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Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 22:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Adenor Leonardo Bacchi leads his Cruzeiro charges to the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo in the Serie A on Saturday night, with Hernán Jorge Crespo's Sao Paulo waiting for them. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.


Best Tip: Sao Paulo to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Sao Paulo. Their recent form statistics show their ability on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Cruzeiro too. The odds point towards Hernán Jorge Crespo's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Saturday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
62%
2.05-
Draw
22%
3.20-
Cruzeiro
16%
3.60-
Sao Paulo 1-0
13%
7.00-
Sao Paulo 2-0
12%
9.50-
Draw 1-1
11%
6.00-
Sao Paulo 2-1
10%
9.00-
Sao Paulo 3-0
7%
19.00-
Draw 0-0
7%
9.00-
Sao Paulo 3-1
6%
17.00-
Cruzeiro 1-0
6%
10.00-
Cruzeiro 2-1
4%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
15.00-
Sao Paulo 4-0
3%
41.00-
Sao Paulo 4-1
3%
41.00-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
29.00-
Cruzeiro 2-0
2%
17.00-
Sao Paulo 5-0
1%
81.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
2.08-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.73-
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
38%
2.30-
No 1st Goal
5%
9.00-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1.80-
BTTS - No
54%
1.95-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
4.50-
BTTS - Draw
15%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
7.50-
Home/draw
84%
1.29-
Away/draw
38%
1.70-
Home/away
78%
1.36-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.36-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3.20-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1.29-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.08-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
17.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.07-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9.00-
Home DNB
78%
1.50-
Away DNB
31%
2.50-
Sao Paulo win to nil
38%
3.50-
Cruzeiro win to nil
9%
6.00-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
24%
3.40-
Sao Paulo / Cruzeiro
2%
34.00-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Sao Paulo
17%
5.00-
Draw / Cruzeiro
11%
7.50-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00-
Cruzeiro / Sao Paulo
3%
26.00-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
14%
6.00-
Cruzeiro / Draw
6%
15.00-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Cruzeiro have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Sao Paulo 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
ASao Paulo0 - 1A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
ASao Paulo2 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo0 - 3Mirassol
ASao Paulo0 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Cruzeiro 20TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Mirassol2 - 2Cruzeiro
Botafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro
Santos3 - 0Cruzeiro
Ceara1 - 1Cruzeiro
Juventude3 - 3Cruzeiro
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Palmeiras0 - 0Cruzeiro
A Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Mirassol1 - 1Cruzeiro
Botafogo0 - 2Cruzeiro
Corinthians0 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
Vitoria0 - 0Cruzeiro
Fortaleza0 - 2Cruzeiro
S. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
11
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCruzeiro0 - 0Santos
ACruzeiro1 - 2Athletico PR
HCruzeiro3 - 3Vasco d Gama
ACruzeiro0 - 2Flamengo
HCruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
ACruzeiro2 - 2Mirassol
HCruzeiro1 - 2Cortiba
ACruzeiro0 - 4Botafogo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Santos
HCruzeiro2 - 2Botafogo
ACruzeiro1 - 1Ceara
HCruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
ACruzeiro3 - 3Juventude
HCruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
ACruzeiro1 - 0Gremio
HCruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
ACruzeiro0 - 0Palmeiras
HCruzeiro1 - 0Fortaleza
ACruzeiro1 - 1A Mineiro
HCruzeiro1 - 1S. Recife
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Sao Paulo have not lost to Cruzeiro in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
SAO
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
3 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
2 / 5
SAO
2
CRU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro1 - 0
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0
Cruzeiro1 - 0
0 - 2Sao Paulo
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Cruzeiro have conceded in each of their last 10 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.8 for H. Crespo's side suggests that run should continue.

Sao Paulo 2nd Cruzeiro 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Cruzeiro’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Cruzeiro
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
12%
better
SAO
CRU
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score2
3
Scored first3
4
Goals scored10
8
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for15
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
39%
better
SAO
CRU
view stats
Games conceded5
7
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded5
16
Avg. goals conceded0.6
2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
4
Conversion rate against8%
23%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+39%

Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE