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Chelsea v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stamford Bridge, London

Saturday afternoon at the Stamford Bridge, and it’s a English Premier League clash between Chelsea and Burnley. Mauricio Pochettino and Vincent Kompany going all-out to claim victory. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.

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Chelsea's next match is v A Villa at 20:00 on Saturday 27th April
Burnley's next match is v Man Utd at 15:00 on Saturday 27th April
The last English Premier League meeting between Chelsea and Burnley was on Saturday 30th March 2024
English Premier League
March 30th 2024
Chelsea 2
2 Burnley
 
C. Palmer 44'47' J. Cullen
C. Palmer 78'81' D. O'Shea
 
CHE
BRN
Shots On
13
7
Shots Off
10
6
Corners
12
4
Possession
69%
31%
Fouls
12
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/1
 
ChelseaBurnley
 
Đ. Petrović
A. Disasi
M. Gusto (A. Gilchrist 87')
M. Cucurella
B. Badiashile Mukinayi
E. Fernández
C. Gallagher (C. Madueke 62')
M. Caicedo Corozo (R. Sterling 73')
C. Palmerfootball iconfootball icon
M. Mudryk
N. Jackson
A. Murić
football iconD. O'Shea
M. Esteve
V. da Silva
L. Assignon
S. Berge
football iconJ. Cullen
(J. Rodriguez 69') L. Foster
(C. Taylor 45') M. Amdouni
(J. Brownhill 46') J. Bruun Larsen
(J. Berg Guðmunds­son 70') W. Odobert
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As followers of Burnley get ready for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After analysing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) performance, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthwhile bet, as both clubs know how to find the back of the net and either could win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

The market is becoming increasingly assured in Chelsea and Burnley's ability to score 3 goals or more between them on Saturday, with the odds shortening on over 2.5 goals and drifting on under 2.5 goals. All signs are good for our prediction.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Chelsea
59%
2/7
3%
1/4
6%
1/4
6%
6/25
6%
Draw
20%
11/2
18%
5/1
14%
11/2
18%
6/1
21%
Burnley
21%
8/1
20%
10/1
16%
9/1
25%
10/1
29%
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
8/1
13%
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
8%
11/1
20%
12/1
30%
12/1
24%
Chelsea 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
13/213/27/1
7%
Chelsea 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
9/19/117/2
10%
Chelsea 1-0
7%
11/1
26%
9/1
18%
17/2
19%
21/2
15%
Draw 2-2
6%
22/1
10%
18/118/1
12%
17/1
Chelsea 3-0
6%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
15/2
11%
15/2
6%
Burnley 2-1
5%
25/1
13%
28/1
12%
25/1
24%
25/1
24%
Chelsea 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
9%
18/119/1
Chelsea 4-1
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
14/1
12%
13/1
13%
Burnley 1-0
4%
28/1
26%
33/1
17%
33/1
31%
28/1
26%
Chelsea 4-0
3%
14/1
12%
11/1
20%
12/1
13%
23/2
11%
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
21%
25/1
37%
25/1
37%
25/1
24%
Burnley 3-2
3%
50/160/150/145/1
12%
Chelsea 4-2
2%
33/1
17%
28/1
15%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
2/5
7%
4/11
9%
4/11
9%
33/100
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
15/8
15%
15/8
15%
2/1
20%
9/4
18%
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/9
2%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
3/13/1
5%
5/2
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
22/1
21%
25/1
37%
20/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
64%
3/4
3%
3/4
3%
8/11
4%
8/11
1%
BTTS - No
36%
1/1
3%
1/1
3%
Evs
5%
21/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
34%
6/4
9%
29/20
8%
7/5
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
13/2
15%
11/2
8%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
12/1
8%
14/112/1
8%
-
Home/draw
79%
1/14
3%
1/28
2%
1/16
3%
1/18
3%
Away/draw
41%
5/2
8%
29/10
15%
13/5
16%
3/1
21%
Home/away
80%
1/9
3%
1/8
4%
1/8
1%
1/10
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/9
5%
1/9
3%
1/9
3%
1/12
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
11/2
30%
11/2
24%
5/1
20%
13/2
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
1/1
13%
20/21
11%
Evs
11%
22/25
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
4/5
11%
3/4
8%
8/11
10%
10/11
12%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
12/5
15%
21/10
16%
9/4
19%
41/20
16%
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1/3
6%
1/3
6%
1/3
9%
4/11
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
9/2
21%
9/2
21%
9/2
27%
22/5
23%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/7
4%
2/15
3%
1/8
6%
2/15
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
1/40-1.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1
11%
22/1
21%
-25/1
30%
Home DNB
73%
1/10
2%
1/14
3%
1/14
4%
1/16
4%
Away DNB
35%
6/1
17%
13/2
15%
13/2
25%
15/2
26%
Chelsea win to nil
25%
5/4
5%
13/10
2%
5/4
2%
-
Burnley win to nil
8%
16/1
13%
25/1
24%
20/1
40%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
48%
4/5
8%
5/6
6%
8/11
9%
7/10
9%
Chelsea / Burnley
1%
50/1
24%
80/166/1
31%
75/1
25%
Chelsea / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
20/1
11%
Draw / Chelsea
20%
10/33/110/318/5
2%
Draw / Burnley
4%
20/1
11%
22/1
21%
20/1
24%
22/1
28%
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
18%
17/2
19%
9/1
18%
10/1
16%
Burnley / Chelsea
5%
16/1
11%
20/116/1
11%
18/1
5%
Burnley / Burnley
5%
18/1
27%
22/1
21%
14/1
25%
17/1
29%
Burnley / Draw
4%
20/122/118/124/1
19%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 20 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 17 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 63 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Chelsea
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Burnley
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
 Arsenal3424555677 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
4-4A
d
 
1-1F
 Man City3323734876 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1A
 Liverpool3422844174 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
 A Villa3420682166 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
May 2
w
 
1-4A
 Spurs3218681660 
l
 
2-5F
May 11
w
 
4-3F
l
 
2-1A
 Man Utd3316512153 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-1A
 Newcastle33155131550 
May 4
l
 
2-0A
May 5
l
 
3-1A
 West Ham3413912-948 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
-
-
 Chelsea Home3213811447 
l
 
1-4F
d
 
2-2A
May 19
d
 
0-00-0
 Bournemouth3412913-1145 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2F
May 15
 Brighton33111111-244 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-4F
l
 
2-1A
 Wolves3412715-843 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Fulham3412616-442 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3A
 C Palace3410915-1239 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
 Brentford349817-735 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Everton3411815-1233 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 11
 Nottm Forest347918-1826 
May 19
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
 Luton346721-2825 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-4A
 Burnley Away345821-3223 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Sheff Utd343724-5916 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
see results
HOME FORM
Chelsea3 - 2Newcastle
Chelsea2 - 4Wolves
Chelsea1 - 0Fulham
Chelsea2 - 1C Palace
Chelsea2 - 0Sheff Utd
Chelsea3 - 2Brighton
Chelsea4 - 4Man City
Chelsea0 - 2Brentford
Chelsea2 - 2Arsenal
Chelsea0 - 1A Villa
Chelsea0 - 1Nottm Forest
Chelsea3 - 0Luton
Chelsea1 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 1Newcastle
Chelsea2 - 2Nottm Forest
Chelsea0 - 2Brentford
Chelsea1 - 2Brighton
Chelsea0 - 0Liverpool
Chelsea0 - 2A Villa
Chelsea2 - 2Everton
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
see results
OVERALL FORM
HChelsea3 - 2Newcastle
AChelsea2 - 2Brentford
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 4Wolves
AChelsea1 - 4Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 0Fulham
AChelsea3 - 2Luton
HChelsea2 - 1C Palace
AChelsea1 - 2Wolves
HChelsea2 - 0Sheff Utd
AChelsea0 - 2Everton
AChelsea1 - 2Man Utd
HChelsea3 - 2Brighton
AChelsea1 - 4Newcastle
HChelsea4 - 4Man City
AChelsea4 - 1Spurs
HChelsea0 - 2Brentford
HChelsea2 - 2Arsenal
AChelsea4 - 1Burnley
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
see results
AWAY FORM
West Ham2 - 2Burnley
C Palace3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool3 - 1Burnley
Man City3 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 2Burnley
Fulham0 - 2Burnley
Brighton1 - 1Burnley
Wolves1 - 0Burnley
Arsenal3 - 1Burnley
Bournemouth2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 0Burnley
Luton1 - 2Burnley
Newcastle2 - 0Burnley
Nottm Forest1 - 1Burnley
Bristol C1 - 2Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
Rotherham2 - 2Burnley
Reading0 - 0Burnley
M'Boro1 - 2Burnley
Hull1 - 3Burnley
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
see results
OVERALL FORM
HBurnley2 - 1Brentford
ABurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 3C Palace
HBurnley0 - 5Arsenal
ABurnley1 - 3Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Fulham
ABurnley1 - 3Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Luton
ABurnley2 - 3A Villa
HBurnley0 - 2Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 0Fulham
HBurnley0 - 2Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Brighton
ABurnley0 - 1Wolves
HBurnley5 - 0Sheff Utd
HBurnley1 - 2West Ham
ABurnley1 - 3Arsenal
HBurnley0 - 2C Palace
ABurnley1 - 2Bournemouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Chelsea have not lost to Burnley in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 2009
Chelsea
Burnley
Goals: Scored
17
7
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
CHE
4
D
3
BRN
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Burnley
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 0
All league games since 2009
Chelsea
Burnley
Goals: Scored
44
14
Games: Scored
17 / 17
10 / 17
Clean sheets
7 / 17
0 / 17
CHE
12
D
4
BRN
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
1 - 4Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 0
0 - 3Chelsea
Chelsea3 - 0
2 - 4Chelsea
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
2 - 3Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Chelsea3 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Chelsea in their meeting with Burnley, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive English Premier League outings.

Chelsea 9th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258844/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.2
1.3
Attack rating
28%
better
CHE
BRN
view stats
Games scored26
22
Failed to score6
12
Scored first16
15
Goals scored61
37
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate18%
13%
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
19%
better
CHE
BRN
view stats
Games conceded26
32
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first15
19
Goals conceded57
69
Avg. goals conceded1.8
2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate18%
18%
KickOff rating
+19%

Chelsea v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
302099
C GallagherC PalmerC PalmerM Caicedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK16
2
-
M Gusto DEF235
6
1
A Disasi DEF282
6
-
B Badiashile  DEF111
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF141
7
-
M Caicedo MID281
9
-
E Fernández MID2732
7
-
C Palmer MID27209
7
-
C Gallagher MID3036
7
-
M Mudryk MID2542
4
-
N Jackson FWD28104
9
-
Subs
M Bettinelli GLK
1
-
T Silva DEF253
3
-
A Gilchrist DEF81
-
J. Acheampong DEF
-
C Casadei MID5
-
J. Tauriainen MID
-
N Madueke FWD163
1
-
R Sterling FWD2764
6
-
D Eugênio FWD2
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29448
S BergeJ Larsen D O'SheaS Berge
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Muric GLK5
-
L Assignon  DEF101
3
-
D O'Shea DEF2824
5
1
M Estève DEF11
3
-
Vitinho DEF27
1
-
J Larsen  MID274
-
J Cullen MID2012
7
-
S Berge MID3211
8
-
W Odobert MID2433
2
-
Z Amdouni FWD2841
2
-
L Foster FWD1943
1
Subs
J Trafford GLK28
2
-
C Taylor DEF2511
7
-
H Ekdal DEF7
2
-
J Cork MID3
-
J Gudmundsson MID222
2
-
J Brownhill  MID3042
3
1
M Trésor FWD15
-
J Rodríguez FWD2021
-
B Hedilazio FWD7
-