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Toronto FC v Orlando City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 23:00 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Major League Soccer, and Henk Fraser’s Toronto FC will have the blessing of it on Saturday night. Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez’s Orlando City are their visitors to the BMO Field. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Major League Soccer clash.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Toronto or Orlando are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Orlando coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toronto 31%	23/10 29%	-
Draw 24%	12/5 5%	-
Orlando 45%	21/20 20%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1 8%	-
Orlando 2-1 9%	8/1 10%	-
Orlando 1-0 8%	10/1 15%	-
Toronto 2-1 7%	11/1 20%	-
Orlando 2-0 7%	12/1 13%	-
Toronto 1-0 7%	14/1 15%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	10/1 10%	-
Orlando 3-1 5%	14/1 21%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	-
Toronto 2-0 4%	20/1 40%	-
Orlando 3-0 4%	20/1 19%	-
Orlando 3-2 3%	20/1 9%	-
Toronto 3-1 3%	22/1 21%	-
Toronto 3-2 3%	25/1 13%	-
Orlando 4-1 2%	28/1 29%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	3/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	13/10	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	11/10 10%	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	8/11 9%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	1/2	-
BTTS - No 40%	6/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	9/2 27%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1 7%	-
BTTS - Away Win 24%	13/5 17%	-
Home/draw 55%	7/10 13%	-
Away/draw 69%	1/3 11%	-
Home/away 76%	3/10 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	1/6	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	4/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	11/8	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	8/15	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	10/3	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/5	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	8/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/14	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Home DNB 48%	11/8 30%	-
Away DNB 62%	8/15 16%	-
Toronto win to nil 14%	6/1 27%	-
Orlando win to nil 21%	10/3 21%	-
Toronto / Toronto 16%	4/1 25%	-
Toronto / Orlando 4%	20/1 9%	-
Toronto / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Toronto 11%	13/2 15%	-
Draw / Orlando 15%	9/2 15%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2 8%	-
Orlando / Toronto 3%	25/1 13%	-
Orlando / Orlando 25%	9/4 19%	-
Orlando / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Toronto have drawn 4 consecutive home league games

Toronto have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 0	Portland
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte
Toronto	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Toronto	1 - 2	Nashville
Toronto	0 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	2 - 0	DC United
Toronto	0 - 2	New England
Toronto	0 - 1	NY City
Toronto	0 - 0	Minnesota
Toronto	0 - 0	Vancouver
Toronto	1 - 2	Chicago
Toronto	0 - 1	Miami
Toronto	1 - 4	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	0 - 2	Columbus
Toronto	2 - 1	Austin

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Toronto	2 - 2	Chicago
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
A	Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Toronto	1 - 1	New England
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Atlanta
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Toronto	1 - 1	Philadelphia
A	Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte
A	Toronto	0 - 1	Nashville
A	Toronto	1 - 0	San Diego
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Atlanta
A	Toronto	1 - 3	NY City
H	Toronto	3 - 0	Portland
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
H	Toronto	0 - 2	Charlotte
H	Toronto	1 - 2	Philadelphia
H	Toronto	1 - 2	Nashville
A	Toronto	6 - 1	Montreal
H	Toronto	0 - 1	Cincinnati

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cincinnati	1 - 1	Orlando
DC United	1 - 1	Orlando
Nashville	5 - 1	Orlando
Columbus	1 - 3	Orlando
New England	1 - 2	Orlando
Charlotte	2 - 2	Orlando
Saint Louis City	2 - 4	Orlando
Colorado	0 - 1	Orlando
Atlanta	3 - 2	Orlando
Miami	0 - 3	Orlando
Chicago	0 - 0	Orlando
Montreal	0 - 0	Orlando
Philadelphia	0 - 0	Orlando
LA Galaxy	1 - 2	Orlando
NY Red Bulls	2 - 2	Orlando
NY City	2 - 1	Orlando
Charlotte	0 - 0	Orlando
Cincinnati	1 - 3	Orlando
Dallas	1 - 3	Orlando
Columbus	4 - 3	Orlando

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Orlando	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Orlando	1 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Orlando	3 - 2	Nashville
A	Orlando	1 - 1	DC United
A	Orlando	1 - 5	Nashville
H	Orlando	3 - 1	Sporting KC
H	Orlando	4 - 1	Miami
A	Orlando	3 - 1	Columbus
A	Orlando	2 - 1	New England
H	Orlando	1 - 2	NY City
H	Orlando	1 - 1	Montreal
A	Orlando	2 - 2	Charlotte
H	Orlando	1 - 2	Cincinnati
A	Orlando	4 - 2	Saint Louis City
A	Orlando	1 - 0	Colorado
H	Orlando	1 - 3	Chicago
A	Orlando	2 - 3	Atlanta
H	Orlando	1 - 0	Portland
A	Orlando	3 - 0	Miami
H	Orlando	3 - 1	Charlotte

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Orlando have beaten Toronto in 3 consecutive away league meetings

Orlando have not lost to Toronto in 6 consecutive away league meetings

Toronto

Orlando

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

2 / 7

TOR

ORL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
	1 - 2	Orlando
	0 - 2	Orlando
	0 - 1	Orlando
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 3	Orlando
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toronto	2 - 1

Orlando

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

TOR

ORL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Orlando
Orlando	4 - 2
	1 - 2	Toronto
Orlando	4 - 0
Orlando	4 - 0
Orlando	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Toronto
Orlando	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Toronto FC of late. It has been 12 Major League Soccer games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Orlando City.

