Union Saint Gilloise's team badge KRC Genk's team badge

Union Saint Gilloise v KRC Genk : Pro League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 19:45 BST, Stade Joseph Mariën (Bruxelles (Brussels)), Brussels

Home advantage can be vital in the Pro League, and Sébastien Pocognoli’s Union Saint Gilloise will have the blessing of it on Saturday evening. Thorsten Fink’s KRC Genk are their opponents at the Stade Joseph Mariën (Bruxelles (Brussels)). Statistics power the predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Union SG and Genk will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Sébastien Pocognoli or Thorsten Fink has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.20 equating to approximately a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Union SG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union SG
52%
1.90
1%
-
Draw
24%
3.60-
Genk
24%
3.70
3%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00-
Union SG 1-0
11%
9.00-
Union SG 2-1
10%
8.50-
Union SG 2-0
9%
10.00-
Genk 1-0
7%
13.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
13.00-
Genk 2-1
6%
13.00
8%
-
Union SG 3-1
5%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
13.00-
Union SG 3-0
5%
17.00-
Genk 2-0
4%
21.00-
Union SG 3-2
3%
21.00-
Union SG 4-1
2%
29.00-
Genk 3-1
2%
29.00
12%
-
Union SG 4-0
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.70-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
2.10-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.57-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.50
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.62-
BTTS - No
46%
2.20-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3.60-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6.50
8%
-
Home/draw
76%
1.29-
Away/draw
48%
1.91
4%
-
Home/away
76%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.20-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4.33-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2.62-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.44-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.17-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.00-
Home DNB
69%
1.40
3%
-
Away DNB
41%
2.75
5%
-
Union SG win to nil
28%
3.75-
Genk win to nil
12%
8.00
14%
-
Union SG / Union SG
28%
3.00
3%
-
Union SG / Genk
3%
29.00-
Union SG / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Union SG
17%
5.00-
Draw / Genk
10%
8.50
6%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Genk / Union SG
4%
21.00-
Genk / Genk
14%
6.00-
Genk / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Pro League table

Union SG have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 2 and won 2. Union SG have conceded 6 goals, scored 10, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Union SG have played 17 games at home, winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 36 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Genk lay in 2nd place on 41 points in the Pro League league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored 60 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Genk have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Genk have played 18 away games, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Union SG
Genk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Brugge3621963743 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Union SG Home30151052455 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
3
Genk Away3623672441 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
4
Anderlecht3015692351 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
5
Antwerp361312111028 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
6
Gent3011127845 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
7
S. Liege3010911-1339 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
8
Mechelen3010812538 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
9
Westerlo3010713137 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
4-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
10
S.Charleroi3010713037 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
11
Leuven308139-537 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
12
Cercle B3071112-1532 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3F
13
Dender308814-1832 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
14
St Truiden3071013-1531 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
15
Kortrijk307518-2726 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1F
16
Beerschot303918-3418 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
Championship Round
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Play Offs
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Union SG 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union SG0 - 0Brugge
Union SG2 - 0Anderlecht
Union SG5 - 1Antwerp
Union SG3 - 0S. Liege
Union SG4 - 1Dender
Union SG0 - 1Mechelen
Union SG2 - 1St Truiden
Union SG1 - 0Leuven
Union SG2 - 2Brugge
Union SG3 - 1Westerlo
Union SG2 - 1Antwerp
Union SG4 - 0Genk
Union SG1 - 3Cercle B
Union SG0 - 0Gent
Union SG3 - 0Kortrijk
Union SG0 - 0Anderlecht
Union SG1 - 0S.Charleroi
Union SG3 - 1Beerschot
Union SG2 - 0Genk
Union SG0 - 0Anderlecht
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HUnion SG0 - 0Brugge
AUnion SG1 - 0Brugge
AUnion SG2 - 1Genk
HUnion SG2 - 0Anderlecht
AUnion SG3 - 0Gent
HUnion SG5 - 1Antwerp
AUnion SG1 - 2Genk
HUnion SG3 - 0S. Liege
HUnion SG4 - 1Dender
AUnion SG2 - 0Anderlecht
HUnion SG0 - 1Mechelen
AUnion SG2 - 1Kortrijk
HUnion SG2 - 1St Truiden
AUnion SG4 - 0Beerschot
HUnion SG1 - 0Leuven
AUnion SG2 - 1S.Charleroi
AUnion SG3 - 1Gent
HUnion SG2 - 2Brugge
HUnion SG3 - 1Westerlo
AUnion SG0 - 0Cercle B
Genk 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Antwerp1 - 1Genk
Brugge1 - 0Genk
Anderlecht1 - 2Genk
Dender0 - 1Genk
S.Charleroi1 - 1Genk
S. Liege1 - 2Genk
Westerlo1 - 2Genk
Mechelen1 - 2Genk
Antwerp2 - 2Genk
Brugge2 - 0Genk
St Truiden2 - 2Genk
Union SG4 - 0Genk
Gent0 - 2Genk
Kortrijk2 - 1Genk
Anderlecht0 - 2Genk
Cercle B2 - 3Genk
Beerschot3 - 4Genk
Leuven3 - 1Genk
Union SG2 - 0Genk
Anderlecht2 - 1Genk
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGenk0 - 1Antwerp
AGenk1 - 1Antwerp
HGenk1 - 2Union SG
AGenk0 - 1Brugge
AGenk2 - 1Anderlecht
HGenk4 - 0Gent
HGenk2 - 1Union SG
AGenk1 - 0Dender
AGenk1 - 1S.Charleroi
HGenk0 - 0Gent
AGenk2 - 1S. Liege
HGenk2 - 1Cercle B
HGenk1 - 0Beerschot
AGenk2 - 1Westerlo
AGenk2 - 1Mechelen
HGenk2 - 0Leuven
AGenk2 - 2Antwerp
HGenk2 - 0Anderlecht
AGenk0 - 2Brugge
HGenk3 - 2Kortrijk
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Union SG since 2022
Union SG
Genk
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
USG
4
GNK
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union SG
Union SG4 - 0
Union SG2 - 0
0 - 2Genk
Union SG3 - 0
1 - 2Genk
Union SG2 - 1
League games at Genk since 2021
Genk
Union SG
Goals: Scored
7
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
USG
3
D
2
GNK
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Genk
1 - 2Union SG
Genk2 - 1
Genk1 - 0
0 - 1Union SG
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Union SG
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Union Saint Gilloise have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Pro League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against KRC Genk on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Union Saint Gilloise's defensive record is very strong, S. Pocognoli's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Pro League outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for KRC Genk makes sense in this context.

Union SG 3rd Genk 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Union SG will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Genk will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Union SG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Genk’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Pro League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/295540/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Union SG
PG (predicted goals)
Genk
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
USG
GNK
3%
better
view stats
Games scored27
30
Failed to score9
6
Scored first24
20
Goals scored62
63
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.8
2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
25%
better
USG
GNK
view stats
Games conceded19
23
Clean sheets17
13
Conceded first5
14
Goals conceded27
39
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%

Union SG v Genk Pro League lLine ups will show here when available.

Union SG Pro League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361559
A MorisP DavidA KhalailiK Allister
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Moris GLK36
2
-
N Sadiki MID3513
5
-
K Allister DEF3231
8
1
K Machida DEF3011
2
1
F Ivanovic FWD30144
4
-
P David FWD30154
7
-
A Khalaili FWD3025
6
-
C Vanhoutte MID2913
3
1
M Fuseini FWD2951
4
-
C Burgess  DEF272
9
-
F Leysen DEF26
3
-
A Hadj MID2454
2
-
O. Niang FWD2321
8
-
M Rasmussen MID2212
1
-
R Sykes DEF2021
4
-
K. Van de Perre MID20
3
-
K Rodríguez FWD202
-
A Castro-Montes MID1925
3
-
S Boufal FWD173
4
-
H Teklab FWD61
-
G François DEF3
-
M. Giger FWD3
-
V Chambaere GLK1
-
Genk Pro League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
342078
T ArokodareT ArokodareJ SteuckersM Sadick
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Arokodare FWD36205
2
-
J Kayembe DEF3522
5
-
M Smets DEF35
4
1
B Heynen MID342
4
-
C Baah FWD3433
1
-
J Steuckers FWD3487
1
-
Z Ouahdi DEF3342
6
-
M Sadick DEF331
7
1
H Oh FWD3391
1
-
K. Karetsas MID3132
2
-
P Hrosovsky MID3064
2
-
I. Bangoura MID30
3
-
N. Adedeji-Sternberg FWD2934
-
N Sattlberger MID2411
4
-
Y Sor FWD2015
-
H Crombrugge GLK19
1
-
K Nkuba MID191
5
-
M Penders GLK17
1
1
J. Ndenge Kongolo DEF4
-
Y Medina DEF2
-
L Oyen  FWD2
-