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Sao Paulo v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Thiago Carpini Barbosa and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira meet in the Serie A on Tuesday morning, as Sao Paulo face Palmeiras at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. This preview has odds for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.

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Sao Paulo's next match is v Vitoria at 20:00 on Sunday 5th May
Palmeiras's next match is v Cuiaba at 22:30 on Sunday 5th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras was on Tuesday 30th April 2024
Brazillian Serie A
April 30th 2024
Sao Paulo 0
0 Palmeiras
 
SAO
PAL
Shots On
1
3
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
6
4
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
12
17
Yellow/red cards
4/0
3/0
 
Sao PauloPalmeiras
 
R. Monteiro
D. Costa Barbosa
A. Franco
I. de Souza
Welington (M. Araújo Villar 55')
R. Arboleda Escobar
A. de Freitas Castro
D. Bobadilla
A. Oliveira Silva (A. dos Santos Ferreira 61')
L. da Rocha Neves (J. Rodríguez Rubio 85')
J. Calleri
W. Pereira da Silva
(M. Rocha de Oliveira 73') M. Rocha Aquino
G. Gómez Portillo
M. Cerqueira Paim
(V. Barbosa da Silva 73') J. Piquerez Moreira
R. Rios
R. Cavalcante Veiga
A. Moreno
(R. da Silva Barbosa 66') E. Moreira de Sousa
(L. Lira dos Santos 66') E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
(L. Vinicius Marques 55') J. López
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Sao Paulo and Palmeiras go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the players in terms of who might win. The statistics don't supply any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.50 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Sao Paulo
38%
13/8
9%
6/4
7%
--
Draw
29%
19/10
3%
9/5
3%
--
Palmeiras
33%
2/1
15%
9/5
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4--
Sao Paulo 1-0
13%
11/2
19%
5/1
14%
--
Palmeiras 1-0
12%
6/111/2--
Draw 0-0
11%
5/1
14%
19/4
18%
--
Sao Paulo 2-1
8%
10/117/2--
Sao Paulo 2-0
7%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
--
Palmeiras 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
--
Palmeiras 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
--
Sao Paulo 3-1
3%
25/118/1--
Sao Paulo 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
--
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
24%
--
Palmeiras 3-0
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
--
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
40/125/1--
Palmeiras 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
26%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
17/10
17%
---
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
4/9
10%
---
Home 1st Goal
48%
10/11
15%
---
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/10
20%
---
No 1st Goal
7%
5/1
14%
---
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10
8%
11/10
8%
--
BTTS - No
55%
4/6
7%
13/20
8%
--
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/1
8%
5/1
4%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
10%
7/2
4%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/2
25%
11/2
24%
--
Home/draw
67%
4/11
9%
2/5
5%
--
Away/draw
62%
4/9
3%
10/21
6%
--
Home/away
71%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
8/15
6%
---
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
6/4
9%
---
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4/1
11%
---
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
---
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
12/1
30%
---
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/25
2%
---
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/1
24%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80---
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/9
1%
---
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
11/2
7%
---
Home DNB
58%
4/5
10%
3/4
10%
--
Away DNB
53%
10/11
10%
19/20
11%
--
Sao Paulo win to nil
24%
11/4
17%
---
Palmeiras win to nil
21%
10/3
8%
---
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
19%
7/2
5%
16/5
7%
--
Sao Paulo / Palmeiras
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
--
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
--
Draw / Sao Paulo
14%
9/2
8%
9/2
8%
--
Draw / Palmeiras
13%
5/1
9%
5/1
9%
--
Draw / Draw
20%
3/1
8%
14/5
10%
--
Palmeiras / Sao Paulo
3%
33/125/1
13%
--
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
16%
4/1
15%
18/5
10%
--
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
--
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
see results
HOME FORM
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo0 - 0Cuiaba
Sao Paulo1 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo3 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo2 - 1Cortiba
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Sao Paulo0 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo0 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo4 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 0Fluminese
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo0 - 2Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 1Goias
Sao Paulo4 - 2Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo2 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo3 - 0America
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
see results
OVERALL FORM
ASao Paulo3 - 0Atletico Go
ASao Paulo1 - 2Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
HSao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
ASao Paulo1 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 0Bahia
HSao Paulo0 - 0Cuiaba
ASao Paulo0 - 1Fluminese
ASao Paulo0 - 0Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Bragantino
HSao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo0 - 5Palmeiras
HSao Paulo3 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo0 - 2Goias
ASao Paulo0 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo2 - 1Cortiba
HSao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
ASao Paulo1 - 2Internacional
Palmeiras 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
see results
AWAY FORM
Vitoria0 - 1Palmeiras
Cruzeiro1 - 1Palmeiras
Fortaleza2 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo3 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo3 - 4Palmeiras
Cortiba0 - 2Palmeiras
Bragantino2 - 1Palmeiras
Gremio1 - 0Palmeiras
Corinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
Cuiaba0 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminese2 - 1Palmeiras
America 1 - 4Palmeiras
Internacional0 - 0Palmeiras
Athletico PR2 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 2Palmeiras
A Mineiro1 - 1Palmeiras
Santos0 - 0Palmeiras
Goias0 - 5Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HPalmeiras0 - 0Flamengo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Internacional
APalmeiras1 - 0Vitoria
APalmeiras1 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 0Fluminese
HPalmeiras4 - 0America
APalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
HPalmeiras3 - 0Internacional
APalmeiras0 - 3Flamengo
HPalmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
APalmeiras4 - 3Botafogo
HPalmeiras1 - 0Bahia
HPalmeiras5 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras2 - 0Cortiba
HPalmeiras0 - 2A Mineiro
HPalmeiras1 - 2Santos
APalmeiras1 - 2Bragantino
APalmeiras0 - 1Gremio
HPalmeiras1 - 0Goias
APalmeiras0 - 0Corinthians
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Palmeiras have not lost to Sao Paulo in 6 consecutive away league meetings
3
Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Sao Paulo
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
3
8
Games: Scored
3 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
3 / 6
D
3
PAL
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
0 - 2Palmeiras
1 - 2Palmeiras
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Palmeiras
All league games since 2018
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
8
19
Games: Scored
6 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
6 / 12
SAO
2
D
4
PAL
6
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Palmeiras5 - 0
0 - 2Palmeiras
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Palmeiras
0 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Sao Paulo
Palmeiras3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Palmeiras
Palmeiras3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is very strong, Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Sao Paulo makes sense in this context.

Sao Paulo 14th Palmeiras 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Palmeiras have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2024/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273093/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
52%
better
SAO
PAL
view stats
Games scored3
1
Failed to score1
3
Scored first1
1
Goals scored5
1
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.3
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
40
Conversion rate14%
3%
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
SAO
PAL
52%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
1
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded4
1
Avg. goals conceded1
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
29
Conversion rate15%
3%
KickOff rating
+52%

Sao Paulo v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1112
RafaelA SilvaErickLuciano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK1
-
D Costa DEF1
-
R Arboleda DEF1
-
A Franco DEF
-
I Vinícius  MID1
-
Alisson MID1
-
D Bobadilla MID
-
Welington  MID
-
Luciano MID1
2
-
A Silva MID11
-
J Calleri FWD1
-
Subs
Jandrei GLK
-
N Ferraresi  DEF1
-
Patryck DEF
-
J Moreira  DEF
-
J Rodríguez MID1
-
G Galoppo  MID1
-
R Nestor MID1
-
M Araújo MID1
-
L Gustavo MID
-
Ferreira FWD
-
Juan FWD
-
Erick FWD11
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
WevertonR RíosRonyR Ríos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK1
-
M Rocha DEF
-
G Portillo DEF
-
Murilo DEF1
-
J Piquerez DEF
-
R Ríos MID11
1
-
A Moreno  MID
-
Endrick MID1
1
-
R Veiga MID1
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves MID1
-
J López FWD
1
-
Subs
M Lomba GLK
-
Luan DEF1
-
Mayke DEF1
1
-
G García DEF
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
C Paulista MID
-
Romulo MID
-
G Menino MID1
1
-
L Santos MID1
-
Fabinho MID1
-
L Lázaro FWD1
-
Rony FWD11
-