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Gremio v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 23:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Flamengo are away from home on Sunday night, as manager Filipe Luis Kasmirski takes his side to visit Gremio and Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro at the Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are provided too.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Gremio and Flamengo will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro or Filipe Luis Kasmirski has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.36 equating to approximately a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
35%
3/13/1
Draw
26%
12/519/10
Flamengo
39%
20/231/1
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Flamengo 1-0
9%
11/24/1
Gremio 1-0
9%
9/113/2
Flamengo 2-1
9%
8/18/1
Gremio 2-1
8%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
7%
15/29/2
Flamengo 2-0
7%
15/213/2
Gremio 2-0
6%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
6%
16/116/1
Flamengo 3-1
4%
16/118/1
Gremio 3-1
4%
33/133/1
Flamengo 3-0
3%
16/114/1
Flamengo 3-2
3%
28/133/1
Gremio 3-0
2%
40/133/1
Gremio 3-2
2%
40/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
23/207/4
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
4/62/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/49/5
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/63/4
No 1st Goal
4%
7/19/2
BTTS - Yes
55%
19/2011/8
BTTS - No
45%
4/58/15
BTTS - Home Win
17%
8/117/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
19%
7/29/2
Home/draw
61%
5/63/4
Away/draw
65%
2/92/9
Home/away
74%
3/104/11
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/53/5
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
2/15/4
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3/19/2
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/41/8
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/111/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/121/40
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
16/122/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/331/200
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/121/8
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/19/2
Home DNB
53%
2/19/5
Away DNB
57%
4/112/5
Gremio win to nil
18%
11/2-
Flamengo win to nil
20%
2/1-
Gremio / Gremio
12%
6/17/1
Gremio / Flamengo
3%
25/122/1
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/114/1
Draw / Gremio
10%
15/211/2
Draw / Flamengo
17%
15/427/10
Draw / Draw
17%
4/113/5
Flamengo / Gremio
3%
33/128/1
Flamengo / Flamengo
27%
21/103/1
Flamengo / Draw
6%
14/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Gremio have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
5
Flamengo have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
3
Gremio have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Gremio 15TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio1 - 0Cortiba
Gremio0 - 0Remo
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGremio0 - 0Athletico PR
HGremio1 - 0Cortiba
AGremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 0Internacional
HGremio0 - 0Remo
AGremio1 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
HGremio2 - 0Vitoria
AGremio1 - 1Chapecoense
HGremio1 - 1Bragantino
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
Flamengo 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro0 - 4Flamengo
Fluminense1 - 2Flamengo
Bragantino3 - 0Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 1Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Mirassol3 - 3Flamengo
A Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense2 - 1Flamengo
S. Recife1 - 5Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Fortaleza1 - 0Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 2Flamengo
Juventude0 - 2Flamengo
Internacional1 - 3Flamengo
Ceara1 - 1Flamengo
Bragantino1 - 2Flamengo
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFlamengo2 - 2Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo4 - 0A Mineiro
HFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
AFlamengo2 - 1Fluminense
HFlamengo3 - 1Santos
AFlamengo0 - 3Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo3 - 0Remo
AFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
HFlamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
AFlamengo1 - 2Sao Paulo
AFlamengo3 - 3Mirassol
HFlamengo1 - 0Ceara
AFlamengo1 - 1A Mineiro
HFlamengo3 - 0Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo5 - 1S. Recife
HFlamengo3 - 2Santos
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
GRE
3
D
1
FLA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
0 - 2Flamengo
Gremio3 - 2
Gremio3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 4Flamengo
0 - 1Flamengo
Gremio2 - 0
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Gremio
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
GRE
1
D
2
FLA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Flamengo2 - 1
Flamengo3 - 0
0 - 1Gremio
Draw1 - 1Draw
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Gremio of late. It has been 7 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Flamengo.

Gremio 15th Flamengo 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Flamengo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+36
Flamengo have scored 36% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
GRE
FLA
40%
better
view stats
Games scored9
12
Failed to score5
1
Scored first4
10
Goals scored15
26
Avg. goals scored1.1
2
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
21
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
GRE
FLA
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
8
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first7
3
Goals conceded16
12
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+17%

Gremio v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14723
WevertonC ViníciusG MartinsG Martins
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK141
1
-
G Martins DEF102
3
-
F Balbuena DEF6
-
V Lopes DEF9
2
1
C Pavón MID14
2
-
L. Pérez MID6
2
-
E Mola MID1011
2
-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro MID6
2
-
G. Ferreira de Carvalho FWD111
2
-
C Vinícius FWD137
3
-
F Amuzu FWD1212
-
Subs
T. Stallbaum GLK
-
Wagner DEF6
1
1
W Kannemann DEF
-
M Rocha DEF1
-
C Paulista DEF5
-
Willian  MID7
-
Dodi MID6
2
-
T. Gonçalves MID
-
André FWD4
2
-
J Enamorado FWD132
1
-
Tetê FWD121
-
M Braithwaite FWD7
-
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13855
A RossiPedroS LinoL Pereira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK13
-
G Varela DEF113
2
-
L Ortiz  DEF1311
-
L Pereira DEF111
5
-
Ayrton DEF6
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID101
2
1
Jorginho MID92
2
1
G Plata MID822
1
-
J Carrascal MID1011
1
S Lino MID1325
2
-
Pedro FWD1383
-
Subs
Andrew  GLK
-
F Dyogo GLK
-
Danilo DEF3
-
E Royal DEF5
-
V Vitão DEF4
1
-
S Ñíguez MID31
-
N Cruz MID8
-
L. dos Santos MID
-
L Araújo FWD911
1
-
Éverton FWD711
2
-
B Henrique FWD8
1
-