Corinthians's team badge Sao Paulo's team badge

Corinthians v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 22:30 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Corinthians and their boss Dorival Silvestre Júnior will be hoping for victory against Hernán Jorge Crespo and his Sao Paulo side on Sunday night, as the pair meet at the Arena Corinthians in the Serie A. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across every major market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Serie A clash.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Corinthians and Sao Paulo both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Corinthians
39%
1/129/20
Draw
31%
21/106/5
Sao Paulo
30%
29/1010/3
Corinthians 1-0
15%
5/116/5
Draw 0-0
14%
11/217/4
Draw 1-1
13%
5/12/1
Sao Paulo 1-0
13%
8/113/2
Corinthians 2-0
8%
15/219/5
Corinthians 2-1
7%
17/23/1
Sao Paulo 2-1
6%
14/15/1
Sao Paulo 2-0
6%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
3%
18/111/2
Corinthians 3-0
3%
16/18/1
Corinthians 3-1
3%
18/115/2
Sao Paulo 3-1
2%
40/116/1
Sao Paulo 3-0
2%
40/133/1
Corinthians 3-2
1%
40/114/1
Sao Paulo 3-2
1%
50/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
6/47/20
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
1/22/1
Home 1st Goal
47%
8/115/6
Away 1st Goal
43%
8/513/8
No 1st Goal
10%
11/217/4
BTTS - Yes
39%
11/105/6
BTTS - No
61%
4/610/11
BTTS - Home Win
12%
9/27/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/423/20
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9/116/5
Home/draw
70%
1/41/5
Away/draw
61%
8/111/2
Home/away
69%
4/118/13
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
1/21/5
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
13/816/5
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
4/129/20
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/61/2
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/119/4
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/201/9
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/801/80
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/92/15
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
11/217/4
Home DNB
61%
2/54/9
Away DNB
52%
7/48/5
Corinthians win to nil
27%
2/1-
Sao Paulo win to nil
20%
5/1-
Corinthians / Corinthians
24%
12/59/1
Corinthians / Sao Paulo
2%
40/140/1
Corinthians / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Draw / Corinthians
16%
15/49/4
Draw / Sao Paulo
10%
7/13/1
Draw / Draw
19%
10/36/4
Sao Paulo / Corinthians
3%
28/140/1
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
13%
11/212/1
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Corinthians 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Corinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
Corinthians0 - 1Internacional
Corinthians1 - 1Flamengo
Corinthians0 - 2Cortiba
Corinthians2 - 0Bragantino
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
Corinthians1 - 1Juventude
Corinthians2 - 2Botafogo
Corinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians0 - 1Ceara
Corinthians2 - 0Gremio
Corinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
Corinthians3 - 0Mirassol
Corinthians1 - 2Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 1Palmeiras
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
Corinthians1 - 1Fortaleza
Corinthians0 - 0Cruzeiro
Corinthians1 - 2Bragantino
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACorinthians1 - 2Mirassol
HCorinthians1 - 0Vasco d Gama
ACorinthians0 - 0Vitoria
HCorinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
HCorinthians0 - 1Internacional
ACorinthians1 - 3Fluminense
HCorinthians1 - 1Flamengo
ACorinthians0 - 0Chapecoense
ACorinthians1 - 1Santos
HCorinthians0 - 2Cortiba
ACorinthians1 - 1Cruzeiro
ACorinthians1 - 0Athletico PR
HCorinthians2 - 0Bragantino
HCorinthians1 - 2Bahia
HCorinthians1 - 1Juventude
ACorinthians1 - 2Fortaleza
HCorinthians2 - 2Botafogo
ACorinthians0 - 3Cruzeiro
HCorinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
HCorinthians0 - 1Ceara
Sao Paulo 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria2 - 0Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 2Sao Paulo
Cortiba0 - 1Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Mirassol3 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fortaleza0 - 2Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 2Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino2 - 2Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
ASao Paulo1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Vitoria
HSao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
ASao Paulo0 - 1A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Corinthians have not lost to Sao Paulo in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
CTH
3
D
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Corinthians3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Corinthians1 - 0
Corinthians1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
D
1
SAO
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 1
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Corinthians of late. It has been 12 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday night against Sao Paulo.

Corinthians 17th Sao Paulo 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Corinthians have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
Sao Paulo have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Corinthians
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
CTH
SAO
33%
better
view stats
Games scored9
11
Failed to score5
3
Scored first5
7
Goals scored10
19
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
16
Avg. XG for0.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
10%
better
CTH
SAO
view stats
Games conceded8
10
Clean sheets6
4
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded13
13
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
10
Conversion rate against10%
10%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Corinthians v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12244
H SouzaM BiduR GarroMatheuzinho
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Souza GLK12
2
-
Matheuzinho DEF10
3
1
G Paulista DEF111
2
-
G Henrique DEF11
2
-
M Bidu DEF1121
4
-
Raniele MID12
4
-
B Bidon MID121
1
-
A Carrillo MID10
2
-
R Garro MID1414
2
-
J Lingard MID6
1
-
Y Alberto FWD101
1
-
Subs
K. de Souza Camargo GLK2
1
-
A Ramalho DEF5
3
-
P Milans DEF3
-
F Angileri DEF6
2
-
I. Machado DEF
-
M Pereira MID10
1
-
D. da Cruz Lopes MID51
-
A Santana MID1
-
P Raul FWD6
-
K César FWD31
1
-
Z Labyad FWD51
-
G. Silva Inácio FWD5
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14634
RafaelJ CalleriWendellE Díaz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK14
-
C Soares DEF6
1
-
D Dória DEF2
-
Sabino DEF121
-
E Díaz DEF101
4
-
D Bobadilla MID121
2
-
Danielzinho MID1211
1
-
Artur MID611
-
Luciano MID1241
2
-
Ferreira MID94
2
-
J Calleri FWD1361
2
-
Subs
C Coronel GLK
-
Wendell DEF93
2
-
I. Teixeira Felisberto DEF
-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF
-
F Negrucci MID1
-
Luan MID5
-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID1
-
D. Ferreira MID1
1
-
Cauly MID101
-
G Tapia FWD8
-
A Silva FWD7
2
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD3
-