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Vitória v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Hernán Jorge Crespo pays counterpart Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura a visit on Saturday night in the Serie A, as their Sao Paulo and Vitória charges go head to head at the Estádio Manoel Barradas. Form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and the best odds are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed under 2.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

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Vitória's next match is v Corinthians at 00:00 on Sunday 19th April
Sao Paulo's next match is v Vasco d Gama at 22:30 on Saturday 18th April
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Vitoria and Sao Paulo was on Saturday 11th April 2026
Brazillian Serie A
April 11th 2026
Vitoria 2
0 Sao Paulo
 
C. de Menezes Júnior 35'
R. Ramos Lima 83'
 
VIT
SAO
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
6
7
Corners
1
6
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
10
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/2
 
VitoriaSao Paulo
 
L. Assis Arcanjo
R. Ramos Limafootball icon
L. Martínez
M. Martins Fogaça de Paula (D. Tarzia 71')
C. de Menezes Júniorfootball icon
L. Candido de Almeida
N. de Souza Mendes
G. Baralhas dos Santos (R. dos Santos Lopes 88')
C. de Jesus Gonçalves (J. Silva Neves 66')
E. de Arruda Serafim
R. de Souza (C. de Sousa Ferreira 71')
R. Tolói
R. Monteiro
(W. Nascimento Borges 66') E. Díaz
L. Batista Silva
M. Silva Santos
(P. dos Santos 57') A. dos Santos Ferreira
(G. Tapia Dubournais 66') A. Oliveira Silva
A. Franco
(C. Alves Soares 57') C. Oliveira Souza
(L. Marques Alencar 78') D. de Oliveira Sertanejo
A. Guimarães

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Vitoria and Sao Paulo during the standard 90 mins. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vitoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vitoria
41%
2/11/1000
Draw
30%
2/1750/1
Sao Paulo
29%
6/41/50
Vitoria 1-0
15%
13/211/20
Draw 1-1
13%
9/211/2
Draw 0-0
13%
11/212/5
Sao Paulo 1-0
12%
11/219/5
Vitoria 2-0
8%
12/12/11
Vitoria 2-1
8%
11/110/1
Sao Paulo 2-1
6%
10/133/1
Sao Paulo 2-0
5%
10/110/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/170/1
Vitoria 3-0
3%
33/111/2
Vitoria 3-1
3%
28/140/1
Sao Paulo 3-1
2%
22/1125/1
Sao Paulo 3-0
2%
25/128/1
Vitoria 3-2
1%
40/1100/1
Sao Paulo 3-2
1%
40/1250/1
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
6/410/1
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
1/21/33
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/56/4
Away 1st Goal
42%
1/113/10
No 1st Goal
9%
11/212/5
BTTS - Yes
40%
21/2025/1
BTTS - No
60%
7/101/1000
BTTS - Home Win
13%
13/217/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/255/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11/2150/1
Home/draw
71%
1/21/50
Away/draw
59%
4/1155/1
Home/away
70%
4/111/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
1/213/10
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
13/811/20
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
4/180/1
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/61/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
10/190/1
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/201/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/801/50
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/92/7
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
11/212/5
Home DNB
62%
1/11/300
Away DNB
50%
8/11150/1
Vitoria win to nil
28%
10/3-
Sao Paulo win to nil
19%
11/4-
Vitoria / Vitoria
17%
4/11/2
Vitoria / Sao Paulo
3%
33/115/2
Vitoria / Draw
6%
14/127/10
Draw / Vitoria
13%
11/228/1
Draw / Sao Paulo
14%
9/222/1
Draw / Draw
19%
10/320/1
Sao Paulo / Vitoria
3%
33/133/1
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
20%
10/380/1
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1150/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Vitoria 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria1 - 0Mirassol
Vitoria2 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Vitoria2 - 0Remo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Vitoria2 - 0Mirassol
Vitoria0 - 0Botafogo
Vitoria1 - 0Internacional
Vitoria0 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria2 - 1Bahia
Vitoria1 - 0Ceara
Vitoria0 - 1Fluminense
Vitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
Vitoria2 - 2Juventude
Vitoria2 - 2Palmeiras
Vitoria2 - 2S. Recife
Vitoria1 - 0Bragantino
Vitoria0 - 0Cruzeiro
Vitoria0 - 1Santos
Vitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVitoria1 - 1Chapecoense
AVitoria0 - 3Cruzeiro
HVitoria1 - 0Mirassol
AVitoria0 - 2Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 1Bahia
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria1 - 5Palmeiras
HVitoria2 - 0Remo
HVitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
AVitoria0 - 4Bragantino
HVitoria2 - 0Mirassol
AVitoria3 - 1S. Recife
AVitoria0 - 0Palmeiras
HVitoria0 - 0Botafogo
HVitoria1 - 0Internacional
AVitoria1 - 3Cruzeiro
HVitoria0 - 1Corinthians
AVitoria1 - 0Santos
HVitoria2 - 1Bahia
Sao Paulo 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional1 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 2Sao Paulo
Cortiba0 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Mirassol3 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fortaleza0 - 2Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 2Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino2 - 2Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 0Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
ASao Paulo0 - 1A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
ASao Paulo2 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo0 - 3Mirassol
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
VIT
1
SAO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Vitoria1 - 0
1 - 3Sao Paulo
0 - 1Sao Paulo
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
SAO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo's defensive record is to be admired, H. Crespo's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Serie A games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Vitória makes sense in this context.

Vitoria 10th Sao Paulo 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that Vitoria will score no more than 1 goal
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vitoria
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
VIT
SAO
15%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score2
2
Scored first4
4
Goals scored9
15
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
18
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
VIT
SAO
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded14
7
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
12
Conversion rate against16%
9%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+19%

Vitoria v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10234
RamonRamonG BaralhasG Baralhas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK7
1
-
N Mendes DEF91
2
-
Cacá DEF71
2
-
L Cândido DEF4
-
Ramon DEF102
3
-
Caique MID8
1
-
G Baralhas MID923
4
-
Matheuzinho MID102
2
-
E Martínez  MID7
3
-
Erick MID1012
1
-
R Kayzer FWD82
2
-
Subs
Gabriel GLK3
-
Riccieli DEF2
-
D. Tarzia DEF5
1
-
Ronald MID3
-
A. Santos MID4
1
-
J. Silva Neves MID3
-
Osvaldo FWD1
-
A Cantalapiedra  FWD7
1
-
L Silva FWD2
-
R López FWD4
-
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD3
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11323
RafaelFerreiraM AntônioR Tolói
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK11
-
L Ramon DEF71
1
R Tolói DEF4
3
-
A Franco DEF9
2
-
E Díaz DEF81
3
-
M Antônio MID112
1
-
Danielzinho MID911
-
Artur MID31
-
Cauly MID81
-
Ferreira MID83
2
-
A Silva FWD7
1
-
Subs
C Coronel GLK
-
C Soares DEF4
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
D Dória DEF1
-
Wendell DEF61
2
-
F Negrucci MID
-
Luan MID3
-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID1
-
G Tapia FWD7
-
P. dos Santos FWD2
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD1
-