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Boca Juniors v Lanús : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 01:00 BST, Estadio Alberto José Armando, Buenos Aires

Sunday morning at the Estadio Alberto José Armando, and it’s a Primera División showdown between Boca Juniors and Lanús. Fernando Rubén Gago and Mauricio Pochettino going all-out to guide their side to victory. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Boca Juniors and Lanus during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Boca Juniors are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Boca Juniors 56%	4/5 4%	-
Draw 29%	13/5	-
Lanus 15%	10/3 4%	-
Boca Juniors 1-0 21%	9/2 10%	-
Draw 0-0 16%	6/1	-
Boca Juniors 2-0 14%	13/2 7%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Lanus 1-0 8%	15/2 6%	-
Boca Juniors 2-1 7%	17/2	-
Boca Juniors 3-0 6%	14/1 15%	-
Boca Juniors 3-1 3%	18/1	-
Lanus 2-1 3%	14/1 12%	-
Lanus 2-0 2%	20/1	-
Boca Juniors 4-0 2%	33/1	-
Draw 2-2 2%	22/1	-
Boca Juniors 4-1 1%	40/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Boca Juniors 5-0 1%	66/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 28%	6/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 72%	1/2	-
Home 1st Goal 57%	4/7 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 31%	2/1 8%	-
No 1st Goal 12%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 30%	5/4 5%	-
BTTS - No 70%	4/7 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 13%	9/2 8%	-
BTTS - Away Win 4%	9/1 17%	-
Home/draw 85%	1/5 2%	-
Away/draw 44%	19/20 5%	-
Home/away 71%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 55%	1/2	-
Under 1.5 Goals 45%	6/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 12%	4/1 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 88%	1/6 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 4%	10/1 15%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 96%	1/20 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	25/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/100	-
Over 0.5 Goals 84%	1/12	-
Under 0.5 Goals 16%	7/1	-
Home DNB 77%	4/11 5%	-
Away DNB 35%	2/1 12%	-
Boca Juniors win to nil 43%	13/8 5%	-
Lanus win to nil 11%	5/1 8%	-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors 28%	2/1 4%	-
Boca Juniors / Lanus 2%	40/1	-
Boca Juniors / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Boca Juniors 19%	7/2 4%	-
Draw / Lanus 9%	8/1 10%	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Lanus / Boca Juniors 3%	28/1	-
Lanus / Lanus 10%	15/2 6%	-
Lanus / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Boca Juniors have won 7 consecutive home league games

Boca Juniors have not lost in 14 consecutive home league games

Lanus have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Boca Juniors have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Estudiantes
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Barracas
Boca Juniors	4 - 0	Defensa
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Rosario
Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Aldosivi
Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Huracan
Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Argentinos
Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Independiente
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	U Santa Fe
Boca Juniors	4 - 1	Godoy Cruz
Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Argentinos
Boca Juniors	0 - 1	River Plate
Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Rosario
Boca Juniors	3 - 2	San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Barracas
Boca Juniors	3 - 0	Banfield
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Velez

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Tig
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	River Plate
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Boca Juniors	3 - 1	Belgrano
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Barracas
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 2	Newells
H	Boca Juniors	4 - 0	Defensa
A	Boca Juniors	3 - 0	Central Cor
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Rosario
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Aldosivi
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Banfield
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 2	Racing Club
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Huracan
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	U Santa Fe
H	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Argentinos
H	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Independiente
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Newells
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Huracan

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. Tucuman	1 - 0	Lanus
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	Lanus
San Lorenzo	1 - 1	Lanus
Platense	0 - 0	Lanus
Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 1	Lanus
River Plate	1 - 0	Lanus
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Lanus
Rosario	2 - 1	Lanus
Barracas	3 - 3	Lanus
Banfield	0 - 1	Lanus
Velez	0 - 0	Lanus
Tal Cordoba	1 - 2	Lanus
A. Tucuman	1 - 0	Lanus
Newells	2 - 1	Lanus
Huracan	3 - 0	Lanus
Sarmiento	0 - 0	Lanus
Deportivo Riestra	3 - 1	Lanus
Argentinos	2 - 0	Lanus
River Plate	2 - 2	Lanus
Rosario	1 - 1	Lanus

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lanus	0 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	Lanus	1 - 0	SM San Juan
H	Lanus	1 - 1	Banfield
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Lanus	1 - 1	Independiente
A	Lanus	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Lanus	4 - 1	Instituto
A	Lanus	0 - 0	Platense
A	Lanus	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Lanus	0 - 0	Velez
A	Lanus	0 - 1	River Plate
H	Lanus	0 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Lanus	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Lanus	2 - 0	Sarmiento
A	Lanus	1 - 2	Rosario
H	Lanus	0 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
A	Lanus	3 - 3	Barracas
H	Lanus	2 - 0	Instituto
A	Lanus	1 - 0	Banfield
H	Lanus	0 - 0	Defensa

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Boca Juniors have drawn with Lanus in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Boca Juniors have not lost to Lanus in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Boca Juniors

Lanus

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

0 / 7

BOJ

LAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Boca Juniors
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Boca Juniors	4 - 2
Boca Juniors	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Lanus
Boca Juniors	2 - 1

Lanus

Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

BOJ

LAN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lanus
Lanus	1 - 0
Lanus	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Lanus	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Lanús's defensive record is very strong, Mauricio Pochettino's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive Primera División outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Boca Juniors makes sense in this context.

A truly awful PG of just 0.5 should cause concerns for Lanús fans, as should a 6 Primera División games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Boca Juniors	Lanus
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 4+ There is a 62% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal	0 59% 1 31% 2 3 4+ There is a 59% probability that Lanus will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+6 Boca Juniors’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-19 Lanus have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

43%

better

BOJ

LAN

view stats

Games scored	13		9
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	12		4
Goals scored	24		13
Avg. goals scored	1.5		0.8
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		12
Conversion rate for	20		8
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+43%

12%

better

BOJ

LAN

view stats

Games conceded	8		9
Clean sheets	8		7
Conceded first	3		8
Goals conceded	11		11
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	12		12
Conversion rate against	8%		8%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1
KickOff rating		+12%

Boca Juniors v Lanus Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	6	3	5
A Marchesín	M Merentiel	M Merentiel	A Costa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Merentiel FWD	16	6	3	1 -
E Zeballos FWD	15	1	1	1 -
A Marchesín GLK	14			2 -
K Zenón FWD	14	2		1 1
L Advíncula DEF	13	1	1	2 -
C Palacios MID	13	3	3	1 -
R Battaglia MID	12	1		4 -
M Giménez FWD	12	4	1	2 -
L Lollo DEF	11	1		3 -
L Blanco DEF	11		2	3 -
M Rojo DEF	11	1		3 -
T Belmonte MID	11			2 -
A Velasco FWD	11			2 -
M. Delgado MID	10		1	2 -
E Cavani FWD	10	2	2	1 -
A Costa DEF	9			4 1
L Blondel DEF	9		1	1 -
W Cepeda MID	8			4 -
M Saracchi DEF	6	1		1 -
B Aguirre FWD	6			-
C. Rey Domenech MID	5			-
A Herrera MID	5			1 -
J Barinaga DEF	3			2 -
I Miramón MID	3			1 -
L Janson FWD	3			-
L Brey GLK	2			-
F Fabra DEF	2			1 -
M. Mendia DEF	1			-
A Martegani MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	8	3	6
M Merentiel	K Zenón	M Merentiel	K Zenón

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Merentiel FWD	6	7	3	5
M Giménez FWD	4	7	1	3
C Palacios MID	3	4	3	6
E Cavani FWD	2	6	2	1
K Zenón FWD	2	8		6
L Advíncula DEF	1	1	1	4
R Battaglia MID	1	2		1
L Lollo DEF	1	2
M Rojo DEF	1	1
E Zeballos FWD	1	5	1
M Saracchi DEF	1	1
F Fabra DEF		1		1
J Barinaga DEF				1
A Herrera MID				2
L Blondel DEF			1	1
W Cepeda MID		1		2
A Costa DEF		2
M. Delgado MID			1
A Velasco FWD		3		2
L Blanco DEF		1	2	4
A Martegani MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
633	39	75
M Rojo	T Belmonte	T Belmonte

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Rojo DEF	633	14	45
R Battaglia MID	565	14	58
M. Delgado MID	506	27	54
L Blanco DEF	498	24	44
C Palacios MID	498	9	51
L Lollo DEF	473	22	52
T Belmonte MID	380	39	75
K Zenón FWD	357	14	43
A Marchesín GLK	331		8
L Advíncula DEF	319	15	31
A Costa DEF	279	21	55
L Blondel DEF	269	11	28
W Cepeda MID	208	9	21
A Herrera MID	203	8	19
A Velasco FWD	199	11	35
C. Rey Domenech MID	173	9	18
M Saracchi DEF	152	6	17
M Merentiel FWD	150	4	19
E Zeballos FWD	150	7	40
E Cavani FWD	150	7	26
M Giménez FWD	95	7	43
J Barinaga DEF	86	7	15
M. Mendia DEF	57	1	4
I Miramón MID	53	8	13
L Brey GLK	50
F Fabra DEF	50	3	6
B Aguirre FWD	39		8
L Janson FWD	34	3	11
A Martegani MID	21	1	4

Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	4	3	7
S Marcich	M Moreno	S Marcich	A Cardozo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Marcich DEF	16		3	3 -
M Moreno MID	16	4	1	1 -
E Salvio FWD	16	3		-
N Losada GLK	15			-
C Izquierdoz DEF	15			1 -
D Aquino FWD	15			1 -
A Cardozo MID	14			6 1
W Bou FWD	14	3		-
R López DEF	13			1 -
A Segovia FWD	13	1		-
G Pérez DEF	11			3 -
R Carrera MID	11	1	1	4 -
A Canelo FWD	11	1	2	-
J Ramírez MID	9			-
A Méndez DEF	8			3 -
E Muñoz DEF	8			1 -
F Biafore MID	7			2 -
F Orozco FWD	6			-
B. Cabrera FWD	5			1 -
L Acosta FWD	3			-
L. Cardozo DEF	2			2 -
A Rodríguez MID	2			-
L Morales GLK	1			-
O. Ontívero DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	3	10
M Moreno	M Moreno	S Marcich	M Moreno

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Moreno MID	4	12	1	10
E Salvio FWD	3	12		4
W Bou FWD	3	12		2
A Canelo FWD	1	5	2	1
A Segovia FWD	1	4		1
R Carrera MID	1	8	1
E Muñoz DEF		1
L Acosta FWD				1
B. Cabrera FWD		2
F Orozco FWD		1		5
S Marcich DEF		3	3	9
A Méndez DEF		2
J Ramírez MID				1
G Pérez DEF		1		1
R López DEF		2		1
A Cardozo MID		2		3
D Aquino FWD		4		1
C Izquierdoz DEF		3		1
O. Ontívero DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
686	46	85
C Izquierdoz	S Marcich	S Marcich

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Izquierdoz DEF	686	21	73
S Marcich DEF	589	46	85
M Moreno MID	541	16	78
A Cardozo MID	537	21	54
R López DEF	477	9	54
E Salvio FWD	373	14	57
N Losada GLK	359	1	7
E Muñoz DEF	343	8	44
R Carrera MID	335	18	56
G Pérez DEF	280	13	31
W Bou FWD	242	13	49
D Aquino FWD	217	14	51
F Biafore MID	189	4	29
A Segovia FWD	163	8	47
J Ramírez MID	144	4	20
A Canelo FWD	81	1	12
A Méndez DEF	74	13	27
F Orozco FWD	72	5	15
B. Cabrera FWD	39	1	18
L. Cardozo DEF	33	1	3
A Rodríguez MID	21	1	2
L Morales GLK	20
O. Ontívero DEF	19	1	2
L Acosta FWD	10		2

Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds

San Lorenzo v Tig

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Rosario v Estudiantes

Sat 10th May, 20:30

Racing Club v Platense

Sat 10th May, 22:45

Boca Juniors v Lanus

Sun 11th May, 01:00

Independiente v Independiente Rivadavia

Sun 11th May, 19:30

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Sun 11th May, 22:00

Huracan v Deportivo Riestra

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River Plate v Barracas

Tue 13th May, 00:30

Boca Juniors v Lanús : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Boca Juniors v Lanus Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

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