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Grazer AK v SV Ried : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 16:00 BST, Merkur Arena, Graz

Ferdinand Feldhofer's Grazer AK side enjoy home advantage in the Bundesliga on Sunday afternoon, as Maximilian Senft's SV Ried visit the Merkur Arena. We have custom-designed stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither GAK or SV Ried are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of two goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think GAK are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
GAK 36%	2/1	15/8
Draw 26%	12/5	21/10
SV Ried 38%	5/4	5/4
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	19/4
SV Ried 1-0 9%	11/2	5/1
GAK 1-0 9%	13/2	6/1
SV Ried 2-1 8%	17/2	15/2
GAK 2-1 8%	10/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 7%	7/1	13/2
SV Ried 2-0 6%	9/1	8/1
GAK 2-0 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	14/1
SV Ried 3-1 4%	20/1	16/1
GAK 3-1 4%	28/1	18/1
SV Ried 3-0 3%	20/1	16/1
GAK 3-0 3%	33/1	22/1
SV Ried 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
GAK 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	13/10	5/4
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	3/5	8/15
Home 1st Goal 47%	6/5	6/5
Away 1st Goal 49%	10/11	10/11
No 1st Goal 4%	7/1	13/2
BTTS - Yes 54%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - No 46%	3/4	8/11
BTTS - Home Win 17%	6/1	11/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	4/1	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 18%	9/2	4/1
Home/draw 62%	4/7	4/7
Away/draw 64%	4/11	4/11
Home/away 74%	3/10	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	2/5	2/5
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	7/4	8/5
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	10/3	3/1
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	1/5	2/11
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	9/1	7/1
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/16	1/25
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	20/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/66	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1	6/1
Home DNB 54%	11/10	23/20
Away DNB 56%	4/6	13/20
GAK win to nil 19%	7/2	-
SV Ried win to nil 20%	5/2	-
GAK / GAK 16%	4/1	19/5
GAK / SV Ried 3%	28/1	22/1
GAK / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / GAK 12%	11/2	11/2
Draw / SV Ried 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	7/2
SV Ried / GAK 3%	33/1	25/1
SV Ried / SV Ried 22%	11/4	13/5
SV Ried / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

GAK have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 8 and won 2. GAK have conceded 29 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

GAK have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

SV Ried lay in 7th place on 28 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. SV Ried have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

SV Ried have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	GAK SV Ried
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Salzburg	20	10	6	4	17	36	d 1-1F	l 5-0A	d 2-2A	l 4-1A
2	Sturm Graz	20	11	1	8	5	34	l 0-3A	l 2-1A	l 1-3F	l 1-0A
3	LASK Linz	20	10	3	7	0	33	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	d 1-1F	w 1-3F
4	Austria Wien	20	10	2	8	2	32	d 2-2F	l 2-1A	Mar 8	l 3-2F
5	Hartberg	20	8	7	5	5	31	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	l 2-0A
6	Rapid Wien	20	8	5	7	0	29	d 1-1A	w 1-2F	l 0-2A	w 1-2A
7	SV Ried	20	8	4	8	-1	28	Mar 1	d 0-00-0	-	-
8	SCR Altach	20	7	7	6	1	28	w 3-1F	d 1-1A	w 3-0F	l 1-0A
9	RZ Pellets	20	7	4	9	1	25	l 1-3A	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	w 1-2A
10	Wattens	20	6	7	7	-2	25	d 1-1A	Mar 8	w 2-0F	d 1-1F
11	GAK	20	3	8	9	-13	17	-	-	d 0-00-0	Mar 1
12	Blau-Weiss Linz	20	4	2	14	-15	14	w 3-1F	l 3-0A	w 2-1F	w 0-2F

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

GAK have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
GAK	1 - 1	Salzburg
GAK	1 - 2	LASK Linz
GAK	3 - 1	Blau-Weiss Linz
GAK	3 - 1	SCR Altach
GAK	0 - 0	Hartberg
GAK	1 - 3	RZ Pellets
GAK	1 - 1	Rapid Wien
GAK	0 - 3	Sturm Graz
GAK	1 - 1	Wattens
GAK	2 - 2	Austria Wien
GAK	1 - 0	LASK Linz
GAK	1 - 1	Klagenfurt
GAK	0 - 3	Hartberg
GAK	1 - 0	SCR Altach
GAK	0 - 0	Wattens
GAK	1 - 2	Sturm Graz
GAK	1 - 2	Austria Wien
GAK	0 - 0	LASK Linz
GAK	0 - 3	Hartberg
GAK	3 - 4	RZ Pellets

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	GAK	0 - 1	Hartberg
H	GAK	1 - 1	Salzburg
A	GAK	2 - 2	RZ Pellets
H	GAK	1 - 2	LASK Linz
A	GAK	1 - 2	Sturm Graz
H	GAK	3 - 1	Blau-Weiss Linz
A	GAK	2 - 1	Rapid Wien
A	GAK	1 - 2	Austria Wien
H	GAK	3 - 1	SCR Altach
A	GAK	0 - 1	LASK Linz
H	GAK	0 - 0	Hartberg
H	GAK	1 - 3	RZ Pellets
A	GAK	0 - 0	SV Ried
H	GAK	1 - 1	Rapid Wien
A	GAK	0 - 3	Blau-Weiss Linz
H	GAK	0 - 3	Sturm Graz
A	GAK	1 - 1	SCR Altach
H	GAK	1 - 1	Wattens
A	GAK	0 - 5	Salzburg
H	GAK	2 - 2	Austria Wien

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wattens	1 - 1	SV Ried
Sturm Graz	1 - 0	SV Ried
Rapid Wien	1 - 2	SV Ried
Hartberg	2 - 0	SV Ried
Salzburg	4 - 1	SV Ried
RZ Pellets	1 - 2	SV Ried
Austria Wien	3 - 2	SV Ried
LASK Linz	1 - 3	SV Ried
Blau-Weiss Linz	0 - 2	SV Ried
SCR Altach	1 - 0	SV Ried
Hartberg	2 - 0	SV Ried
Wattens	1 - 1	SV Ried
Austria Lustenau	2 - 2	SV Ried
SCR Altach	1 - 1	SV Ried
RZ Pellets	1 - 0	SV Ried
SCR Altach	1 - 2	SV Ried
Salzburg	2 - 0	SV Ried
Wattens	2 - 0	SV Ried
Sturm Graz	2 - 1	SV Ried
Austria Lustenau	0 - 0	SV Ried

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	SV Ried	1 - 1	Wattens
H	SV Ried	1 - 1	LASK Linz
A	SV Ried	0 - 1	Sturm Graz
H	SV Ried	3 - 0	SCR Altach
A	SV Ried	2 - 1	Rapid Wien
H	SV Ried	1 - 0	RZ Pellets
A	SV Ried	0 - 2	Hartberg
H	SV Ried	2 - 1	Blau-Weiss Linz
A	SV Ried	1 - 4	Salzburg
H	SV Ried	0 - 2	Rapid Wien
A	SV Ried	2 - 1	RZ Pellets
H	SV Ried	2 - 0	Wattens
H	SV Ried	0 - 0	GAK
A	SV Ried	2 - 3	Austria Wien
H	SV Ried	0 - 2	Hartberg
A	SV Ried	3 - 1	LASK Linz
A	SV Ried	2 - 0	Blau-Weiss Linz
H	SV Ried	1 - 3	Sturm Graz
A	SV Ried	0 - 1	SCR Altach
H	SV Ried	2 - 2	Salzburg

Goal Statistics

SV Ried's defensive record is very strong, M. Senft's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Bundesliga outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Grazer AK makes sense in this context.

	GAK 11th	SV Ried 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that GAK will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that SV Ried will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 GAK have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	-17 SV Ried have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2026 season

GRA

SVR

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	13		14
Failed to score	7		6
Scored first	6		10
Goals scored	20		25
Avg. goals scored	1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	7		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	14		13
Avg. XG for	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+13%

GRA

SVR

23%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		15
Clean sheets	2		5
Conceded first	12		9
Goals conceded	33		26
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	18%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.3
KickOff rating		+23%

GAK v SV Ried Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

GAK Bundesliga squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	6	3	6
B. Owusu	R. Harakaté	R. Harakaté	T Koch

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Maderner FWD	20	5	2	4 -
B. Owusu DEF	19	1		4 -
D Pines DEF	18	1		1 -
D Frieser MID	18			2 -
T Koch MID	18		2	5 1
M Satin MID	18	1	2	4 -
C Lichtenberger MID	18	1		-
R. Harakaté FWD	18	6	3	5 -
J Meierhofer GLK	17			-
A. Hofleitner FWD	17	2	1	2 -
S Fofana MID	15			1
T Cipot FWD	15	1	1	2 -
J. Italiano DEF	13			-
M Kreuzriegler DEF	13			1 -
L Vraa-Jensen DEF	12			-
Z. Jánó MID	11			2 -
T Schriebl MID	11			3 -
L Graf DEF	9			1 -
T. Schiestl MID	8			-
Y. Oberleitner DEF	7			1 -
T. Paumgartner MID	3			1 -
A. Prenqi FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	12	3	6
R. Harakaté	R. Harakaté	R. Harakaté	R. Harakaté

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R. Harakaté FWD	6	12	3	6
D Maderner FWD	5	10	2	3
A. Hofleitner FWD	2	6	1	1
B. Owusu DEF	1	1
D Pines DEF	1	3
M Satin MID	1	4	2	3
C Lichtenberger MID	1	3
T Cipot FWD	1	8	1	3
D Frieser MID				4
T Koch MID		4	2	3
S Fofana MID				1
J. Italiano DEF		1		1
Z. Jánó MID		3
T Schriebl MID		1
Y. Oberleitner DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
780	35	118
B. Owusu	J. Italiano	D Pines

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B. Owusu DEF	780	27	111
D Pines DEF	626	19	118
T Koch MID	587	24	56
M Satin MID	481	19	36
J Meierhofer GLK	478		12
S Fofana MID	415	25	61
L Vraa-Jensen DEF	388	8	35
D Frieser MID	372	19	39
M Kreuzriegler DEF	349	16	48
J. Italiano DEF	342	35	87
R. Harakaté FWD	307	12	79
T Schriebl MID	216	30	43
T. Schiestl MID	182	8	20
D Maderner FWD	174	9	59
Y. Oberleitner DEF	161	3	21
Z. Jánó MID	149	17	40
C Lichtenberger MID	132	12	28
T Cipot FWD	117	6	40
A. Hofleitner FWD	112	6	56
L Graf DEF	81	1	10
T. Paumgartner MID	17	1	4
A. Prenqi FWD	5		1

SV Ried Bundesliga squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	8	3	7
A Leitner	K. Mutandwa	P Pomer	A Bajić

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Leitner GLK	20			2 -
O Steurer DEF	20	2	1	1 -
M Sollbauer DEF	20		1	3 -
P Pomer MID	20	3	3	4 -
N Havenaar DEF	19	1	1	3 1
Y Maart MID	18			1 -
J Mayer MID	18		1	4 -
A Bajić MID	18	2	2	7 -
K. Mutandwa FWD	18	8	2	5 -
A. Van Wyk FWD	18	3	2	-
F. Rossdorfer MID	16	1		-
P. Kiedl FWD	15	2	2	2 -
M Rasner MID	14			1 -
M Grosse MID	13	3	1	2 -
N Bajlicz MID	12			4 -
M Jackson MID	8			1 -
J Scherzer DEF	7			-
D Kirnbauer DEF	3			-
E. Azkune Astarloza FWD	3			-
S Sané FWD	3			1 -
P. Weissenbacher DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	18	3	8
K. Mutandwa	K. Mutandwa	P Pomer	P Pomer

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K. Mutandwa FWD	8	18	2	3
P Pomer MID	3	8	3	8
A. Van Wyk FWD	3	15	2	3
M Grosse MID	3	7	1	2
O Steurer DEF	2	2	1	1
A Bajić MID	2	5	2	7
P. Kiedl FWD	2	8	2	2
N Havenaar DEF	1	4	1	1
F. Rossdorfer MID	1	5		1
M Sollbauer DEF		2	1	1
Y Maart MID		1		1
J Mayer MID		3	1	3
N Bajlicz MID		3		3
M Jackson MID				1
J Scherzer DEF				1
E. Azkune Astarloza FWD				1
S Sané FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
760	39	200
O Steurer	Y Maart	N Havenaar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O Steurer DEF	760	25	79
Y Maart MID	694	39	80
N Havenaar DEF	643	18	200
A Leitner GLK	598	1	5
M Sollbauer DEF	581	31	81
P Pomer MID	499	25	68
A Bajić MID	424	37	101
J Mayer MID	424	35	72
N Bajlicz MID	322	25	47
A. Van Wyk FWD	291	16	75
M Grosse MID	258	9	40
K. Mutandwa FWD	185	7	81
F. Rossdorfer MID	156	23	68
M Rasner MID	129	9	21
P. Kiedl FWD	119	11	52
M Jackson MID	56	1	1
J Scherzer DEF	51	3	10
D Kirnbauer DEF	14		6
S Sané FWD	10		7
E. Azkune Astarloza FWD	6	1	3
P. Weissenbacher DEF	5		1