Orlando City have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 20 consecutive Major League Soccer games. Their PG of 1.7 against Toronto FC on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Toronto 12th	Orlando 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Orlando will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-41 Toronto have scored 41% fewer goals at home than predicted	+18 Orlando have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
	0.8 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season

TOR

ORL

35%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		26
Failed to score	10		4
Scored first	10		18
Goals scored	30		58
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.8
Avg. shots per game	7		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		16
Avg. XG for	1		1.7
KickOff rating		+35%

TOR

ORL

better

view stats

Games conceded	23		22
Clean sheets	7		8
Conceded first	17		8
Goals conceded	37		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.3
KickOff rating		+5%

Toronto v Orlando Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	6	2	7
S Johnson	T Corbeanu	D Junior	K Thompson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Alonso MID	30	1		4 -
T Corbeanu FWD	30	6	1	1 -
S Johnson GLK	29			1 -
S Rosted DEF	29	1	1	2 -
K Thompson MID	26			7 -
K Long DEF	24			6 -
D Junior FWD	24		2	1 -
R Petretta DEF	23			6 -
M Dominguez MID	23		1	5 -
J Osorio MID	23	3	1	1 -
D Kerr FWD	18	3		1 -
R Laryea DEF	16	1	1	3 -
L Stefanovic DEF	13			-
K Franklin DEF	13			2 -
Z. Monlouis DEF	10			-
Đorđe Mihailović MID	8	2	2	2 -
M Cimermancic MID	7			-
H Wingo DEF	6			-
N Gomis DEF	6			-
J Cifuentes MID	5			-
J Vilsaint FWD	5	1		1 -
L Gavran GLK	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	25	2	6
T Corbeanu	T Corbeanu	D Junior	Alonso

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Corbeanu FWD	6	25	1	3
J Osorio MID	3	8	1	3
D Kerr FWD	3	7		1
Đorđe Mihailović MID	2	5	2	4
Alonso MID	1	4		6
S Rosted DEF	1	3	1	2
R Laryea DEF	1	1	1	1
J Vilsaint FWD	1	3
K Thompson MID		2		1
K Long DEF		2		1
D Junior FWD		3	2	3
R Petretta DEF				1
M Dominguez MID		3	1	1
K Franklin DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1349	73	130
Alonso	Alonso	Alonso

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Alonso MID	1349	73	130
S Rosted DEF	1144	33	94
K Long DEF	949	33	122
K Thompson MID	892	57	113
J Osorio MID	883	38	86
S Johnson GLK	736	2	10
R Petretta DEF	715	38	78
M Dominguez MID	576	44	76
T Corbeanu FWD	565	12	115
R Laryea DEF	414	24	83
L Stefanovic DEF	327	13	23
Z. Monlouis DEF	317	2	18
K Franklin DEF	269	15	30
D Junior FWD	218	10	33
N Gomis DEF	211	10	17
Đorđe Mihailović MID	191	11	31
H Wingo DEF	146	4	9
J Cifuentes MID	134	3	23
D Kerr FWD	114	7	52
L Gavran GLK	96		5
M Cimermancic MID	92	11	19
J Vilsaint FWD	23	1	7

Orlando Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	16	10	10
M Pašalić	M Ojeda	M Ojeda	R Schlegel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Pašalić FWD	32	12	4	3 -
M Ojeda MID	31	16	10	-
I Angulo FWD	31		4	4 -
L Muriel FWD	31	9	6	1 1
P Gallese GLK	30		1	6 -
D Þórhallsson DEF	29	2		3 -
R Schlegel DEF	29			9 1
R Jansson DEF	29	1		6 -
D Brekalo DEF	28		2	6 -
A Freeman DEF	28	6	2	4 -
K Smith DEF	27		2	4 -
E Atuesta MID	26		6	6 -
C Araújo MID	21	2	3	6 1
J. Gerbet MID	20		1	2 -
D McGuire FWD	16	2	1	-
N. Rodríguez Calderón FWD	11	1		1 -
T. Spicer FWD	7	1	3	-
Z. Taifi MID	5			-
G. Caraballo Delgado FWD	5			-
C. Guske MID	4			-
A Marín DEF	3			-
J Otero GLK	2			1 -
T Williams DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	40	10	19
M Ojeda	M Pašalić	M Ojeda	M Ojeda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Ojeda MID	16	38	10	19
M Pašalić FWD	12	40	4	8
L Muriel FWD	9	28	6	9
A Freeman DEF	6	15	2	6
D Þórhallsson DEF	2	2		1
C Araújo MID	2	6	3	3
D McGuire FWD	2	3	1	2
R Jansson DEF	1	4		1
N. Rodríguez Calderón FWD	1	2		2
T. Spicer FWD	1	1	3	3
I Angulo FWD		10	4	9
P Gallese GLK			1	2
R Schlegel DEF		4
D Brekalo DEF		4	2	3
K Smith DEF		2	2	2
E Atuesta MID		6	6	8
J. Gerbet MID			1
G. Caraballo Delgado FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1476	50	165
R Schlegel	I Angulo	A Freeman

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Schlegel DEF	1476	42	97
R Jansson DEF	1408	26	59
E Atuesta MID	1298	38	119
D Brekalo DEF	1294	45	139
C Araújo MID	1096	39	103
A Freeman DEF	1053	41	165
M Ojeda MID	1042	26	74
M Pašalić FWD	823	24	98
I Angulo FWD	735	50	105
P Gallese GLK	647	1	18
L Muriel FWD	611	28	106
J. Gerbet MID	585	23	72
K Smith DEF	544	24	53
D Þórhallsson DEF	480	19	55
A Marín DEF	117	2	11
D McGuire FWD	114	1	20
T. Spicer FWD	73	8	23
N. Rodríguez Calderón FWD	59	2	11
J Otero GLK	33		1
G. Caraballo Delgado FWD	18	1	5
Z. Taifi MID	12	2	7
C. Guske MID	6	1	5
T Williams DEF		1	1