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Flamengo v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 21:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho is the stage on Sunday night, as Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo welcome Juan Pablo Vojvoda's Santos in the Serie A. You'll see stats supporting our top of Flamengo to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Flamengo to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's Flamengo. Their recent form stats show what they've got in their locker at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Santos too. The odds point towards Filipe Luis Kasmirski's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 70% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
70%
1/3-
Draw
18%
7/2-
Santos
11%
15/2-
Flamengo 2-0
12%
11/2-
Flamengo 1-0
11%
6/1-
Flamengo 2-1
10%
8/1-
Flamengo 3-0
9%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1-
Flamengo 3-1
7%
11/1-
Flamengo 4-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
Flamengo 4-1
4%
18/1-
Santos 1-0
4%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Santos 2-1
3%
22/1-
Flamengo 3-2
3%
25/1-
Flamengo 5-0
2%
28/1-
Flamengo 5-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
7/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
61%
4/11-
Away 1st Goal
36%
12/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1-
BTTS - No
52%
3/4-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/5-
BTTS - Draw
13%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
16/1-
Home/draw
89%
1/12-
Away/draw
30%
2/1-
Home/away
82%
2/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
83%
1/10-
Away DNB
24%
6/1-
Flamengo win to nil
41%
6/5-
Santos win to nil
6%
14/1-
Flamengo / Flamengo
42%
20/21-
Flamengo / Santos
2%
40/1-
Flamengo / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Flamengo
21%
3/1-
Draw / Santos
5%
16/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Santos / Flamengo
4%
20/1-
Santos / Santos
6%
14/1-
Santos / Draw
4%
20/1-
Win / draw / win form
26
Flamengo have not lost in 26 consecutive home league games
Flamengo 4TH
20 league games
Home
26
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Santos 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Santos
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
FLA
5
STS
2
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
FLA
4
D
1
STS
2
Goal Statistics

Flamengo's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Serie A matches. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Sunday night.

With a PG of just 0.8, Santos look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Serie A matches, and it could be a long night for J. Vojvoda's men.

Flamengo 4th Santos 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Flamengo will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Santos scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Flamengo have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+18
Santos have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Santos
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
36%
better
FLA
STS
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score0
1
Scored first6
2
Goals scored13
10
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
53%
better
FLA
STS
view stats
Games conceded4
7
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first1
5
Goals conceded5
13
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against11%
19%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+53%

Flamengo v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE