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Real Madrid v Manchester City : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Pep Guardiola takes his Manchester City team to the Santiago Bernabéu in the Champions League on Tuesday night, with Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid their rivals. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Man City at 20:00 on Wednesday 17th April
Manchester City's next match is v Real Madrid at 20:00 on Wednesday 17th April
The last European Champions League meeting between Real Madrid and Man City was on Tuesday 9th April 2024
European Champions League
April 9th 2024
Real Madrid 3
3 Man City
 
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias (OG) 12'2' B. Silva
R. Silva de Goes 14'66' P. Foden
F. Valverde Dipetta 79'71' J. Gvardiol
 
RMD
MCI
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
4
2
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
11
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
Real MadridMan City
 
A. Lunin
D. Carvajal Ramos
F. Mendy
A. Rüdiger
E. Camavinga
A. Tchouaméni
T. Kroos (L. Modrić 72')
J. Bellingham
F. Valverde Dipettafootball icon
R. Silva de Goesfootball icon (B. Abdelkader Diaz 72')
V. Júnior (J. Sanmartín Mato 86')
S. Ortega Moreno
football iconR. Santos Gato Alves Dias
M. Akanji
football iconJ. Gvardiol
J. Stones
Rodri
M. Kovačić
football iconB. Silva
J. Grealish
E. Haaland
(J. Álvarez 87') football iconP. Foden
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Real Madrid and Man City will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Carlo Ancelotti or Pep Guardiola has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.95.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Real Madrid
40%
31/20
9%
6/4
13%
13/8
6%
33/20
5%
Draw
25%
12/5
3%
12/512/5
3%
49/20
1%
Man City
36%
7/4
20%
7/4
22%
13/8
10%
17/10
13%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
11/211/2
7%
11/2
4%
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
17/2
5%
17/2
5%
17/2
5%
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
18%
9/1
9%
19/2
5%
Man City 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
9/1
11%
17/2
6%
9/1
11%
Man City 1-0
8%
9/19/1
5%
9/1
5%
19/2
11%
Real Madrid 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
24%
14/114/1
7%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/112/1
8%
11/111/1
4%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
23/2
Man City 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
12/113/1
12%
Real Madrid 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
18/1
17%
18/1
10%
18/1
6%
Man City 3-1
4%
20/1
24%
20/1
24%
18/1
12%
18/1
19%
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
25/1
24%
25/1
10%
22/1
12%
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
25/125/122/122/1
Man City 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
28/1
26%
22/1
10%
22/1
10%
Man City 3-0
3%
28/1
26%
33/1
48%
25/1
13%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/20
9%
4/5
6%
8/113/4
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/20
7%
10/11
7%
Evs21/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
14%
20/21
9%
10/11
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/10
21%
11/10
12%
Evs
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/138/13
3%
8/13
3%
8/13
5%
BTTS - No
42%
6/523/20
9%
6/5
2%
6/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
5%
17/5
12%
10/3
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/33/1
5%
3/133/10
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/1
15%
19/5
20%
18/5
15%
-
Home/draw
64%
2/5
11%
4/9
8%
4/9
8%
12/25
3%
Away/draw
60%
1/2
7%
8/15
13%
1/2
7%
1/2
7%
Home/away
75%
3/10
1%
3/10
4%
3/1033/100
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/7
6%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
11/50
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
13%
13/5
10%
11/4
6%
16/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/5
16%
2/1
11%
2/1
9%
19/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
6%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
2/5
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
20%
19/4
15%
4/123/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
4%
1/8
3%
1/72/15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
30%
11/1
20%
9/121/2
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
1/20
1%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/22
1%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
9/111/1
4%
Home DNB
57%
4/5
10%
4/5
12%
4/5
10%
10/11
5%
Away DNB
53%
10/11
10%
19/20
15%
10/11
10%
10/11
11%
Real Madrid win to nil
19%
7/2
18%
18/5
21%
4/1
9%
-
Man City win to nil
17%
4/1
15%
21/5
16%
4/1
11%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
20%
3/1
11%
13/4
15%
3/1
11%
16/5
7%
Real Madrid / Man City
3%
25/1
13%
28/1
12%
25/128/1
26%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/114/112/111/1
4%
Draw / Real Madrid
13%
5/1
8%
24/5
11%
11/2
7%
23/4
Draw / Man City
13%
11/2
8%
11/2
18%
11/223/4
11%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/221/5
5%
9/29/2
2%
Man City / Real Madrid
3%
25/128/125/125/1
Man City / Man City
19%
10/3
15%
15/4
22%
10/3
15%
16/5
9%
Man City / Draw
6%
12/114/1
15%
12/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Man City
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Real Madrid since 2012
Real Madrid
Man City
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
RMD
3
D
1
MCI
1
All games since 2012
Real Madrid
Man City
Goals: Scored
14
17
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
RMD
3
D
3
MCI
4
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 18 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Manchester City on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Real Madrid Man City
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Man City will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+6
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Man City have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Statistics Champions League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273936/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
9%
better
RMD
MCI
view stats
Games scored20
19
Failed to score0
1
Scored first15
15
Goals scored43
54
Avg. goals scored2.2
2.7
Avg. shots per game12
14
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate19%
20%
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
1%
better
RMD
MCI
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded19
18
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate14%
15%
KickOff rating
+1%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Man City will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8453
F ValverdeJ BellinghamV JuniorA Tchouameni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lunin GLK5
-
D Carvajal DEF71
2
-
A Tchouameni DEF6
3
-
A Rüdiger DEF81
-
F Mendy DEF7
-
E Camavinga MID71
2
-
T Kroos MID8
1
-
F Valverde MID91
-
J Bellingham MID744
2
-
Rodrygo MID942
-
V Junior FWD635
2
-
Subs
K Arrizabalaga GLK4
1
-
F. González Pérez GLK
-
Éder Militão DEF
-
N Fernández DEF8
1
-
F García DEF41
-
L Modric MID7
-
L Vázquez MID61
1
-
D Ceballos MID31
-
B Díaz MID621
-
A Güler MID
-
Joselu FWD83
-
Man City Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8642
R DiasE HaalandP FodenM Akanji
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ortega GLK3
-
M Akanji DEF72
2
-
J Stones DEF51
-
R Dias DEF81
2
-
J Gvardiol DEF511
-
Rodri MID712
1
-
M Kovacic MID5
-
B Silva MID72
1
-
P Foden MID754
-
J Grealish MID72
-
E Haaland FWD861
-
Subs
Ederson GLK6
-
S Carson GLK
-
R Lewis DEF73
-
K Bruyne MID112
-
O Bobb MID41
-
M. Susoho MID1
-
S Gómez MID5
-
M Nunes MID71
-
J Doku FWD611
-
J Álvarez FWD652
-
European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds