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Brighton and Hove Albion v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amex Stadium, Falmer

Pep Guardiola will be hoping for a crucial away win in the English Premier League on Thursday night, as he takes his Manchester City side to the Amex Stadium to visit Brighton and Hove Albion and Roberto De Zerbi. We have odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v A Villa at 14:00 on Sunday 5th May
Manchester City's next match is v Wolves at 17:30 on Saturday 4th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Brighton and Man City was on Thursday 25th April 2024
English Premier League
April 25th 2024
Brighton 0
4 Man City
 
17' K. De Bruyne
26' P. Foden
34' P. Foden
62' J. Álvarez
 
BHA
MCI
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
4
4
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
10
3
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
BrightonMan City
 
J. Steele
J. Veltman (O. Offiah 46')
J. van Hecke
V. Barco
L. Dunk
A. Lallana (S. Adingra 46')
J. Moder (I. dos Santos de Paulo 56')
P. Groß
C. Noom Quomah
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck (M. O’Mahony 75')
J. Junqueira de Jesus
E. Santana de Moraes
(R. Lewis 78') K. Walker
M. Akanji
J. Gvardiol
N. Aké
(M. Nunes 72') football iconK. De Bruyne
(S. Gómez 78') Rodri
(J. Doku 78') B. Silva
M. Kovačić
(J. Grealish 71') football iconfootball iconP. Foden
football iconJ. Álvarez
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Premier League clash, with Brighton and Man City going head-to-head, offers great potential in the popular over market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to come out on the front foot and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Man City coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Brighton
24%
7/1
33%
13/2
36%
5/1-
Draw
22%
9/2
16%
4/1
15%
18/5-
Man City
54%
1/3
8%
4/11
13%
1/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
17/2-
Man City 2-1
10%
8/115/2
6%
7/1-
Man City 1-0
8%
11/1
20%
10/1
10%
8/1-
Man City 2-0
8%
9/1
11%
8/1
5%
15/2-
Man City 3-1
6%
10/1
8%
9/1
9%
10/1-
Brighton 2-1
6%
22/1
10%
20/1
24%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
14/1-
Man City 3-0
5%
11/19/1
23%
10/1-
Brighton 1-0
5%
28/1
26%
28/1
38%
20/1-
Man City 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
12%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
22/1
21%
22/1
10%
18/1-
Brighton 2-0
3%
50/1
24%
55/1
37%
33/1-
Man City 4-1
3%
16/1
19%
14/1
21%
18/1-
Brighton 3-1
3%
50/1
24%
60/1
49%
40/1-
Brighton 3-2
3%
40/145/1
35%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
2/5
7%
2/5
3%
1/2-
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2/1
20%
15/8
11%
6/4-
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/5
11%
12/5
18%
15/8-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1/4
6%
4/11
9%
2/5-
No 1st Goal
2%
22/1
21%
22/1
10%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/13
3%
4/7
3%
8/13-
BTTS - No
38%
6/5
5%
5/4
5%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
10/1
16%
10/1
47%
15/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
5/1
9%
9/2
15%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
30%
7/5
13%
7/5
9%
13/8-
Home/draw
46%
9/4
24%
2/1
25%
8/5-
Away/draw
76%
1/12
4%
1/14
7%
1/7-
Home/away
78%
1/7
3%
2/13
6%
2/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/9
5%
1/9
2%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
11/2
30%
5/1
9%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
1/1
13%
20/21
7%
5/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/5
11%
3/4
5%
4/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
11/5
20%
21/10
11%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
4/11
9%
1/3
3%
1/4-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/2
21%
9/2
15%
6/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/7
4%
2/15
2%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/80
1%
1/40--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
22/1
21%
22/1
21%
--
Home DNB
40%
5/1
33%
9/2
38%
10/3-
Away DNB
69%
1/8
5%
1/8
8%
1/5-
Brighton win to nil
10%
16/1
31%
18/1
46%
11/1-
Man City win to nil
24%
13/8
5%
7/4
14%
9/5-
Brighton / Brighton
7%
12/1
18%
14/1
58%
8/1-
Brighton / Man City
5%
16/1
11%
18/116/1-
Brighton / Draw
5%
18/118/1
12%
14/1-
Draw / Brighton
5%
18/1
27%
16/1
42%
14/1-
Draw / Man City
20%
10/3
4%
16/5
5%
7/2-
Draw / Draw
10%
17/2
19%
15/2
21%
7/1-
Man City / Brighton
2%
40/155/1
22%
40/1-
Man City / Man City
42%
1/1
9%
21/20
15%
6/5-
Man City / Draw
5%
16/118/1
12%
14/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Brighton have conceded 30 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 15 games at home, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 3rd place on 73 points in the Premier League league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 74 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Man City have played 15 away games, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Brighton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Man City
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
 Arsenal3525555780 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
 Man City Away3424735079 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
 Liverpool3522944175 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 5
l
 
6-1A
 A Villa3520782167 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-1F
 Spurs3318691560 
d
 
3-3A
May 14
May 19
w
 
1-3F
 Man Utd3416612154 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
May 11
 Newcastle34165131953 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
 West Ham35131012-949 
May 19
w
 
1-3A
May 15
l
 
3-2A
 Chelsea3313911448 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
4-4F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
 Bournemouth3513913-848 
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4F
 Wolves3513715-746 
May 4
l
 
2-1A
-
-
 Brighton Home34111112-544 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Fulham3512716-443 
w
 
5-1F
May 11
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
 C Palace35101015-1240 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-4A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Everton3512815-1136 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Brentford359818-835 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
 Nottm Forest357919-2026 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
4-0A
 Luton356722-2925 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Burnley355921-3224 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
 Sheff Utd353725-6316 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
see results
HOME FORM
Brighton0 - 3Arsenal
Brighton1 - 0Nottm Forest
Brighton1 - 1Everton
Brighton4 - 1C Palace
Brighton0 - 0Wolves
Brighton4 - 2Spurs
Brighton1 - 1Burnley
Brighton2 - 1Brentford
Brighton1 - 1Sheff Utd
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Brighton2 - 2Liverpool
Brighton3 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton3 - 1Newcastle
Brighton1 - 3West Ham
Brighton4 - 1Luton
Brighton1 - 1Man City
Brighton3 - 1Southampton
Brighton1 - 5Everton
Brighton1 - 0Man Utd
Brighton6 - 0Wolves
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
ABrighton1 - 1Burnley
HBrighton0 - 3Arsenal
ABrighton0 - 0Brentford
ABrighton1 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 0Nottm Forest
ABrighton0 - 3Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton5 - 0Sheff Utd
ABrighton1 - 2Spurs
HBrighton4 - 1C Palace
ABrighton0 - 4Luton
HBrighton0 - 0Wolves
ABrighton0 - 0West Ham
HBrighton4 - 2Spurs
ABrighton1 - 1C Palace
ABrighton0 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton1 - 1Burnley
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
ABrighton2 - 3Chelsea
ABrighton3 - 2Nottm Forest
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
see results
AWAY FORM
C Palace2 - 4Man City
Liverpool1 - 1Man City
Bournemouth0 - 1Man City
Brentford1 - 3Man City
Newcastle2 - 3Man City
Everton1 - 3Man City
Luton1 - 2Man City
A Villa1 - 0Man City
Chelsea4 - 4Man City
Man Utd0 - 3Man City
Arsenal1 - 0Man City
Wolves2 - 1Man City
West Ham1 - 3Man City
Sheff Utd1 - 2Man City
Burnley0 - 3Man City
Brentford1 - 0Man City
Brighton1 - 1Man City
Everton0 - 3Man City
Fulham1 - 2Man City
Southampton1 - 4Man City
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
see results
OVERALL FORM
HMan City5 - 1Luton
AMan City4 - 2C Palace
HMan City4 - 1A Villa
HMan City0 - 0Arsenal
AMan City1 - 1Liverpool
HMan City3 - 1Man Utd
AMan City1 - 0Bournemouth
HMan City1 - 0Brentford
HMan City1 - 1Chelsea
HMan City2 - 0Everton
AMan City3 - 1Brentford
HMan City3 - 1Burnley
AMan City3 - 2Newcastle
HMan City2 - 0Sheff Utd
AMan City3 - 1Everton
HMan City2 - 2C Palace
AMan City2 - 1Luton
AMan City0 - 1A Villa
HMan City3 - 3Spurs
HMan City1 - 1Liverpool
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Man City have not lost to Brighton in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Man City
Goals: Scored
6
18
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
BHA
1
D
1
MCI
4
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Man City
Brighton3 - 2
0 - 5Man City
1 - 4Man City
0 - 2Man City
All league games since 2017
Brighton
Man City
Goals: Scored
9
36
Games: Scored
7 / 13
13 / 13
Clean sheets
0 / 13
6 / 13
BHA
1
D
1
MCI
11
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Man City2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 0
1 - 4Man City
Brighton3 - 2
Man City1 - 0
0 - 5Man City
Man City4 - 0
1 - 4Man City
Man City2 - 0
Man City3 - 1
0 - 2Man City
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Brighton and Hove Albion of late. It has been 7 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday night against Manchester City.

Manchester City's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 9 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Thursday night.

Brighton 12th Man City 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+22
Man City have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258832/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.3
2
Attack rating
BHA
MCI
33%
better
view stats
Games scored25
31
Failed to score9
3
Scored first13
22
Goals scored52
82
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate14%
19%
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
BHA
MCI
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
23
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first18
11
Goals conceded57
32
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate19%
16%
KickOff rating
+32%

Brighton v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
288107
L DunkJ Pedro P GroßL Dunk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Steele GLK15
-
J Veltman DEF231
3
-
J Hecke DEF27
4
-
L Dunk DEF2831
6
1
V Barco DEF1
-
P Groß MID30410
5
-
C Quomah MID21
6
-
A Lallana MID231
2
-
J Moder MID13
2
-
J Pedro  MID2682
2
-
D Welbeck FWD2341
3
-
Subs
B Verbruggen GLK17
2
-
Igor DEF18
4
-
O Offiah DEF
-
A Webster DEF10
2
-
F Buonanotte MID2331
7
-
S Adingra FWD2561
2
-
A Fati FWD172
2
-
M O’Mahony FWD1
1
-
J Enciso FWD72
1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2914109
J ÁlvarezP FodenJ ÁlvarezRodri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ederson GLK28
5
-
K Walker DEF262
2
-
N Aké  DEF2422
-
J Gvardiol DEF2211
3
-
Rodri MID2877
8
1
M Akanji MID242
3
-
B Silva MID2764
7
-
K Bruyne MID1236
2
-
M Kovacic MID241
3
-
P Foden MID30147
1
-
J Álvarez FWD31810
2
-
Subs
S Ortega GLK6
-
R Dias DEF27
-
J Stones DEF151
2
-
R Lewis DEF142
1
-
J Grealish MID1731
7
-
S Gómez MID51
-
M Nunes MID132
-
O Bobb MID1211
-
J Doku FWD2337
3
-