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Gimnasia La Plata v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 10th Nov, 20:00 BST, Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata

Sunday night sees Alejandro Orfila’s Gimnasia La Plata and Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s Vélez Sarsfield go head to head in a Primera División clash at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. Primera División statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Gimnasia and Velez go head-to-head, with little to choose between the teams in terms of who could claim victory. The stats do not give us any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.36 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Gimnasia 26%	23/10	21/10
Draw 29%	7/4	9/5
Velez 45%	29/20	13/10
Velez 1-0 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw 0-0 12%	9/2	17/4
Gimnasia 1-0 10%	6/1	11/2
Velez 2-0 9%	9/1	8/1
Velez 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2
Gimnasia 2-1 6%	12/1	11/1
Gimnasia 2-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Velez 3-0 4%	22/1	18/1
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	16/1
Velez 3-1 3%	25/1	20/1
Gimnasia 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Velez 3-2 2%	40/1	33/1
Gimnasia 3-0 1%	40/1	25/1
Velez 4-0 1%	50/1	40/1
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	21/10	19/10
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	4/11	4/11
Home 1st Goal 41%	11/8	7/5
Away 1st Goal 51%	1/1	19/20
No 1st Goal 8%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Yes 42%	5/4	7/5
BTTS - No 58%	4/7	8/15
BTTS - Home Win 9%	17/2	7/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 15%	6/1	11/2
Home/draw 55%	1/2	11/20
Away/draw 74%	1/3	1/3
Home/away 71%	2/5	2/5
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	8/13	13/20
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	6/5	23/20
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	11/2	5/1
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/9	1/9
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	16/1	12/1
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/40	1/40
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	33/1	25/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/200	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/7	2/15
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	9/2	17/4
Home DNB 47%	6/5	6/5
Away DNB 65%	8/13	3/5
Gimnasia win to nil 17%	7/2	-
Velez win to nil 29%	5/2	-
Gimnasia / Gimnasia 15%	9/2	17/4
Gimnasia / Velez 3%	33/1	25/1
Gimnasia / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Gimnasia 12%	11/2	11/2
Draw / Velez 15%	9/2	4/1
Draw / Draw 22%	11/4	27/10
Velez / Gimnasia 2%	40/1	28/1
Velez / Velez 19%	10/3	14/5
Velez / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Gimnasia have lost 3 consecutive home league games

Velez have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
Gimnasia	0 - 3	Rosario
Gimnasia	1 - 3	U Santa Fe
Gimnasia	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
Gimnasia	1 - 2	Lanus
Gimnasia	1 - 0	Independiente
Gimnasia	0 - 1	Instituto
Gimnasia	1 - 0	Platense
Gimnasia	0 - 3	River Plate
Gimnasia	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Gimnasia	0 - 0	Sarmiento
Gimnasia	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia	1 - 0	SM San Juan
Gimnasia	3 - 0	Godoy Cruz
Gimnasia	0 - 2	San Lorenzo
Gimnasia	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Gimnasia	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
Gimnasia	1 - 0	Newells
Gimnasia	0 - 0	Central Cor
Gimnasia	2 - 3	U Santa Fe

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Gimnasia	1 - 0	River Plate
A	Gimnasia	0 - 2	Estudiantes
H	Gimnasia	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
A	Gimnasia	1 - 0	Sarmiento
H	Gimnasia	0 - 3	Rosario
A	Gimnasia	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
H	Gimnasia	1 - 3	U Santa Fe
H	Gimnasia	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
A	Gimnasia	0 - 1	SM San Juan
H	Gimnasia	1 - 2	Lanus
A	Gimnasia	2 - 1	Godoy Cruz
H	Gimnasia	1 - 0	Independiente
A	Gimnasia	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Gimnasia	0 - 1	Instituto
H	Gimnasia	1 - 0	Platense
A	Gimnasia	0 - 1	Velez
H	Gimnasia	0 - 3	River Plate
H	Gimnasia	1 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Gimnasia	0 - 2	Tal Cordoba
H	Gimnasia	0 - 0	Sarmiento

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sarmiento	0 - 2	Velez
Deportivo Riestra	2 - 2	Velez
SM San Juan	1 - 2	Velez
Huracan	0 - 0	Velez
Godoy Cruz	0 - 2	Velez
San Lorenzo	1 - 0	Velez
Platense	0 - 0	Velez
River Plate	4 - 1	Velez
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Velez
Rosario	2 - 1	Velez
A. Tucuman	1 - 2	Velez
Lanus	0 - 0	Velez
Independiente	3 - 0	Velez
Instituto	2 - 0	Velez
Tig	3 - 0	Velez
U Santa Fe	1 - 0	Velez
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	Velez
Deportivo Riestra	1 - 1	Velez
Argentinos	1 - 1	Velez
River Plate	1 - 1	Velez

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Velez	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Velez	2 - 0	Sarmiento
H	Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
A	Velez	2 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
H	Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Velez	2 - 1	SM San Juan
A	Velez	0 - 0	Huracan
H	Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
A	Velez	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
A	Velez	0 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
A	Velez	0 - 0	Platense
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tig
A	Velez	1 - 4	River Plate
H	Velez	1 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Velez	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
A	Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
H	Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Gimnasia

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

3 / 6

GIM

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gimnasia
Gimnasia	3 - 1
Gimnasia	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 5	Velez
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Velez

Gimnasia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

GIM

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	1 - 0
Velez	3 - 1
Velez	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Velez	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Gimnasia La Plata fans, as should a 9 Primera División matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Gimnasia 19th	Velez 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Gimnasia scoring 1 goal or less	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-26 Gimnasia have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted	-14 Velez have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.8 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

GIM

VEL

12%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		15
Failed to score	15		15
Scored first	11		10
Goals scored	18		26
Avg. goals scored	0.6		0.9
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	13		8
Conversion rate for	8		13
Avg. XG for	0.9		0.9
KickOff rating		+12%

GIM

VEL

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		19
Clean sheets	11		11
Conceded first	16		15
Goals conceded	34		32
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		9
Conversion rate against	12%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1
KickOff rating		+3%

Gimnasia v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Gimnasia Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	5	2	12
N Insfrán	M Torres	J Pintado	G Suso

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Pintado DEF	28		2	5 -
N Insfrán GLK	27			3 -
P Silva DEF	27			2 -
G Suso DEF	27	1		11 1
M Panaro FWD	25	1	1	3 1
B Merlini FWD	21	1	2	5 -
R Giampaoli DEF	20			5 -
L Castro MID	20	1	1	6 -
N Garayalde MID	18	1		8 -
F. Di Biasi MID	17			7 -
N Briasco FWD	17		1	5 -
A Sosa FWD	17			-
A Piedrahita FWD	15		1	2 -
M Torres FWD	14	5		2 -
J. Merlo FWD	13		1	1 -
F. Corbalán DEF	12			2 1
A Max MID	12			3 -
L Mamut MID	11			-
J Hurtado FWD	11			2 -
M Seoane MID	9		1	2 -
I Mammini FWD	9			-
G Conti DEF	7			1 -
J. Villalba DEF	5			-
M Melluso DEF	5			2 -
E Martínez DEF	4			1 -
S Lomónaco FWD	4			-
M Zalazar FWD	4			1 -
L Ingolotti GLK	3			-
J Perez MID	3			1 -
J. Yangali MID	3			-
D Mastrángelo DEF	1			1 -
F Torres FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	8	2	8
M Torres	G Suso	J Pintado	J Pintado

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Torres FWD	5	7
G Suso DEF	1	8
M Panaro FWD	1	6	1	5
B Merlini FWD	1	4	2	2
L Castro MID	1	8	1	2
N Garayalde MID	1	4
J Pintado DEF		2	2	8
P Silva DEF		6		3
F. Di Biasi MID		1
N Briasco FWD		5	1	2
A Sosa FWD		6		1
A Piedrahita FWD		5	1	1
J. Merlo FWD		1	1	3
L Mamut MID				1
J Hurtado FWD		4
M Seoane MID			1	1
I Mammini FWD				1
G Conti DEF		1
J. Villalba DEF		1
E Martínez DEF		1
S Lomónaco FWD		1		1
J Perez MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
855	72	147
J Pintado	J Pintado	J Pintado

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Pintado DEF	855	72	147
G Suso DEF	853	38	144
P Silva DEF	746	56	117
N Insfrán GLK	706	1	12
L Castro MID	514	26	81
R Giampaoli DEF	513	31	107
B Merlini FWD	504	16	65
F. Di Biasi MID	504	21	53
N Garayalde MID	452	48	73
A Sosa FWD	318	27	55
M Seoane MID	301	18	27
A Piedrahita FWD	260	15	45
M Panaro FWD	230	29	87
A Max MID	230	32	53
F. Corbalán DEF	185	15	34
N Briasco FWD	174	11	62
G Conti DEF	145	3	17
L Mamut MID	131	14	29
M Torres FWD	119	6	21
J. Merlo FWD	109	7	32
J Hurtado FWD	98	5	49
J. Villalba DEF	76	6	9
E Martínez DEF	74	5	16
M Melluso DEF	66	10	19
J. Yangali MID	65	5	8
L Ingolotti GLK	64		1
I Mammini FWD	43	3	7
J Perez MID	30	2	3
M Zalazar FWD	23	1	3
S Lomónaco FWD	18	1	6
D Mastrángelo DEF	11	1	3
F Torres FWD	8		2

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	8	2	12
T Marchiori	B Romero	B Romero	A Bouzat

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Marchiori GLK	28			1 -
E Gómez DEF	28			6 -
B Romero FWD	26	8	2	9 -
A Bouzat MID	25		2	12 -
F Pizzini FWD	24	1		1 -
M Pellegrini FWD	22		2	2 1
J. Gordon DEF	19			4 1
M. Carrizo FWD	19	5		3 -
C Baeza MID	18		1	9 -
A Quirós DEF	17			5 3
E Mammana DEF	16			2 -
T Galván MID	16	2	1	1 -
M Santos FWD	16			-
I Machuca FWD	15	1	1	3 -
A Lagos DEF	13			6 1
L Magallán DEF	12	1		3 -
R Aliendro MID	10		1	1
T. Andrada MID	9			1 -
L Roldán MID	9			3 -
T. Silvero DEF	8			1 -
M Lanzini MID	8	3	1	-
K. Vázquez MID	7			3 -
D. Godoy FWD	7	2	1	1 -
D Valdés MID	6	1		-
F Monzón FWD	6			-
I. Andrada DEF	5		2	-
T Cavanagh DEF	4			2 -
Álvaro Montero GLK	2			-
M. Arias FWD	2			-
J García DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	2	4
B Romero	B Romero	B Romero	B Romero

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Romero FWD	8	21	2	4
M. Carrizo FWD	5	13
M Lanzini MID	3	5	1
T Galván MID	2	6	1	4
D. Godoy FWD	2	5	1	1
F Pizzini FWD	1	5		4
I Machuca FWD	1	2	1	4
L Magallán DEF	1	3		1
D Valdés MID	1	4
E Gómez DEF		1		2
A Bouzat MID		5	2	4
M Pellegrini FWD		5	2	2
J. Gordon DEF		2		3
C Baeza MID			1	1
E Mammana DEF		1		1
M Santos FWD		4
A Lagos DEF		2		3
R Aliendro MID		1	1
T. Andrada MID		1
T. Silvero DEF		1
F Monzón FWD		2
I. Andrada DEF			2	1
T Cavanagh DEF				1
M. Arias FWD		1
J García DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1104	76	169
A Bouzat	A Bouzat	A Bouzat

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bouzat MID	1104	76	169
E Gómez DEF	1081	55	157
E Mammana DEF	724	21	56
C Baeza MID	705	42	89
J. Gordon DEF	673	47	100
A Quirós DEF	656	19	75
T Marchiori GLK	575	1	14
L Magallán DEF	501	14	49
F Pizzini FWD	447	19	72
T Galván MID	423	19	69
B Romero FWD	373	27	124
M Pellegrini FWD	365	19	80
A Lagos DEF	360	33	70
M. Carrizo FWD	299	14	76
I Machuca FWD	281	11	49
R Aliendro MID	274	28	60
M Lanzini MID	211	6	23
K. Vázquez MID	169	12	17
T. Andrada MID	158	10	20
L Roldán MID	125	7	18
F Monzón FWD	108	2	10
M Santos FWD	106	3	36
I. Andrada DEF	100	10	15
T. Silvero DEF	94	7	20
T Cavanagh DEF	84	7	10
D Valdés MID	78	2	13
D. Godoy FWD	60	4	22
Álvaro Montero GLK	39		1
M. Arias FWD	16		1
J García DEF	12		1