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Mirassol v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 22:30 BST, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Gilmar Dal Pozzo will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Sunday night, as he takes his Chapecoense side to the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia to visit Mirassol and Rafael Silva Guanaes. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's fairly unlikely that this match will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Mirassol and Chapecoense haven't typically been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mirassol
57%
1.422.20
Draw
24%
4.332.05
Chapecoense
19%
7.006.50
Mirassol 1-0
13%
6.503.25
Draw 1-1
11%
8.008.50
Mirassol 2-0
11%
6.508.00
Mirassol 2-1
10%
8.5019.00
Draw 0-0
8%
11.002.45
Chapecoense 1-0
7%
17.008.00
Mirassol 3-0
6%
9.5021.00
Mirassol 3-1
5%
13.0051.00
Chapecoense 2-1
5%
21.0034.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.0056.00
Chapecoense 2-0
3%
34.0029.00
Mirassol 4-0
3%
19.0051.00
Mirassol 3-2
2%
29.00101.00
Mirassol 4-1
2%
23.00101.00
Chapecoense 3-1
1%
51.00101.00
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1.858.50
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.951.06
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.402.00
Away 1st Goal
40%
3.204.80
No 1st Goal
5%
11.002.45
BTTS - Yes
48%
2.006.00
BTTS - No
52%
1.751.11
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3.5015.00
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.508.50
BTTS - Away Win
9%
15.0029.00
Home/draw
81%
1.101.09
Away/draw
43%
2.631.65
Home/away
76%
1.201.70
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.293.20
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.751.30
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.2023.00
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.361.00
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6.0051.00
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.131.00
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
13.0081.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.041.00
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.051.50
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11.002.50
Home DNB
74%
1.141.22
Away DNB
36%
5.503.90
Mirassol win to nil
34%
2.25-
Chapecoense win to nil
11%
11.00-
Mirassol / Mirassol
37%
2.207.00
Mirassol / Chapecoense
2%
41.0051.00
Mirassol / Draw
5%
15.0026.00
Draw / Mirassol
20%
4.002.25
Draw / Chapecoense
6%
13.006.50
Draw / Draw
14%
6.002.90
Chapecoense / Mirassol
4%
21.0034.00
Chapecoense / Chapecoense
7%
12.0019.00
Chapecoense / Draw
5%
19.0026.00
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Win / draw / win form
4
Chapecoense have lost 4 consecutive league games
12
Chapecoense have not won in 12 consecutive league games
Mirassol 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol2 - 1Corinthians
Mirassol1 - 2Bahia
Mirassol0 - 1Bragantino
Mirassol0 - 1Cortiba
Mirassol2 - 2Santos
Mirassol2 - 2Cruzeiro
Mirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Mirassol3 - 3Flamengo
Mirassol3 - 0Ceara
Mirassol2 - 1Palmeiras
Mirassol0 - 0Botafogo
Mirassol3 - 0Sao Paulo
Mirassol3 - 1Internacional
Mirassol2 - 1Fluminense
Mirassol1 - 1Bragantino
Mirassol2 - 0Juventude
Mirassol5 - 1Bahia
Mirassol1 - 1Cruzeiro
Mirassol3 - 2Vasco d Gama
Mirassol1 - 1Vitoria
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMirassol2 - 1Corinthians
AMirassol0 - 1Sao Paulo
AMirassol2 - 1Internacional
HMirassol1 - 2Bahia
HMirassol0 - 1Bragantino
AMirassol2 - 3Botafogo
AMirassol0 - 1Vitoria
HMirassol0 - 1Cortiba
AMirassol0 - 1Palmeiras
HMirassol2 - 2Santos
HMirassol2 - 2Cruzeiro
AMirassol2 - 2Remo
HMirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
HMirassol3 - 3Flamengo
AMirassol2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AMirassol0 - 2Vitoria
HMirassol3 - 0Ceara
AMirassol1 - 1Santos
HMirassol2 - 1Palmeiras
AMirassol0 - 1Fluminense
Chapecoense 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense2 - 1Chapecoense
Athletico PR2 - 0Chapecoense
Internacional2 - 0Chapecoense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Volta Redonda1 - 1Chapecoense
Remo1 - 1Chapecoense
Goias1 - 3Chapecoense
Ferroviaria0 - 1Chapecoense
Amazonas1 - 3Chapecoense
Cuiaba1 - 0Chapecoense
Criciuma2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletic Club0 - 4Chapecoense
Cortiba0 - 0Chapecoense
Atletico Go0 - 0Chapecoense
America 0 - 1Chapecoense
Operario1 - 2Chapecoense
Botafogo1 - 0Chapecoense
Novorizontin1 - 0Chapecoense
Avai2 - 1Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChapecoense1 - 2Bragantino
AChapecoense1 - 2Fluminense
HChapecoense1 - 4Botafogo
AChapecoense0 - 2Athletico PR
HChapecoense1 - 1Vitoria
HChapecoense0 - 4A Mineiro
AChapecoense0 - 2Internacional
HChapecoense0 - 0Corinthians
HChapecoense1 - 1Gremio
AChapecoense0 - 2Sao Paulo
HChapecoense3 - 3Cortiba
AChapecoense1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HChapecoense4 - 2Santos
HChapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
AChapecoense1 - 1Volta Redonda
HChapecoense0 - 1America
AChapecoense1 - 1Remo
HChapecoense2 - 0Operario
AChapecoense3 - 1Goias
HChapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
Goal Statistics

Mirassol's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Chapecoense have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A games. A PG of 1.7 for R. Silva Guanaes's side suggests that run should continue.

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Chapecoense fans, as should a 10 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Mirassol 18th Chapecoense 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Mirassol will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Chapecoense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Mirassol have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+1
Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Mirassol
PG (predicted goals)
Chapecoense
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
4%
better
CHP
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score5
5
Scored first4
4
Goals scored15
13
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
11
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
CHP
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded19
26
Avg. goals conceded1.5
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
14
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+11%

Mirassol v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13346
WalterI FormigaAlessonJ Aldo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Walter GLK13
2
-
I Formiga DEF133
1
-
J Victor DEF131
1
-
W Machado DEF11
2
-
Reinaldo DEF10
3
-
J Aldo MID111
6
-
Denilson MID6
-
C Eduardo MID611
-
Shaylon MID1011
-
Alesson MID134
1
-
A Luis FWD91
1
-
Subs
A Muralha GLK
2
-
L Oliveira DEF41
3
-
V Luis DEF6
2
-
D Borges DEF1
-
Rodrigues DEF2
-
Y Lara MID6
1
1
Chico MID
-
C Eduardo  MID71
1
N Otávio FWD82
2
-
E Galdino FWD6
-
Galeano FWD9
1
-
T Soares FWD6
1
-
Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12325
E DomachowskiW ClarJ CarlosE. Souza da Cruz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Paixão GLK2
-
V Becker DEF6
1
-
E Domachowski DEF121
3
1
J Paulo DEF2
-
E. Souza da Cruz MID111
4
1
Vitor MID9
1
-
Camilo MID11
2
-
B Pacheco MID51
-
Enio FWD51
2
-
Y Bolasie FWD1111
2
-
Marcinho FWD1211
-
Subs
R Santos GLK4
-
M Vinicius DEF71
2
-
Vinicius Eduardo DEF
-
W Clar DEF1031
-
H Meritão MID101
1
-
G Augusto MID8
1
-
V Carvalho MID2
-
J Carlos MID1322
1
-
M Garcez FWD5
-
I. de Vargas da Rosa FWD12
-
Rafael FWD101
1
-