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Chelsea v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea and Burnley meet at the Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon, with both Liam Rosenior and Scott Parker hoping for success in the English Premier League. All of the important stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

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Chelsea's next match is v Wrexham at 17:45 on Saturday 7th March
Burnley's next match is v Bournemouth at 15:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last English Premier League meeting between Chelsea and Burnley was on Saturday 21st February 2026
English Premier League
February 21st 2026
Chelsea 1
1 Burnley
 
J. Junqueira de Jesus 4'90' Z. Flemming
 
CHE
BRN
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
5
6
Corners
9
5
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
2/1
3/0
 
ChelseaBurnley
 
R. Lynch Sanchez
E. Fernández
C. Palmer (O. Adarabioyo 75')
A. Nascimento dos Santos
P. Lomba Neto (M. Sarr 88')
J. Junqueira de Jesusfootball icon (L. Delap 80')
T. Chalobah
R. James (J. Acheampong 89')
M. Gusto (J. Hato 80')
W. Fofana
M. Caicedo Corozo
M. Dúbravka
(L. Pires Silva 46') K. Walker
J. Worrall
M. Esteve
(L. Tchaouna 83') B. Humphreys
(J. Ward-Prowse 57') C. Ugochukwu
M. Edwards
(A. Barnes 84') J. Anthony
H. Mejbri
(J. Bruun Larsen 78') J. Laurent
football iconZ. Flemming

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Chelsea to win

A Premier League victory in front of their own fans for Liam Rosenior's Chelsea side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Chelsea win is the way to go, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
63%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
Draw
19%
21/4
14%
11/2
24%
Burnley
17%
10/1
9%
17/2
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9/115/2
Chelsea 2-0
9%
13/211/2
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
8%
10/1
16%
Chelsea 1-0
8%
17/27/1
6%
Chelsea 3-1
7%
11/19/1
5%
Chelsea 3-0
7%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
22/1
13%
18/1
12%
Burnley 2-1
5%
33/122/1
Chelsea 4-1
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Burnley 1-0
4%
33/1
17%
18/1
Chelsea 3-2
4%
28/120/1
Chelsea 4-0
4%
12/110/1
9%
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
24%
16/1
31%
Chelsea 4-2
2%
40/128/1
Burnley 2-0
2%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1/2
6%
4/9
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
13/8
10%
13/8
7%
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/7
1%
2/9
3%
Away 1st Goal
41%
5/2
3%
10/3
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
24%
14/1
31%
BTTS - Yes
59%
19/2021/20
2%
BTTS - No
41%
4/57/10
BTTS - Home Win
33%
7/4
4%
9/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
16%
13/2
14%
13/2
8%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
16/1
12%
12/1
13%
Home/draw
83%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Away/draw
37%
11/4
15%
16/5
12%
Home/away
81%
1/8
3%
1/10
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/7
3%
2/15
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
6/5
9%
11/10
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
4/6
7%
4/6
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
11/4
13%
12/5
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
2/7
4%
2/7
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
11/2
14%
5/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/9
3%
1/9
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
1/100
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
31%
Home DNB
77%
1/14
1%
1/16
1%
Away DNB
31%
8/1
11%
7/1
Chelsea win to nil
30%
11/10
5%
-
Burnley win to nil
7%
18/1-
Chelsea / Chelsea
50%
8/11
4%
7/10
6%
Chelsea / Burnley
2%
50/140/1
Chelsea / Draw
4%
20/118/1
13%
Draw / Chelsea
20%
3/1
8%
10/3
5%
Draw / Burnley
4%
22/1
24%
16/1
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
5%
15/2
29%
Burnley / Chelsea
5%
18/1
10%
16/1
11%
Burnley / Burnley
5%
20/111/1
13%
Burnley / Draw
4%
22/1
13%
18/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 18 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 49 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3020733767 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City2918653260 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
l
 
5-1A
3
Man Utd2914961151 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
4
A Villa291568551 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-4A
May 9
l
 
2-1A
5
Chelsea2913971948 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
6
Liverpool291469948 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
7
Brentford2913511444 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-1A
8
Everton2912710143 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
9
Bournemouth299137-240 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
10
Fulham2912413-340 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 21
11
Sunderland2910109-440 
l
 
1-2F
May 24
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
12
Newcastle2911612-139 
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
13
C Palace2910811-238 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
14
Brighton2991010237 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 26
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
15
Leeds2971012-1131 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 2
16
Spurs297814-729 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
17
Nottm Forest297715-1528 
May 2
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
18
West Ham297715-1928 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley294718-2619 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
20
Wolves303720-3016 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Chelsea3 - 2West Ham
Chelsea2 - 0Brentford
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Chelsea1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea2 - 0Everton
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea3 - 0Wolves
Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Chelsea2 - 0Fulham
Chelsea0 - 0C Palace
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Chelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Chelsea1 - 0Spurs
Chelsea1 - 0Leicester
Chelsea4 - 0Southampton
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 0Brentford
AChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace2 - 3Burnley
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool1 - 1Burnley
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
ABurnley1 - 1Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Man Utd
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Chelsea have not lost to Burnley in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 2009
Chelsea
Burnley
Goals: Scored
19
9
Games: Scored
9 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
0 / 9
CHE
4
D
4
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Burnley
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 0
League games at Burnley since 2010
Burnley
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
7
29
Games: Scored
6 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
4 / 10
CHE
9
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 4Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
0 - 3Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Goal Statistics

Chelsea's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Chelsea 5th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Burnley have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.2
1.1
Attack rating
39%
better
CHE
BRN
view stats
Games scored24
17
Failed to score2
9
Scored first15
5
Goals scored47
28
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
18
Avg. XG for2
0.9
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
36%
better
CHE
BRN
view stats
Games conceded17
23
Clean sheets9
3
Conceded first9
20
Goals conceded30
51
Avg. goals conceded1.2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
2.2
KickOff rating
+36%

Chelsea v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281459
T ChalobahJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK271
3
1
R James  DEF2624
4
-
W Fofana DEF171
2
1
T Chalobah DEF283
3
1
M Gusto DEF2623
3
1
A Santos MID22
4
-
M Caicedo MID2431
8
1
C Palmer MID1891
4
-
E Fernández MID2883
8
-
P Neto MID2854
3
1
J Pedro  FWD29145
4
-
Subs
G Slonina GLK
-
T Adarabioyo DEF14
2
-
M Sarr DEF2
-
J Hato DEF14
4
-
J. Acheampong DEF121
1
-
R Lavia MID6
-
L Delap FWD201
2
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
A Garnacho FWD1814
1
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29748
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyQ HartmanK Walker
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK29
1
-
J Laurent DEF261
6
-
J Worrall DEF101
-
M Estève DEF26
-
K Walker MID272
8
-
L Ugochukwu MID2831
2
1
H Mejbri MID2113
6
-
B Humphreys MID13
4
-
M Edwards FWD1713
-
J Anthony FWD2871
4
-
Z Flemming FWD2071
3
-
Subs
M Weiß GLK
-
Q Hartman DEF154
1
-
H Ekdal DEF15
-
L Pires DEF14
1
Florentino MID242
4
-
J Ward-Prowse MID41
-
J Larsen  FWD231
-
L Tchaouna FWD221
1
-
A Barnes FWD5
1
-