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Flamengo v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 3rd May, 20:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Flamengo and their boss Filipe Luis Kasmirski will be looking to get one over on Fernando Diniz Silva and his Vasco da Gama side on Sunday night, as the pair go head to head at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in the Serie A. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Best Tip: Flamengo to win

A Serie A victory in front of their own fans for Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers suggest the same, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Flamengo win is the bet we'd suggest, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.42.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
64%
21/50-
Draw
21%
3/1-
Vasco d Gama
15%
6/1-
Flamengo 2-0
11%
11/2-
Flamengo 1-0
11%
6/1-
Flamengo 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1-
Flamengo 3-0
8%
17/2-
Flamengo 3-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
Vasco d Gama 1-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-1
4%
20/1-
Flamengo 4-0
4%
18/1-
Flamengo 4-1
3%
22/1-
Flamengo 3-2
3%
28/1-
Vasco d Gama 2-0
2%
33/1-
Flamengo 5-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
58%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
39%
21/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
1/1-
BTTS - No
50%
3/4-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
5/2-
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
12/1-
Home/draw
85%
1/10-
Away/draw
36%
13/8-
Home/away
79%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
78%
1/7-
Away DNB
30%
9/2-
Flamengo win to nil
36%
5/4-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
8%
10/1-
Flamengo / Flamengo
38%
6/5-
Flamengo / Vasco d Gama
2%
40/1-
Flamengo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Flamengo
21%
3/1-
Draw / Vasco d Gama
6%
12/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Vasco d Gama / Flamengo
4%
20/1-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
7%
11/1-
Vasco d Gama / Draw
4%
18/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Flamengo 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo2 - 0Bahia
Flamengo3 - 1Santos
Flamengo3 - 0Remo
Flamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Flamengo1 - 0Ceara
Flamengo3 - 0Bragantino
Flamengo3 - 2Santos
Flamengo3 - 0S. Recife
Flamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
Flamengo8 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 1Mirassol
Flamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0Fluminense
Flamengo2 - 0Sao Paulo
Flamengo5 - 0Fortaleza
Flamengo0 - 0Botafogo
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
AFlamengo2 - 1Fluminense
HFlamengo3 - 1Santos
AFlamengo0 - 3Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo3 - 0Remo
AFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
HFlamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
AFlamengo1 - 2Sao Paulo
AFlamengo3 - 3Mirassol
HFlamengo1 - 0Ceara
AFlamengo1 - 1A Mineiro
HFlamengo3 - 0Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo5 - 1S. Recife
HFlamengo3 - 2Santos
AFlamengo2 - 2Sao Paulo
HFlamengo3 - 0S. Recife
Vasco d Gama 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cortiba1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro3 - 3Vasco d Gama
Santos2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Mirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza0 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Santos0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Mirassol3 - 2Vasco d Gama
Internacional1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Remo
HVasco d Gama1 - 2Botafogo
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Cortiba
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
HVasco d Gama3 - 2Fluminense
AVasco d Gama3 - 3Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Palmeiras
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Flamengo have drawn with Vasco d Gama in 3 consecutive league meetings
12
Flamengo have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
FLA
2
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Flamengo1 - 0
Flamengo2 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
5
17
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
FLA
4
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 6Flamengo
1 - 4Flamengo
1 - 2Flamengo
1 - 4Flamengo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Flamengo in their clash with Vasco da Gama, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Serie A games.

Flamengo 2nd Vasco d Gama 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Flamengo will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Flamengo have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+26
Vasco d Gama have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
2
0.9
Attack rating
12%
better
FLA
VDG
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score1
1
Scored first8
6
Goals scored20
18
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
44%
better
FLA
VDG
view stats
Games conceded7
12
Clean sheets4
0
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded10
18
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+44%

Flamengo v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE