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Boca Juniors v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 23:30 BST, Estadio Alberto José Armando, Buenos Aires

Saturday night sees Claudio Fernando Úbeda’s Boca Juniors and Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato’s Independiente go up against one another in a Primera División clash at the Estadio Alberto José Armando. Primera División statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and the best odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Boca Juniors and Independiente go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the sides in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics don't give us any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.57 with the bookmakers, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Boca Juniors are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Boca Juniors
46%
21/20-
Draw
29%
2/1-
Independiente
25%
13/5-
Boca Juniors 1-0
16%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
13%
6/1-
Independiente 1-0
10%
8/1-
Boca Juniors 2-0
10%
17/2-
Boca Juniors 2-1
8%
17/2-
Independiente 2-1
5%
12/1-
Independiente 2-0
4%
16/1-
Boca Juniors 3-0
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1-
Boca Juniors 3-1
3%
20/1-
Independiente 3-1
2%
33/1-
Boca Juniors 3-2
1%
33/1-
Boca Juniors 4-0
1%
40/1-
Independiente 3-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
27/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
4/7-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
9%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
40%
1/1-
BTTS - No
60%
3/4-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
15/2-
Home/draw
75%
2/7-
Away/draw
54%
7/10-
Home/away
71%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
7/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
9/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
6/1-
Home DNB
66%
1/2-
Away DNB
45%
6/4-
Boca Juniors win to nil
31%
12/5-
Independiente win to nil
16%
9/2-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors
24%
5/2-
Boca Juniors / Independiente
2%
33/1-
Boca Juniors / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Boca Juniors
17%
4/1-
Draw / Independiente
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2-
Independiente / Boca Juniors
3%
28/1-
Independiente / Independiente
14%
5/1-
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Boca Juniors have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Boca Juniors 6TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boca Juniors2 - 0Instituto
Boca Juniors1 - 1San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
Boca Juniors0 - 0Racing Club
Boca Juniors0 - 0Platense
Boca Juniors2 - 0Newells
Boca Juniors1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors0 - 1Racing Club
Boca Juniors1 - 0Argentinos
Boca Juniors2 - 0Tal Cordoba
Boca Juniors2 - 0Tig
Boca Juniors2 - 0River Plate
Boca Juniors1 - 2Belgrano
Boca Juniors5 - 0Newells
Boca Juniors2 - 2Central Cor
Boca Juniors2 - 0Banfield
Boca Juniors1 - 1Racing Club
Boca Juniors1 - 1U Santa Fe
Boca Juniors0 - 1Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 0Lanus
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBoca Juniors2 - 0Instituto
ABoca Juniors1 - 1U Santa Fe
HBoca Juniors1 - 1San Lorenzo
ABoca Juniors3 - 0Lanus
HBoca Juniors1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
HBoca Juniors0 - 0Racing Club
HBoca Juniors0 - 0Platense
ABoca Juniors1 - 2Velez
HBoca Juniors2 - 0Newells
ABoca Juniors1 - 2Estudiantes
HBoca Juniors1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HBoca Juniors0 - 1Racing Club
HBoca Juniors1 - 0Argentinos
HBoca Juniors2 - 0Tal Cordoba
HBoca Juniors2 - 0Tig
HBoca Juniors2 - 0River Plate
ABoca Juniors2 - 1Estudiantes
ABoca Juniors3 - 1Barracas
HBoca Juniors1 - 2Belgrano
HBoca Juniors5 - 0Newells
Independiente 26TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto2 - 1Independiente
Gimnasia Mendoza1 - 1Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia3 - 2Independiente
Platense0 - 1Independiente
Newells1 - 1Independiente
Deportivo Riestra0 - 1Independiente
SM San Juan1 - 0Independiente
Godoy Cruz1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Instituto0 - 0Independiente
Velez2 - 1Independiente
Gimnasia1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento2 - 2Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 1Independiente
Rosario1 - 0Independiente
A. Tucuman2 - 0Independiente
Lanus1 - 1Independiente
San Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
Banfield0 - 0Independiente
Platense1 - 1Independiente
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
AIndependiente1 - 2Instituto
HIndependiente4 - 4U Santa Fe
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
AIndependiente2 - 3Independiente Rivadavia
HIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 0Platense
HIndependiente1 - 1Velez
AIndependiente1 - 1Newells
HIndependiente1 - 1Estudiantes
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1SM San Juan
HIndependiente0 - 2Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Boca Juniors since 2020
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
1 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
3 / 4
D
3
IND
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Boca Juniors
0 - 1Independiente
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Independiente since 2018
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
BOJ
3
D
2
IND
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
0 - 2Boca Juniors
Draw2 - 2Draw
Independiente1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Boca Juniors
0 - 1Boca Juniors
Goal Statistics
Boca Juniors 6th Independiente 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Boca Juniors’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-18
Independiente have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Boca Juniors
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
BOJ
IND
30%
better
view stats
Games scored9
11
Failed to score2
0
Scored first5
7
Goals scored13
17
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
35%
better
BOJ
IND
view stats
Games conceded5
8
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded7
15
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
6
Conversion rate against8%
18%
Avg. XG against0.7
1
KickOff rating
+35%

Boca Juniors v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11434
A MarchesínM MerentielL ParedesL Paredes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Marchesín GLK11
-
L Lollo DEF111
3
-
L Blanco DEF111
-
A Costa DEF11
2
-
M. Delgado MID101
1
-
L Paredes MID1013
4
-
M Weigandt DEF8
-
S Ascacibar MID82
3
-
M Merentiel FWD841
1
-
A Herrera MID6
-
J Barinaga DEF5
-
T Belmonte MID5
-
W Cepeda MID4
1
-
K Zenón FWD4
-
Ángel Romero FWD4
-
L Janson FWD3
1
-
A Velasco FWD3
-
E Zeballos  FWD311
-
E Cavani  FWD2
-
L Brey GLK1
-
C. Rey Domenech MID1
-
M Braida MID1
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11734
R ReyG ÁvalosI MalcorraG. Millán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK11
1
-
K Lomónaco DEF111
3
-
I Malcorra MID1113
2
-
M Abaldo FWD113
1
G Ávalos FWD1173
1
-
F Zabala DEF101
2
-
G. Millán MID101
4
-
I Pussetto  FWD1011
1
-
L Godoy DEF9
2
-
R Fernández MID9
2
-
I Marcone MID91
3
-
S Valdéz DEF8
1
1
L Cabral MID81
1
1
S Arias DEF72
1
-
S Montiel FWD71
1
J. Fedorco DEF61
1
-
W Mazzantti FWD6
-
M Valenzuela  DEF4
1
-
F Mancuello MID1
-
D. Tarzia FWD1
-