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Bahia v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Apr, 22:30 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Juan Pablo Vojvoda pays counterpart Rogério Mücke Ceni a visit on Saturday night in the Serie A, as their Santos and Bahia teams face each other at the Arena Fonte Nova. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.76.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
57%
19/25-
Draw
23%
5/2-
Santos
20%
10/3-
Bahia 1-0
11%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Bahia 2-0
10%
15/2-
Bahia 2-1
10%
15/2-
Bahia 3-0
6%
14/1-
Bahia 3-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1-
Santos 1-0
6%
11/1-
Santos 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Bahia 3-2
3%
25/1-
Santos 2-0
3%
20/1-
Bahia 4-0
3%
28/1-
Bahia 4-1
3%
28/1-
Santos 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5-
BTTS - No
47%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2-
Home/draw
80%
1/5-
Away/draw
43%
19/20-
Home/away
77%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1-
Home DNB
73%
1/3-
Away DNB
36%
9/4-
Bahia win to nil
31%
2/1-
Santos win to nil
10%
6/1-
Bahia / Bahia
29%
15/8-
Bahia / Santos
2%
33/1-
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bahia
18%
15/4-
Draw / Santos
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Santos / Bahia
4%
22/1-
Santos / Santos
12%
6/1-
Santos / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
5
Santos have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Santos 15TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Santos
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
BAH
4
STS
2
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Bahia
Goals: Scored
11
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
D
2
STS
4
Goal Statistics

Bahia have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Santos on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Bahia 5th Santos 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Santos scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Bahia have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+24
Santos have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Santos
1.8
1
Attack rating
18%
better
BAH
STS
view stats
Games scored10
10
Failed to score0
1
Scored first5
5
Goals scored15
14
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
22%
better
BAH
STS
view stats
Games conceded6
8
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded10
16
Avg. goals conceded1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against10%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%

Bahia v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Santos Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE