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Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 20:30 BST, Subaru Park, Chester

Bradley Carnell and Gregg Berhalter pit their wits in the Major League Soccer on Saturday night, as Philadelphia Union face Chicago Fire at the Subaru Park. Statistics drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Philadelphia and Chicago will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Philadelphia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Philadelphia
44%
5/423/20
Draw
24%
21/1011/5
Chicago
32%
12/52/1
Draw 1-1
11%
5/111/2
Philadelphia 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Philadelphia 1-0
8%
9/115/2
Chicago 2-1
8%
11/19/1
Chicago 1-0
7%
11/110/1
Philadelphia 2-0
7%
11/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/19/1
Philadelphia 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Chicago 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Philadelphia 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Chicago 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Philadelphia 3-2
3%
22/120/1
Chicago 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Chicago 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
3/48/11
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
21/201/1
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/106/5
No 1st Goal
3%
11/19/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/78/13
BTTS - No
41%
5/423/20
BTTS - Home Win
23%
10/33/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
11/416/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/217/4
Home/draw
68%
3/107/20
Away/draw
56%
4/78/13
Home/away
76%
4/113/10
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/114/5
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/47/4
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/52/5
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/72/13
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/19/1
Home DNB
61%
8/133/5
Away DNB
48%
6/56/5
Philadelphia win to nil
21%
10/3-
Chicago win to nil
15%
11/2-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia
23%
13/512/5
Philadelphia / Chicago
3%
28/125/1
Philadelphia / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Philadelphia
14%
9/219/4
Draw / Chicago
12%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Chicago / Philadelphia
4%
22/120/1
Chicago / Chicago
17%
15/44/1
Chicago / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win form
3
Philadelphia have lost 3 consecutive home league games
Philadelphia 15TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Chicago 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Philadelphia have not lost to Chicago in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Philadelphia since 2018
Philadelphia
Chicago
Goals: Scored
21
8
Games: Scored
9 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
0 / 9
PHI
6
D
3
League games at Chicago since 2018
Chicago
Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
15
18
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
PHI
4
D
2
CHI
3
Goal Statistics
Philadelphia 15th Chicago 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Philadelphia will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Chicago will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Philadelphia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+49
Chicago have scored 49% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Philadelphia
PG (predicted goals)
Chicago
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
PHI
CHI
52%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score2
1
Scored first0
3
Goals scored2
5
Avg. goals scored0.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal20
7
Conversion rate for5
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
PHI
CHI
55%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first4
0
Goals conceded7
4
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
7
Conversion rate against23%
15%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+55%

Philadelphia v Chicago Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Chicago Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE