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Sao Paulo v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 3rd May, 20:00 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

The Serie A is the focus for both Sao Paulo and Bahia on Sunday night, as bosses Hernán Jorge Crespo and Rogério Mücke Ceni face one another at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
52%
11/10-
Draw
25%
11/5-
Bahia
23%
12/5-
Sao Paulo 1-0
12%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Sao Paulo 2-0
10%
9/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
17/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2-
Bahia 1-0
8%
17/2-
Bahia 2-1
6%
11/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
5%
20/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Bahia 2-0
4%
16/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
28/1-
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
40/1-
Bahia 3-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
23/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
49%
10/11-
BTTS - No
51%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
13/2-
Home/draw
77%
3/10-
Away/draw
48%
4/6-
Home/away
75%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2-
Home DNB
70%
8/15-
Away DNB
41%
11/8-
Sao Paulo win to nil
30%
5/2-
Bahia win to nil
13%
9/2-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
24%
5/2-
Sao Paulo / Bahia
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
15%
9/2-
Draw / Bahia
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Bahia / Sao Paulo
3%
25/1-
Bahia / Bahia
15%
9/2-
Bahia / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Vitoria
HSao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
ASao Paulo0 - 1A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
ASao Paulo2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo2 - 0Bahia
Mirassol1 - 2Bahia
Remo4 - 1Bahia
Internacional0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
Fluminense2 - 0Bahia
Juventude1 - 1Bahia
Internacional2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro3 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Vitoria2 - 1Bahia
Botafogo2 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Ceara1 - 1Bahia
Mirassol5 - 1Bahia
Corinthians1 - 2Bahia
S. Recife0 - 0Bahia
Fortaleza1 - 1Bahia
Bragantino0 - 3Bahia
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 1Mirassol
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
HBahia3 - 0Athletico PR
ABahia1 - 4Remo
HBahia2 - 0Bragantino
ABahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia1 - 1Vitoria
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia2 - 3Fortaleza
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 1Bragantino
ABahia0 - 2Sao Paulo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Sao Paulo have not lost to Bahia in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
5 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
2 / 7
SAO
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
SAO
3
D
2
BAH
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia2 - 1
0 - 3Sao Paulo
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia1 - 0
1 - 3Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 4th Bahia 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Sao Paulo have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.6
1
Attack rating
SAO
BAH
8%
better
view stats
Games scored9
10
Failed to score3
1
Scored first5
5
Goals scored16
15
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
SAO
BAH
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded11
12
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
10
Conversion rate against10%
10%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%

Sao Paulo v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE