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Fluminense v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 27th Apr, 00:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Home advantage can be vital in the Serie A, and Luis Francisco Zubeldía’s Fluminense will have the joy of it on Monday morning. Gilmar Dal Pozzo’s Chapecoense are their visitors to the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Below you'll find unique stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Fluminense to win

As training goes on this week and the Fluminense players ready themselves for this fixture, the bookmakers have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho has rarely been an easy place to go for Chapecoense in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Monday morning. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
61%
1/3-
Draw
24%
7/2-
Chapecoense
15%
15/2-
Fluminense 1-0
16%
--
Fluminense 2-0
13%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Fluminense 2-1
9%
--
Fluminense 3-0
7%
--
Chapecoense 1-0
7%
--
Fluminense 3-1
5%
--
Chapecoense 2-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Fluminense 4-0
3%
--
Chapecoense 2-0
2%
--
Fluminense 4-1
2%
--
Fluminense 3-2
2%
--
Fluminense 5-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
3/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
21/20-
Home 1st Goal
58%
--
Away 1st Goal
36%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
40%
--
BTTS - No
60%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
6%
--
Home/draw
85%
--
Away/draw
39%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
32%
--
Fluminense win to nil
41%
--
Chapecoense win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win form
3
Chapecoense have lost 3 consecutive away league games
6
Chapecoense have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
3
Chapecoense have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Fluminense 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense1 - 2Flamengo
Fluminense3 - 1Corinthians
Fluminense1 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
Fluminense1 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 1Gremio
Fluminense2 - 0Bahia
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense1 - 0Mirassol
Fluminense1 - 0Ceara
Fluminense1 - 0Internacional
Fluminense1 - 0Juventude
Fluminense3 - 0A Mineiro
Fluminense2 - 0Botafogo
Fluminense0 - 1Corinthians
Fluminense2 - 1Fortaleza
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Fluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense1 - 2Flamengo
AFluminense1 - 1Cortiba
HFluminense3 - 1Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0A Mineiro
AFluminense2 - 3Vasco d Gama
HFluminense3 - 2Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Remo
AFluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 1Bahia
HFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense2 - 0Bahia
AFluminense2 - 1Gremio
HFluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminense0 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense2 - 1Flamengo
AFluminense0 - 0Cruzeiro
HFluminense1 - 0Mirassol
AFluminense0 - 2Ceara
HFluminense1 - 0Ceara
Chapecoense 19TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
Internacional2 - 0Chapecoense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Volta Redonda1 - 1Chapecoense
Remo1 - 1Chapecoense
Goias1 - 3Chapecoense
Ferroviaria0 - 1Chapecoense
Amazonas1 - 3Chapecoense
Cuiaba1 - 0Chapecoense
Criciuma2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletic Club0 - 4Chapecoense
Cortiba0 - 0Chapecoense
Atletico Go0 - 0Chapecoense
America 0 - 1Chapecoense
Operario1 - 2Chapecoense
Botafogo1 - 0Chapecoense
Novorizontin1 - 0Chapecoense
Avai2 - 1Chapecoense
Athletico PR1 - 1Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChapecoense0 - 2Athletico PR
HChapecoense1 - 1Vitoria
HChapecoense0 - 4A Mineiro
AChapecoense0 - 2Internacional
HChapecoense0 - 0Corinthians
HChapecoense1 - 1Gremio
AChapecoense0 - 2Sao Paulo
HChapecoense3 - 3Cortiba
AChapecoense1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HChapecoense4 - 2Santos
HChapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
AChapecoense1 - 1Volta Redonda
HChapecoense0 - 1America
AChapecoense1 - 1Remo
HChapecoense2 - 0Operario
AChapecoense3 - 1Goias
HChapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
AChapecoense1 - 0Ferroviaria
HChapecoense1 - 0Novorizontin
AChapecoense3 - 1Amazonas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Fluminense have not lost to Chapecoense in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
FLU
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Fluminense3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fluminense3 - 1
League games at Chapecoense since 2018
Chapecoense
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
FLU
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
1 - 2Fluminense
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Fluminense
Goal Statistics

Fluminense have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Chapecoense on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Chapecoense fans, as should a 7 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Fluminense 4th Chapecoense 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 50% probability that Chapecoense will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Fluminense have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Chapecoense
1.6
0.7
Attack rating
46%
better
FLU
CHP
view stats
Games scored11
5
Failed to score0
5
Scored first7
3
Goals scored18
10
Avg. goals scored1.6
1
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
27%
better
FLU
CHP
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded13
18
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
2
KickOff rating
+27%

Fluminense v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE