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Independiente v River Plate : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th Aug, 22:30 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Julio César Vaccari and Marcelo Daniel Gallardo meet in the Primera División on Saturday night, as Independiente face River Plate at the Estadio Libertadores de América. Primera División stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Julio César Vaccari and Marcelo Daniel Gallardo to batten down the hatches here, but we're certainly not expecting a glut of goals as Independiente and River Plate go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.53 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we're recommending.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Independiente 36%	7/4	9/5
Draw 31%	11/5	21/10
River Plate 33%	13/8	13/8
Draw 0-0 14%	6/1	11/2
Independiente 1-0 14%	6/1	11/2
River Plate 1-0 14%	11/2	11/2
Draw 1-1 14%	5/1	19/4
Independiente 2-0 7%	11/1	10/1
Independiente 2-1 7%	10/1	17/2
River Plate 2-0 6%	10/1	9/1
River Plate 2-1 6%	10/1	17/2
Draw 2-2 3%	18/1	14/1
Independiente 3-0 2%	28/1	20/1
Independiente 3-1 2%	25/1	20/1
River Plate 3-0 2%	25/1	20/1
River Plate 3-1 2%	25/1	18/1
Independiente 3-2 1%	40/1	28/1
River Plate 3-2 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 31%	7/5	7/5
Under 2.5 Goals 69%	8/15	8/15
Home 1st Goal 46%	11/10	11/10
Away 1st Goal 44%	1/1	21/20
No 1st Goal 10%	6/1	11/2
BTTS - Yes 39%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - No 61%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - Home Win 11%	11/2	5/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 10%	11/2	19/4
Home/draw 67%	4/9	10/21
Away/draw 65%	2/5	4/9
Home/away 69%	4/11	7/20
Over 1.5 Goals 58%	4/9	10/21
Under 1.5 Goals 42%	13/8	6/4
Over 3.5 Goals 13%	4/1	7/2
Under 3.5 Goals 87%	1/6	2/11
Over 4.5 Goals 5%	10/1	17/2
Under 4.5 Goals 95%	1/20	1/20
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	25/1	18/1
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/100	1/500
Over 0.5 Goals 86%	1/10	1/11
Under 0.5 Goals 14%	6/1	11/2
Home DNB 57%	5/6	10/11
Away DNB 55%	5/6	4/5
Independiente win to nil 24%	3/1	-
River Plate win to nil 23%	3/1	-
Independiente / Independiente 18%	15/4	17/5
Independiente / River Plate 3%	33/1	22/1
Independiente / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Independiente 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / River Plate 14%	5/1	9/2
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	3/1
River Plate / Independiente 3%	33/1	25/1
River Plate / River Plate 18%	7/2	16/5
River Plate / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

River Plate have not lost in 13 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
Independiente	0 - 0	Huracan
Independiente	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
Independiente	2 - 0	SM San Juan
Independiente	4 - 0	Godoy Cruz
Independiente	1 - 1	Racing Club
Independiente	2 - 0	Instituto
Independiente	3 - 0	Velez
Independiente	2 - 0	Gimnasia
Independiente	2 - 1	Sarmiento
Independiente	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
Independiente	2 - 0	Central Cor
Independiente	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Independiente	3 - 0	U Santa Fe
Independiente	1 - 1	Godoy Cruz
Independiente	3 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Independiente	0 - 0	Argentinos
Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate
Independiente	1 - 0	Rosario

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Independiente	0 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
A	Independiente	2 - 2	Sarmiento
H	Independiente	0 - 0	Huracan
A	Independiente	1 - 0	Boca Juniors
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Independiente	0 - 1	Rosario
A	Independiente	0 - 2	A. Tucuman
H	Independiente	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Independiente	2 - 0	SM San Juan
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Lanus
H	Independiente	4 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Independiente	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Independiente	2 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Independiente	0 - 0	Banfield
H	Independiente	2 - 0	Instituto
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Platense
H	Independiente	3 - 0	Velez
A	Independiente	0 - 2	River Plate
H	Independiente	2 - 0	Gimnasia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto	0 - 4	River Plate
Gimnasia	0 - 3	River Plate
Sarmiento	1 - 1	River Plate
Deportivo Riestra	0 - 0	River Plate
SM San Juan	0 - 2	River Plate
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	River Plate
San Lorenzo	0 - 0	River Plate
Platense	1 - 1	River Plate
Racing Club	1 - 0	River Plate
Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
Independiente Rivadavia	2 - 1	River Plate
Instituto	2 - 3	River Plate
Defensa	0 - 0	River Plate
Platense	0 - 0	River Plate
Boca Juniors	0 - 1	River Plate
Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate
Gimnasia	1 - 1	River Plate
U Santa Fe	0 - 0	River Plate
Godoy Cruz	2 - 1	River Plate
Deportivo Riestra	2 - 0	River Plate

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	River Plate	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	River Plate	4 - 0	Instituto
H	River Plate	3 - 1	Platense
H	River Plate	1 - 1	Platense
H	River Plate	3 - 0	Barracas
H	River Plate	4 - 1	Velez
H	River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	River Plate	3 - 0	Gimnasia
H	River Plate	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Sarmiento
H	River Plate	2 - 2	Rosario
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	River Plate	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
H	River Plate	0 - 2	Estudiantes
A	River Plate	2 - 0	SM San Juan
H	River Plate	1 - 0	Lanus
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	River Plate	2 - 0	Independiente
A	River Plate	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	River Plate	1 - 0	Instituto

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

River Plate have not lost to Independiente in 7 consecutive league meetings

Independiente

River Plate

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

RIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	River Plate
	1 - 2	River Plate

River Plate

Independiente

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

1 / 6

IND

RIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
River Plate	2 - 0
River Plate	3 - 0
River Plate	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Independiente
River Plate	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

River Plate's defensive record is very strong, Marcelo Daniel Gallardo's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Primera División games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Independiente makes sense in this context.

	Independiente 7th	River Plate 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of River Plate scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+23 Independiente have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted	+6 River Plate’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.4 conceded	0.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

IND

RIV

better

view stats

Games scored	15		16
Failed to score	7		5
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	28		32
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots per game	9		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	14		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+9%

IND

RIV

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		9
Clean sheets	10		12
Conceded first	8		5
Goals conceded	17		11
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		14
Conversion rate against	11%		7%
Avg. XG against	1		0.8
KickOff rating		+27%

Independiente v River Plate Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	9	3	9
R Rey	G Ávalos	P Galdames	I Marcone

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Rey GLK	22			1 -
F Loyola DEF	21	4	2	1 -
L Cabral MID	21	2	1	5 1
I Marcone MID	21			9 -
D. Tarzia FWD	21		1	5 -
F Vera DEF	19			6 -
S Valdéz DEF	19			2 -
G Ávalos FWD	18	9	1	3 -
G. Millán MID	16	1		1 -
P Galdames MID	15	1	3	2 -
S Montiel FWD	15	1	1	4 -
F Mancuello MID	12	1	1	2 -
R Fernández MID	10			3 -
F Paredes DEF	5			1 -
N Freire DEF	4	1		2 -
S Salle FWD	4			-
L Godoy DEF	3		1	1 -
W Mazzantti FWD	3			-
I Pussetto FWD	2			1 -
F Zabala DEF	1			-
L. Román FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	16	3	7
G Ávalos	G Ávalos	P Galdames	G. Millán

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Ávalos FWD	9	16	1	4
F Loyola DEF	4	11	2	4
L Cabral MID	2	4	1	3
S Montiel FWD	1	10	1	4
N Freire DEF	1	2
G. Millán MID	1	4		7
P Galdames MID	1	5	3	2
F Mancuello MID	1	3	1	1
I Pussetto FWD		1
W Mazzantti FWD		1
L Godoy DEF			1	1
R Fernández MID		1
S Valdéz DEF		4
F Vera DEF		1		3
D. Tarzia FWD		6	1	4
I Marcone MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1069	46	121
I Marcone	F Loyola	F Loyola

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Marcone MID	1069	45	96
S Valdéz DEF	909	21	93
F Loyola DEF	867	46	121
L Cabral MID	653	14	75
F Vera DEF	554	28	82
R Rey GLK	548	1	12
G. Millán MID	329	10	46
S Montiel FWD	299	18	66
N Freire DEF	282	3	15
D. Tarzia FWD	249	25	67
P Galdames MID	235	19	28
G Ávalos FWD	190	9	59
R Fernández MID	186	6	20
F Paredes DEF	115	2	8
F Mancuello MID	80	5	10
L Godoy DEF	72	6	15
W Mazzantti FWD	51	3	15
S Salle FWD	32	3	7
F Zabala DEF	29		2
L. Román FWD	18	1	1
I Pussetto FWD	10		3

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	4	9
F Armani	M Borja	G Montiel	L Quarta

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Armani GLK	21			-
M Borja FWD	21	6	1	4 -
E Pérez MID	20			4 1
F Colidio FWD	19	6	3	3 -
M Acuña DEF	18	1	1	5 -
G Montiel DEF	16	1	4	3 -
L Quarta DEF	16	1		9 -
G Pezzella DEF	16			3 -
S Driussi FWD	15	3	1	2 -
P Díaz DEF	14	1	1	3 -
G Galoppo MID	12	1		2 -
F. Mastantuono FWD	12	4	4	4 -
M Meza FWD	12		1	4 -
S Simón MID	11			1
K Castaño MID	11		1	4 -
M Lanzini MID	10			-
F Bustos DEF	9			1 -
N Fernández MID	9	2	2	1 -
I. Subiabre FWD	9	1		2 -
M Casco DEF	8		1	-
P Martínez MID	7		2	1 -
M Rojas MID	5	1		-
M Kranevitter MID	4			1 -
M Salas FWD	3	1	1	-
M Fonda MID	1			1 -
J Quintero MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	19	4	9
M Borja	M Borja	G Montiel	F Colidio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Colidio FWD	6	16	3	9
M Borja FWD	6	19	1	8
F. Mastantuono FWD	4	17	4	3
S Driussi FWD	3	8	1	3
N Fernández MID	2	3	2	1
M Rojas MID	1	3
G Galoppo MID	1	5		2
I. Subiabre FWD	1	4		2
P Díaz DEF	1	4	1
M Salas FWD	1	3	1
L Quarta DEF	1	7		3
G Montiel DEF	1	3	4	6
M Acuña DEF	1	4	1	8
P Martínez MID		2	2	2
M Casco DEF		1	1	1
S Simón MID				2
F Bustos DEF		1		1
M Lanzini MID		2		3
K Castaño MID		1	1
M Meza FWD		4	1	2
G Pezzella DEF		4		1
E Pérez MID				2
J Quintero MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
993	51	121
E Pérez	E Pérez	E Pérez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Pérez MID	993	51	121
L Quarta DEF	966	33	109
M Acuña DEF	874	29	83
P Díaz DEF	813	14	89
G Montiel DEF	699	29	67
G Pezzella DEF	685	9	54
K Castaño MID	572	15	39
M Meza FWD	458	24	80
F. Mastantuono FWD	445	10	73
F Colidio FWD	431	19	94
F Armani GLK	374		8
F Bustos DEF	363	14	28
S Simón MID	304	20	37
G Galoppo MID	300	20	47
S Driussi FWD	291	11	43
N Fernández MID	280	16	32
M Casco DEF	248	9	20
M Borja FWD	231	10	54
M Lanzini MID	204	5	19
P Martínez MID	159	5	30
M Kranevitter MID	104	7	20
I. Subiabre FWD	88	4	17
M Rojas MID	70	2	5
M Salas FWD	53	4	8
M Fonda MID	40	1	9
J Quintero MID	36		1