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Bahia v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 23:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Bahia and Palmeiras go head to head at the Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday night, with both Rogério Mücke Ceni and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira aiming for victory in the Serie A. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Bahia and Palmeiras's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
33%
2/1-
Draw
25%
9/4-
Palmeiras
42%
5/4-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
17/2-
Palmeiras 1-0
9%
8/1-
Bahia 2-1
8%
10/1-
Bahia 1-0
8%
10/1-
Palmeiras 2-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
Bahia 2-0
5%
14/1-
Palmeiras 3-1
4%
16/1-
Bahia 3-1
3%
22/1-
Palmeiras 3-0
3%
20/1-
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
25/1-
Bahia 3-2
3%
28/1-
Bahia 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/6-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6-
BTTS - No
42%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
10/3-
Home/draw
58%
4/7-
Away/draw
67%
4/11-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
51%
11/10-
Away DNB
59%
4/6-
Bahia win to nil
16%
9/2-
Palmeiras win to nil
21%
10/3-
Bahia / Bahia
18%
15/4-
Bahia / Palmeiras
4%
22/1-
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Bahia
12%
6/1-
Draw / Palmeiras
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Palmeiras / Bahia
3%
28/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
22%
11/4-
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 0Bragantino
Bahia1 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 4Remo
HBahia2 - 0Bragantino
ABahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia1 - 1Vitoria
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia2 - 3Fortaleza
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 1Bragantino
ABahia0 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia4 - 0Gremio
ABahia1 - 2Vitoria
HBahia1 - 0Flamengo
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
Internacional1 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
Ceara1 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Santos1 - 0Palmeiras
Mirassol2 - 1Palmeiras
Juventude0 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Corinthians1 - 1Palmeiras
Botafogo0 - 1Palmeiras
Vitoria2 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
Cruzeiro2 - 1Palmeiras
Bragantino1 - 2Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
HPalmeiras2 - 1Botafogo
HPalmeiras1 - 0Mirassol
APalmeiras1 - 2Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras3 - 1Internacional
HPalmeiras5 - 1Vitoria
APalmeiras2 - 2A Mineiro
APalmeiras3 - 1Ceara
APalmeiras3 - 0A Mineiro
APalmeiras2 - 3Gremio
HPalmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
HPalmeiras0 - 0Vitoria
APalmeiras0 - 1Santos
APalmeiras1 - 2Mirassol
HPalmeiras2 - 0Santos
APalmeiras2 - 0Juventude
HPalmeiras0 - 0Cruzeiro
APalmeiras2 - 3Flamengo
HPalmeiras5 - 1Bragantino
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
BAH
2
D
4
PAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia1 - 0
1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Bahia
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
BAH
1
D
1
PAL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
0 - 1Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 2
Palmeiras3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Palmeiras3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Bahia on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Bahia 5th Palmeiras 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Palmeiras have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
BAH
PAL
26%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score0
0
Scored first4
8
Goals scored9
17
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
21
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
1%
better
BAH
PAL
view stats
Games conceded4
6
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first3
0
Goals conceded7
8
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate against9%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+1%

Bahia v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE