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Instituto v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 01:00 BST, Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo , Avellaneda

Mariano Soso pays counterpart Daniel Oldrá a visit on Sunday morning in the Primera División, as their Defensa y Justicia and Instituto teams face each other at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo . Analysing both clubs' last 20 Primera División matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Instituto and Defensa have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Defensa coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Instituto
34%
21/20-
Draw
27%
15/8-
Defensa
39%
11/4-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Defensa 1-0
11%
7/1-
Instituto 1-0
10%
9/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
5/1-
Defensa 2-1
8%
14/1-
Instituto 2-1
8%
9/1-
Defensa 2-0
7%
16/1-
Instituto 2-0
6%
15/2-
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1-
Defensa 3-1
4%
40/1-
Instituto 3-1
3%
20/1-
Defensa 3-0
3%
40/1-
Instituto 3-0
2%
18/1-
Defensa 3-2
2%
50/1-
Instituto 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
17/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/9-
Home 1st Goal
46%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
48%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
5/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
6/5-
BTTS - No
50%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/1-
Home/draw
62%
1/4-
Away/draw
66%
7/10-
Home/away
73%
2/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
8/15-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
9/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
12/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/25-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
28/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/8-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
5/1-
Home DNB
53%
4/9-
Away DNB
58%
13/8-
Instituto win to nil
19%
2/1-
Defensa win to nil
22%
9/2-
Instituto / Instituto
24%
5/2-
Instituto / Defensa
2%
40/1-
Instituto / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Instituto
16%
4/1-
Draw / Defensa
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
Defensa / Instituto
3%
28/1-
Defensa / Defensa
13%
11/2-
Defensa / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
11
Defensa have not lost in 11 consecutive league games
Instituto 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto2 - 1Independiente
Instituto1 - 2U Santa Fe
Instituto2 - 1A. Tucuman
Instituto2 - 0Central Cor
Instituto2 - 2Lanus
Instituto0 - 1Velez
Instituto0 - 0Tal Cordoba
Instituto1 - 3Rosario
Instituto2 - 0A. Tucuman
Instituto0 - 0Lanus
Instituto2 - 0Argentinos
Instituto0 - 0Independiente
Instituto0 - 4U Santa Fe
Instituto1 - 1Platense
Instituto0 - 4River Plate
Instituto1 - 1Sarmiento
Instituto3 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Instituto1 - 0SM San Juan
Instituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Instituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInstituto0 - 2Boca Juniors
HInstituto2 - 1Independiente
AInstituto0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HInstituto1 - 2U Santa Fe
AInstituto1 - 1San Lorenzo
HInstituto2 - 1A. Tucuman
HInstituto2 - 0Central Cor
AInstituto0 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
HInstituto2 - 2Lanus
AInstituto1 - 2Platense
HInstituto0 - 1Velez
HInstituto0 - 0Tal Cordoba
AInstituto1 - 2Sarmiento
HInstituto1 - 3Rosario
AInstituto0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HInstituto2 - 0A. Tucuman
AInstituto0 - 0SM San Juan
HInstituto0 - 0Lanus
AInstituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
HInstituto2 - 0Argentinos
Defensa 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Lorenzo2 - 5Defensa
Platense0 - 0Defensa
Newells2 - 3Defensa
Deportivo Riestra0 - 1Defensa
Aldosivi0 - 0Defensa
Racing Club1 - 0Defensa
U Santa Fe3 - 0Defensa
Tig1 - 1Defensa
Estudiantes1 - 0Defensa
Barracas1 - 1Defensa
Central Cor2 - 1Defensa
Banfield0 - 0Defensa
Independiente Rivadavia3 - 2Defensa
Huracan1 - 1Defensa
Argentinos4 - 1Defensa
Boca Juniors4 - 0Defensa
Platense0 - 1Defensa
Belgrano2 - 0Defensa
Newells0 - 1Defensa
Deportivo Riestra1 - 1Defensa
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDefensa2 - 0U Santa Fe
ADefensa5 - 2San Lorenzo
HDefensa1 - 1Central Cor
HDefensa1 - 1Lanus
ADefensa0 - 0Platense
HDefensa1 - 1Belgrano
HDefensa1 - 1Velez
ADefensa3 - 2Newells
HDefensa0 - 0Estudiantes
ADefensa1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
ADefensa0 - 0Aldosivi
HDefensa0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
ADefensa0 - 1Racing Club
HDefensa1 - 3Huracan
ADefensa0 - 3U Santa Fe
HDefensa1 - 0Argentinos
ADefensa1 - 1Tig
HDefensa2 - 1Boca Juniors
ADefensa0 - 1Estudiantes
HDefensa1 - 2Platense
Goal Statistics
Instituto 22nd Defensa 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Instituto will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Defensa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Instituto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Defensa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Instituto
PG (predicted goals)
Defensa
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
DEF
24%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score4
3
Scored first4
7
Goals scored11
15
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
DEF
50%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
6
Clean sheets1
5
Conceded first7
1
Goals conceded15
8
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
14
Conversion rate against18%
7%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+50%

Instituto v Defensa Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11414
M RoffoA. LunaG CeratoG Cerato
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roffo GLK11
1
-
G Cerato DEF1121
4
-
L Mosevich DEF11
3
-
D Sosa DEF1111
1
-
A. Luna MID1141
4
-
J Méndez  MID101
1
-
F Alarcón DEF9
3
-
G Lodico MID9
1
-
G Abregú MID9
-
M Fonseca FWD91
1
-
N Guerra FWD9
4
-
J Galván DEF8
2
-
F Jara FWD81
1
-
J Mosquera FWD7
1
-
J. Lázaro MID61
-
M. Gallardo MID61
-
J Acevedo FWD4
-
F Moyano MID3
1
-
A. Bravo DEF2
-
A. Massaccesi DEF2
-
H Fuente DEF2
-
I Erquiaga DEF2
-
L. Klimowicz FWD2
-
J Báez FWD1
-
Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11344
C FiermarínJ GutiérrezA MolinasD Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Fiermarín GLK11
-
L Souto DEF111
-
Ángel Maldonado MID1111
2
1
J Gutiérrez FWD1132
1
-
E Amor DEF101
1
-
A Molinas MID1024
2
-
S. Sosa Yung MID10
1
E Lucero DEF9
1
-
A Hausch MID91
-
D Martínez  DEF81
4
-
E Pereyra DEF82
-
D Fernández DEF7
3
-
J López MID7
-
M. Aguiar MID7
1
1
A. Portillo DEF611
1
-
Éver Banega MID61
2
-
D Barbona FWD61
-
J Miritello FWD62
-
F Altamira FWD5
1
-
A Osorio FWD4
-
N. Roselli DEF3
-
D Cáceres DEF3
-
D. Fernandez FWD2
-