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Bahia v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Sep, 20:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Bahia and Palmeiras go head to head at the Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday evening, with both Rogério Mücke Ceni and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira seeking a win in the Serie A. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are provided too.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
40%
--
Draw
27%
--
Palmeiras
33%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Bahia 1-0
11%
--
Palmeiras 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Bahia 2-1
8%
--
Palmeiras 2-1
7%
--
Bahia 2-0
7%
--
Palmeiras 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Bahia 3-1
4%
--
Bahia 3-0
3%
--
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
--
Palmeiras 3-0
2%
--
Bahia 3-2
2%
--
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Bahia win to nil
23%
--
Palmeiras win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 5Mirassol
HBahia2 - 0Santos
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
HBahia3 - 3Fluminense
ABahia0 - 0S. Recife
HBahia3 - 0Juventude
ABahia1 - 1Fortaleza
HBahia2 - 1A Mineiro
ABahia3 - 0Bragantino
HBahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABahia0 - 1Gremio
HBahia2 - 1Vitoria
ABahia0 - 1Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Botafogo
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians1 - 1Palmeiras
Botafogo0 - 1Palmeiras
Vitoria2 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
Cruzeiro2 - 1Palmeiras
Bragantino1 - 2Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Fortaleza1 - 2Palmeiras
Internacional0 - 1Palmeiras
S. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
Cruzeiro1 - 2Palmeiras
Atletico Go0 - 1Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Corinthians2 - 0Palmeiras
Juventude3 - 5Palmeiras
Bragantino0 - 0Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Athletico PR0 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Internacional1 - 1Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPalmeiras4 - 1Internacional
APalmeiras1 - 1Corinthians
HPalmeiras3 - 0S. Recife
APalmeiras1 - 0Botafogo
HPalmeiras2 - 1Ceara
APalmeiras2 - 2Vitoria
HPalmeiras1 - 0Gremio
APalmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
HPalmeiras3 - 2A Mineiro
HPalmeiras1 - 1Mirassol
APalmeiras1 - 2Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
APalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
HPalmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras0 - 1Bahia
APalmeiras2 - 1Fortaleza
APalmeiras1 - 0Internacional
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1S. Recife
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
BAH
1
D
4
PAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Bahia
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
BAH
1
D
1
PAL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
0 - 1Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Palmeiras3 - 2
Palmeiras3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Palmeiras3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is to be admired, Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Bahia makes sense in this context.

Bahia 5th Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 63% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Palmeiras have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
BAH
PAL
5%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score4
3
Scored first10
9
Goals scored20
21
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
8%
better
BAH
PAL
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded13
14
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate against9%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+8%

Bahia v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19535
L JubaL JubaL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Juba DEF2053
2
-
S Mingo DEF19
4
-
S Suay MID1822
4
1
J Lucas MID1821
2
1
D Duarte DEF17
2
-
Cauly MID1713
1
-
C Alexandre MID161
4
-
W José FWD1633
2
-
Ademir FWD161
3
-
E Pulga FWD1623
1
-
Gilberto DEF151
3
-
N Acevedo MID15
2
-
Kayky FWD1511
1
-
M Araújo FWD114
1
-
Ronaldo  GLK10
-
S Arias DEF9
2
-
R Nestor MID92
1
-
Erick MID81
3
-
Iago DEF6
-
G Xavier DEF4
1
-
Rezende MID3
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD31
-
Kanu DEF2
-
M Sanabria FWD1
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20835
WevertonV RoqueV RoqueG Portillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK20
2
-
J Piquerez DEF2031
2
-
V Roque FWD2083
2
-
J López FWD196
3
-
F Torres FWD1943
2
-
G Portillo DEF1711
5
-
A Giay DEF17
-
L Evangelista MID1721
2
-
A Moreno  MID16
3
-
E Martínez MID161
2
-
F Anderson FWD1611
-
M Maurício MID1533
-
B Fuchs DEF13
4
-
A. Andrade Elias FWD131
1
1
R Veiga MID111
-
Micael DEF9
2
-
R Sosa FWD92
-
Murilo DEF81
4
-
Paulinho FWD7
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD6
-
Khellven DEF5
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF2
-
M Lomba GLK1
-
J Dias DEF1
-
A Pereira  MID1
-
B Rodrigues FWD1
-