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Atlético Mineiro v Athletico PR : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 21:30 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Odair Hellmann leads his Athletico PR troops to the Arena MRV in the Serie A on Sunday night, with Jorge Luis Sampaoli Moya's Atlético Mineiro waiting for them. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's fairly unlikely that this fixture will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. A Mineiro and Athletico PR have seldom served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Mineiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.81.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
52%
81/100-
Draw
25%
23/10-
Athletico PR
23%
10/3-
A Mineiro 1-0
12%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
A Mineiro 2-0
10%
15/2-
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1-
Athletico PR 1-0
8%
10/1-
Athletico PR 2-1
6%
14/1-
A Mineiro 3-0
5%
14/1-
A Mineiro 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Athletico PR 2-0
4%
20/1-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
28/1-
A Mineiro 4-0
2%
33/1-
A Mineiro 4-1
2%
33/1-
Athletico PR 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
43/40-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/20-
BTTS - No
50%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/2-
Home/draw
77%
1/5-
Away/draw
48%
10/11-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1-
Home DNB
69%
4/11-
Away DNB
41%
2/1-
A Mineiro win to nil
30%
2/1-
Athletico PR win to nil
13%
6/1-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
28%
2/1-
A Mineiro / Athletico PR
2%
33/1-
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A Mineiro
17%
15/4-
Draw / Athletico PR
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Athletico PR / A Mineiro
4%
22/1-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
12%
6/1-
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
A Mineiro have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
A Mineiro 13TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Internacional
A Mineiro3 - 3Remo
A Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
A Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
A Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
A Mineiro3 - 1S. Recife
A Mineiro0 - 0Juventude
A Mineiro1 - 0Mirassol
A Mineiro1 - 1Santos
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
A Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
A Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fluminense
HA Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro1 - 0Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro3 - 3Remo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Bragantino
HA Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
AA Mineiro0 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 2Bragantino
HA Mineiro3 - 3Fortaleza
AA Mineiro4 - 2S. Recife
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
AA Mineiro0 - 0Internacional
HA Mineiro1 - 0Ceara
AA Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
Bragantino1 - 1Athletico PR
Internacional0 - 1Athletico PR
Ferroviaria1 - 2Athletico PR
Goias0 - 1Athletico PR
Cortiba0 - 0Athletico PR
Remo2 - 1Athletico PR
Atletico Go3 - 0Athletico PR
Athletic Club0 - 3Athletico PR
Chapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 3Athletico PR
CRB0 - 1Athletico PR
Criciuma4 - 2Athletico PR
America 2 - 2Athletico PR
Volta Redonda3 - 2Athletico PR
Amazonas0 - 1Athletico PR
Avai1 - 2Athletico PR
Operario2 - 2Athletico PR
Vila Nova2 - 1Athletico PR
Novorizontin2 - 1Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAthletico PR2 - 0Cortiba
HAthletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
AAthletico PR2 - 3Fluminense
AAthletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
HAthletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
HAthletico PR2 - 1Santos
AAthletico PR1 - 0Internacional
HAthletico PR1 - 0America
AAthletico PR2 - 1Ferroviaria
HAthletico PR2 - 0Volta Redonda
AAthletico PR1 - 0Goias
HAthletico PR2 - 0Amazonas
AAthletico PR0 - 0Cortiba
HAthletico PR1 - 1Avai
AAthletico PR1 - 2Remo
AAthletico PR0 - 3Atletico Go
HAthletico PR1 - 0Operario
AAthletico PR3 - 0Athletic Club
HAthletico PR2 - 0Vila Nova
AAthletico PR3 - 2Chapecoense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
AMN
4
APR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro1 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
2 - 3Athletico PR
A Mineiro2 - 0
0 - 2Athletico PR
0 - 1Athletico PR
A Mineiro3 - 1
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
AMN
4
D
1
APR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Athletico PR
Athletico PR1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A Mineiro
0 - 1A Mineiro
0 - 1A Mineiro
Athletico PR1 - 0
1 - 2A Mineiro
Goal Statistics

Atlético Mineiro's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Athletico PR have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.6 for J. Sampaoli Moya's side suggests that run should continue.

A Mineiro 13th Athletico PR 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Athletico PR scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
A Mineiro have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+31
Athletico PR have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Athletico PR
1.6
1
Attack rating
AMN
APR
30%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score3
1
Scored first3
5
Goals scored8
10
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
AMN
APR
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first5
2
Goals conceded11
7
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+21%

A Mineiro v Athletico PR Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE