Füllkrug FWD1023
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK1
-
M Lotka GLK
-
N Süle DEF5
1
-
J Brandt MID921
-
M Wolf MID5
1
-
S Özcan MID9
-
M Reus MID1021
-
J Duranville FWD
-
Y Moukoko FWD3
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD61
-
S Haller  FWD31
-
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