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Manchester City v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Mar, 20:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Álvaro Arbeloa Coca is aiming for a precious away win in the Champions League on Tuesday night, as he takes his Real Madrid side to the Etihad Stadium to visit Manchester City and Josep Guardiola i Sala. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
58%
--
Draw
19%
--
Real Madrid
23%
--
Man City 2-1
9%
--
Draw 1-1
8%
--
Man City 3-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Man City 2-0
6%
--
Real Madrid 2-1
6%
--
Man City 1-0
5%
--
Man City 3-2
5%
--
Man City 3-0
5%
--
Man City 4-1
4%
--
Real Madrid 1-0
3%
--
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
--
Man City 4-2
3%
--
Man City 4-0
3%
--
Real Madrid 3-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
69%
--
BTTS - No
31%
--
BTTS - Home Win
36%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
77%
--
Away/draw
42%
--
Home/away
81%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
--
Home DNB
71%
--
Away DNB
37%
--
Man City win to nil
21%
--
Real Madrid win to nil
7%
--
Win / draw / win Champions League table

Man City have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Champions League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 21 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 8 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Real Madrid are in 9th position in the Champions League on 15 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Real Madrid have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Real Madrid have conceded 3 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
-
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Mar 17
9
Real Madrid8503915 
Mar 17
w
 
1-2A
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
-
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
-
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
l
 
0-2A
-
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
w
 
4-1F
-
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
-
w
 
3-4A
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
-
-
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
d
 
2-2F
w
 
6-1F
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
l
 
3-1A
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-2F
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
-
30
Napoli8224-68 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
w
 
0-2F
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
-
w
 
0-5F
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Man City 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Real Madrid 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man City since 2012
Man City
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
14
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
MCI
3
D
3
RMD
1
League games at Real Madrid since 2012
Real Madrid
Man City
Goals: Scored
15
12
Games: Scored
8 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
0 / 8
MCI
2
D
2
RMD
4
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for Manchester City in their meeting with Real Madrid, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 17 consecutive Champions League outings.

Real Madrid have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Manchester City on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Man City 8th Real Madrid 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 68% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
2.4
1.5
Attack rating
3%
better
MCI
RMD
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score2
2
Scored first15
15
Goals scored44
44
Avg. goals scored2.2
2.2
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
18
Avg. XG for1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
20%
better
MCI
RMD
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded17
23
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Man City v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Man City Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7733
E HaalandE HaalandT ReijndersB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Reijnders MID83
-
E Haaland FWD87
-
G Donnarumma GLK7
1
-
N. O'Reilly DEF712
2
-
N González  MID7
-
P Foden MID721
1
-
J Doku FWD713
-
R Cherki MID63
1
-
B Silva MID61
3
-
O Marmoush FWD6
-
S Sávio FWD61
2
-
J Gvardiol DEF52
-
R Dias DEF5
1
-
M Nunes MID5
-
R Nouri DEF4
-
N Aké  DEF4
-
J Stones DEF4
-
A. Khusanov DEF4
-
R Lewis DEF41
-
Rodri MID3
2
1
J Trafford GLK1
-
M. Alleyne DEF1
-
M Kovacic MID1
-
Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
101344
A TchouameniK MbappéA GülerÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Güler MID104
1
-
A Tchouameni MID101
2
-
V Junior FWD1034
2
-
T Courtois GLK91
-
F Valverde MID94
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF81
2
1
Álvaro Fernandez DEF8
4
-
E Camavinga MID811
1
-
K Mbappé FWD8131
1
-
B Díaz FWD81
1
-
J Bellingham MID721
2
-
D. Huijsen DEF6
2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD61
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF5
-
F García DEF5
-
Rodrygo FWD511
2
1
G. García Torres FWD51
-
D Ceballos MID4
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Rüdiger DEF3
1
-
Éder Militão DEF3
1
-
D Carvajal DEF3
1
A Lunin GLK1
-
F Mendy DEF1
-
J. Cestero Sancho MID1
-