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Brighton and Hove Albion v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amex Stadium, Falmer

Pep Guardiola will be hoping for a crucial away win in the English Premier League on Thursday night, as he takes his Manchester City side to the Amex Stadium to visit Brighton and Hove Albion and Roberto De Zerbi. We have odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Man Utd at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
Manchester City's next match is v West Ham at 16:00 on Sunday 19th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Brighton and Man City was on Thursday 25th April 2024
English Premier League
April 25th 2024
Brighton 0
4 Man City
 
17' K. De Bruyne
26' P. Foden
34' P. Foden
62' J. Álvarez
 
BHA
MCI
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
4
4
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
10
3
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
BrightonMan City
 
J. Steele
J. Veltman (O. Offiah 46')
J. van Hecke
V. Barco
L. Dunk
A. Lallana (S. Adingra 46')
J. Moder (I. dos Santos de Paulo 56')
P. Groß
C. Noom Quomah
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck (M. O’Mahony 75')
J. Junqueira de Jesus
E. Santana de Moraes
(R. Lewis 78') K. Walker
M. Akanji
J. Gvardiol
N. Aké
(M. Nunes 72') football iconK. De Bruyne
(S. Gómez 78') Rodri
(J. Doku 78') B. Silva
M. Kovačić
(J. Grealish 71') football iconfootball iconP. Foden
football iconJ. Álvarez
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Premier League clash, with Brighton and Man City going head-to-head, offers great potential in the popular over market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to come out on the front foot and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Man City coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
24%
7/1
33%
13/2
36%
Draw
22%
9/2
16%
4/1
15%
Man City
54%
1/3
8%
4/11
13%
Draw 1-1
10%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Man City 2-1
10%
8/115/2
6%
Man City 1-0
8%
11/1
20%
10/1
10%
Man City 2-0
8%
9/1
11%
8/1
5%
Man City 3-1
6%
10/1
8%
9/1
9%
Brighton 2-1
6%
22/1
10%
20/1
24%
Draw 2-2
6%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Man City 3-0
5%
11/19/1
23%
Brighton 1-0
5%
28/1
26%
28/1
38%
Man City 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
12%
Draw 0-0
4%
22/1
21%
22/1
10%
Brighton 2-0
3%
50/1
24%
55/1
37%
Man City 4-1
3%
16/1
19%
14/1
21%
Brighton 3-1
3%
50/1
24%
60/1
49%
Brighton 3-2
3%
40/145/1
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
2/5
7%
2/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2/1
20%
15/8
11%
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/5
11%
12/5
18%
Away 1st Goal
53%
1/4
6%
4/11
9%
No 1st Goal
2%
22/1
21%
22/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/13
3%
4/7
3%
BTTS - No
38%
6/5
5%
5/4
5%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
10/1
16%
10/1
47%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5/1
9%
9/2
15%
BTTS - Away Win
30%
7/5
13%
7/5
9%
Home/draw
46%
9/4
24%
2/1
25%
Away/draw
76%
1/12
4%
1/14
7%
Home/away
78%
1/7
3%
2/13
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/9
5%
1/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
11/2
30%
5/1
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
1/1
13%
20/21
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/5
11%
3/4
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
11/5
20%
21/10
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
4/11
9%
1/3
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/2
21%
9/2
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/7
4%
2/15
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/80
1%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
22/1
21%
22/1
21%
Home DNB
40%
5/1
33%
9/2
38%
Away DNB
69%
1/8
5%
1/8
8%
Brighton win to nil
10%
16/1
31%
18/1
46%
Man City win to nil
24%
13/8
5%
7/4
14%
Brighton / Brighton
7%
12/1
18%
14/1
58%
Brighton / Man City
5%
16/1
11%
18/1
Brighton / Draw
5%
18/118/1
12%
Draw / Brighton
5%
18/1
27%
16/1
42%
Draw / Man City
20%
10/3
4%
16/5
5%
Draw / Draw
10%
17/2
19%
15/2
21%
Man City / Brighton
2%
40/155/1
22%
Man City / Man City
42%
1/1
9%
21/20
15%
Man City / Draw
5%
16/118/1
12%
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Brighton have conceded 30 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 15 games at home, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 3rd place on 73 points in the Premier League league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 74 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Man City have played 15 away games, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Brighton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Man City
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
 Man City Away3727736088 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
 Arsenal3727556186 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
 Liverpool37231044379 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
6-1A
 A Villa3720892068 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-1F
 Spurs37196121063 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
 Chelsea37179111360 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
4-4F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Newcastle37176142157 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
May 19
w
 
1-3F
 Man Utd3717614-357 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
 West Ham37141013-1252 
May 19
w
 
1-3A
-
-
 Brighton Home37121213-548 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
 Bournemouth3713915-1248 
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
 C Palace37121015-646 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-4A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4F
 Wolves3713717-1346 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Fulham3712817-844 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Everton3713915-1040 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Brentford3710918-739 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
 Nottm Forest378920-1929 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
4-0A
 Luton376823-3126 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Burnley375923-3624 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
 Sheff Utd373727-6616 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Man City 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Man City have not lost to Brighton in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2017
Brighton
Man City
Goals: Scored
6
18
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
BHA
1
D
1
MCI
4
All league games since 2017
Brighton
Man City
Goals: Scored
9
36
Games: Scored
7 / 13
13 / 13
Clean sheets
0 / 13
6 / 13
BHA
1
D
1
MCI
11
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Brighton and Hove Albion of late. It has been 7 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday night against Manchester City.

Manchester City's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 9 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Thursday night.

Brighton 10th Man City 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+22
Man City have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258832/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.3
2
Attack rating
BHA
MCI
34%
better
view stats
Games scored28
34
Failed to score9
3
Scored first15
25
Goals scored55
93
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.5
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate14%
20%
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
BHA
MCI
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded31
24
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first19
11
Goals conceded60
33
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate18%
15%
KickOff rating
+35%

Brighton v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
339108
L DunkJ Pedro P GroßL Dunk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Steele GLK16
-
J Veltman DEF2711
4
-
J Hecke DEF28
4
-
L Dunk DEF3331
7
1
V Barco DEF4
1
-
P Groß MID35410
6
-
C Quomah MID26
7
-
A Lallana MID241
2
-
J Moder MID16
2
-
J Pedro  MID3093
2
-
D Welbeck FWD2851
4
-
Subs
B Verbruggen GLK21
3
-
Igor DEF23
4
-
O Offiah DEF4
-
A Webster DEF14
2
-
F Buonanotte MID2731
7
-
S Adingra FWD3061
3
-
A Fati FWD182
2
-
M O’Mahony FWD3
1
-
J Enciso FWD112
2
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3317109
EdersonP FodenK BruyneRodri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ederson GLK33
5
-
K Walker DEF314
2
-
N Aké  DEF2822
-
J Gvardiol DEF2741
3
-
Rodri MID3379
8
1
M Akanji MID292
3
-
B Silva MID3267
7
-
K Bruyne MID17410
2
-
M Kovacic MID291
4
-
P Foden MID34178
2
-
J Álvarez FWD361110
2
-
Subs
S Ortega GLK8
-
R Dias DEF29
-
J Stones DEF161
2
-
R Lewis DEF162
1
-
J Grealish MID2031
7
-
S Gómez MID61
-
M Nunes MID162
-
O Bobb MID1411
-
J Doku FWD2837
3
-