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Austin v Minnesota United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 01:30 BST, Q2 Stadium, Texas

the Q2 Stadium crowd welcome Minnesota United's travelling contingent on Sunday morning, as Nicolás Estévez Martínez's Austin go head to head with Eric Ramsay's charges in the Major League Soccer. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Austin and Minnesota go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the teams in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics don't provide any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.57 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Austin are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Austin 37%	29/20 11%	-
Draw 31%	12/5 5%	-
Minnesota 33%	17/10 16%	-
Austin 1-0 14%	15/2 31%	-
Draw 1-1 14%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 13%	9/1 33%	-
Minnesota 1-0 13%	8/1 13%	-
Austin 2-0 7%	11/1 26%	-
Austin 2-1 7%	9/1 5%	-
Minnesota 2-1 7%	9/1 17%	-
Minnesota 2-0 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	14/1 12%	-
Austin 3-0 3%	22/1 10%	-
Austin 3-1 2%	20/1	-
Minnesota 3-1 2%	20/1 28%	-
Minnesota 3-0 2%	28/1 15%	-
Austin 3-2 1%	28/1 15%	-
Minnesota 3-2 1%	28/1 29%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 33%	1/1 15%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 67%	4/5 15%	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	5/6 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	11/10 13%	-
No 1st Goal 9%	9/1 33%	-
BTTS - Yes 40%	4/5 10%	-
BTTS - No 60%	19/20 11%	-
BTTS - Home Win 12%	4/1 9%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	9/2 27%	-
Home/draw 68%	4/9 6%	-
Away/draw 63%	8/15 8%	-
Home/away 69%	3/10 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 60%	3/10 7%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 40%	12/5 24%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 15%	5/2 19%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 85%	2/7 8%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 5%	6/1 30%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 95%	1/10 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	14/1 29%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/33 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1/16 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	9/1 33%	-
Home DNB 58%	4/5 15%	-
Away DNB 54%	10/11 15%	-
Austin win to nil 25%	10/3 27%	-
Minnesota win to nil 22%	7/2 10%	-
Austin / Austin 21%	3/1 7%	-
Austin / Minnesota 3%	28/1 15%	-
Austin / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw / Austin 14%	5/1 20%	-
Draw / Minnesota 13%	11/2 7%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 11%	-
Minnesota / Austin 3%	25/1 10%	-
Minnesota / Minnesota 18%	7/2 18%	-
Minnesota / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Austin	1 - 0	LA Galaxy
Austin	0 - 0	Portland
Austin	2 - 1	San Diego
Austin	0 - 1	Colorado
Austin	1 - 0	Sporting KC
Austin	3 - 2	Colorado
Austin	2 - 2	Salt Lake
Austin	0 - 1	Houston
Austin	0 - 1	Vancouver
Austin	2 - 2	Charlotte
Austin	0 - 1	Seattle
Austin	2 - 1	NY City
Austin	1 - 1	LAFC
Austin	0 - 2	Portland
Austin	3 - 2	Sporting KC
Austin	1 - 0	Houston
Austin	2 - 0	LA Galaxy
Austin	4 - 3	San Jose
Austin	2 - 1	Dallas
Austin	2 - 2	Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Austin	0 - 2	Houston
H	Austin	1 - 0	LA Galaxy
A	Austin	1 - 5	Vancouver
H	Austin	0 - 0	Portland
A	Austin	1 - 0	Saint Louis City
H	Austin	2 - 1	San Diego
A	Austin	1 - 0	LAFC
H	Austin	0 - 1	Colorado
A	Austin	0 - 1	Portland
H	Austin	1 - 0	Sporting KC
H	Austin	3 - 2	Colorado
A	Austin	1 - 2	LA Galaxy
A	Austin	1 - 0	Portland
H	Austin	2 - 2	Salt Lake
H	Austin	0 - 1	Houston
A	Austin	1 - 1	LAFC
A	Austin	1 - 2	Toronto
H	Austin	0 - 1	Vancouver
A	Austin	2 - 0	Nashville
H	Austin	2 - 2	Charlotte

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	0 - 0	Minnesota
NY City	1 - 2	Minnesota
Sporting KC	3 - 3	Minnesota
San Jose	0 - 1	Minnesota
LAFC	1 - 0	Minnesota
LA Galaxy	6 - 2	Minnesota
Salt Lake	0 - 0	Minnesota
Vancouver	0 - 1	Minnesota
Salt Lake	0 - 0	Minnesota
Sporting KC	0 - 2	Minnesota
Saint Louis City	1 - 3	Minnesota
San Jose	1 - 2	Minnesota
Houston	1 - 1	Minnesota
LA Galaxy	2 - 1	Minnesota
Portland	3 - 2	Minnesota
Dallas	5 - 3	Minnesota
Seattle	2 - 0	Minnesota
LAFC	2 - 0	Minnesota
Colorado	3 - 3	Minnesota
Atlanta	1 - 2	Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Minnesota	1 - 3	Vancouver
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Dallas
A	Minnesota	0 - 0	Toronto
A	Minnesota	2 - 1	NY City
H	Minnesota	2 - 0	Salt Lake
H	Minnesota	2 - 2	LA Galaxy
A	Minnesota	3 - 3	Sporting KC
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	San Jose
H	Minnesota	1 - 0	Montreal
A	Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Minnesota	2 - 6	LA Galaxy
H	Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
A	Minnesota	0 - 0	Salt Lake
H	Minnesota	4 - 1	Saint Louis City
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	Vancouver
A	Minnesota	0 - 0	Salt Lake
H	Minnesota	3 - 0	Colorado
A	Minnesota	2 - 0	Sporting KC
H	Minnesota	1 - 2	Cincinnati
A	Minnesota	3 - 1	Saint Louis City

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Austin

Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

AUS

MIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Austin
	1 - 2	Minnesota
Austin	2 - 1
Austin	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Minnesota

Minnesota

Austin

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

2 / 5

AUS

MIN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Minnesota
	0 - 1	Austin
	1 - 4	Austin
Minnesota	2 - 1
Minnesota	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Austin

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Austin of late. It has been 5 Major League Soccer games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday morning against Minnesota United.

	Austin	Minnesota
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Austin will score no more than 1 goal	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Minnesota scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-15 Austin have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted	-4 Minnesota’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season

AUS

MIN

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	6		7
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	5		6
Goals scored	7		12
Avg. goals scored	0.7		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	14		8
Conversion rate for	7		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.7
KickOff rating		+26%

AUS

MIN

better

view stats

Games conceded	5		5
Clean sheets	5		5
Conceded first	4		2
Goals conceded	10		10
Avg. goals conceded	1		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate against	11%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+6%

Austin v Minnesota Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Austin Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	2	3	3
B Stuver	B Vazquez	O Wolff	B Sabovic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Stuver GLK	10			1 -
J Gallagher DEF	10	1	1	2 -
G Biro DEF	10	1		1 -
B Sabovic MID	10			3 -
D Pereira MID	10	1		3 -
O Wolff MID	10		3	2 -
O Bukari FWD	10	1	1	-
J Obrian FWD	10			3 -
B Hines-Ike DEF	9			1 1
B Vazquez FWD	9	2		3 -
O Svatok DEF	8			2 -
I Sánchez MID	8			2 -
M Uzuni FWD	8	1		1 -
Z Kolmanic DEF	7		1	-
J Cascante DEF	6			1 -
N. Dubersarsky MID	6			1 -
C Fodrey MID	6			-
D Kostner FWD	6		1	1 -
M Desler DEF	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	11	3	6
B Vazquez	B Vazquez	O Wolff	O Wolff

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Vazquez FWD	2	11
M Uzuni FWD	1	10
G Biro DEF	1	1		1
D Pereira MID	1	3		4
O Bukari FWD	1	4	1	2
J Gallagher DEF	1	2	1	1
D Kostner FWD		1	1	1
Z Kolmanic DEF			1
O Svatok DEF		1		2
J Obrian FWD		1
O Wolff MID			3	6
B Sabovic MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
452	17	52
B Hines-Ike	G Biro	B Vazquez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Hines-Ike DEF	452	6	23
D Pereira MID	422	14	33
G Biro DEF	359	17	49
O Svatok DEF	338	9	17
B Stuver GLK	317		4
O Wolff MID	282	15	38
B Sabovic MID	281	16	37
I Sánchez MID	260	10	25
J Gallagher DEF	232	13	28
J Cascante DEF	226	1	12
O Bukari FWD	170	9	28
B Vazquez FWD	146	7	52
M Desler DEF	106	4	8
M Uzuni FWD	105	5	18
J Obrian FWD	99	6	21
Z Kolmanic DEF	65	6	11
N. Dubersarsky MID	46	4	7
D Kostner FWD	43	4	7
C Fodrey MID	19	4	8

Minnesota Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	5	4	3
B Hlongwane	T Oluwaseyi	J Pereyra	T Oluwaseyi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
W Trapp MID	10	2		1 -
J Pereyra MID	10		4	1 -
K Yeboah FWD	10	4		-
B Hlongwane FWD	10		1	1 -
D Clair GLK	9			2 -
R Lod MID	9			-
C Harvey MID	9			-
T Oluwaseyi FWD	9	5	2	3 -
A Markanich DEF	8			-
M Boxall DEF	8		1	2 -
J Díaz DEF	8		1	1 -
N Romero DEF	7			2 -
J Erazo DEF	7			1 -
M. Duggan DEF	7		1	-
J Sang-Bin FWD	7			1 -
O Gene MID	5			-
H Dotson MID	5	1		2 -
S Shashoua MID	5			-
D Taylor DEF	2			-
L. Mesanvi FWD	2			-
A. Smir GLK	1			-
D Padelford DEF	1			-
H. Jeong MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	4	8
T Oluwaseyi	K Yeboah	J Pereyra	J Pereyra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Oluwaseyi FWD	5	12	2	4
K Yeboah FWD	4	15		2
W Trapp MID	2	4
H Dotson MID	1	2		2
M. Duggan DEF		2	1	1
S Shashoua MID		1
N Romero DEF		1
J Erazo DEF		1		4
J Pereyra MID		4	4	8
J Díaz DEF		2	1	1
M Boxall DEF			1	2
C Harvey MID		1
R Lod MID		2		3
B Hlongwane FWD		3	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
353	24	56
J Pereyra	J Pereyra	B Hlongwane

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Pereyra MID	353	24	43
W Trapp MID	314	20	34
R Lod MID	282	14	39
D Clair GLK	250		1
B Hlongwane FWD	232	21	56
M Boxall DEF	216	6	28
J Erazo DEF	196	20	32
N Romero DEF	178	7	27
J Díaz DEF	178	9	35
K Yeboah FWD	151	9	54
M. Duggan DEF	149	5	23
T Oluwaseyi FWD	140	13	52
C Harvey MID	121	16	39
H Dotson MID	117	6	12
A Markanich DEF	102	12	29
S Shashoua MID	76	2	2
J Sang-Bin FWD	47	1	6
O Gene MID	42	1	7
D Taylor DEF	36	1	2
A. Smir GLK	20
L. Mesanvi FWD	5
H. Jeong MID	5	1	1
D Padelford DEF	1

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Austin v Minnesota United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Austin v Minnesota Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

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